KAMAZ vs FC Sochi Result & Analysis

Date: 24/08/2026

Time: 14:30

Final 2-3

KAMAZ

26%

27%

47%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

FC Sochi

Russia: First League

Referee: -

1 Model Analysis 2 Goal Analysis 3 Team Strengths Analysis 4 Props Analysis 5 Double Chance 6 Home & Away Over/Under 7 Handicap 8 Half Time Goals O/U 9 Half Time Home & Away O/U 10 Second Half Goals O/U 11 Second Half Home & Away O/U

12 Top picks for this game 13 Player market rates 14 Squad value 15 Games History 16 Overall Statistics 17 League Table

Match preview & prediction

FC Sochi are tipped to win this encounter, with a 47 % chance of triumph, a 27 % chance of a draw and a 26 % chance of a KAMAZ victory. The match is expected to produce 2.9 goals on average, and the most probable total is two goals, with a 25 % probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, which the model assigns a 12.6 % chance. KAMAZ, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.6 goals scored and 1.07 conceded, while FC Sochi, on the road against a comparable side, averages 1.6 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.1 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (99.1 %), Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.8 %), Under 6.5 (97.3 %), Home under 3.5 goals (96.7 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (96.1 %), Away under 2.5 2H goals (93.1 %) and Under 5.5 (93.0 %).

Results analysis

The match saw FC Sochi extend their four-game winning run, securing a 3-2 victory over KAMAZ. The model’s favourite, an Away win, was correct, with a pre-match probability of 47 %. The final score of 2-3 matched the actual result, confirming the model’s prediction. The model’s selections performed exceptionally well: Under 7.5 hit with 99.1 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 99.1 %, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 97.8 %, Under 6.5 hit at 97.3 %, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 96.7 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 96.1 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 93.1 %, and Under 5.5 hit at 93.0 %. The model’s predictions were largely accurate, reinforcing confidence in its approach.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

KAMAZ win✗ Miss

26.3%

Avg Implied 23.8% · @ 3.87

Edge

+2.4%

Best 5 market prices

1xBet

4.16

Pinnacle

4.14

Marathonbet

4.05

Dafabet

3.80

Superbet

3.70

Draw✗ Miss

26.5%

Avg Implied 27.2% · @ 3.39

Edge

-0.7%

Best 5 market prices

1xBet

3.58

Pinnacle

3.56

Marathonbet

3.48

Dafabet

3.40

Superbet

3.35

FC Sochi win✓ Hit

47.2%

Avg Implied 49.0% · @ 1.88

Edge

-1.8%

Best 5 market prices

Superbet

1.92

Dafabet

1.90

1xBet

1.89

Pinnacle

1.88

SBO

1.86

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

KAMAZ

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.1

Avg scored

0.9

Avg conceded

1.2

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.27	1.03	1.56	1.12	0.93	0.93
vs Stronger (2)	0.50	1.00	1.00	2.00	0.00	0.00
vs Similar (28)	1.32	1.04	1.60	1.07	1.00	1.00
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	30% (-4pp vs league)

This opponent (FC Sochi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC Sochi

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.9

Avg scored

1.8

Avg conceded

1.1

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.30	1.77	1.33	1.67	1.27	1.87
vs Stronger (10)	0.80	2.60	1.00	3.17	0.50	1.75
vs Similar (18)	1.61	1.39	1.62	0.75	1.60	1.90
vs Weaker (2)	1.00	1.00	1.00	0.00	1.00	2.00
Clean sheet %	20% (-14pp vs league)

This opponent (KAMAZ) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).

Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

78.9%

@ 1.31+9.3%

Under 1.5

21.1%

@ 3.02-9.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.34

Superbet

1.31

Marathonbet

1.30

1xBet

1.30

Under

Pinnacle

3.20

Marathonbet

2.97

1xBet

2.97

Superbet

2.92

Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over

Over 2.5

54.3%

@ 2.06+8.6%

Under 2.5

45.7%

@ 1.73-8.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

2.09

Pinnacle

2.08

Marathonbet

2.05

Superbet

2.02

Under

1xBet

1.76

Pinnacle

1.75

Marathonbet

1.73

Superbet

1.69

Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over

Over 3.5

32.0%

@ 3.52+6.1%

Under 3.5

68.0%

@ 1.23-6.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

3.68

1xBet

3.50

Marathonbet

3.50

Superbet

3.40

Under

Pinnacle

1.27

Marathonbet

1.22

Superbet

1.22

1xBet

1.22

Both teams to scoreActual: Yes

Yes

57.6%

@ 1.88+8.5%

42.4%

@ 1.81-8.5%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

Superbet

1.92

Marathonbet

1.86

1xBet

1.86

1xBet

1.84

Marathonbet

1.82

Superbet

1.78

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

1-1

12.6%@ 5.95+5.3%

1-2

9.5%@ 7.97+4.1%

0-1

8.4%@ 5.95+1.2%

0-2

8.0%@ 7.94+2.5%

0-0

6.9%@ 8.49+1.8%

2-1

6.8%@ 13.25+3.5%

1-0

5.7%@ 9.71+1.3%

2-2

5.7%@ 15.04+2.8%

KAMAZ goals ↓

	FC Sochi goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.9%	8.4%	8.0%	4.4%	1.8%
1	5.7%	13%	9.5%	5.3%	2.2%
2	4.1%	6.8%	5.7%	3.1%	1.3%
3	1.6%	2.7%	2.2%	1.2%	0.5%
4	0.5%	0.8%	0.7%	0.4%	0.2%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = KAMAZ goals (down), columns = FC Sochi goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

FC Sochi

2.57

Nizhny Novgorod

2.29

Veles

2.14

Ural

2.00

FC UFA

1.83

Torpedo Moskva

1.67

Spartak Kostroma

1.50

Shinnik Yaroslavl

1.50

Rotor Volgograd

1.25

Volga Ulyanovsk

1.17

Enisey

1.17

FK Neftekhimik

1.12

Arsenal Tula

1.12

Leningradets

1.00

Tekstilshchik

0.71

KAMAZ

0.71

Chelyabinsk

0.67

Ska-khabarovsk

0.43

KAMAZ is 1.86 points worse than FC Sochi in terms of average points per game (0.71 vs 2.57).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

Nizhny Novgorod

3.00

FC Sochi

2.29

Ural

1.83

Torpedo Moskva

1.83

Veles

1.57

Enisey

1.50

Shinnik Yaroslavl

1.33

Rotor Volgograd

1.25

Volga Ulyanovsk

1.17

Spartak Kostroma

1.17

FC UFA

1.17

Chelyabinsk

1.00

KAMAZ

1.00

Arsenal Tula

0.88

Ska-khabarovsk

0.71

Leningradets

0.67

FK Neftekhimik

0.62

Tekstilshchik

0.29

KAMAZ is 1.29 goals worse than FC Sochi in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 2.29).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

Ural

0.50

Torpedo Moskva

0.67

Leningradets

0.83

Tekstilshchik

1.00

Rotor Volgograd

1.00

FC UFA

1.00

FC Sochi

1.00

Spartak Kostroma

1.17

Shinnik Yaroslavl

1.17

Enisey

1.33

Nizhny Novgorod

1.43

Veles

1.43

Volga Ulyanovsk

1.50

FK Neftekhimik

1.50

KAMAZ

1.57

Arsenal Tula

1.62

Ska-khabarovsk

2.00

Chelyabinsk

2.17

KAMAZ is 0.57 goals worse than FC Sochi in terms of goals conceded per game (1.57 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %

FC Sochi

54%

FK Neftekhimik

54%

Veles

54%

Volga Ulyanovsk

52%

Arsenal Tula

52%

Leningradets

50%

Nizhny Novgorod

50%

Chelyabinsk

50%

Tekstilshchik

49%

Spartak Kostroma

49%

Ska-khabarovsk

46%

FC UFA

46%

KAMAZ

46%

Ural

40%

KAMAZ is 8.5 percentage points worse than FC Sochi in terms of average possession (46% vs 54%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

KAMAZ

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

For 2.2 · Against 2.9 · Total 5.1

🟨 Cards

ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

FC Sochi

For 4.4 · Against 6.3 · Total 10.7

🚩 Corners

ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

For 2.6 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.9

🟨 Cards

ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

For 16.6 · Against 12.5 · Total 29.1

⚠️ Fouls

ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

KAMAZ

Split	Corners			Cards			Fouls
Split	Tot	Hme	Awy	Tot	Hme	Awy	Tot	Hme	Awy
Overall (50)	-	-	-	3.0	2.7	3.3	-	-	-
vs Stronger (3)	-	-	-	4.7	5.5	3.0	-	-	-
vs Similar (47)	-	-	-	2.9	2.5	3.3	-	-	-
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
% over line	-	-	-	50%	42%	58%	-	-	-
% under line	-	-	-	50%	58%	42%	-	-	-

This opponent (FC Sochi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC Sochi

