The model picks an away win, with a 57% chance for Djurgårdens IF, 25% for a draw, and 18% for Kalmar FF. The expected total goals hover at 2.8, but the most likely total is two, with a 25% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 11.9% chance. Kalmar’s home form shows they average one goal scored and three conceded against stronger opponents, while Djurgårdens, playing away against weaker teams, average 2.6 scored and only 0.4 conceded. Kalmar’s recent form is a loss to Halmstad, whereas Djurgårdens come off a three-game winning streak, beating Mjällby 2-0. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.3%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.7%), Home under 3.5 goals (98.5% with a 4% edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (98.0% with a 4% edge), Under 6.5 (97.8% with a 3% edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (95.7% with a 5% edge), Under 5.5 (93.9% with a 5% edge), and Away +2 handicap (93.6% with a 5% edge).
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Kalmar FF win
17.9%
Avg Implied 22.7% · @ 4.12
Edge
-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
4.33
Dafabet
4.20
Bet365
4.20
Unibet
4.20
Pinnacle
4.15
Draw
24.9%
Avg Implied 24.8% · @ 3.76
Edge
+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.90
Unibet
3.85
Pinnacle
3.85
Dafabet
3.85
10Bet
3.80
Djurgardens IF win
57.1%
Avg Implied 52.5% · @ 1.78
Edge
+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.82
Bet365
1.80
1xBet
1.80
Dafabet
1.80
William Hil
1.80
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Kalmar FF
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.33
1.69
1.38
1.35
1.29
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
2.75
1.00
3.00
1.00
2.50
vs Similar (23)
1.48
1.17
1.80
1.10
1.23
1.23
vs Weaker (3)
2.33
0.67
2.00
1.00
2.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Djurgardens IF) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Djurgardens IF
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.47
1.03
2.87
1.20
2.07
0.87
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
2.42
1.11
3.11
1.11
1.80
1.10
vs Weaker (11)
2.55
0.91
2.50
1.33
2.60
0.40
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Kalmar FF) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
77.1%
@ 1.19-1.0%
Under 1.5
22.9%
@ 4.25+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
Bet365
1.20
BetVictor
1.18
Under
Unibet
4.50
Bet365
4.33
BetVictor
4.33
Pinnacle
4.33
10Bet
4.33
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
51.9%
@ 1.66-4.8%
Under 2.5
48.1%
@ 2.17+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.68
10Bet
1.67
1xBet
1.67
Betano
1.67
Bet365
1.67
Under
Unibet
2.20
10Bet
2.20
Betano
2.18
Pinnacle
2.18
1xBet
2.17
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
29.7%
@ 2.58-6.3%
Under 3.5
70.3%
@ 1.45+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.65
10Bet
2.65
BetVictor
2.63
Bet365
2.62
Betano
2.55
Under
10Bet
1.48
Betano
1.47
Pinnacle
1.47
Unibet
1.46
BetVictor
1.44
Both teams to score
Yes
51.9%
@ 1.60-5.8%
No
48.1%
@ 2.18+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Marathonbet
1.61
1xBet
1.61
10Bet
1.60
No
Unibet
2.23
Bet365
2.20
William Hil
2.20
Betano
2.20
1xBet
2.18
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.9%@ 7.07+5.6%
0-2
10.6%@ 9.04+5.6%
0-1
10.5%@ 8.06+5.0%
1-2
9.8%@ 7.66+4.1%
0-0
7.5%@ 12.22+3.8%
0-3
6.4%@ 13.83+3.2%
1-3
6.0%@ 11.97+2.3%
2-1
5.1%@ 12.03+1.4%
Kalmar FF goals ↓
Djurgardens IF goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.5%
11%
11%
6.4%
2.9%
1
4.9%
12%
9.8%
6.0%
2.7%
2
2.8%
5.1%
4.6%
2.8%
1.3%
3
0.9%
1.6%
1.4%
0.9%
0.4%
4
0.2%
0.4%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kalmar FF goals (down), columns = Djurgardens IF goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Sirius
2.21
Hammarby FF
