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KäPa vs JäPS Result & Analysis

Date: 05/09/2025
Time: 15:30
Final 2-3
KäPa
KäPa
Vs
34%
22%
44%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
JäPS
JäPS
Finland: Ykkösliiga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

KäPa win✗ Miss
33.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
JäPS win✓ Hit
43.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

KäPaKäPa

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-413L42W11D01L22D11D03L22D10W33DA·JIP29/06H·TUR03/07H·PK-09/07A·SAL13/07H·LAH19/07A·KLU28/07H·JÄP02/08A·LAH16/08A·KLU23/08H·TUR30/08
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.772.471.712.291.812.62
vs Stronger (21)1.902.331.891.561.922.92
vs Similar (9)1.442.781.403.601.501.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %10% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (JäPS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

JäPSJäPS

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-424L43W11D14L14L21W30W20W00D00DA·TUR27/06H·SAL04/07A·JIP08/07H·PK-13/07A·SJK19/07H·LAH25/07A·KÄP02/08H·SAL15/08A·PK-22/08H·EIF29/08
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.131.801.711.792.501.81
vs Stronger (9)2.672.331.333.003.332.00
vs Similar (20)1.801.651.601.602.001.70
vs Weaker (1)4.000.004.000.00--
Clean sheet %27% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (KäPa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%15%20%3%06%116%220%320%415%520%6+
The model estimates around 3.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (20%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
90.9%
Under 1.5
9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
74.9%
Under 2.5
25.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
54.9%
Under 3.5
45.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
74.2%
No
25.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
8.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-2
7.3%
2-1
7.0%
1-3
5.5%
2-3 ✓
5.0%
3-2
4.4%
0-2
4.3%
KäPa goals ↓
JäPS goals →
01234
02.8%3.4%4.3%3.0%1.6%
12.9%8.4%7.9%5.5%2.9%
23.3%7.0%7.3%5.0%2.6%
32.0%4.2%4.4%3.1%1.6%
40.9%1.9%2.0%1.4%0.7%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = KäPa goals (down), columns = JäPS goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lahti
2.15
Turku PS
1.96
PK-35
1.56
JIPPO
1.52
EIF
1.52
Klubi-04
1.44
JäPS
1.19
SJK Akatemia
1.07
KäPa
0.90
SalPa
0.56
OLS
0.00
KäPa is 0.29 points worse than JäPS in terms of average points per game (0.90 vs 1.19).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Turku PS
2.44
Lahti
2.00
Klubi-04
1.81
EIF
1.78
SJK Akatemia
1.70
KäPa
1.66
JäPS
1.52
PK-35
1.44
JIPPO
1.37
OLS
1.00
SalPa
0.81
KäPa is 0.14 goals better than JäPS in terms of goals scored per game (1.66 vs 1.52).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
PK-35
1.11
Lahti
1.11
JIPPO
1.15
EIF
1.59
Klubi-04
1.67
Turku PS
1.67
SJK Akatemia
1.81
JäPS
1.85
SalPa
1.93
KäPa
2.41
OLS
3.50
KäPa is 0.56 goals worse than JäPS in terms of goals conceded per game (2.41 vs 1.85).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

KäPaKäPa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W10W00D00D00D01L02L00D10WA·JIP29/06H·TUR03/07H·PK-09/07A·SAL13/07H·LAH19/07A·KLU28/07H·JÄP02/08A·LAH16/08A·KLU23/08H·TUR30/08
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.571.000.430.930.691.06
vs Stronger (21)0.670.900.670.330.671.33
vs Similar (9)0.331.220.002.000.750.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (JäPS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

JäPSJäPS

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L22D00D13L01L11D10W00D00D00DA·TUR27/06H·SAL04/07A·JIP08/07H·PK-13/07A·SJK19/07H·LAH25/07A·KÄP02/08H·SAL15/08A·PK-22/08H·EIF29/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.000.571.211.120.81
vs Stronger (9)1.221.220.332.331.670.67
vs Similar (20)0.650.950.501.000.800.90
vs Weaker (1)2.000.002.000.00--
Clean sheet %43% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (KäPa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
KäPa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KäPa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KäPa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JäPS over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JäPS over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JäPS over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

KäPaKäPa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L32W01L01L22D11D02L20W10W23LA·JIP29/06H·TUR03/07H·PK-09/07A·SAL13/07H·LAH19/07A·KLU28/07H·JÄP02/08A·LAH16/08A·KLU23/08H·TUR30/08
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.471.291.361.121.56
vs Stronger (21)1.241.431.221.221.251.58
vs Similar (9)1.111.561.401.600.751.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (JäPS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