Split	Corners			Cards			Fouls
Split	Tot	Hme	Awy	Tot	Hme	Awy	Tot	Hme	Awy
Overall (50)	9.2	10.2	8.3	3.9	4.0	3.8	27.1	26.1	28.0
vs Stronger (16)	10.5	11.2	9.8	3.9	4.2	3.6	26.8	25.2	28.5
vs Similar (31)	8.4	9.7	7.2	3.8	4.2	3.5	27.3	26.8	27.7
vs Weaker (3)	10.0	-	10.0	4.7	0.0	7.0	-	-	-
% over line	52%	62%	41%	58%	54%	62%	94%	93%	94%
% under line	48%	38%	59%	42%	46%	38%	6%	7%	6%

This opponent (KAMAZ) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game

Tekstilshchik

12.0

Arsenal Tula

11.0

Rotor Volgograd

11.0

Chelyabinsk

11.0

Spartak Kostroma

10.5

Nizhny Novgorod

10.5

FC Sochi

9.2

Veles

9.0

Ural

9.0

FC UFA

8.7

Torpedo Moskva

8.5

Leningradets

8.5

FK Neftekhimik

7.5

Ska-khabarovsk

7.2

Volga Ulyanovsk

6.3

Enisey

5.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game

Tekstilshchik

5.0

Nizhny Novgorod

4.5

Volga Ulyanovsk

4.5

KAMAZ

4.5

FC Sochi

4.4

Chelyabinsk

4.3

FC UFA

4.3

Veles

4.2

Spartak Kostroma

4.0

Arsenal Tula

3.9

Rotor Volgograd

3.8

Ural

3.8

Enisey

3.6

Ska-khabarovsk

3.6

Torpedo Moskva

3.5

Leningradets

3.4

FK Neftekhimik

3.1

Shinnik Yaroslavl

3.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game

Torpedo Moskva

32.0

Nizhny Novgorod

28.6

Rotor Volgograd

28.5

FC Sochi

27.1

Ural

26.8

Enisey

23.0

Corners O/U 9.5

Over 9.5

36.1%

@ 1.86-13.8%

Under 9.5

63.9%

@ 1.85+13.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.88

1xBet

1.86

Superbet

1.85

Marathonbet

1.84

Under

Pinnacle

1.88

Superbet

1.85

1xBet

1.84

Marathonbet

1.84

Cards O/U 3.5

Over 3.5

60.9%

Under 3.5

39.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Fouls O/U 21.5

Over 21.5

0.0%

Under 21.5

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

KAMAZ or Draw✗ Miss

52.8%

Avg Implied 49.7% · @ 1.85

Edge

+3.0%

26%

27%

47%

covers KAMAZ + Draw

Best 5 market prices

1xBet

1.91

Marathonbet

1.87

SBO

1.87

Superbet

1.77

KAMAZ or FC Sochi✓ Hit

73.5%

Avg Implied 73.5% · @ 1.25

Edge

-0.0%

26%

27%

47%

covers KAMAZ + FC Sochi

Best 5 market prices

1xBet

1.29

Marathonbet

1.27

Superbet

1.26

SBO

1.20

Draw or FC Sochi✓ Hit

73.7%

Avg Implied 76.7% · @ 1.20

Edge

-3.0%

26%

27%

47%

covers Draw + FC Sochi

Best 5 market prices

1xBet

1.23

Superbet

1.22

Marathonbet

1.21

SBO

1.15

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.

