This opponent (Alaniya Vladikavkaz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
1.53
0.79
1.71
0.50
1.38
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
1.67
0.00
2.00
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (27)
0.67
1.52
0.85
1.69
0.50
1.36
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (KAMAZ) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.1%
Under 1.5
29.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
42.6%
Under 2.5
57.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.8%
Under 3.5
78.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.9%
No
52.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.8%
1-0
12.0%
0-0
10.5%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
4.6%
KAMAZ goals ↓
Alaniya Vladikavkaz goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
7.5%
4.1%
1.3%
0.3%
1
12%
14%
5.9%
1.9%
0.4%
2
9.5%
9.0%
4.3%
1.3%
0.3%
3
4.6%
4.3%
2.0%
0.6%
0.2%
4
1.6%
1.6%
0.7%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = KAMAZ goals (down), columns = Alaniya Vladikavkaz goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Baltika
2.03
Torpedo Moskva
1.91
Chernomorets
1.88
Ural
1.74
FC Sochi
1.68
Ska-khabarovsk
1.56
Rodina Moskva
1.47
Enisey
1.44
Rotor Volgograd
1.38
Arsenal Tula
1.21
FK Neftekhimik
1.12
Chayka
1.12
KAMAZ
1.12
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.03
FC UFA
1.03
FK Sokol Saratov
0.94
Tyumen
0.79
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
0.79
KAMAZ is 0.32 points better than Alaniya Vladikavkaz in terms of average points per game (1.12 vs 0.79).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Sochi
1.62
Torpedo Moskva
1.50
Chernomorets
1.50
Ural
1.47
Baltika
1.47
Ska-khabarovsk
1.29
Rodina Moskva
1.21
Enisey
1.06
Rotor Volgograd
0.94
FC UFA
0.94
FK Neftekhimik
0.91
Chayka
0.91
KAMAZ
0.91
Tyumen
0.88
Arsenal Tula
0.74
FK Sokol Saratov
0.74
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0.71
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
0.71
KAMAZ is 0.21 goals better than Alaniya Vladikavkaz in terms of goals scored per game (0.91 vs 0.71).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Baltika
0.53
Torpedo Moskva
0.74
Rotor Volgograd
0.76
Arsenal Tula
0.88
Rodina Moskva
0.91
Chernomorets
1.00
FC Sochi
1.00
KAMAZ
1.03
FK Neftekhimik
1.09
Ural
1.12
Enisey
1.15
Ska-khabarovsk
1.21
FK Sokol Saratov
1.21
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.24
Chayka
1.26
FC UFA
1.41
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
1.47
Tyumen
1.50
KAMAZ is 0.44 goals better than Alaniya Vladikavkaz in terms of goals conceded per game (1.03 vs 1.47).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
51%
Enisey
49%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
KAMAZ
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
For 2.5 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
For 2.0 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.3 · Total 3.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 5.0 · Against 9.0 · Total 14.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
KAMAZ
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.0
10.5
3.4
3.7
3.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (5)
-
-
-
2.8
4.7
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (45)
10.2
10.0
10.5
3.4
3.6
3.3
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
75%
100%
50%
50%
56%
44%
-
-
-
% under line
25%
0%
50%
50%
44%
56%
-
-
-
This opponent (Alaniya Vladikavkaz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.1
9.8
6.0
2.2
2.4
2.0
14.0
-
14.0
vs Stronger (3)
-
-
-
1.3
2.0
1.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (47)
8.1
9.8
6.0
2.3
2.5
2.1
14.0
-
14.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
29%
50%
0%
30%
28%
32%
0%
-
0%
% under line
71%
50%
100%
70%
72%
68%
100%
-
100%
This opponent (KAMAZ) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Arsenal Tula
12.5
Shinnik Yaroslavl
11.2
Ural
10.8
Chernomorets
10.4
Baltika
10.2
Rodina Moskva
10.0
KAMAZ
9.7
FK Neftekhimik
9.3
FC Sochi
9.1
FK Sokol Saratov
9.0
Enisey
8.9
FC UFA
8.7
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
8.2
Tyumen
7.2
Torpedo Moskva
6.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
KAMAZ
4.5
FC UFA
4.4
Ural
4.2
FC Sochi
4.1
Chernomorets
3.9
Chayka
3.8
Enisey
3.7
Torpedo Moskva
3.7
Baltika
3.7
Rodina Moskva
3.6
Rotor Volgograd
3.4
FK Neftekhimik
3.3
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3.3
Ska-khabarovsk
3.3
Tyumen
3.2
Arsenal Tula
3.1
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
3.0
FK Sokol Saratov
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Ural
24.8
Arsenal Tula
23.5
FC Sochi
23.1
Baltika
22.2
Enisey
14.0
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
14.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
39.0%
Under 9.5
61.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
52.2%
Under 3.5
47.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
2.9%
Under 21.5
97.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
KAMAZ
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.57
0.47
0.65
0.23
0.46
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (26)
0.42
0.65
0.53
0.73
0.27
0.55
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Alaniya Vladikavkaz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.27
0.83
0.36
1.00
0.19
0.69
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
0.67
0.00
0.00
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (27)
0.26
0.85
0.38
1.08
0.14
0.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (KAMAZ) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
KAMAZ over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KAMAZ over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KAMAZ over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alaniya Vladikavkaz over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alaniya Vladikavkaz over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alaniya Vladikavkaz over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
KAMAZ
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.47
0.76
0.35
0.38
0.62
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (26)
0.62
0.46
0.80
0.33
0.36
0.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Alaniya Vladikavkaz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.70
0.43
0.71
0.31
0.69
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (27)
0.41
0.67
0.46
0.62
0.36
0.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (KAMAZ) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
KAMAZ over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KAMAZ over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KAMAZ over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alaniya Vladikavkaz over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alaniya Vladikavkaz over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alaniya Vladikavkaz over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 23.5 fouls
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 21.5 fouls
97.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 19.5 fouls
92.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
82.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
81.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Russia: First League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: First League stats & trends →