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Karcag SE vs Budafoki LC Result & Analysis

Date: 14/03/2026
Time: 13:00
Final 3-2
Karcag SE
Karcag SE
Vs
46%
27%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Budafoki LC
Budafoki LC
Hungary: NB II
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Karcag SE win✓ Hit
46.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Budafoki LC win✗ Miss
27.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Karcag SEKarcag SE

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-442W11D11D11D03L11D10W02L13L02LH·BEK02/11A·SZE09/11A·TIS23/11H·KOZ30/11H·MEZ01/02A·SOR08/02H·SZE15/02A·VAS22/02H·BVS01/03A·FEH08/03
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.291.421.251.691.31
vs Stronger (7)1.861.141.000.672.501.50
vs Similar (20)1.351.401.561.441.181.36
vs Weaker (1)4.000.00--4.000.00
Clean sheet %36% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Budafoki LC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Budafoki LCBudafoki LC

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-503L22D20W22D35L11D10W20W12L03LH·VAS09/11H·SOR15/11A·BVS23/11H·FEH30/11A·SZE01/02H·BUD08/02A·AJK15/02H·CSA22/02A·KEC28/02H·BEK08/03
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.601.401.401.071.80
vs Stronger (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
vs Similar (29)1.211.661.401.401.001.93
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Karcag SE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%25%7%014%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.1%
Under 1.5
20.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
54.6%
Under 2.5
45.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
32.3%
Under 3.5
67.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.1%
No
41.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.0%
0-0
6.8%
0-1
5.8%
2-2
5.8%
Karcag SE goals ↓
Budafoki LC goals →
01234
06.8%5.8%4.3%1.7%0.5%
18.2%13%7.0%2.9%0.9%
27.7%9.4%5.8%2.3%0.7%
34.2%5.1%3.1%1.3%0.4%
41.7%2.1%1.3%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Karcag SE goals (down), columns = Budafoki LC goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Vasas
2.13
Budapest Honved
1.97
Kecskeméti TE
1.70
Kozarmisleny FC
1.60
Csakvar
1.53
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.53
BVSC
1.37
Fehérvár FC
1.30
Tiszakecske FC
1.30
Szeged 2011
1.20
Karcag SE
1.17
Soroksar
1.10
Ajka
1.10
Szentlőrinc SE
1.10
Budafoki LC
0.97
Bekescsaba 1912
0.93
Karcag SE is 0.20 points better than Budafoki LC in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 0.97).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Vasas
1.97
Kecskeméti TE
1.63
Budapest Honved
1.63
Csakvar
1.43
Soroksar
1.37
Kozarmisleny FC
1.27
Fehérvár FC
1.23
Tiszakecske FC
1.23
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.23
BVSC
1.20
Szentlőrinc SE
1.17
Budafoki LC
1.10
Szeged 2011
0.97
Karcag SE
0.97
Bekescsaba 1912
0.90
Ajka
0.77
Karcag SE is 0.13 goals worse than Budafoki LC in terms of goals scored per game (0.97 vs 1.10).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Vasas
0.87
Budapest Honved
0.87
BVSC
1.00
Fehérvár FC
1.10
Szeged 2011
1.13
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.13
Csakvar
1.23
Kecskeméti TE
1.30
Kozarmisleny FC
1.33
Ajka
1.33
Karcag SE
1.37
Bekescsaba 1912
1.40
Szentlőrinc SE
1.40
Tiszakecske FC
1.47
Soroksar
1.50
Budafoki LC
1.63
Karcag SE is 0.27 goals better than Budafoki LC in terms of goals conceded per game (1.37 vs 1.63).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Karcag SEKarcag SE

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L00D10W01L01L01L10W00D11D01LH·BEK02/11A·SZE09/11A·TIS23/11H·KOZ30/11H·MEZ01/02A·SOR08/02H·SZE15/02A·VAS22/02H·BVS01/03A·FEH08/03
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.540.570.330.580.690.56
vs Stronger (7)0.570.430.330.330.750.50
vs Similar (20)0.450.650.330.670.550.64
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %54% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Budafoki LC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Budafoki LCBudafoki LC

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L02L20W01L12L01L00D10W01L01LH·VAS09/11H·SOR15/11A·BVS23/11H·FEH30/11A·SZE01/02H·BUD08/02A·AJK15/02H·CSA22/02A·KEC28/02H·BEK08/03
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.900.470.870.470.93
vs Stronger (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
vs Similar (29)0.450.930.470.870.431.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Karcag SE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Karcag SE over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karcag SE over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karcag SE over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Budafoki LC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Budafoki LC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Budafoki LC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Karcag SEKarcag SE

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-441W11D01L10W02L10W00D02L02L01LH·BEK02/11A·SZE09/11A·TIS23/11H·KOZ30/11H·MEZ01/02A·SOR08/02H·SZE15/02A·VAS22/02H·BVS01/03A·FEH08/03
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.040.711.080.671.000.75
vs Stronger (7)1.290.710.670.331.751.00
vs Similar (20)0.900.751.220.780.640.73
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Budafoki LC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Budafoki LCBudafoki LC

