Kallithea vs Larisa Result & Analysis

The model favours an away win, with Larisa’s 50% chance of victory outweighing Kallithea’s 21% and the 29% draw probability. The expected total is 2.4 goals, centring on a 2-goal outcome that carries a 28% chance. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 13.5% probability, distinct from the total-goals expectation. Kallithea, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, averages 1.14 goals scored and 0.93 conceded, while Larisa on the road against a similar side averages 1.27 scored and 1.91 conceded. Suggested selections include Under 7.5 (99.7%), Over 19.5 fouls (99.6%), Under 6.5 (99.0%), Over 21.5 fouls (98.9%), Home under 3.5 goals (98.8%), Over 23.5 fouls (97.1%), Under 5.5 (96.7%), and Under 11.5 corners (96.6%). The home win probability is 21%, the draw 29%, and the away win 50%.

The model’s prediction proved accurate as Larisa secured a 1-3 away victory, extending their two-game winning streak. The pre-match favourite, “Away win,” carried a 50% probability and was correct. The final score of 1-3 matched the actual result, confirming the model’s pick. Every suggested selection performed as expected: “Under 7.5” hit with a 99.7% probability, “Under 6.5” hit at 99.0%, “Home under 3.5 goals” hit at 98.8%, and “Under 5.5” hit at 96.7%. The match’s total of four goals fell below each of these thresholds, and the outcome aligned with the model’s overall forecast.