KAMAZ over/under 0.5Actual: Over

Over

69.6%

@ 1.51+8.5%

Under

30.4%

@ 2.38-8.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.54

Marathonbet

1.51

1xBet

1.51

Superbet

1.49

Under

Pinnacle

2.46

Superbet

2.37

Marathonbet

2.35

1xBet

2.35

KAMAZ over/under 1.5Actual: Over

Over

33.4%

@ 3.55+7.4%

Under

66.6%

@ 1.25-7.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

3.71

1xBet

3.62

Marathonbet

3.62

Superbet

3.25

Under

Superbet

1.25

1xBet

1.25

Marathonbet

1.25

Pinnacle

1.25

KAMAZ over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

11.9%

@ 9.17+1.9%

Under

88.1%

@ 1.01-1.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

9.90

Marathonbet

9.90

Superbet

7.70

Under

Superbet

1.02

1xBet

1.01

Marathonbet

1.01

KAMAZ over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

3.3%

Under

96.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

FC Sochi over/under 0.5Actual: Over

Over

81.0%

@ 1.20+4.2%

Under

19.0%

@ 3.97-4.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.21

Superbet

1.20

Marathonbet

1.19

1xBet

1.18

Under

1xBet

4.15

Marathonbet

4.05

Pinnacle

4.02

Superbet

3.65

FC Sochi over/under 1.5Actual: Over

Over

49.5%

@ 2.04+3.8%

Under

50.5%

@ 1.72-3.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

2.05

Pinnacle

2.04

1xBet

2.04

Marathonbet

2.04

Under

Pinnacle

1.75

1xBet

1.73

Marathonbet

1.73

Superbet

1.67

FC Sochi over/under 2.5Actual: Over

Over

23.3%

@ 4.20+1.5%

Under

76.7%

@ 1.17-1.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

4.30

Marathonbet

4.30

Superbet

4.00

Under

1xBet

1.17

Marathonbet

1.17

Superbet

1.16

FC Sochi over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

8.8%

@ 9.80-91.2%

Under

91.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

9.80

1xBet

9.80

Under

No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to KAMAZ, so a minus line means KAMAZ give that many goals of a start and FC Sochi receive them. At -1, KAMAZ must win by two or more to land; a one-goal KAMAZ win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.

Handicap -2 (KAMAZ)Actual: FC Sochi

KAMAZ -2

3.5%

Draw -2

7.6%

FC Sochi +2

88.9%

Best 5 market prices

Home

No market prices yet.

Draw

No market prices yet.

Away

No market prices yet.

Handicap -1 (KAMAZ)Actual: FC Sochi

KAMAZ -1

11.1%

@ 9.10+1.2%

Draw -1

15.2%

@ 5.50-1.1%

FC Sochi +1

73.7%

@ 1.21-0.2%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Marathonbet

9.10

Draw

Marathonbet

5.50

Away

Marathonbet

1.21

Handicap +1 (KAMAZ)Actual: Draw

KAMAZ +1

52.8%

@ 1.87+5.6%

Draw +1

21.6%

@ 3.40-4.3%

FC Sochi -1

25.6%

@ 3.28-1.3%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Marathonbet

1.87

Draw

Marathonbet

3.40

Away

Marathonbet

3.28

Handicap +2 (KAMAZ)Actual: KAMAZ

KAMAZ +2

74.4%

@ 1.25+3.2%

Draw +2

14.7%

@ 5.45-1.6%

FC Sochi -2

10.9%

@ 7.10-1.6%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Marathonbet

1.25

Draw

Marathonbet

5.45

Away

Marathonbet

7.10

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

KAMAZ

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

0.7

Avg scored

0.3

Avg conceded

0.4

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.60	0.47	0.69	0.44	0.50	0.50
vs Stronger (2)	0.50	0.00	1.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
vs Similar (28)	0.61	0.50	0.67	0.47	0.54	0.54
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	67% (+32pp vs league)

This opponent (FC Sochi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC Sochi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.2

Avg scored

0.9

Avg conceded

0.3

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.60	0.73	0.53	0.80	0.67	0.67
vs Stronger (10)	0.40	1.10	0.33	1.50	0.50	0.50
vs Similar (18)	0.78	0.61	0.75	0.38	0.80	0.80
vs Weaker (2)	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
Clean sheet %	50% (+16pp vs league)

This opponent (KAMAZ) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

71.0%

@ 1.41+5.4%

Under 0.5

29.0%

@ 2.69-5.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.42

1xBet

1.41

Marathonbet

1.41

Superbet

1.40

Under

Pinnacle

2.83

1xBet

2.66

Marathonbet

2.66

Superbet

2.60

Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

34.5%

@ 2.98+3.5%

Under 1.5

65.5%

@ 1.34-3.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

3.09

Marathonbet

2.98

1xBet

2.98

Superbet

2.85

Under

Pinnacle

1.36

Superbet

1.33

1xBet

1.33

Marathonbet

1.33

Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over

Over 2.5

14.2%

@ 7.17+1.6%

Under 2.5

85.8%

@ 1.03-1.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

7.50

Marathonbet

7.50

Superbet

6.50

Under

Superbet

1.04

Marathonbet

1.03

1xBet

1.03

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.

KAMAZ over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over

Over

36.7%

@ 2.63+1.6%

Under

63.3%

@ 1.42-1.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.78

Marathonbet

2.61

1xBet

2.61

Superbet

2.52

Under

Pinnacle

1.43

Marathonbet

1.42

Superbet

1.42

1xBet

1.42

KAMAZ over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over

Over

9.0%

@ 11.00+0.6%

Under

91.0%

@ 1.01-0.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

11.00

Marathonbet

11.00

Under

Marathonbet

1.01

1xBet

1.01

KAMAZ over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

0.9%

Under

99.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

FC Sochi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over

Over

58.2%

@ 1.86+8.4%

Under

41.8%

@ 1.84-8.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.87

Superbet

1.87

1xBet

1.85

Marathonbet

1.85

Under

Pinnacle

1.88

Superbet

1.83

Marathonbet

1.83

1xBet

1.83

FC Sochi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

19.4%

@ 5.70+3.2%

Under

80.6%

@ 1.10-3.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

5.70

1xBet

5.70

Under

Marathonbet

1.10

1xBet

1.10

FC Sochi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

3.9%

Under

96.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

KAMAZ

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.4

Avg scored

0.6

Avg conceded

0.8

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.67	0.57	0.88	0.69	0.43	0.43
vs Stronger (2)	0.00	1.00	0.00	2.00	0.00	0.00
vs Similar (28)	0.71	0.54	0.93	0.60	0.46	0.46
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	50% (+16pp vs league)

