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KäPa vs SJK Akatemia Result & Analysis

Date: 17/07/2026
Time: 16:00
Final 2-2
KäPa
KäPa
Vs
41%
23%
36%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
SJK Akatemia
SJK Akatemia
Finland: Ykkösliiga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

KäPa win✗ Miss
41.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
23.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
SJK Akatemia win✗ Miss
35.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

KäPaKäPa

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-431W14L12L12L30W42W32W31W11D13LH·SJK19/09A·EIF26/09A·JIP04/10H·SAL18/10A·OLS23/10H·OLS26/10A·PKK15/04A·VJS28/04H·MYP13/05A·PK-10/07
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.772.301.922.231.652.35
vs Stronger (22)2.052.182.441.671.772.54
vs Similar (8)1.002.620.753.501.251.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %7% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (SJK Akatemia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SJK AkatemiaSJK Akatemia

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-513L41W11D03L12L30W21W20W05L11DA·KÄP19/09A·KLU24/09H·JÄP28/09A·LAH03/10H·PK-18/10A·VPV14/04A·OLS28/04H·KPV13/05H·SJK26/05H·MP11/07
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.801.711.501.622.06
vs Stronger (1)2.000.002.000.00--
vs Similar (18)1.331.831.381.751.301.90
vs Weaker (11)2.181.912.201.402.172.33
Clean sheet %13% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (KäPa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%16%21%3%08%118%221%319%414%517%6+
The model estimates around 3.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
89.1%
Under 1.5
10.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
71.3%
Under 2.5
28.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
50.4%
Under 3.5
49.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
71.7%
No
28.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.3%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-2 ✓
7.2%
3-1
5.2%
3-2
4.6%
2-0
4.6%
1-3
4.5%
KäPa goals ↓
SJK Akatemia goals →
01234
03.3%3.6%3.9%2.3%1.0%
13.9%9.3%7.5%4.5%2.0%
24.6%8.1%7.2%4.3%1.9%
32.9%5.2%4.6%2.7%1.2%
41.4%2.5%2.2%1.3%0.6%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = KäPa goals (down), columns = SJK Akatemia goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Haka
2.38
Kooteepee
2.29
PK-35
2.12
JIPPO
2.00
JäPS
1.43
EIF
1.25
Klubi-04
1.22
SJK Akatemia
0.75
MP
0.62
KäPa
0.22
KäPa is 0.53 points worse than SJK Akatemia in terms of average points per game (0.22 vs 0.75).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Haka
2.50
PK-35
2.00
Klubi-04
1.67
Kooteepee
1.57
JIPPO
1.50
MP
1.25
SJK Akatemia
0.88
KäPa
0.78
EIF
0.75
JäPS
0.71
KäPa is 0.10 goals worse than SJK Akatemia in terms of goals scored per game (0.78 vs 0.88).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
JäPS
0.86
JIPPO
0.88
EIF
0.88
PK-35
0.88
Kooteepee
1.00
Haka
1.00
Klubi-04
1.67
KäPa
2.00
SJK Akatemia
2.00
MP
2.25
KäPa and SJK Akatemia are level in goals conceded per game (both 2.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

KäPaKäPa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W12L12L11D10W20W10W10W01L02LH·SJK19/09A·EIF26/09A·JIP04/10H·SAL18/10A·OLS23/10H·OLS26/10A·PKK15/04A·VJS28/04H·MYP13/05A·PK-10/07
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.900.690.770.651.00
vs Stronger (22)0.730.860.890.440.621.15
vs Similar (8)0.501.000.251.500.750.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (SJK Akatemia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SJK AkatemiaSJK Akatemia

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L21W01L00D01L00D01L00D03L00DA·KÄP19/09A·KLU24/09H·JÄP28/09A·LAH03/10H·PK-18/10A·VPV14/04A·OLS28/04H·KPV13/05H·SJK26/05H·MP11/07
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.870.360.640.691.06
vs Stronger (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (18)0.440.940.250.880.601.00
vs Weaker (11)0.730.820.600.400.831.17
Clean sheet %40% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (KäPa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
KäPa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KäPa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KäPa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK Akatemia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK Akatemia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK Akatemia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

KäPaKäPa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W02L00D01L20W22D22D21W10W11DH·SJK19/09A·EIF26/09A·JIP04/10H·SAL18/10A·OLS23/10H·OLS26/10A·PKK15/04A·VJS28/04H·MYP13/05A·PK-10/07
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.401.231.461.001.35
vs Stronger (22)1.321.321.561.221.151.38
vs Similar (8)0.501.620.502.000.501.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (SJK Akatemia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SJK AkatemiaSJK Akatemia

