Kalju Nomme vs Vaprus Result & Analysis

Kalju Nomme is the clear favourite in this match, with the model predicting a home win. The model's confidence stems from Vaprus's weakness on the road, where they tend to concede more goals against stronger opponents. At home, Kalju Nomme has been in solid form, scoring an average of 2.33 goals and conceding just 0.89.

The expected total number of goals is 3.3, with the most likely total being 3 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a probability of 9.8%.

Kalju Nomme's home form is impressive, and they are likely to continue scoring against Vaprus, who have struggled on the road. The model suggests Over 1.5 goals as its selection, with an 85.1% probability. Other suggested picks include the home win (63%), the draw (21%), and the away win (16%).

Kalju Nomme's win extends their 3-game winning run, having last lost to Vaprus 1-3. The final score was 3-1 in favour of the home team, resulting in a home win. The model picked a home win, correctly identifying the favourite with a pre-match probability of 63%. This selection was a sound call, as the home team's 3-game winning streak and recent 3-1 win over Vaprus suggested a strong performance. The model's other selection, Over 1.5 goals, hit with an 85.1% probability, while the most likely score of 3 goals was not the actual outcome. The model's call on the most likely total goals was also incorrect, but the actual score still fell within the predicted range.