This opponent (FC Sochi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC Sochi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.7

Avg scored

0.9

Avg conceded

0.8

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.70	1.03	0.80	0.87	0.60	1.20
vs Stronger (10)	0.40	1.50	0.67	1.67	0.00	1.25
vs Similar (18)	0.83	0.78	0.88	0.38	0.80	1.10
vs Weaker (2)	1.00	1.00	1.00	0.00	1.00	2.00
Clean sheet %	33% (-1pp vs league)

This opponent (KAMAZ) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

79.5%

@ 1.24+6.2%

Under 0.5

20.5%

@ 3.39-6.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.24

Marathonbet

1.24

Superbet

1.24

Under

Marathonbet

3.44

1xBet

3.44

Superbet

3.30

Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

44.7%

@ 2.25+3.4%

Under 1.5

55.3%

@ 1.58-3.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

2.25

Marathonbet

2.25

1xBet

2.25

Under

Marathonbet

1.59

1xBet

1.59

Superbet

1.56

Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

18.8%

@ 4.83+0.0%

Under 2.5

81.2%

@ 1.12-0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

4.95

Marathonbet

4.95

Superbet

4.60

Under

Marathonbet

1.12

Superbet

1.12

1xBet

1.12

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.

KAMAZ over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under

Over

45.3%

@ 2.18+3.0%

Under

54.7%

@ 1.60-3.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

2.20

Marathonbet

2.18

Superbet

2.15

Under

Superbet

1.61

1xBet

1.59

Marathonbet

1.59

KAMAZ over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

12.4%

@ 7.70+0.4%

Under

87.6%

@ 1.04-0.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

7.80

1xBet

7.60

Under

Marathonbet

1.05

1xBet

1.04

KAMAZ over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

2.2%

Under

97.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

FC Sochi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over

Over

57.7%

@ 1.62+0.9%

Under

42.3%

@ 2.14-0.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

1.64

1xBet

1.61

Under

1xBet

2.18

Superbet

2.10

FC Sochi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over

Over

24.7%

@ 3.98+1.6%

Under

75.3%

@ 1.20-1.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

4.05

1xBet

3.90

Under

1xBet

1.20

Marathonbet

1.20

FC Sochi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

6.9%

Under

93.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Under 7.5	99.1%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals	99.1%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals	97.8%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Under 6.5	97.3%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals	96.7%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals	96.1%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals	93.1%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Under 5.5	93.0%	1.02	1xBet 1.02	-	-	-	-	-0.4%	✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals	91.2%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals	91.0%	1.01	Marathonbet 1.01	1xBet 1.01	-	-	-	-0.6%	✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap	88.9%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals	88.1%	1.01	Superbet 1.02	1xBet 1.01	Marathonbet 1.01	-	-	-1.9%	✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals	87.6%	1.04	Marathonbet 1.05	1xBet 1.04	-	-	-	-0.4%	✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals	85.8%	1.03	Superbet 1.04	Marathonbet 1.03	1xBet 1.03	-	-	-1.6%	✗ Miss
Under 4.5	83.9%	1.04	Superbet 1.05	1xBet 1.04	Marathonbet 1.04	-	-	-2.6%	✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners	83.9%	1.26	Marathonbet 1.27	1xBet 1.26	-	-	-	+12.4%	-
Under 2.5 2H goals	81.2%	1.12	Marathonbet 1.12	Superbet 1.12	1xBet 1.12	-	-	-0.0%	✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals	81.0%	1.20	Pinnacle 1.21	Superbet 1.20	Marathonbet 1.19	1xBet 1.18	-	+4.2%	✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals	80.6%	1.10	Marathonbet 1.10	1xBet 1.10	-	-	-	-3.2%	✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals	79.5%	1.24	1xBet 1.24	Marathonbet 1.24	Superbet 1.24	-	-	+6.2%	✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards	79.3%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Over 1.5	78.9%	1.31	Pinnacle 1.34	Superbet 1.31	Marathonbet 1.30	1xBet 1.30	-	+9.3%	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals	76.7%	1.17	1xBet 1.17	Marathonbet 1.17	Superbet 1.16	-	-	-1.5%	✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 2H goals	75.3%	1.20	1xBet 1.20	Marathonbet 1.20	-	-	-	-1.6%	✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners	75.1%	1.51	Superbet 1.55	Pinnacle 1.53	1xBet 1.50	Marathonbet 1.48	-	+14.3%	-
Under 5.5 cards	75.0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Home +2 handicap	74.4%	1.25	Marathonbet 1.25	-	-	-	-	+3.2%	✓ Hit
Draw or Away	73.7%	1.20	1xBet 1.23	Superbet 1.22	Marathonbet 1.21	SBO 1.15	-	-3.0%	✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap	73.7%	1.21	Marathonbet 1.21	-	-	-	-	-0.2%	✓ Hit
Home or Away	73.5%	1.25	1xBet 1.29	Marathonbet 1.27	Superbet 1.26	SBO 1.20	-	-0.0%	✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals	71.0%	1.41	Pinnacle 1.42	1xBet 1.41	Marathonbet 1.41	Superbet 1.40	-	+5.4%	✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