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D20W00D21W23L10W10W10W11D02LH·VAS09/11H·SOR15/11A·BVS23/11H·FEH30/11A·SZE01/02H·BUD08/02A·AJK15/02H·CSA22/02A·KEC28/02H·BEK08/03
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.700.930.530.600.87
vs Stronger (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
vs Similar (29)0.760.720.930.530.570.93
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Karcag SE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Karcag SE over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karcag SE over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karcag SE over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Budafoki LC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Budafoki LC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Budafoki LC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.579.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAS (28)
€7m
BH (25)
€5m
KT (22)
€3m
FF (22)
€2m
S2 (23)
€2m
MEZ (17)
€2m
BVS (17)
€2m
AJK (20)
€2m
KF (19)
€2m
TF (18)
€1m
SS (19)
€1m
SOR (17)
€1m
KS (16)
€1m
CSA (11)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAS (11)
€3m
KT (9)
€1m
BH (6)
€1m
FF (10)
€1m
MEZ (7)
€1m
SOR (7)
€1m
TF (8)
€1m
SS (7)
€1m
AJK (5)
€1m
KS (7)
€0m
BVS (5)
€0m
KF (6)
€0m
S2 (6)
€0m
CSA (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAS (7)
€2m
BH (5)
€1m
BVS (5)
€1m
S2 (5)
€0m
KT (2)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
FF (3)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
KF (4)
€0m
MEZ (1)
€0m
SOR (4)
€0m
AJK (2)
€0m
KS (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BH (14)
€3m
VAS (10)
€2m
KT (11)
€1m
S2 (12)
€1m
FF (9)
€1m
MEZ (9)
€1m
AJK (13)
€1m
KF (9)
€1m
BVS (7)
€1m
SS (8)
€0m
SOR (6)
€0m
KS (8)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
KS wins
1
Draws
0
BL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Karcag SE vs Budafoki LC · H/A from KS
DateH/AGameScore
21/09/25ABudafoki LC Vs KS0-0

Karcag SEKarcag SE

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/03/26AFehérvár FC Vs KS2-0
01/03/26HKS Vs BVSC1-3
22/02/26AVasas Vs KS2-0
15/02/26HKS Vs Szeged 20111-0
08/02/26ASoroksar Vs KS1-1
01/02/26HKS Vs Mezokovesd-zsory0-3
30/11/25HKS Vs Kozarmisleny FC1-1
23/11/25ATiszakecske FC Vs KS1-1
09/11/25ASzentlőrinc SE Vs KS1-1
02/11/25HKS Vs Bekescsaba 19124-2

Budafoki LCBudafoki LC

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/03/26HBL Vs Bekescsaba 19120-3
28/02/26AKecskeméti TE Vs BL2-1
22/02/26HBL Vs Csakvar2-0
15/02/26AAjka Vs BL0-1
08/02/26HBL Vs Budapest Honved1-1
01/02/26ASzentlőrinc SE Vs BL5-3
30/11/25HBL Vs Fehérvár FC2-2
23/11/25ABVSC Vs BL0-2
15/11/25HBL Vs Soroksar2-2
09/11/25HBL Vs Vasas0-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Karcag SE
Karcag SE
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLLL1.57
HomeWDLWL1.92
AwayDDDLL1.31
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %43%58%31%
AVG goals2.862.673.00
Over 1.5 %75%58%88%
Over 2.5 %43%50%38%
Over 3.5 %36%33%38%
Scored1.571.421.69
Conceded1.291.251.31
BTTS46%50%44%
Clean Sheet36%42%31%
Corners---
Cards---
Budafoki LC
Budafoki LC
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWLL1.10
HomeDDDWL1.12
AwayLWLWL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%25%31%
AVG goals2.942.922.96
Over 1.5 %86%88%85%
Over 2.5 %58%58%58%
Over 3.5 %30%33%27%
Scored1.261.331.19
Conceded1.681.581.77
BTTS58%62%54%
Clean Sheet16%17%15%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VasasVasas3064
67%
2.1
5926+33
2.8
73%
50%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3222.00.9
-
2Budapest HonvedBudapest Honved3059
60%
2.0
4926+23
2.5
67%
53%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1131.60.9
-
3Kecskeméti TEKecskeméti TE3051
53%
1.7
4939+10
2.9
83%
60%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.61.3
-
4Kozarmisleny FCKozarmisleny FC3048
43%
1.6
3840-2
2.6
87%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.31.3
-
5CsakvarCsakvar3046
40%
1.5
4337+6
2.7
73%
47%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.2
-
6Mezokovesd-zsoryMezokovesd-zsory3046
43%
1.5
3734+3
2.4
70%
37%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.1
-
7BVSCBVSC3041
40%
1.4
3630+6
2.2
70%
37%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.21.0
-
8Fehérvár FCFehérvár FC3039
33%
1.3
3733+4
2.3
73%
37%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.1
-
9Tiszakecske FCTiszakecske FC3039
33%
1.3
3744-7
2.7
80%
47%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.21.5
-
10Szeged 2011Szeged 20113036
30%
1.2
2934-5
2.1
63%
37%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.01.1
-
11Karcag SEKarcag SE3035
30%
1.2
2941-12
2.3
63%
33%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.01.4
-
12SoroksarSoroksar3033
27%
1.1
4145-4
2.9
80%
63%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.41.5
-
13Szentlőrinc SESzentlőrinc SE3033
23%
1.1
3542-7
2.6
77%
50%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.21.4
-
14AjkaAjka3033
33%
1.1
2340-17
2.1
57%
37%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.81.3
-
15Budafoki LCBudafoki LC3029
23%
1.0
3349-16
2.7
83%
47%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.6
-
16Bekescsaba 1912Bekescsaba 19123028
20%
0.9
2742-15
2.3
73%
37%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.4
-
Hungary: NB II 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB II stats & trends →

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