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KäPa vs SJK Akatemia Result & Analysis

Date: 27/04/2025
Time: 15:30
Final 0-3
KäPa
KäPa
Vs
42%
25%
33%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
SJK Akatemia
SJK Akatemia
Finland: Ykkösliiga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

KäPa win✗ Miss
41.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
SJK Akatemia win✓ Hit
33.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

KäPaKäPa

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-723L32W11D27L41W35L11D20W40W24LA·FF 01/09H·MP14/09H·PK-22/09A·KOO27/09A·SAL05/10H·JÄP19/10A·KPV23/10H·KPV26/10A·HPS15/04A·EIF23/04
Avg total
4.8
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
2.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.732.331.622.001.822.59
vs Stronger (23)1.262.260.891.781.502.57
vs Similar (7)3.292.573.252.503.332.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (SJK Akatemia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SJK AkatemiaSJK Akatemia

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-433D11D11D23L12L22D22D14L30W34LA·KOO19/08H·TUR24/08A·SAL31/08H·FF 14/09A·JÄP20/09H·MP27/09H·PK-06/10A·JIP19/10A·SJK16/04H·TUR22/04
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.601.531.601.271.60
vs Stronger (1)1.001.001.001.00--
vs Similar (21)1.331.901.402.101.271.73
vs Weaker (8)1.620.882.000.501.251.25
Clean sheet %23% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (KäPa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%010%121%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.8%
Under 1.5
15.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
63.4%
Under 2.5
36.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
41.3%
Under 3.5
58.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
65.6%
No
34.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.1%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-2
6.7%
2-0
5.7%
1-0
5.6%
3-1
5.1%
0-1
4.8%
KäPa goals ↓
SJK Akatemia goals →
01234
04.8%4.8%4.5%2.3%0.9%
15.6%11%7.8%4.0%1.5%
25.7%8.8%6.7%3.4%1.3%
33.3%5.1%3.9%2.0%0.8%
41.4%2.2%1.7%0.9%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = KäPa goals (down), columns = SJK Akatemia goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lahti
2.15
Turku PS
1.96
PK-35
1.56
JIPPO
1.52
EIF
1.52
Klubi-04
1.44
JäPS
1.19
SJK Akatemia
1.07
KäPa
0.90
SalPa
0.56
OLS
0.00
KäPa is 0.18 points worse than SJK Akatemia in terms of average points per game (0.90 vs 1.07).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Turku PS
2.44
Lahti
2.00
Klubi-04
1.81
EIF
1.78
SJK Akatemia
1.70
KäPa
1.66
JäPS
1.52
PK-35
1.44
JIPPO
1.37
OLS
1.00
SalPa
0.81
KäPa is 0.05 goals worse than SJK Akatemia in terms of goals scored per game (1.66 vs 1.70).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
PK-35
1.11
Lahti
1.11
JIPPO
1.15
EIF
1.59
Klubi-04
1.67
Turku PS
1.67
SJK Akatemia
1.81
JäPS
1.85
SalPa
1.93
KäPa
2.41
OLS
3.50
KäPa is 0.60 goals worse than SJK Akatemia in terms of goals conceded per game (2.41 vs 1.81).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

KäPaKäPa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L02L11D03L10W03L11D10W20W11DA·FF 01/09H·MP14/09H·PK-22/09A·KOO27/09A·SAL05/10H·JÄP19/10A·KPV23/10H·KPV26/10A·HPS15/04A·EIF23/04
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.671.030.621.150.710.94
vs Stronger (23)0.520.960.440.890.571.00
vs Similar (7)1.141.291.001.751.330.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (SJK Akatemia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SJK AkatemiaSJK Akatemia

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D10W10W11D11D20W00D11D10W23LA·KOO19/08H·TUR24/08A·SAL31/08H·FF 14/09A·JÄP20/09H·MP27/09H·PK-06/10A·JIP19/10A·SJK16/04H·TUR22/04
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.700.730.730.530.67
vs Stronger (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (21)0.620.900.801.100.450.73
vs Weaker (8)0.750.250.750.000.750.50
Clean sheet %60% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (KäPa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
KäPa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KäPa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KäPa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK Akatemia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK Akatemia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK Akatemia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

KäPaKäPa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D30W00D24L31W32W00D10W20W13LA·FF 01/09H·MP14/09H·PK-22/09A·KOO27/09A·SAL05/10H·JÄP19/10A·KPV23/10H·KPV26/10A·HPS15/04A·EIF23/04
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.301.000.851.121.65
vs Stronger (23)0.741.300.440.890.931.57
vs Similar (7)2.141.292.250.752.002.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (SJK Akatemia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SJK AkatemiaSJK Akatemia