1.89
Djurgardens IF
1.84
AIK Stockholm
1.72
BK Hacken
1.63
IF Elfsborg
1.63
Vasteras SK FK
1.53
Malmo FF
1.53
Gais
1.37
IF Brommapojkarna
1.26
IFK Goteborg
1.21
Mjallby AIF
1.11
Kalmar FF
1.00
Degerfors IF
0.84
Orgryte IS
0.74
Halmstad
0.58
Kalmar FF is 0.84 points worse than Djurgardens IF in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.84).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Sirius
2.47
Hammarby FF
2.32
Djurgardens IF
2.26
BK Hacken
1.74
Malmo FF
1.74
AIK Stockholm
1.56
Vasteras SK FK
1.47
IF Elfsborg
1.42
IF Brommapojkarna
1.42
Mjallby AIF
1.33
Gais
1.32
IFK Goteborg
1.26
Orgryte IS
1.16
Kalmar FF
1.11
Degerfors IF
0.89
Halmstad
0.68
Kalmar FF is 1.16 goals worse than Djurgardens IF in terms of goals scored per game (1.11 vs 2.26).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Gais
0.95
Hammarby FF
0.95
IF Elfsborg
1.00
Djurgardens IF
1.00
Sirius
1.42
AIK Stockholm
1.50
BK Hacken
1.53
Kalmar FF
1.53
Malmo FF
1.58
Mjallby AIF
1.61
IF Brommapojkarna
1.63
Degerfors IF
1.63
Vasteras SK FK
1.74
Halmstad
1.84
IFK Goteborg
2.05
Orgryte IS
2.21
Kalmar FF is 0.53 goals worse than Djurgardens IF in terms of goals conceded per game (1.53 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Hammarby FF
61%
Djurgardens IF
56%
Malmo FF
56%
Mjallby AIF
53%
BK Hacken
52%
AIK Stockholm
52%
IFK Goteborg
51%
Gais
50%
Sirius
48%
IF Elfsborg
48%
Vasteras SK FK
48%
Kalmar FF
47%
IF Brommapojkarna
47%
Degerfors IF
46%
Orgryte IS
43%
Halmstad
41%
Kalmar FF is 9.2 percentage points worse than Djurgardens IF in terms of average possession (47% vs 56%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Kalmar FF
For 3.4 · Against 6.4 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 0.6 · Against 2.1 · Total 2.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 12.6 · Total 23.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Djurgardens IF
For 6.7 · Against 3.3 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 12.6 · Total 23.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Kalmar FF
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.7
9.7
2.1
2.2
2.1
22.9
22.5
23.4
vs Stronger (4)
8.8
10.0
7.5
1.8
2.0
1.5
23.0
22.0
24.0
vs Similar (37)
10.1
10.2
10.0
2.3
2.4
2.1
23.4
23.8
23.0
vs Weaker (9)
12.0
14.0
10.0
1.8
1.5
2.0
20.2
15.5
25.0
% over line
55%
60%
50%
26%
26%
26%
55%
47%
62%
% under line
45%
40%
50%
74%
74%
74%
45%
53%
38%
This opponent (Djurgardens IF) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Djurgardens IF
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.2
10.3
3.9
3.8
4.1
25.6
26.5
24.7
vs Stronger (1)
10.0
-
10.0
2.0
-
2.0
25.0
-
25.0
vs Similar (29)
9.6
9.6
9.6
4.4
4.9
4.1
26.2
28.1
24.2
vs Weaker (20)
11.3
11.2
11.4
3.3
2.3
4.3
24.5
23.5
25.5
% over line
58%
59%
57%
60%
50%
69%
78%
77%
78%
% under line
42%
41%
43%
40%
50%
31%
22%
23%
22%
This opponent (Kalmar FF) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
IFK Goteborg
11.6
Sirius
11.1
Orgryte IS
10.7
BK Hacken
10.7
IF Brommapojkarna
10.7
Gais
10.4
AIK Stockholm
10.4
Degerfors IF
10.3
Djurgardens IF
10.2
Halmstad
10.2
Kalmar FF
10.2
IF Elfsborg
10.0
Vasteras SK FK
9.9
Hammarby FF
9.9
Mjallby AIF
9.8
Malmo FF
9.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Djurgardens IF
4.4
BK Hacken
4.3
IFK Goteborg
4.2
AIK Stockholm
4.2
Degerfors IF
3.9
Malmo FF
3.8
IF Brommapojkarna
3.7
Mjallby AIF
3.7
Gais
3.7
Vasteras SK FK
3.6
Hammarby FF
3.6
Halmstad
3.5
IF Elfsborg
3.5
Sirius
3.5
Kalmar FF
3.4
Orgryte IS
2.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Djurgardens IF
25.7
Malmo FF
25.7
IFK Goteborg
25.7
Sirius
25.4
Degerfors IF
25.4
Mjallby AIF
25.1
Vasteras SK FK
25.1
Gais
25.0
IF Brommapojkarna
24.6
BK Hacken
24.4
Hammarby FF
24.4
IF Elfsborg
24.3
AIK Stockholm
24.1
Kalmar FF
23.6
Halmstad
23.3
Orgryte IS
21.1
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
