Karcag SE are favoured to win, with a 46% chance of taking the match home, a 26% chance of a draw and a 27% chance of an away win. The model expects 2.9 goals overall, centring on a 2-goal total that carries a 24% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.5% chance. Karcag, playing at home against a similarly-rated opponent, averages 2.0 goals scored and 1.17 conceded, while Mezokovesd-zsory, on the road, averages 1.42 scored and 1.42 conceded. The model’s only suggested pick is Over 1.5 goals, with a 79.7% probability. The recent form shows Karcag on a two-game winning run, while Mezokovesd-zsory is on a three-game winning streak. The final score will be 0-3 in favour of Mezokovesd-zsory.
Results analysis
The upset was immediate: a 0-3 away win for Mezokovesd-zsory snapped the home side’s two-game winning streak and ended the match with a decisive 3-goal margin. The pre-match favourite was a home win, with a 46% probability, but the model’s pick was wrong. The model’s selection of Over 1.5 goals, at 79.7%, hit, confirming the game’s high-scoring nature. The final score of 0-3 matched the actual result of an away victory. The home side’s recent form of two consecutive wins was overturned, while Mezokovesd-zsory’s three-game winning run continued, underscoring the unpredictability of the league.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Karcag SE win✗ Miss
46.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Mezokovesd-zsory win✓ Hit
27.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Karcag SE
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.86
1.14
1.67
1.00
2.00
1.23
vs Stronger (5)
2.60
0.80
1.00
0.67
5.00
1.00
vs Similar (16)
1.50
1.31
2.00
1.17
1.20
1.40
vs Weaker (1)
4.00
0.00
-
-
4.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
41% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Mezokovesd-zsory) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mezokovesd-zsory
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.27
1.57
0.79
1.50
1.69
vs Stronger (6)
1.67
2.17
1.50
1.50
1.75
2.50
vs Similar (24)
1.50
1.04
1.58
0.67
1.42
1.42
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Karcag SE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.7%
Under 1.5
20.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
55.4%
Under 2.5
44.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.0%
Under 3.5
67.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.7%
No
41.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
8.0%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.0%
0-0
6.6%
2-2
5.8%
0-1
5.7%
Karcag SE goals ↓
Mezokovesd-zsory goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.6%
5.7%
4.2%
1.7%
0.5%
1
8.0%
12%
7.0%
2.9%
0.9%
2
7.6%
9.4%
5.8%
2.4%
0.7%
3
4.2%
5.2%
3.2%
1.3%
0.4%
4
1.7%
2.2%
1.3%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Karcag SE goals (down), columns = Mezokovesd-zsory goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Vasas
2.13
Budapest Honved
1.97
Kecskeméti TE
1.70
Kozarmisleny FC
1.60
Csakvar
1.53
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.53
BVSC
1.37
Fehérvár FC
1.30
Tiszakecske FC
1.30
Szeged 2011
1.20
Karcag SE
1.17
Soroksar
1.10
Ajka
1.10
Szentlőrinc SE
1.10
Budafoki LC
0.97
Bekescsaba 1912
0.93
Karcag SE is 0.37 points worse than Mezokovesd-zsory in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 1.53).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Vasas
1.97
Kecskeméti TE
1.63
Budapest Honved
1.63
Csakvar
1.43
Soroksar
1.37
Kozarmisleny FC
1.27
Fehérvár FC
1.23
Tiszakecske FC
1.23
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.23
BVSC
1.20
Szentlőrinc SE
1.17
Budafoki LC
1.10
Szeged 2011
0.97
Karcag SE
0.97
Bekescsaba 1912
0.90
Ajka
0.77
Karcag SE is 0.27 goals worse than Mezokovesd-zsory in terms of goals scored per game (0.97 vs 1.23).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Vasas
0.87
Budapest Honved
0.87
BVSC
1.00
Fehérvár FC
1.10
Szeged 2011
1.13
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.13
Csakvar
1.23
Kecskeméti TE
1.30
Kozarmisleny FC
1.33
Ajka
1.33
Karcag SE
1.37
Bekescsaba 1912
1.40
Szentlőrinc SE
1.40
Tiszakecske FC
1.47
Soroksar
1.50
Budafoki LC
1.63
Karcag SE is 0.23 goals worse than Mezokovesd-zsory in terms of goals conceded per game (1.37 vs 1.13).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Karcag SE
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.59
0.55
0.22
0.56
0.85
0.54
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
0.40
0.33
0.33
1.50
0.50
vs Similar (16)
0.44
0.62
0.17
0.67
0.60
0.60
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
59% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Mezokovesd-zsory) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mezokovesd-zsory
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.57
0.86
0.43
0.69
0.69
vs Stronger (6)
1.17
1.00
1.00
0.50
1.25
1.25
vs Similar (24)
0.67
0.46
0.83
0.42