JäPSJäPS

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L21W11D01L13L10W20W20W00D00DA·TUR27/06H·SAL04/07A·JIP08/07H·PK-13/07A·SJK19/07H·LAH25/07A·KÄP02/08H·SAL15/08A·PK-22/08H·EIF29/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.270.801.140.571.381.00
vs Stronger (9)1.441.111.000.671.671.33
vs Similar (20)1.150.701.100.601.200.80
vs Weaker (1)2.000.002.000.00--
Clean sheet %47% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (KäPa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
KäPa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KäPa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KäPa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JäPS over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JäPS over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JäPS over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.590.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.574.9%-------✓ Hit
BTTS Yes74.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAH (22)
€3m
TP (22)
€2m
JIP (21)
€1m
PK- (20)
€1m
EIF (20)
€1m
JÄP (24)
€1m
KÄP (25)
€1m
KLU (17)
€0m
KäPa and JäPS have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAH (9)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
JIP (7)
€0m
EIF (9)
€0m
PK- (6)
€0m
JÄP (11)
€0m
KLU (8)
€0m
KÄP (8)
€0m
KäPa and JäPS have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAH (3)
€1m
TP (4)
€0m
PK- (7)
€0m
KÄP (6)
€0m
JÄP (4)
€0m
EIF (4)
€0m
JIP (4)
€0m
KLU (3)
€0m
KäPa and JäPS have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAH (10)
€1m
TP (10)
€1m
JIP (10)
€0m
EIF (7)
€0m
KÄP (11)
€0m
PK- (7)
€0m
JÄP (9)
€0m
KLU (6)
€0m
KäPa and JäPS have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
0
KÄP wins
3
Draws
2
JÄP wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

KäPa vs JäPS · H/A from KÄP
DateH/AGameScore
02/08/25HKÄP Vs JäPS0-3
06/06/25AJäPS Vs KÄP2-2
19/10/24HKÄP Vs JäPS3-5
28/06/24AJäPS Vs KÄP2-2
28/04/24HKÄP Vs JäPS3-3

KäPaKäPa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/25HKÄP Vs Turku PS3-3
23/08/25AKlubi-04 Vs KÄP0-1
16/08/25ALahti Vs KÄP2-2
02/08/25HKÄP Vs JäPS0-3
28/07/25AKlubi-04 Vs KÄP1-1
19/07/25HKÄP Vs Lahti2-2
13/07/25ASalPa Vs KÄP1-0
09/07/25HKÄP Vs PK-351-1
03/07/25HKÄP Vs Turku PS4-2
29/06/25AJIPPO Vs KÄP3-1

JäPSJäPS

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/25HJÄP Vs EIF0-0
22/08/25APK-35 Vs JÄP0-0
15/08/25HJÄP Vs SalPa2-0
02/08/25AKäPa Vs JÄP0-3
25/07/25HJÄP Vs Lahti2-1
19/07/25ASJK Akatemia Vs JÄP4-1
13/07/25HJÄP Vs PK-351-4
08/07/25AJIPPO Vs JÄP1-1
04/07/25HJÄP Vs SalPa4-3
27/06/25ATurku PS Vs JÄP4-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

KäPa
KäPa
Finland: Ykkösliiga
Recent: 2 Wins / 5 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDWD0.88
HomeWDDLD1.14
AwayLLDDW0.68
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%27%14%
AVG goals4.003.644.29
Over 1.5 %92%91%93%
Over 2.5 %70%68%71%
Over 3.5 %56%50%61%
Scored1.601.501.68
Conceded2.402.142.61
BTTS70%64%75%
Clean Sheet10%14%7%
Corners---
Cards---
JäPS
JäPS
Finland: Ykkösliiga
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDD1.28
HomeWLWWD1.35
AwayLDLWD1.22
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%30%33%
AVG goals3.683.353.96
Over 1.5 %88%91%85%
Over 2.5 %66%61%70%
Over 3.5 %52%48%56%
Scored1.761.521.96
Conceded1.921.832.00
BTTS62%70%56%
Clean Sheet24%22%26%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LahtiLahti2758
63%
2.1
5430+24
3.1
78%
67%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.01.1
-
2Turku PSTurku PS2753
59%
2.0
6645+21
4.1
93%
81%
63%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.41.7
-
3PK-35PK-352742
41%
1.6
3930+9
2.6
85%
52%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.1
-
4JIPPOJIPPO2741
37%
1.5
3731+6
2.5
81%
41%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.1
-
5EIFEIF2741
44%
1.5
4843+5
3.4
85%
63%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.81.6
-
6Klubi-04Klubi-042739
41%
1.4
4945+4
3.5
89%
67%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.7
-
7JäPSJäPS2732
26%
1.2
4150-9
3.4
89%
52%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.9
-
8SJK AkatemiaSJK Akatemia2729
30%
1.1
4649-3
3.5
89%
78%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.8
-
9KäPaKäPa2926
21%
0.9
4870-22
4.1
93%
79%
62%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.72.4
-
10SalPaSalPa2715
15%
0.6
2252-30
2.7
70%
59%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.9
-
11OLSOLS20
0%
0.0
27-5
4.5
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.5
-
Finland: Ykkösliiga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Finland: Ykkösliiga stats & trends →

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