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KAMAZ vs Chelyabinsk Result & Analysis

Date: 02/08/2025
Time: 14:30
Final 2-1
KAMAZ
KAMAZ
vs
Chelyabinsk
Chelyabinsk
Russia: First League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

KAMAZ win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Chelyabinsk win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

KAMAZKAMAZ

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L00D00D10W12L04L11D11D11D21WA·URA05/04H·ENI13/04A·FK 19/04H·ROD26/04A·SKA03/05H·ROT11/05H·ALA19/05A·TOR24/05A·ARS19/07A·VOL26/07
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.101.121.060.791.14
vs Stronger (2)0.500.500.500.50--
vs Similar (28)1.001.141.211.140.791.14
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelyabinsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ChelyabinskChelyabinsk

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D10W02L32W10WA·IRT21/08H·CHE04/09H·TYU24/09A·TOR20/07H·ROT26/07
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.000.670.672.001.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)1.251.000.670.673.002.00
vs Weaker (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
Clean sheet %40% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (KAMAZ) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
0.0%
No
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Rodina Moskva
2.00
Fakel
2.00
Ural
1.79
Rotor Volgograd
1.65
Spartak Kostroma
1.44
Enisey
1.44
KAMAZ
1.44
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.41
Torpedo Moskva
1.35
Chelyabinsk
1.29
FK Neftekhimik
1.26
Ska-khabarovsk
1.18
Arsenal Tula
1.15
FC UFA
1.12
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.09
Chernomorets
1.03
FK Sokol Saratov
0.76
Chayka
0.65
KAMAZ is 0.15 points better than Chelyabinsk in terms of average points per game (1.44 vs 1.29).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Rodina Moskva
1.71
Ural
1.50
Rotor Volgograd
1.38
Spartak Kostroma
1.35
KAMAZ
1.35
Fakel
1.29
Chelyabinsk
1.24
Arsenal Tula
1.24
FK Neftekhimik
1.18
Torpedo Moskva
1.09
Enisey
1.09
Chernomorets
1.09
Ska-khabarovsk
1.03
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.03
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.00
FC UFA
0.97
Chayka
0.88
FK Sokol Saratov
0.47
KAMAZ is 0.12 goals better than Chelyabinsk in terms of goals scored per game (1.35 vs 1.24).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Fakel
0.65
Rotor Volgograd
0.76
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0.82
Rodina Moskva
0.82
Ural
0.91
KAMAZ
1.00
Enisey
1.03
FC UFA
1.12
Torpedo Moskva
1.15
Chelyabinsk
1.18
Spartak Kostroma
1.21
FK Neftekhimik
1.21
Arsenal Tula
1.29
FK Sokol Saratov
1.29
Ska-khabarovsk
1.36
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.41
Chernomorets
1.44
Chayka
2.24
KAMAZ is 0.18 goals better than Chelyabinsk in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.18).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Fakel
53%
FK Neftekhimik
51%
Arsenal Tula
50%
Enisey
50%
Ska-khabarovsk
50%
Spartak Kostroma
49%
Torpedo Moskva
48%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

KAMAZKAMAZ

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.
For 3.4 · Against 1.8 · Total 5.2

🟨 Cards

100822231142143243314210445345746A·VOLA·ARSA·TORH·ALAH·ROTA·SKAH·RODA·FK H·ENIA·URA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

ChelyabinskChelyabinsk

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.
For 2.0 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.5

🟨 Cards

704370H·ROTA·TOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

KAMAZKAMAZ

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.310.010.53.43.73.1---
vs Stronger (5)---2.84.70.0---
vs Similar (45)10.310.010.53.53.53.4---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line67%100%50%50%56%44%---
% under line33%0%50%50%44%56%---
This opponent (Chelyabinsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ChelyabinskChelyabinsk

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (5)---1.42.30.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (4)---1.82.30.0---
vs Weaker (1)---0.0-0.0---
% over line---20%33%0%---
% under line---80%67%100%---
This opponent (KAMAZ) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Arsenal Tula
12.5
Shinnik Yaroslavl
10.8
Chernomorets
10.6
Ural
10.2
KAMAZ
10.1
Rodina Moskva
9.5
FK Sokol Saratov
9.2
Fakel
9.2
FC UFA
8.7
FK Neftekhimik
8.2
Enisey
7.8
Torpedo Moskva
6.5
Volga Ulyanovsk
6.3

