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Kalmar FF vs Mjallby AIF Result & Analysis

Date: 25/07/2026
Time: 15:30
Final 2-1
Kalmar FF
Kalmar FF
Vs
31%
27%
42%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Mjallby AIF
Mjallby AIF
Sweden: Allsvenskan
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Kalmar FF a 31% win probability against Mjallby AIF in the Sweden: Allsvenskan on 2026-07-25, with 27% for the draw and 42% for Mjallby AIF. The model estimates around 2.9 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (24%) and 1-1 the most likely scoreline (12.6%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Over 1.5 (80%).

Results analysis

Kalmar FF finished 2-1 against Mjallby AIF (Home win). Pythia had modelled a 31% home win, 27% draw and 42% away win. Picks that landed: Over 1.5 (80%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kalmar FF win✓ Hit
31.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Mjallby AIF win✗ Miss
42.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Kalmar FFKalmar FF

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D21W23L20W01L21W03L30W02L22DH·IFK23/04H·IF 27/04A·SIR02/05H·HAL10/05A·IF 17/05H·DEG23/05A·GAI30/05H·ORG05/07A·HAM12/07H·MAL20/07
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.001.940.881.001.14
vs Stronger (3)1.332.332.002.001.002.50
vs Similar (15)1.401.071.890.890.671.33
vs Weaker (12)1.670.582.000.671.330.50
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Mjallby AIF) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Mjallby AIFMjallby AIF

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D20W32W41W01L11D11D44D12L00DA·GAI23/04H·HAL27/04A·MAL03/05A·DEG09/05H·BK 17/05A·IF 21/05A·IFK25/05A·SIR03/07H·AIK11/07H·VAS17/07
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.630.801.270.672.000.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)1.471.061.110.671.881.50
vs Weaker (13)1.850.461.500.672.140.29
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Kalmar FF) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%013%124%222%316%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.9%
Under 1.5
20.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
55.8%
Under 2.5
44.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.4%
Under 3.5
66.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
59.7%
No
40.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.6%
1-2
9.0%
2-1 ✓
7.6%
0-1
7.4%
0-2
6.8%
0-0
6.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-2
6.0%
Kalmar FF goals ↓
Mjallby AIF goals →
01234
06.6%7.4%6.8%3.6%1.4%
16.1%13%9.0%4.8%1.9%
24.8%7.6%6.0%3.2%1.3%
32.1%3.4%2.7%1.4%0.6%
40.7%1.1%0.9%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kalmar FF goals (down), columns = Mjallby AIF goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sirius
2.47
Hammarby FF
1.94
BK Hacken
1.65
AIK Stockholm
1.65
Djurgardens IF
1.62
IF Elfsborg
1.59
Malmo FF
1.53
Vasteras SK FK
1.47
Gais
1.35
Mjallby AIF
1.25
IF Brommapojkarna
1.24
IFK Goteborg
1.12
Kalmar FF
1.06
Degerfors IF
0.94
Orgryte IS
0.76
Halmstad
0.41
Kalmar FF is 0.19 points worse than Mjallby AIF in terms of average points per game (1.06 vs 1.25).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sirius
2.76
Hammarby FF
2.35
Djurgardens IF
2.12
Malmo FF
1.88
BK Hacken
1.71
Mjallby AIF
1.50
AIK Stockholm
1.47
IF Brommapojkarna
1.47
Vasteras SK FK
1.47
IF Elfsborg
1.41
IFK Goteborg
1.29
Kalmar FF
1.24
Gais
1.24
Orgryte IS
1.24
Degerfors IF
1.00
Halmstad
0.65
Kalmar FF is 0.26 goals worse than Mjallby AIF in terms of goals scored per game (1.24 vs 1.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Hammarby FF
0.88
Gais
0.94
IF Elfsborg
1.06
Djurgardens IF
1.19
Sirius
1.35
Mjallby AIF
1.44
AIK Stockholm
1.47
BK Hacken
1.53
IF Brommapojkarna
1.59
Malmo FF
1.59
Degerfors IF
1.59
Kalmar FF
1.65
Vasteras SK FK
1.88
Halmstad
2.00
IFK Goteborg
2.24
Orgryte IS
2.35
Kalmar FF is 0.21 goals worse than Mjallby AIF in terms of goals conceded per game (1.65 vs 1.44).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Hammarby FF
61%
Malmo FF
57%
Djurgardens IF
57%
Mjallby AIF
54%
AIK Stockholm
52%
BK Hacken
52%
IFK Goteborg
51%
Gais
51%
Sirius
48%
Vasteras SK FK
47%
IF Elfsborg
47%
IF Brommapojkarna
47%
Degerfors IF
47%
Kalmar FF
46%
Orgryte IS
43%
Halmstad
40%
Kalmar FF is 7.8 percentage points worse than Mjallby AIF in terms of average possession (46% vs 54%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Kalmar FFKalmar FF