58.9%
@ 1.57-0.1%
Under 9.5
41.1%
@ 2.25+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.68
1xBet
1.56
Marathonbet
1.56
Betano
1.53
Unibet
1.50
Under
Betano
2.40
Unibet
2.38
Marathonbet
2.18
1xBet
2.18
Pinnacle
2.13
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
48.4%
Under 3.5
51.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
69.0%
Under 21.5
31.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Kalmar FF or Draw
42.9%
Avg Implied 47.4% · @ 1.97
Edge
-4.5%
18%
25%
57%
covers Kalmar FF + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.02
10Bet
2.00
Betfair
2.00
1xBet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.97
Kalmar FF or Djurgardens IF
75.1%
Avg Implied 75.7% · @ 1.23
Edge
-0.6%
18%
25%
57%
covers Kalmar FF + Djurgardens IF
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.26
1xBet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
Draw or Djurgardens IF
82.1%
Avg Implied 76.9% · @ 1.22
Edge
+5.2%
18%
25%
57%
covers Draw + Djurgardens IF
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.26
BetVictor
1.22
Betfair
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.22
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Kalmar FF over/under 0.5
Over
60.7%
@ 1.39-6.3%
Under
39.3%
@ 2.81+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.40
Pinnacle
1.40
Bet365
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
Betano
1.39
Under
Pinnacle
2.93
Betfair
2.88
Betano
2.85
Unibet
2.80
BetVictor
2.80
Kalmar FF over/under 1.5
Over
24.0%
@ 2.86-8.6%
Under
76.0%
@ 1.38+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.97
1xBet
2.91
Marathonbet
2.91
BetVictor
2.88
10Bet
2.88
Under
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.40
Marathonbet
1.38
1xBet
1.38
Unibet
1.37
Kalmar FF over/under 2.5
Over
6.8%
@ 7.10-6.3%
Under
93.2%
@ 1.07+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
1xBet
7.20
Marathonbet
7.20
Betfair
7.00
10Bet
7.00
Under
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.07
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Kalmar FF over/under 3.5
Over
1.5%
@ 17.12-4.1%
Under
98.5%
@ 1.01+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
23.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Djurgardens IF over/under 0.5
Over
83.8%
@ 1.13+1.6%
Under
16.2%
@ 5.21-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
BetVictor
1.13
1xBet
1.12
Under
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
BetVictor
5.25
10Bet
5.25
1xBet
5.00
Djurgardens IF over/under 1.5
Over
54.3%
@ 1.70-0.6%
Under
45.7%
@ 2.07+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.73
1xBet
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Betano
1.72
Pinnacle
1.72
Under
10Bet
2.10
Unibet
2.10
Betfair
2.10
Pinnacle
2.09
Marathonbet
2.07
Djurgardens IF over/under 2.5
Over
27.4%
@ 3.18-1.8%
Under
72.6%
@ 1.31+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.40
Pinnacle
3.27
BetVictor
3.25
Betfair
3.20
1xBet
3.16
Under
Betano
1.33
Unibet
1.33
10Bet
1.33
1xBet
1.31
Pinnacle
1.31
Djurgardens IF over/under 3.5
Over
11.2%
@ 6.69-2.7%
Under
88.8%
@ 1.08+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
6.50
1xBet
6.40
Marathonbet
6.35
Betano
6.20
Under
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Kalmar FF, so a minus line means Kalmar FF give that many goals of a start and Djurgardens IF receive them. At -1, Kalmar FF must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Kalmar FF win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Kalmar FF)
Kalmar FF -2
1.6%
@ 23.00-2.4%
Draw -2
4.7%
@ 13.00-2.5%
Djurgardens IF +2
93.6%
@ 1.06+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
23.00
Draw
Bet365
13.00
Away
Bet365
1.06
Handicap -1 (Kalmar FF)
Kalmar FF -1
6.4%
@ 8.90-3.8%
Draw -1
11.6%
@ 5.76-4.1%
Djurgardens IF +1
82.1%
@ 1.22+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