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D01L01L12L01L02L22D03L20W11DA·KOO19/08H·TUR24/08A·SAL31/08H·FF 14/09A·JÄP20/09H·MP27/09H·PK-06/10A·JIP19/10A·SJK16/04H·TUR22/04
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.900.800.870.730.93
vs Stronger (1)1.001.001.001.00--
vs Similar (21)0.711.000.601.000.821.00
vs Weaker (8)0.880.621.250.500.500.75
Clean sheet %37% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (KäPa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
KäPa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KäPa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KäPa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK Akatemia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK Akatemia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK Akatemia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.584.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAH (22)
€3m
TP (22)
€2m
JIP (21)
€1m
PK- (20)
€1m
EIF (20)
€1m
JÄP (24)
€1m
KÄP (25)
€1m
KLU (17)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAH (9)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
JIP (7)
€0m
EIF (9)
€0m
PK- (6)
€0m
JÄP (11)
€0m
KLU (8)
€0m
KÄP (8)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAH (3)
€1m
TP (4)
€0m
PK- (7)
€0m
KÄP (6)
€0m
JÄP (4)
€0m
EIF (4)
€0m
JIP (4)
€0m
KLU (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAH (10)
€1m
TP (10)
€1m
JIP (10)
€0m
EIF (7)
€0m
KÄP (11)
€0m
PK- (7)
€0m
JÄP (9)
€0m
KLU (6)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
0
KÄP wins
1
Draws
2
SA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

KäPa vs SJK Akatemia · H/A from KÄP
DateH/AGameScore
13/08/24ASJK Akatemia Vs KÄP2-0
20/07/24ASJK Akatemia Vs KÄP4-0
23/05/24HKÄP Vs SJK Akatemia1-1

KäPaKäPa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/04/25AEIF Vs KÄP4-2
15/04/25AHPS Vs KÄP0-4
26/10/24HKÄP Vs KPV-j2-0
23/10/24AKPV-j Vs KÄP1-1
19/10/24HKÄP Vs JäPS3-5
05/10/24ASalPa Vs KÄP1-4
27/09/24AKooteepee Vs KÄP7-2
22/09/24HKÄP Vs PK-351-1
14/09/24HKÄP Vs MP3-2
01/09/24AFF Jaro Vs KÄP3-2

SJK AkatemiaSJK Akatemia

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/04/25HSA Vs Turku PS3-4
16/04/25ASJK-j Vs SA0-3
19/10/24AJIPPO Vs SA4-1
06/10/24HSA Vs PK-352-2
27/09/24HSA Vs MP2-2
20/09/24AJäPS Vs SA2-1
14/09/24HSA Vs FF Jaro2-3
31/08/24ASalPa Vs SA1-1
24/08/24HSA Vs Turku PS1-1
19/08/24AKooteepee Vs SA3-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

KäPa
KäPa
Finland: Ykkösliiga
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWWL0.97
HomeWWDLW1.21
AwayLWDWL0.80
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%29%20%
AVG goals4.123.504.55
Over 1.5 %94%86%100%
Over 2.5 %68%57%75%
Over 3.5 %53%43%60%
Scored1.821.572.00
Conceded2.291.932.55
BTTS68%64%70%
Clean Sheet15%21%10%
Corners---
Cards---
SJK Akatemia
SJK Akatemia
Finland: Ykkösliiga
Recent: 1 Wins / 5 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLWL1.18
HomeDLDDL1.18
AwayDDLLW1.19
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %27%29%25%
AVG goals3.033.003.06
Over 1.5 %88%88%88%
Over 2.5 %61%65%56%
Over 3.5 %27%29%25%
Scored1.521.471.56
Conceded1.521.531.50
BTTS61%47%75%
Clean Sheet24%29%19%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LahtiLahti2758
63%
2.1
5430+24
3.1
78%
67%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.01.1
-
2Turku PSTurku PS2753
59%
2.0
6645+21
4.1
93%
81%
63%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.41.7
-
3PK-35PK-352742
41%
1.6
3930+9
2.6
85%
52%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.1
-
4JIPPOJIPPO2741
37%
1.5
3731+6
2.5
81%
41%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.1
-
5EIFEIF2741
44%
1.5
4843+5
3.4
85%
63%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.81.6
-
6Klubi-04Klubi-042739
41%
1.4
4945+4
3.5
89%
67%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.7
-
7JäPSJäPS2732
26%
1.2
4150-9
3.4
89%
52%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.9
-
8SJK AkatemiaSJK Akatemia2729
30%
1.1
4649-3
3.5
89%
78%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.8
-
9KäPaKäPa2926
21%
0.9
4870-22
4.1
93%
79%
62%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.72.4
-
10SalPaSalPa2715
15%
0.6
2252-30
2.7
70%
59%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.9
-
11OLSOLS20
0%
0.0
27-5
4.5
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.5
-
Finland: Ykkösliiga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Finland: Ykkösliiga stats & trends →

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