FC Sochi · 2025/26

Anytime goalscorer

Matches in which the player scored

Vladimir Iljin18%

Ignacio Saavedra17%

Martin Kramarič17%

François Kamano13%

Anton Zinkovskiy11%

Mikhail Ignatov8%

Dmitriy Vasiljev8%

Kirill Kravtsov6%

Marcelo Alves6%

Maksim Mukhin5%

Aleksandr Soldatenkov5%

Zakhar Fedorov5%

Kirill Zaika4%

Roman Ezhov0%

Vyacheslav Litvinov0%

Artem Makarchuk0%

Ruslan Magal0%

Yury Dyupin0%

Nemanja Stojić0%

Yahia Attiyat Allah0%

Aleksandr Osipov0%

Saúl Guarirapa0%

Gustavo Furtado0%

Sergey Volkov0%

Aleksandr Kovalenko0%

Nabil Aberdin0%

Ruslan Bart0%

Pavel Meleshin0%

Aleksandr Degtev0%

Artem Korneev0%

To be booked (yellow)

Matches in which the player was booked

Yahia Attiyat Allah50%

Vyacheslav Litvinov36%

Marcelo Alves33%

Gustavo Furtado33%

Nabil Aberdin29%

Kirill Zaika24%

Artem Makarchuk24%

Dmitriy Vasiljev21%

Kirill Kravtsov19%

Vladimir Iljin18%

Saúl Guarirapa17%

Aleksandr Soldatenkov14%

Sergey Volkov14%

Roman Ezhov12%

Aleksandr Degtev12%

Ignacio Saavedra11%

Anton Zinkovskiy11%

Martin Kramarič11%

Yury Dyupin10%

Maksim Mukhin10%

Zakhar Fedorov10%

Aleksandr Kovalenko9%

Mikhail Ignatov8%

François Kamano7%

Ruslan Magal0%

Nemanja Stojić0%

Aleksandr Osipov0%

Ruslan Bart0%

Pavel Meleshin0%

Artem Korneev0%

Anytime assist

Matches in which the player assisted

Ruslan Magal19%

Vladimir Iljin18%

Gustavo Furtado17%

Yahia Attiyat Allah12%

Anton Zinkovskiy11%

François Kamano7%

Artem Makarchuk6%

Ignacio Saavedra6%

Sergey Volkov5%

Mikhail Ignatov4%

Dmitriy Vasiljev4%

Kirill Zaika0%

Aleksandr Soldatenkov0%

Roman Ezhov0%

Vyacheslav Litvinov0%

Yury Dyupin0%

Martin Kramarič0%

Nemanja Stojić0%

Aleksandr Osipov0%

Maksim Mukhin0%

Saúl Guarirapa0%

Kirill Kravtsov0%

Marcelo Alves0%

Aleksandr Kovalenko0%

Nabil Aberdin0%

Ruslan Bart0%

Pavel Meleshin0%

Zakhar Fedorov0%

Aleksandr Degtev0%

Artem Korneev0%

Over 2.5 shots

Matches with 3+ shots taken

Vladimir Iljin27%

Kirill Kravtsov12%

Ignacio Saavedra11%

Anton Zinkovskiy7%

Vyacheslav Litvinov7%

Mikhail Ignatov4%

François Kamano0%

Kirill Zaika0%

Aleksandr Soldatenkov0%

Roman Ezhov0%

Artem Makarchuk0%

Ruslan Magal0%

Yury Dyupin0%

Martin Kramarič0%

Nemanja Stojić0%

Yahia Attiyat Allah0%

Aleksandr Osipov0%

Maksim Mukhin0%

Saúl Guarirapa0%

Marcelo Alves0%

Gustavo Furtado0%

Sergey Volkov0%

Aleksandr Kovalenko0%

Nabil Aberdin0%

Dmitriy Vasiljev0%

Ruslan Bart0%

Pavel Meleshin0%

Zakhar Fedorov0%

Aleksandr Degtev0%

Artem Korneev0%

Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

NN (28)