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L20W10W03L11D30W20W20W02L11DA·KÄP19/09A·KLU24/09H·JÄP28/09A·LAH03/10H·PK-18/10A·VPV14/04A·OLS28/04H·KPV13/05H·SJK26/05H·MP11/07
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.931.360.860.941.00
vs Stronger (1)2.000.002.000.00--
vs Similar (18)0.890.891.120.880.700.90
vs Weaker (11)1.451.091.601.001.331.17
Clean sheet %33% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (KäPa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
KäPa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KäPa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KäPa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK Akatemia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK Akatemia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK Akatemia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.589.1%-------✓ Hit
BTTS Yes71.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.571.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HAK (21)
€1m
KOO (19)
€1m
JIP (21)
€1m
PK- (20)
€1m
EIF (20)
€1m
JÄP (24)
€1m
KÄP (25)
€1m
MP (19)
€0m
KLU (17)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOO (10)
€1m
JIP (7)
€0m
EIF (9)
€0m
PK- (6)
€0m
JÄP (11)
€0m
HAK (7)
€0m
MP (10)
€0m
KLU (8)
€0m
KÄP (8)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PK- (7)
€0m
HAK (5)
€0m
KÄP (6)
€0m
JÄP (4)
€0m
EIF (4)
€0m
JIP (4)
€0m
KOO (2)
€0m
MP (2)
€0m
KLU (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HAK (9)
€1m
KOO (7)
€0m
JIP (10)
€0m
EIF (7)
€0m
KÄP (11)
€0m
PK- (7)
€0m
JÄP (9)
€0m
MP (7)
€0m
KLU (6)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
1
KÄP wins
1
Draws
4
SA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

KäPa vs SJK Akatemia · H/A from KÄP
DateH/AGameScore
19/09/25HKÄP Vs SJK Akatemia3-1
18/06/25ASJK Akatemia Vs KÄP5-3
27/04/25HKÄP Vs SJK Akatemia0-3
13/08/24ASJK Akatemia Vs KÄP2-0
20/07/24ASJK Akatemia Vs KÄP4-0
23/05/24HKÄP Vs SJK Akatemia1-1

KäPaKäPa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/07/26APK-35 Vs KÄP3-1
13/05/26HKÄP Vs MyPa1-1
28/04/26AVJS II Vs KÄP1-3
15/04/26APKKU Vs KÄP2-3
26/10/25HKÄP Vs OLS4-2
23/10/25AOLS Vs KÄP0-3
18/10/25HKÄP Vs SalPa1-2
04/10/25AJIPPO Vs KÄP2-1
26/09/25AEIF Vs KÄP4-1
19/09/25HKÄP Vs SJK Akatemia3-1

SJK AkatemiaSJK Akatemia

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/07/26HSA Vs MP1-1
26/05/26HSA Vs SJK0-5
13/05/26HSA Vs KPV-j2-0
28/04/26AOLS Vs SA1-2
14/04/26AVPV Vs SA0-3
18/10/25HSA Vs PK-351-2
03/10/25ALahti Vs SA3-0
28/09/25HSA Vs JäPS1-1
24/09/25AKlubi-04 Vs SA1-4
19/09/25AKäPa Vs SA3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

KäPa
KäPa
Finland: Ykkösliiga
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDL1.06
HomeLWLWD1.23
AwayLWWWL0.93
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%32%25%
AVG goals4.284.094.43
Over 1.5 %96%100%93%
Over 2.5 %78%77%79%
Over 3.5 %64%59%68%
Scored1.841.771.89
Conceded2.442.322.54
BTTS78%82%75%
Clean Sheet8%5%11%
Corners---
Cards---
SJK Akatemia
SJK Akatemia
Finland: Ykkösliiga
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLD1.18
HomeDLWLD1.36
AwayLWLWW1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%36%28%
AVG goals3.463.403.52
Over 1.5 %92%96%88%
Over 2.5 %76%68%84%
Over 3.5 %40%36%44%
Scored1.721.801.64
Conceded1.741.601.88
BTTS68%64%72%
Clean Sheet18%20%16%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1HakaHaka819
75%
2.4
208+12
3.5
100%
88%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0012.51.0
-
2PK-35PK-35817
62%
2.1
167+9
2.9
88%
62%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.00.9
-
3JIPPOJIPPO816
62%
2.0
127+5
2.4
75%
38%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.50.9
-
4KooteepeeKooteepee716
71%
2.3
117+4
2.6
57%
57%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.61.0
-
5Klubi-04Klubi-04911
33%
1.2
1515+0
3.3
89%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.7
-
6EIFEIF810
38%
1.2
67-1
1.6
50%
12%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.80.9
-
7JäPSJäPS710
43%
1.4
56-1
1.6
43%
29%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.70.9
-
8SJK AkatemiaSJK Akatemia86
12%
0.8
716-9
2.9
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.0
-
9MPMP85
12%
0.6
1018-8
3.5
88%
62%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.2
-
10KäPaKäPa92
0%
0.2
718-11
2.8
78%
67%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.82.0
-
Finland: Ykkösliiga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Finland: Ykkösliiga stats & trends →

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