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Volga Ulyanovsk
5.3
Fakel
5.2
Spartak Kostroma
4.5
KAMAZ
4.4
FC UFA
4.3
Ural
4.3
Chayka
4.0
Chernomorets
3.9
Enisey
3.8
Rotor Volgograd
3.6
Torpedo Moskva
3.5
Chelyabinsk
3.5
Rodina Moskva
3.4
Ska-khabarovsk
3.4
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3.3
Arsenal Tula
3.2
FK Neftekhimik
3.2
FK Sokol Saratov
3.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Fakel
27.4
Ural
25.1
Arsenal Tula
23.5
Enisey
14.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
43.3%
Under 9.5
56.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
48.8%
Under 3.5
51.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
2.9%
Under 21.5
97.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

KAMAZKAMAZ

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D00D00D00D03L00D01L00D21WA·URA05/04H·ENI13/04A·FK 19/04H·ROD26/04A·SKA03/05H·ROT11/05H·ALA19/05A·TOR24/05A·ARS19/07A·VOL26/07
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.630.310.690.360.57
vs Stronger (2)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (28)0.360.680.360.790.360.57
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelyabinsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ChelyabinskChelyabinsk

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D01L21W00DA·IRT21/08H·CHE04/09H·TYU24/09A·TOR20/07H·ROT26/07
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.400.000.331.000.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)0.500.500.000.332.001.00
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (KAMAZ) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
KAMAZ over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KAMAZ over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KAMAZ over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelyabinsk over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelyabinsk over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelyabinsk over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

KAMAZKAMAZ

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D00D10W12L01L11D10W11D00DA·URA05/04H·ENI13/04A·FK 19/04H·ROD26/04A·SKA03/05H·ROT11/05H·ALA19/05A·TOR24/05A·ARS19/07A·VOL26/07
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.470.810.380.430.57
vs Stronger (2)0.500.500.500.50--
vs Similar (28)0.640.460.860.360.430.57
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelyabinsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ChelyabinskChelyabinsk

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-111D10W01L11D10WA·IRT21/08H·CHE04/09H·TYU24/09A·TOR20/07H·ROT26/07
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.600.670.331.001.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)0.750.500.670.331.001.00
vs Weaker (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
Clean sheet %40% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (KAMAZ) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
KAMAZ over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KAMAZ over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KAMAZ over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelyabinsk over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelyabinsk over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelyabinsk over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls99.7%--------
Under 23.5 fouls99.1%--------
Under 21.5 fouls97.1%--------
Under 19.5 fouls92.3%--------
Under 5.5 cards84.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners78.8%--------
Under 4.5 cards70.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards70.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (26)
€17m
FAK (26)
€14m
URA (21)
€11m
TM (23)
€11m
RV (25)
€9m
CHE (23)
€9m
AT (26)
€8m
SK (27)
€8m
SKA (27)
€6m
VU (24)
€6m
SY (24)
€6m
ENI (24)
€6m
FU (25)
€5m
KAM (24)
€5m
FN (25)
€5m
KAMAZ's squad is €4m less valuable than Chelyabinsk's (€5m vs €9m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (11)
€7m
TM (10)
€5m
FAK (10)
€5m
URA (8)
€4m
CHE (9)
€4m
AT (8)
€3m
RV (7)
€3m
SK (8)
€3m
VU (9)
€2m
ENI (7)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
SY (9)
€2m
KAM (9)
€2m
FN (9)
€2m
FU (7)
€2m
KAMAZ's attack is €2m less valuable than Chelyabinsk's (€2m vs €4m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (4)
€3m
URA (4)
€2m
RV (7)
€2m
AT (8)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
FAK (4)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
ENI (5)
€2m
SK (7)
€2m
SY (5)
€1m
TM (4)
€1m
VU (5)
€1m
CHE (2)
€1m
FN (5)
€1m
KAM (4)
€1m
KAMAZ and Chelyabinsk have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAK (12)
€7m
RM (11)
€7m
URA (9)
€4m
TM (9)
€4m
SK (12)
€4m
RV (11)
€4m
CHE (12)
€3m
AT (10)
€3m
VU (10)
€3m
SKA (11)
€3m
SY (10)
€2m
KAM (11)
€2m
FN (11)
€2m
ENI (12)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
KAMAZ's defence is €1m less valuable than Chelyabinsk's (€2m vs €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
KAM wins
0
Draws
0
CHE wins

Head-to-head

KAMAZ vs Chelyabinsk · H/A from KAM
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