€18m

FS (21)

€15m

URA (21)

€11m

TM (23)

€11m

RV (25)

€9m

CHE (23)

€9m

AT (26)

€8m

SK (27)

€8m

SKA (27)

€6m

VU (24)

€6m

SY (24)

€6m

ENI (24)

€6m

FU (25)

€5m

LEN (22)

€5m

KAM (24)

€5m

VEL (23)

€5m

TEK (25)

€5m

FN (25)

€5m

KAMAZ's squad is €10m less valuable than FC Sochi's (€5m vs €15m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

NN (11)

€6m

TM (10)

€5m

FS (8)

€5m

URA (8)

€4m

CHE (9)

€4m

AT (8)

€3m

RV (7)

€3m

SK (8)

€3m

VU (9)

€2m

ENI (7)

€2m

SKA (8)

€2m

TEK (9)

€2m

SY (9)

€2m

KAM (9)

€2m

FN (9)

€2m

FU (7)

€2m

VEL (7)

€2m

LEN (7)

€1m

KAMAZ's attack is €3m less valuable than FC Sochi's (€2m vs €5m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

NN (5)

€3m

URA (4)

€2m

RV (7)

€2m

AT (8)

€2m

SKA (8)

€2m

FU (9)

€2m

ENI (5)

€2m

VEL (8)

€2m

SK (7)

€2m

SY (5)

€1m

FS (2)

€1m

LEN (6)

€1m

TM (4)

€1m

VU (5)

€1m

CHE (2)

€1m

TEK (6)

€1m

FN (5)

€1m

KAM (4)

€1m

KAMAZ and FC Sochi have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

FS (11)

€9m

NN (12)

€9m

URA (9)

€4m

TM (9)

€4m

SK (12)

€4m

RV (11)

€4m

CHE (12)

€3m

AT (10)

€3m

VU (10)

€3m

SKA (11)

€3m

SY (10)

€2m

KAM (11)

€2m

LEN (9)

€2m

FN (11)

€2m

ENI (12)

€2m

TEK (10)

€2m

FU (9)

€2m

VEL (8)

€2m

KAMAZ's defence is €6m less valuable than FC Sochi's (€2m vs €9m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings

KAM wins

Draws

FS wins

Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

KAMAZ vs FC Sochi · H/A from KAM

Date	H/A	Game	Score
01/12/24	A	FC Sochi Vs KAM	2-0
27/10/24	H	KAM Vs FC Sochi	1-0

KAMAZ

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
19/08/26	H	KAM Vs Tekstilshchik	0-1
15/08/26	A	Enisey Vs KAM	2-2
09/08/26	H	KAM Vs Volga Ulyanovsk	1-2
03/08/26	A	FC UFA Vs KAM	1-1
27/07/26	H	KAM Vs Rotor Volgograd	0-2
16/05/26	H	KAM Vs FK Sokol Saratov	0-1
11/05/26	A	Ural Vs KAM	2-0
01/05/26	H	KAM Vs Spartak Kostroma	2-0
26/04/26	H	KAM Vs Chayka	2-1
22/04/26	A	FC UFA Vs KAM	0-1

FC Sochi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
20/08/26	A	FK Neftekhimik Vs FS	1-2
16/08/26	H	FS Vs Volga Ulyanovsk	1-0
08/08/26	A	Torpedo Moskva Vs FS	1-2
01/08/26	A	Leningradets Vs FS	2-1
26/07/26	H	FS Vs Arsenal Tula	5-0
17/05/26	H	FS Vs Akhmat	1-1
10/05/26	A	Zenit Vs FS	2-1
03/05/26	H	FS Vs FC Orenburg	3-1
26/04/26	A	Dynamo Vs FS	2-0
21/04/26	H	FS Vs Krylia Sovetov	2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

KAMAZ

Russia: First League

Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	LDLDL	1.28
Home	WLLLL	1.31
Away	LWLDD	1.25

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	28%	31%	25%
AVG goals	2.20	2.38	2.00
Over 1.5 %	70%	73%	67%
Over 2.5 %	36%	42%	29%
Over 3.5 %	20%	23%	17%
Scored	1.16	1.31	1.00
Conceded	1.04	1.08	1.00
BTTS	52%	58%	46%
Clean Sheet	30%	27%	33%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	5.17	5.07	5.27

