This match between Karcag SE and Soroksar in the Hungary: NB II league promises to be finely balanced, with Karcag SE coming off a draw against Ajka in their last outing, while Soroksar are looking to build on a recent win over Diosgyori VTK. The model's selection is a home win, with a 36% chance of success, closely followed by a draw at 30% and an away win at 34%. The expected total number of goals is 2.4, with the most likely total being 2 goals.
The most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, occurring with a probability of 14.3%. Karcag SE have scored an average of 1.15 goals at home, while conceding 1.46, when facing opponents of similar strength. Soroksar have averaged 1.23 goals away, with a similar defensive record. The model suggests selecting Under 3.5 goals, with a 77.6% chance of success, and Over 1.5 goals, with a 70.8% chance of success. Home win percentage stands at 36%, draw percentage at 30%, and away win percentage at 34%.
Results analysis
A surprise outcome in the Hungary: NB II match-up between Karcag SE and Soroksar, as the home team's recent form storyline of coming off a draw was extended with a 2-2 draw. The win extends their run of draws, but it was not enough to secure a home win, as the actual result was a draw. The pre-match favourite, the model's selection of a Home win, was incorrect, with a pre-match probability of 36%. The model's call was wrong, as the actual result was a draw.
The model's selection of Under 3.5 goals was missed, with a probability of 77.6%, while the selection of Over 1.5 goals hit, with a probability of 70.8%.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Karcag SE win✗ Miss
36.3%
Avg Implied 36.6% · @ 2.44
Edge
-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
2.57
Dafabet
2.55
Betano
2.52
Unibet
2.50
Pinnacle
2.50
Draw✓ Hit
30.2%
Avg Implied 29.1% · @ 3.07
Edge
+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.21
1xBet
3.20
Bet365
3.20
Betfair
3.20
Marathonbet
3.12
Soroksar win✗ Miss
33.5%
Avg Implied 34.3% · @ 2.60
Edge
-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.70
Superbet
2.70
Betano
2.67
1xBet
2.67
Pinnacle
2.64
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Karcag SE
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.33
1.07
1.33
0.93
1.33
vs Stronger (3)
1.67
1.33
1.00
0.00
2.00
2.00
vs Similar (27)
0.93
1.33
1.07
1.43
0.77
1.23
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Soroksar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Soroksar
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.13
1.54
1.00
1.12
1.24
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.25
0.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (26)
1.38
1.12
1.67
0.92
1.14
1.29
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Karcag SE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.8%
@ 1.28+0.6%
Under 1.5
29.2%
@ 3.01-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.33
Betano
1.31
Unibet
1.30
1xBet
1.26
Superbet
1.26
Under
Superbet
3.20
1xBet
3.20
Marathonbet
3.20
Pinnacle
3.00
Unibet
2.95
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
43.4%
@ 1.93-4.0%
Under 2.5
56.6%
@ 1.74+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.10
Unibet
2.00
Betano
1.98
Pinnacle
1.93
Superbet
1.92
Under
Pinnacle
1.86
Marathonbet
1.79
1xBet
1.79
Superbet
1.78
Betano
1.75
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
22.4%
@ 3.11-6.3%
Under 3.5
77.6%
@ 1.25+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
3.45
1xBet
3.14
Marathonbet
3.14
Superbet
3.10
Betano
3.10
Under
Superbet
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
Betano
1.27
Unibet
1.23
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.4%
@ 1.68-3.3%
No
49.6%
@ 1.95+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.71
William Hil
1.70
Betano
1.70
Marathonbet
1.69
1xBet
1.68
No
1xBet
2.02
Superbet
2.02
Marathonbet
1.97
William Hil
1.95
Betano
1.93
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%@ 5.63+6.8%
0-0
10.2%@ 7.99+4.9%
1-0
9.8%@ 7.48+4.1%
0-1
9.2%@ 7.79+3.8%
2-1
8.0%@ 8.86+3.3%
1-2
7.7%@ 9.32+3.1%
2-0
6.8%@ 10.98+3.0%
0-2
6.2%@ 12.32+2.8%
Karcag SE goals ↓
Soroksar goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
9.2%
6.2%
2.4%
0.7%
1
9.8%
14%
7.7%
3.0%
0.9%
2
6.8%
8.0%
4.7%
1.9%
0.5%
3
2.8%
3.3%
2.0%
0.8%
0.2%
4
0.9%
1.0%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Karcag SE goals (down), columns = Soroksar goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Diosgyori VTK