For 4.6 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.7

🚩 Corners

150251544386834123661385768111471512413H·MALA·HAMH·ORGA·GAIH·DEGA·IF H·HALA·SIRH·IF H·IFK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 2.3 · Total 3.3

🟨 Cards

703211212421313433213343473H·MALA·HAMH·ORGA·GAIH·DEGA·IF H·HALA·SIRH·IF H·IFK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 11.0 · Total 21.6

⚠️ Fouls

260815111261361010131310910206151181023231916232319262618H·MALA·HAMH·ORGA·GAIH·DEGA·IF H·HALA·SIRH·IF H·IFK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Mjallby AIFMjallby AIF

For 4.7 · Against 4.6 · Total 9.3

🚩 Corners

14011352383234575325852714711571287139H·VASH·AIKA·SIRA·IFKA·IF H·BK A·DEGA·MALH·HALA·GAI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.7

🟨 Cards

9033413631232111126419453122H·VASH·AIKA·SIRA·IFKA·IF H·BK A·DEGA·MALH·HALA·GAI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 12.7 · Total 24.6

⚠️ Fouls

33091615131361214111014191216161291181025281926213328282018H·VASH·AIKA·SIRA·IFKA·IF H·BK A·DEGA·MALH·HALA·GAI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Kalmar FFKalmar FF

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.010.69.32.32.42.322.822.722.9
vs Stronger (5)7.26.08.02.63.52.025.426.025.0
vs Similar (26)9.810.39.42.82.72.823.224.422.0
vs Weaker (19)11.512.310.01.61.71.621.119.623.8
% over line46%56%35%32%28%36%57%56%59%
% under line54%44%65%68%72%64%43%44%41%
This opponent (Mjallby AIF) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Mjallby AIFMjallby AIF

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.511.110.03.73.93.625.225.325.2
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (28)11.111.510.73.74.33.225.126.423.9
vs Weaker (22)9.810.68.93.73.44.125.524.227.0
% over line60%68%52%56%64%48%72%76%68%
% under line40%32%48%44%36%52%28%24%32%
This opponent (Kalmar FF) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
IFK Goteborg
11.4
Sirius
11.1
Orgryte IS
10.9
AIK Stockholm
10.8
IF Brommapojkarna
10.7
BK Hacken
10.6
Vasteras SK FK
10.5
Mjallby AIF
10.5
Djurgardens IF
10.5
Gais
10.2
Malmo FF
10.2
Degerfors IF
10.2
Kalmar FF
10.1
Hammarby FF
10.0
IF Elfsborg
10.0
Halmstad
9.8

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Djurgardens IF
4.7
IFK Goteborg
4.4
BK Hacken
4.4
AIK Stockholm
4.2
Degerfors IF
3.8
Gais
3.8
Mjallby AIF
3.8
IF Brommapojkarna
3.6
Hammarby FF
3.6
Malmo FF
3.6
IF Elfsborg
3.5
Vasteras SK FK
3.5
Halmstad
3.4
Kalmar FF
3.4
Sirius
3.3
Orgryte IS
3.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
IFK Goteborg
26.6
Djurgardens IF
26.1
Sirius
25.3
Mjallby AIF
25.2
Hammarby FF
25.0
Degerfors IF
24.9
Gais
24.8
Malmo FF
24.8
Vasteras SK FK
24.5
BK Hacken
24.2
AIK Stockholm
24.1
IF Brommapojkarna
24.1
Halmstad
23.9
IF Elfsborg
23.8
Kalmar FF
23.4
Orgryte IS
21.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
55.1%
Under 9.5
44.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
43.8%
Under 3.5
56.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
65.6%
Under 21.5
34.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🔢 6. Odd / Even