10.00
10Bet
9.00
Unibet
8.50
Marathonbet
8.10
Draw
Bet365
6.00
10Bet
5.75
Marathonbet
5.70
Unibet
5.60
Away
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.21
Unibet
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Handicap +1 (Kalmar FF)
Kalmar FF +1
42.9%
@ 1.98-2.3%
Draw +1
23.6%
@ 3.63-1.0%
Djurgardens IF -1
33.5%
@ 2.95+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
2.00
Betfair
2.00
Unibet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.97
Bet365
1.91
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
3.60
Marathonbet
3.56
10Bet
3.55
Unibet
3.45
Away
Bet365
3.25
10Bet
2.95
Betfair
2.88
Marathonbet
2.88
Unibet
2.80
Handicap +2 (Kalmar FF)
Kalmar FF +2
66.5%
@ 1.34-0.3%
Draw +2
17.9%
@ 5.01+0.1%
Djurgardens IF -2
15.6%
@ 5.82+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.36
Unibet
1.35
Betfair
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.10
Betfair
5.00
10Bet
4.75
Unibet
4.70
Away
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.00
10Bet
5.75
Marathonbet
5.45
Unibet
5.40
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Kalmar FF
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.67
0.69
0.77
0.59
0.59
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
1.25
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.50
vs Similar (23)
0.57
0.61
0.60
0.80
0.54
0.46
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.33
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Djurgardens IF) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Djurgardens IF
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
0.53
1.60
0.60
0.87
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
1.21
0.63
1.67
0.67
0.80
0.60
vs Weaker (11)
1.27
0.36
1.50
0.50
1.00
0.20
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Kalmar FF) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
73.1%
@ 1.30+1.7%
Under 0.5
26.9%
@ 3.25-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.35
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Under
Bet365
3.40
William Hil
3.40
Betfair
3.30
BetVictor
3.30
10Bet
3.25
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
33.7%
@ 2.40-5.0%
Under 1.5
66.3%
@ 1.52+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.50
Bet365
2.50
Pinnacle
2.48
Marathonbet
2.41
1xBet
2.41
Under
10Bet
1.55
Unibet
1.53
William Hil
1.53
Betano
1.52
BetVictor
1.52
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
13.1%
@ 5.68-3.1%
Under 2.5
86.9%
@ 1.10+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.50
Bet365
6.00
BetVictor
5.75
William Hil
5.50
1xBet
5.35
Under
Betano
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.12
BetVictor
1.10
1xBet
1.09
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kalmar FF over/under 0.5 HT
Over
33.2%
@ 2.31-6.8%
Under
66.8%
@ 1.54+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.42
Betano
2.35
Marathonbet
2.31
1xBet
2.31
Unibet
2.25
Under
10Bet
1.57
Unibet
1.55
Betano
1.55
Pinnacle
1.53
Marathonbet
1.53
Kalmar FF over/under 1.5 HT
Over
9.9%
@ 7.75-2.0%
Under
90.1%
@ 1.05+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.20
1xBet
8.20
10Bet
7.50
Betano
7.10
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
Kalmar FF over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.3%
Under
98.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Djurgardens IF over/under 0.5 HT
Over
57.8%
@ 1.67+2.4%
Under
42.2%
@ 2.08-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.72
Marathonbet
1.70
1xBet
1.68
Pinnacle
1.67
10Bet
1.65
Under
Pinnacle
2.14
Unibet
2.12
10Bet
2.10
Betano
2.05
1xBet
2.03
Djurgardens IF over/under 1.5 HT
Over
19.0%
@ 4.29-2.5%
Under
81.0%
@ 1.18+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.40
Marathonbet
4.40
Betano
4.35
10Bet
4.00
Under
10Bet
1.20
Betano
1.19
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