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Karcag SE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Karcag SE over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karcag SE over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karcag SE over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mezokovesd-zsory over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mezokovesd-zsory over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mezokovesd-zsory over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Karcag SE
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
0.59
1.44
0.44
1.15
0.69
vs Stronger (5)
1.80
0.40
0.67
0.33
3.50
0.50
vs Similar (16)
1.06
0.69
1.83
0.50
0.60
0.80
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
55% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Mezokovesd-zsory) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mezokovesd-zsory
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.70
0.71
0.36
0.81
1.00
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
1.17
0.50
1.00
0.50
1.25
vs Similar (24)
0.83
0.58
0.75
0.25
0.92
0.92
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Karcag SE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Karcag SE over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karcag SE over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karcag SE over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mezokovesd-zsory over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mezokovesd-zsory over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mezokovesd-zsory over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
79.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Mezokovesd-zsory · 2023/24
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
József Szalai20%
Aleksandr Karnitskiy17%
Stefan Dražić14%
Benjámin Cseke11%
Lukács Bőle9%
Ilia Beriashvili6%
Kevin Kállai6%
Gábor Molnár5%
Ádám Kovácsik0%
Jairo Samperio0%
Roland Ugrai0%
Donát Szivacski0%
Gergő Nagy0%
Róbert Pillár0%
Tamás Cseri0%
Sándor Vajda0%
Riccardo Piscitelli0%
David Babunski0%
Andrej Lukić0%
Marko Brtan0%
Lucas Hedlund0%
Christian Gomis0%
Zsolt Kojnok0%
Szabolcs Szilágyi0%
Máté Szolgai0%
Erik Kocs-Washburn0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kevin Kállai38%
Christian Gomis38%
Zsolt Kojnok36%
Andrej Lukić30%
Máté Szolgai23%
Benjámin Cseke22%
Sándor Vajda20%
Ilia Beriashvili19%
Gábor Molnár11%
Lukács Bőle9%
Marko Brtan8%
József Szalai7%
Tamás Cseri5%
Ádám Kovácsik0%
Jairo Samperio0%
Roland Ugrai0%
Donát Szivacski0%
Gergő Nagy0%
Róbert Pillár0%
Stefan Dražić0%
Riccardo Piscitelli0%
David Babunski0%
Aleksandr Karnitskiy0%
Lucas Hedlund0%
Szabolcs Szilágyi0%
Erik Kocs-Washburn0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lukács Bőle18%
Stefan Dražić14%
Zsolt Kojnok9%
Máté Szolgai8%
Róbert Pillár6%
Gábor Molnár5%
Ádám Kovácsik0%
Ilia Beriashvili0%
Jairo Samperio0%
Roland Ugrai0%
Donát Szivacski0%
Gergő Nagy0%
Tamás Cseri0%
Sándor Vajda0%
Benjámin Cseke0%
Riccardo Piscitelli0%
David Babunski0%
Andrej Lukić0%
Aleksandr Karnitskiy0%
Marko Brtan0%
Lucas Hedlund0%
Kevin Kállai0%
Christian Gomis0%
József Szalai0%
Szabolcs Szilágyi0%
Erik Kocs-Washburn0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
József Szalai20%
Stefan Dražić19%
Gábor Molnár16%
David Babunski9%
Tamás Cseri5%
Ádám Kovácsik0%
Ilia Beriashvili0%
Jairo Samperio0%
Roland Ugrai0%
Donát Szivacski0%
Lukács Bőle0%
Gergő Nagy0%
Róbert Pillár0%
Sándor Vajda0%
Benjámin Cseke0%
Riccardo Piscitelli0%
Andrej Lukić0%
Aleksandr Karnitskiy0%
Marko Brtan0%
Lucas Hedlund0%
Kevin Kállai0%
Christian Gomis0%
Zsolt Kojnok0%
Szabolcs Szilágyi0%
Máté Szolgai0%
Erik Kocs-Washburn0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAS (28)
€7m
BH (25)
€5m
KT (22)
€3m
FF (22)
€2m
S2 (23)
€2m
MEZ (17)
€2m
BVS (17)
€2m
AJK (20)
€2m
KF (19)
€2m
TF (18)
€1m
SS (19)
€1m
SOR (17)
€1m
KS (16)
€1m
CSA (11)
€1m
Karcag SE and Mezokovesd-zsory have a similar squad value (both €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAS (11)
€3m
KT (9)
€1m
BH (6)
€1m
FF (10)
€1m
MEZ (7)
€1m
SOR (7)
€1m
TF (8)
€1m
SS (7)
€1m
AJK (5)
€1m
KS (7)
€0m
BVS (5)
€0m
KF (6)
€0m
S2 (6)
€0m
CSA (3)
€0m
Karcag SE and Mezokovesd-zsory have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAS (7)
€2m
BH (5)
€1m
BVS (5)
€1m
S2 (5)
€0m
KT (2)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
FF (3)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
KF (4)
€0m
MEZ (1)
€0m
SOR (4)
€0m
AJK (2)
€0m
KS (1)
€0m
Karcag SE and Mezokovesd-zsory have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BH (14)
€3m
VAS (10)
€2m
KT (11)
€1m
S2 (12)
€1m
FF (9)
€1m
MEZ (9)
€1m
AJK (13)
€1m
KF (9)
€1m
BVS (7)
€1m
SS (8)
€0m
SOR (6)
€0m
KS (8)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
Karcag SE and Mezokovesd-zsory have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Hungary: NB II 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB II stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Vasas
Budapest Honved
Kecskeméti TE
Kozarmisleny FC
Csakvar
BVSC
Fehérvár FC
Tiszakecske FC
Szeged 2011
Soroksar
Szentlőrinc SE
Ajka
Budafoki LC
Bekescsaba 1912