FC Sochi

Russia: First League

Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	WLWWW	0.98
Home	WWDWW	1.04
Away	LLLWW	0.92

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	28%	29%	27%
AVG goals	3.14	3.12	3.15
Over 1.5 %	84%	79%	88%
Over 2.5 %	66%	62%	69%
Over 3.5 %	36%	42%	31%
Scored	1.30	1.42	1.19
Conceded	1.84	1.71	1.96
BTTS	58%	54%	62%
Clean Sheet	16%	17%	15%
Corners	9.24	10.25	8.29
Cards	4.45	4.62	4.30

🏆 17. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	FC Sochi	7	18	86%	2.6	16	7	+9	3.3	86%	86%	29%	10.5	100%	5.5	100%	-	0%	15	5	1	9	2.3	1.0	54%
2	Nizhny Novgorod	7	16	71%	2.3	21	10	+11	4.4	100%	100%	71%	11.0	100%	4.0	100%	-	0%	18	6	3	9	3.0	1.4	50%
3	Veles	7	15	71%	2.1	11	10	+1	3.0	86%	57%	29%	4.5	0%	3.5	50%	-	0%	5	2	2	2	1.6	1.4	54%
4	Ural	6	12	50%	2.0	11	3	+8	2.3	83%	50%	17%	6.0	0%	4.0	100%	-	0%	11	4	2	4	1.8	0.5	40%
5	FC UFA	6	11	50%	1.8	7	6	+1	2.2	67%	33%	17%	10.5	100%	4.0	100%	27.0	100%	5	2	2	2	1.2	1.0	46%
6	Torpedo Moskva	6	10	50%	1.7	11	4	+7	2.5	83%	50%	17%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	11	5	1	4	1.8	0.7	-
7	Rotor Volgograd	8	10	38%	1.2	10	8	+2	2.2	62%	38%	12%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	9	3	2	4	1.2	1.0	-
8	Shinnik Yaroslavl	6	9	33%	1.5	8	7	+1	2.5	83%	50%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	6	2	1	2	1.3	1.2	-
9	Spartak Kostroma	6	9	33%	1.5	7	7	+0	2.3	67%	50%	33%	12.0	100%	5.0	100%	-	0%	8	3	2	4	1.2	1.2	49%
10	Arsenal Tula	8	9	25%	1.1	7	13	-6	2.5	62%	50%	38%	8.5	50%	5.0	100%	-	0%	8	3	2	3	0.9	1.6	52%
11	FK Neftekhimik	8	9	38%	1.1	5	12	-7	2.1	50%	25%	12%	8.5	50%	4.5	100%	27.0	100%	5	2	1	2	0.6	1.5	54%
12	Enisey	6	7	17%	1.2	9	8	+1	2.8	67%	67%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	6	2	2	2	1.5	1.3	-
13	Volga Ulyanovsk	6	7	33%	1.2	7	9	-2	2.7	83%	50%	33%	6.0	0%	5.0	100%	-	0%	6	2	1	3	1.2	1.5	52%
14	Leningradets	6	6	17%	1.0	4	5	-1	1.5	50%	33%	0%	12.5	100%	4.0	50%	-	0%	5	1	1	2	0.7	0.8	50%
15	KAMAZ	7	5	14%	0.7	7	11	-4	2.6	71%	43%	29%	15.0	100%	3.0	0%	-	0%	5	2	1	2	1.0	1.6	46%
16	Tekstilshchik	7	5	14%	0.7	2	7	-5	1.3	29%	14%	14%	9.0	50%	5.5	100%	-	0%	5	2	1	2	0.3	1.0	49%
17	Chelyabinsk	6	4	17%	0.7	6	13	-7	3.2	100%	67%	33%	11.0	100%	4.0	100%	-	0%	9	4	1	3	1.0	2.2	50%
18	Ska-khabarovsk	7	3	14%	0.4	5	14	-9	2.7	71%	43%	29%	6.5	50%	2.5	50%	-	0%	6	2	2	3	0.7	2.0	46%

Russia: First League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: First League stats & trends →

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KAMAZ vs FC Sochi Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

KAMAZ

FC Sochi

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

KAMAZ

🚩 Corners

🟨 Cards

⚠️ Fouls

FC Sochi

🚩 Corners

🟨 Cards

⚠️ Fouls

KAMAZ

FC Sochi

🚩 Total Corners

🟨 Total Cards

⚠️ Total Fouls

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

KAMAZ

FC Sochi

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

KAMAZ

FC Sochi

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

🎽 13. Player market rates

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

Head-to-head

KAMAZ

FC Sochi

📊 16. Overall Statistics

🏆 17. League Table

A Pro feature