🥅 7. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 8. Handicap

🔥 9. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.579.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 10. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MF (24)
€30m
DI (22)
€27m
SIR (23)
€27m
MA (24)
€26m
AS (25)
€20m
IE (26)
€17m
IG (22)
€16m
BH (22)
€16m
GAI (29)
€13m
KF (20)
€10m
VSF (24)
€10m
OI (26)
€8m
IB (24)
€8m
HAL (19)
€8m
DI (23)
€6m
Kalmar FF's squad is €16m less valuable than Mjallby AIF's (€10m vs €26m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (10)
€18m
MF (6)
€9m
AS (7)
€8m
IG (8)
€8m
DI (6)
€8m
MA (9)
€7m
BH (4)
€6m
IE (9)
€5m
GAI (10)
€5m
KF (8)
€4m
HAL (7)
€4m
IB (10)
€3m
VSF (8)
€3m
OI (7)
€2m
DI (5)
€1m
Kalmar FF's attack is €2m less valuable than Mjallby AIF's (€4m vs €7m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DI (6)
€14m
MA (6)
€11m
MF (5)
€8m
AS (9)
€7m
SIR (5)
€5m
IE (5)
€4m
IG (4)
€3m
GAI (8)
€3m
BH (6)
€3m
VSF (6)
€3m
DI (7)
€3m
KF (4)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
HAL (3)
€1m
IB (3)
€1m
Kalmar FF's midfield is €9m less valuable than Mjallby AIF's (€2m vs €11m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MF (13)
€12m
MA (9)
€8m
IE (12)
€7m
BH (12)
€7m
DI (10)
€6m
GAI (11)
€5m
IG (10)
€5m
AS (9)
€5m
OI (12)
€4m
IB (11)
€4m
SIR (8)
€4m
VSF (10)
€4m
KF (8)
€3m
HAL (9)
€3m
DI (11)
€3m
Kalmar FF's defence is €5m less valuable than Mjallby AIF's (€3m vs €8m).

🤝 11. Games History

Head-to-head

Kalmar FF vs Mjallby AIF · H/A from KF
DateH/AGameScore
20/10/24HKF Vs Mjallby AIF0-3
29/04/24AMjallby AIF Vs KF3-2
03/09/23HKF Vs Mjallby AIF0-2
03/07/23AMjallby AIF Vs KF1-1
20/10/22HKF Vs Mjallby AIF1-2
28/05/22AMjallby AIF Vs KF1-1

Kalmar FFKalmar FF

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/07/26HKF Vs Malmo FF2-2
12/07/26AHammarby FF Vs KF2-0
05/07/26HKF Vs Orgryte IS3-0
30/05/26AGais Vs KF3-0
23/05/26HKF Vs Degerfors IF2-1
17/05/26AIF Brommapojkarna Vs KF1-0
10/05/26HKF Vs Halmstad2-0
02/05/26ASirius Vs KF3-2
27/04/26HKF Vs IF Elfsborg2-1
23/04/26HKF Vs IFK Goteborg1-1

Mjallby AIFMjallby AIF

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/07/26HMA Vs Vasteras SK FK0-0
11/07/26HMA Vs AIK Stockholm1-2
03/07/26ASirius Vs MA4-4
25/05/26AIFK Goteborg Vs MA1-1
21/05/26AIF Elfsborg Vs MA1-1
17/05/26HMA Vs BK Hacken0-1
09/05/26ADegerfors IF Vs MA1-4
03/05/26AMalmo FF Vs MA2-3
27/04/26HMA Vs Halmstad2-0
23/04/26AGais Vs MA0-0