1.78
Kecskeméti TE
1.70
Kazincbarcikai
1.63
Kozarmisleny FC
1.60
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.53
Csakvar
1.53
Gyirmot SE
1.38
Nagykanizsai ULE
1.38
BVSC
1.37
Tiszakecske FC
1.30
Fehérvár FC
1.30
Szeged 2011
1.20
Karcag SE
1.17
Szentlőrinc SE
1.10
Ajka
1.10
Soroksar
1.10
Karcag SE is 0.07 points better than Soroksar in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 1.10).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Kecskeméti TE
1.63
Diosgyori VTK
1.62
Kazincbarcikai
1.49
Csakvar
1.43
Soroksar
1.37
Kozarmisleny FC
1.27
Gyirmot SE
1.25
Nagykanizsai ULE
1.25
Tiszakecske FC
1.23
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.23
Fehérvár FC
1.23
BVSC
1.20
Szentlőrinc SE
1.17
Karcag SE
0.97
Szeged 2011
0.97
Ajka
0.77
Karcag SE is 0.40 goals worse than Soroksar in terms of goals scored per game (0.97 vs 1.37).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Diosgyori VTK
0.97
BVSC
1.00
Kazincbarcikai
1.06
Fehérvár FC
1.10
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.13
Szeged 2011
1.13
Csakvar
1.23
Gyirmot SE
1.25
Nagykanizsai ULE
1.25
Kecskeméti TE
1.30
Ajka
1.33
Kozarmisleny FC
1.33
Karcag SE
1.37
Szentlőrinc SE
1.40
Tiszakecske FC
1.47
Soroksar
1.50
Karcag SE is 0.13 goals better than Soroksar in terms of goals conceded per game (1.37 vs 1.50).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Karcag SE
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.53
0.20
0.53
0.40
0.53
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.33
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (27)
0.26
0.56
0.14
0.57
0.38
0.54
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Soroksar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Soroksar
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.37
0.69
0.15
0.29
0.53
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.25
0.00
0.00
0.33
0.33
vs Similar (26)
0.50
0.38
0.75
0.17
0.29
0.57
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
70% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Karcag SE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Karcag SE over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karcag SE over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karcag SE over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Soroksar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Soroksar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Soroksar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Karcag SE
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.80
0.87
0.80
0.53
0.80
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.50
1.50
vs Similar (27)
0.67
0.78
0.93
0.86
0.38
0.69
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Soroksar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Soroksar
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.77
0.85
0.85
0.82
0.71
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.67
0.67
vs Similar (26)
0.88
0.73
0.92
0.75
0.86
0.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Karcag SE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Karcag SE over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karcag SE over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karcag SE over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Soroksar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Soroksar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Soroksar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
77.6%
1.25
Superbet
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
Betano
1.27
Unibet
1.23
+6.3%
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
70.8%
1.28
Pinnacle
1.33
Betano
1.31
Unibet
1.30
1xBet
1.26
Superbet
1.26
+0.6%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 13. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DV (45)
€9m
KAZ (40)
€6m
FF (44)
€4m
KT (35)
€4m
MEZ (33)
€3m
S2 (34)
€3m
SS (37)
€3m
CSA (32)
€2m
AJK (41)
€2m
SOR (38)
€2m
BVS (36)
€2m
KF (39)
€2m
TF (33)
€2m
KS (32)
€2m
Karcag SE and Soroksar have a similar squad value (both €2m).
Hungary: NB II 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB II stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Kazincbarcikai
Kecskeméti TE
Gyirmot SE
Tiszakecske FC
Ajka
Szentlőrinc SE
Fehérvár FC
Mezokovesd-zsory
Szeged 2011
Diosgyori VTK
Csakvar
Nagykanizsai ULE
BVSC
Kozarmisleny FC