Djurgardens IF over/under 2.5 HT
Over
4.3%
@ 9.88-5.1%
Under
95.7%
@ 1.02+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
10.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Kalmar FF
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.67
1.00
0.62
0.76
0.71
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
1.50
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.91
0.57
1.20
0.30
0.69
0.77
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
0.33
1.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Djurgardens IF) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Djurgardens IF
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
0.50
1.27
0.60
1.20
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
1.21
0.47
1.44
0.44
1.00
0.50
vs Weaker (11)
1.27
0.55
1.00
0.83
1.60
0.20
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Kalmar FF) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
81.3%
@ 1.18+2.3%
Under 0.5
18.7%
@ 4.41-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
Under
Betano
4.55
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.40
1xBet
4.40
William Hil
4.20
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
47.8%
@ 1.85-2.3%
Under 1.5
52.2%
@ 1.86+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.91
1xBet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.87
Betano
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Under
Betano
1.93
Marathonbet
1.87
Unibet
1.87
1xBet
1.87
Bet365
1.83
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
19.5%
@ 3.66-5.9%
Under 2.5
80.5%
@ 1.24+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.90
Bet365
3.75
1xBet
3.58
Marathonbet
3.58
Betano
3.50
Under
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.23
William Hil
1.22
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kalmar FF over/under 0.5 2H
Over
43.5%
@ 1.93-4.5%
Under
56.5%
@ 1.78+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.94
1xBet
1.93
Betano
1.91
Under
Betano
1.83
1xBet
1.78
10Bet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.75
Kalmar FF over/under 1.5 2H
Over
10.8%
@ 5.62-5.6%
Under
89.2%
@ 1.10+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.85
10Bet
5.75
1xBet
5.70
Betano
5.20
Under
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
Kalmar FF over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.0%
@ 16.00-3.9%
Under
98.0%
@ 1.01+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
21.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Djurgardens IF over/under 0.5 2H
Over
65.2%
@ 1.45+1.1%
Under
34.8%
@ 2.58-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.46
Betano
1.45
10Bet
1.44
Under
Betano
2.60
10Bet
2.60
1xBet
2.55
Djurgardens IF over/under 1.5 2H
Over
28.3%
@ 3.11-1.4%
Under
71.7%
@ 1.31+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.20
1xBet
3.10
Marathonbet
3.08
Betano
3.05
Under
Betano
1.34
Marathonbet
1.31
10Bet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Djurgardens IF over/under 2.5 2H
Over
6.7%
@ 7.80-5.2%
Under
93.3%
@ 1.05+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.40
10Bet
8.00
Betano
7.00
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
98.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+4.1%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
98.0%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.9%
Under 6.5
97.8%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+3.2%
Away under 2.5 HT goals
95.7%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+5.1%
Under 5.5
93.9%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
BetVictor
1.03
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
+4.8%
Away +2 handicap
93.6%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
+5.0%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
93.3%
1.05
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
-