KAMAZKAMAZ

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/07/25AVolga Ulyanovsk Vs KAM1-2
19/07/25AArsenal Tula Vs KAM1-1
24/05/25ATorpedo Moskva Vs KAM1-1
19/05/25HKAM Vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz1-1
11/05/25HKAM Vs Rotor Volgograd0-4
03/05/25ASka-khabarovsk Vs KAM2-1
26/04/25HKAM Vs Rodina Moskva1-0
19/04/25AFK Neftekhimik Vs KAM0-0
13/04/25HKAM Vs Enisey0-0
05/04/25AUral Vs KAM2-1

ChelyabinskChelyabinsk

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/07/25HCHE Vs Rotor Volgograd1-0
20/07/25ATorpedo Moskva Vs CHE2-3
24/09/24HCHE Vs Tyumen0-2
04/09/24HCHE Vs Chertanovo Moscow1-0
21/08/24AIrtysh Omsk Vs CHE1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

KAMAZ
KAMAZ
Russia: First League
Recent: 2 Wins / 5 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDDW1.14
HomeWDWLD1.56
AwayDLDDW0.72
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%44%16%
AVG goals2.022.321.72
Over 1.5 %60%64%56%
Over 2.5 %38%48%28%
Over 3.5 %12%24%0%
Scored0.921.240.60
Conceded1.101.081.12
BTTS44%48%40%
Clean Sheet28%36%20%
Corners10.3310.0010.50
Cards4.254.384.11
Chelyabinsk
Chelyabinsk
Russia: First League
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLWW2.00
HomeWLW2.00
AwayDW2.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%67%50%
AVG goals2.201.333.50
Over 1.5 %60%33%100%
Over 2.5 %20%0%50%
Over 3.5 %20%0%50%
Scored1.200.672.00
Conceded1.000.671.50
BTTS40%0%100%
Clean Sheet40%67%0%
Corners---
Cards3.507.000.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva3468
56%
2.0
5828+30
2.5
79%
44%
29%
-
0%
3.7
48%
-
0%
17
7371.70.8
-
2FakelFakel3468
59%
2.0
4422+22
1.9
56%
29%
18%
8.0
50%
4.0
64%
-
0%
14
5271.30.6
53%
3UralUral3461
53%
1.8
5131+20
2.4
71%
38%
21%
-
0%
3.2
38%
-
0%
11
4241.50.9
-
4Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd3456
44%
1.6
4726+21
2.1
65%
38%
18%
-
0%
4.7
67%
-
0%
9
3241.40.8
-
5KAMAZKAMAZ3449
35%
1.4
4634+12
2.4
74%
38%
21%
-
0%
5.3
86%
-
0%
5
2121.41.0
-
6Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma3449
35%
1.4
4641+5
2.6
79%
44%
21%
9.0
0%
4.0
55%
-
0%
8
3241.41.2
49%
7EniseyEnisey3449
38%
1.4
3735+2
2.1
59%
32%
18%
6.0
0%
3.1
43%
32.0
100%
6
2221.11.0
50%
8Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl3448
32%
1.4
3428+6
1.8
56%
29%
15%
-
0%
2.5
29%
-
0%
6
2121.00.8
-
9Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva3446
35%
1.4
3739-2
2.2
68%
29%
21%
8.5
50%
3.4
41%
32.0
100%
11
5141.11.1
48%
10ChelyabinskChelyabinsk3444
29%
1.3
4240+2
2.4
68%
44%
26%
-
0%
4.4
62%
-
0%
9
4131.21.2
-
11FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik3443
29%
1.3
4041-1
2.4
71%
35%
29%
9.0
0%
3.2
41%
-
0%
5
2121.21.2
51%
12Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula3439
24%
1.1
4244-2
2.5
79%
50%
26%
11.0
100%
4.2
50%
-
0%
8
3231.21.3
50%
13Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk3339
27%
1.2
3445-11
2.4
79%
42%
21%
8.0
50%
3.6
41%
-
0%
6
2231.01.4
50%
14FC UFAFC UFA3337
27%
1.1
3237-5
2.1
55%
36%
24%
-
0%
4.6
76%
-
0%
5
2221.01.1
-
15Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk3437
26%
1.1
3548-13
2.4
71%
47%
21%
-
0%
4.5
57%
-
0%
6
2131.01.4
-
16ChernomoretsChernomorets3435
26%
1.0
3749-12
2.5
74%
44%
26%
-
0%
4.0
67%
-
0%
0
0001.11.4
-
17FK Sokol SaratovFK Sokol Saratov3426
15%
0.8
1644-28
1.8
53%
24%
15%
-
0%
4.8
67%
-
0%
0
0000.51.3
-
18ChaykaChayka3422
15%
0.6
3076-46
3.1
79%
56%
38%
-
0%
3.6
48%
-
0%
0
0000.92.2
-
Russia: First League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: First League stats & trends →

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