📊 12. Overall Statistics

Kalmar FF
Kalmar FF
Sweden: Allsvenskan
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLD1.74
HomeWWWWD2.16
AwayLLLLL1.32
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%68%28%
AVG goals2.542.802.28
Over 1.5 %74%84%64%
Over 2.5 %48%56%40%
Over 3.5 %30%28%32%
Scored1.521.801.24
Conceded1.021.001.04
BTTS48%48%48%
Clean Sheet40%44%36%
Corners9.9710.619.29
Cards3.413.283.56
Mjallby AIF
Mjallby AIF
Sweden: Allsvenskan
Recent: 3 Wins / 5 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDDLD2.08
HomeWWLLD2.08
AwayWWDDD2.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%60%60%
AVG goals2.522.082.96
Over 1.5 %78%72%84%
Over 2.5 %42%28%56%
Over 3.5 %20%8%32%
Scored1.701.441.96
Conceded0.820.641.00
BTTS52%48%56%
Clean Sheet40%44%36%
Corners10.5211.089.96
Cards3.804.043.56

🏆 13. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SiriusSirius1742
76%
2.5
4723+24
4.1
100%
82%
59%
10.7
76%
3.1
53%
25.5
82%
27
18542.81.4
48%
2Hammarby FFHammarby FF1733
59%
1.9
4015+25
3.2
94%
59%
29%
9.1
41%
2.8
29%
24.7
71%
0
0002.40.9
61%
3BK HackenBK Hacken1728
41%
1.6
2926+3
3.2
82%
53%
41%
11.1
65%
4.2
59%
26.3
76%
16
6371.71.5
52%
4AIK StockholmAIK Stockholm1728
47%
1.6
2525+0
2.9
82%
65%
24%
10.3
41%
4.4
71%
24.5
71%
20
8751.51.5
52%
5IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg1727
41%
1.6
2418+6
2.5
82%
47%
18%
8.9
41%
3.8
53%
21.6
53%
17
5471.41.1
47%
6Djurgardens IFDjurgardens IF1626
50%
1.6
3419+15
3.3
69%
62%
44%
11.2
69%
3.6
44%
23.4
62%
27
81462.11.2
57%
7Malmo FFMalmo FF1726
47%
1.5
3227+5
3.5
76%
71%
53%
10.3
47%
4.1
65%
27.5
88%
30
98121.91.6
57%
8Vasteras SK FKVasteras SK FK1725
41%
1.5
2532-7
3.4
76%
59%
41%
9.9
59%
3.7
47%
26.7
100%
10
3341.51.9
47%
9GaisGais1723
35%
1.4
2116+5
2.2
71%
35%
18%
10.1
59%
3.5
41%
23.9
65%
13
5351.20.9
51%
10IF BrommapojkarnaIF Brommapojkarna1721
29%
1.2
2527-2
3.1
94%
76%
35%
10.3
59%
3.2
35%
22.2
53%
8
3141.51.6
47%
11Mjallby AIFMjallby AIF1620
31%
1.2
2423+1
2.9
75%
50%
25%
9.1
38%
3.9
62%
25.6
62%
26
71181.51.4
54%
12IFK GoteborgIFK Goteborg1719
29%
1.1
2238-16
3.5
94%
59%
41%
11.5
71%
3.9
41%
24.3
71%
16
8351.32.2
51%
13Kalmar FFKalmar FF1718
29%
1.1
2128-7
2.9
82%
59%
29%
10.4
53%
3.3
35%
23.6
59%
10
4231.21.6
46%
14Degerfors IFDegerfors IF1716
24%
0.9
1727-10
2.6
82%
53%
18%
9.7
41%
3.6
41%
26.1
71%
6
1331.01.6
47%
15Orgryte ISOrgryte IS1713
18%
0.8
2140-19
3.6
94%
59%
41%
9.9
47%
3.1
47%
21.8
47%
8
2241.22.4
43%
16HalmstadHalmstad177
6%
0.4
1134-23
2.6
94%
35%
18%
10.6
59%
3.2
47%
23.1
47%
8
4130.62.0
40%
Sweden: Allsvenskan 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Allsvenskan stats & trends →

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