-
+5.2%
Home under 2.5 goals
93.2%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.07
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
+6.3%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
90.1%
1.05
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
-
+2.0%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
89.2%
1.10
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
-
+5.6%
Away under 3.5 goals
88.8%
1.08
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
+2.7%
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.9%
1.10
Betano
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.12
BetVictor
1.10
1xBet
1.09
+3.1%
Under 4.5
85.5%
1.16
Betano
1.19
Pinnacle
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.16
+5.4%
Under 5.5 cards
84.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
83.8%
1.13
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
BetVictor
1.13
1xBet
1.12
+1.6%
Over 19.5 fouls
82.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Draw or Away
82.1%
1.22
Betano
1.26
BetVictor
1.22
Betfair
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.22
+5.2%
Away +1 handicap
82.1%
1.22
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.21
Unibet
1.20
10Bet
1.20
-
+7.8%
Over 0.5 2H goals
81.3%
1.18
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
+2.3%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
81.0%
1.18
10Bet
1.20
Betano
1.19
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
-
+2.5%
Under 2.5 2H goals
80.5%
1.24
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.23
William Hil
1.22
+5.9%
Over 1.5
77.1%
1.19
Betano
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
Bet365
1.20
BetVictor
1.18
-1.0%
Home under 1.5 goals
76.0%
1.38
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.40
Marathonbet
1.38
1xBet
1.38
Unibet
1.37
+8.6%
Home or Away
75.1%
1.23
Betano
1.26
1xBet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
-0.6%
Over 0.5 HT goals
73.1%
1.30
Betano
1.35
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
+1.7%
Away under 2.5 goals
72.6%
1.31
Betano
1.33
Unibet
1.33
10Bet
1.33
1xBet
1.31
Pinnacle
1.31
+1.8%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
71.7%
1.31
Betano
1.34
Marathonbet
1.31
10Bet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
-
+1.4%
Over 8.5 corners
70.9%
1.31
1xBet
1.31
Betano
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
Unibet
1.30
-
+0.8%
Under 4.5 cards
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
70.3%
1.45
10Bet
1.48
Betano
1.47
Pinnacle
1.47
Unibet
1.46
BetVictor
1.44
+6.3%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Kalmar FF
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Charlie Rosenqvist37%
Aboubacar Keita33%
Rony Jansson21%
Carl Gustafsson18%
Anthony Olusanya17%
Charles Sagoe Jr.16%
Achraf Dari11%
Abdussalam Magashy7%
Melker Hallberg0%
Lars Sætra0%
Robert Gojani0%
Samuel Brolin0%
Victor Larsson0%
Alexander Almqvist0%
Malcolm Stolt0%
Emeka Nnamani0%
Sivert Engh Overby0%
Marius Söderbäck0%
Nassef Chourak0%
Jakob Kindberg0%
Vilmer Tyren0%
Zakarias Ravik0%
Fabian Bjorklund0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alexander Almqvist20%
Lars Sætra18%
Vilmer Tyren12%
Victor Larsson12%
Achraf Dari11%
Nassef Chourak11%
Melker Hallberg11%
Charlie Rosenqvist11%
Carl Gustafsson9%
Anthony Olusanya8%
Rony Jansson7%
Robert Gojani6%
Aboubacar Keita0%
Samuel Brolin0%
Abdussalam Magashy0%
Malcolm Stolt0%
Emeka Nnamani0%
Charles Sagoe Jr.0%
Sivert Engh Overby0%
Marius Söderbäck0%
Jakob Kindberg0%
Zakarias Ravik0%
Fabian Bjorklund0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Charles Sagoe Jr.26%
Rony Jansson14%
Robert Gojani12%
Melker Hallberg11%
Marius Söderbäck11%
Abdussalam Magashy7%
Charlie Rosenqvist5%
Achraf Dari0%
Lars Sætra0%
Anthony Olusanya0%
Aboubacar Keita0%
Samuel Brolin0%
Carl Gustafsson0%
Victor Larsson0%
Alexander Almqvist0%
Malcolm Stolt0%
Emeka Nnamani0%
Sivert Engh Overby0%
Nassef Chourak0%
Jakob Kindberg0%
Vilmer Tyren0%
Zakarias Ravik0%
Fabian Bjorklund0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Charles Sagoe Jr.21%
Anthony Olusanya17%
Aboubacar Keita17%
Carl Gustafsson9%
Victor Larsson6%
Nassef Chourak6%
Melker Hallberg5%
Charlie Rosenqvist5%
Achraf Dari0%
Lars Sætra0%
Robert Gojani0%
Samuel Brolin0%
Alexander Almqvist0%
Abdussalam Magashy0%
Malcolm Stolt0%
Emeka Nnamani0%
Rony Jansson0%
Sivert Engh Overby0%
Marius Söderbäck0%
Jakob Kindberg0%
Vilmer Tyren0%
Zakarias Ravik0%
Fabian Bjorklund0%
Djurgardens IF
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mikael Anderson50%
Kristian Stromland Lien47%
Patric Åslund26%
Bo Åsulv Hegland26%
J. Okkels16%
Nino Žugelj14%
Oskar Fallenius13%
M. Tenho11%
M. Marques10%
Joel Asoro8%
Hampus Finndell7%
A. Ståhl7%
P. Johansson6%
J. Rinne0%
J. Une-Larsson0%
D. Stensson0%
Leon Hien0%
M. Larsson0%
M. Siltanen0%
P. Langhoff0%
Ahmed Saeed0%
Christos Almyras0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
M. Tenho28%
M. Marques20%
Leon Hien20%
M. Larsson19%
Joel Asoro17%
M. Siltanen16%
J. Une-Larsson14%
Hampus Finndell13%
A. Ståhl13%
P. Langhoff11%
Oskar Fallenius7%
P. Johansson6%
Bo Åsulv Hegland5%
J. Rinne0%
J. Okkels0%
Mikael Anderson0%
Kristian Stromland Lien0%
Nino Žugelj0%
Patric Åslund0%
D. Stensson0%
Ahmed Saeed0%
Christos Almyras0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bo Åsulv Hegland42%
Mikael Anderson25%
Oskar Fallenius20%
P. Johansson17%
Kristian Stromland Lien16%
M. Larsson12%
M. Marques10%
Hampus Finndell7%
A. Ståhl7%
J. Rinne6%
J. Okkels5%
Patric Åslund5%
M. Siltanen5%
Joel Asoro0%
J. Une-Larsson0%
M. Tenho0%
Nino Žugelj0%
D. Stensson0%
Leon Hien0%
P. Langhoff0%
Ahmed Saeed0%
Christos Almyras0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kristian Stromland Lien42%
Oskar Fallenius33%
Bo Åsulv Hegland32%
Mikael Anderson25%
Patric Åslund16%
M. Larsson6%
J. Okkels5%
J. Rinne0%
Joel Asoro0%
J. Une-Larsson0%
Hampus Finndell0%
P. Johansson0%
A. Ståhl0%
M. Tenho0%
Nino Žugelj0%
D. Stensson0%
M. Marques0%
Leon Hien0%
M. Siltanen0%
P. Langhoff0%
Ahmed Saeed0%
Christos Almyras0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MF (28)
€35m
HF (22)
€35m
SIR (24)
€28m
DI (22)
€27m
MA (24)
€26m
AS (27)
€21m
IG (25)
€18m
IE (26)
€17m
BH (22)
€16m
GAI (29)
€13m
KF (21)
€10m
VSF (24)
€10m
IB (25)
€9m
HAL (20)
€8m
OI (26)
€8m
DI (23)
€6m
Kalmar FF's squad is €17m less valuable than Djurgardens IF's (€10m vs €27m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (10)
€18m
HF (9)
€13m
MF (8)
€12m
IG (9)
€8m
AS (7)
€8m
DI (6)
€8m
MA (9)
€7m
BH (4)
€6m
IE (9)
€5m
GAI (10)
€5m
KF (8)
€4m
HAL (7)
€4m
IB (10)
€3m
VSF (8)
€3m
OI (7)
€2m
DI (5)
€1m
Kalmar FF's attack is €3m less valuable than Djurgardens IF's (€4m vs €8m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DI (6)
€14m
HF (4)
€11m
MF (7)
€11m
MA (6)
€11m
AS (9)
€7m
SIR (5)
€5m
IE (5)
€4m
IG (4)
€3m
GAI (8)
€3m
BH (6)
€3m
VSF (6)
€3m
DI (7)
€3m
KF (5)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
IB (4)
€2m
HAL (4)
€1m
Kalmar FF's midfield is €11m less valuable than Djurgardens IF's (€2m vs €14m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MF (13)
€12m
HF (9)
€10m
MA (9)
€8m
IE (12)
€7m
BH (12)
€7m
DI (10)
€6m
AS (11)
€6m
IG (12)
€6m
GAI (11)
€5m
OI (12)
€4m
SIR (9)
€4m
IB (11)
€4m
VSF (10)
€4m
KF (8)
€3m
HAL (9)
€3m
DI (11)
€3m
Kalmar FF's defence is €3m less valuable than Djurgardens IF's (€3m vs €6m).
Sweden: Allsvenskan 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Allsvenskan stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Sirius
Hammarby FF
IF Elfsborg
BK Hacken
AIK Stockholm
Malmo FF
Vasteras SK FK
Gais
IF Brommapojkarna
IFK Goteborg
Mjallby AIF
Degerfors IF
Orgryte IS
Halmstad