This match between Karcag SE and Tiszakecske FC in the Hungary: NB II league is finely balanced, with Tiszakecske FC coming off a win and Karcag SE coming off a draw. The model predicts a narrow away win, with a 37% chance of Tiszakecske FC taking the three points. Karcag SE has a 34% chance of a home win, while a draw is possible in 28% of games. The expected total number of goals is 2.7, with a most likely total of 2 goals. The most likely score is a 1-1 draw, with a probability of 13.6%. Tiszakecske FC has scored an average of 1.25 goals when playing away against similar opponents, while conceding 1.83 goals. Karcag SE has scored 1.08 goals and conceded 1.46 goals when playing at home against similar opponents. The model's selections are Over 1.5 with a 75.7% chance and Under 3.5 with a 72.2% chance.
Results analysis
The draw between Karcag SE and Tiszakecske FC has extended the latter's run of consecutive draws to four, with both teams sharing the points in their previous match-up as well. However, the pre-match favourite, Tiszakecske FC, failed to come through, as the model's call of an away win was incorrect. The model's selection of an away win had a pre-match probability of 38%. Meanwhile, the model's selection of Under 3.5 goals missed, while Over 1.5 goals hit, with probabilities of 72.4% and 75.5% respectively. The final score was 3-3, a draw, which was the actual result.
Advertisement
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Karcag SE win✗ Miss
33.6%
Avg Implied 34.6% · @ 2.57
Edge
-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.70
Betano
2.65
Pinnacle
2.63
William Hil
2.62
Marathonbet
2.61
Draw✓ Hit
28.5%
Avg Implied 29.3% · @ 3.04
Edge
-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.25
Bet365
3.20
Betano
3.15
Dafabet
3.15
10Bet
3.10
Tiszakecske FC win✗ Miss
37.9%
Avg Implied 36.1% · @ 2.47
Edge
+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.55
Betano
2.55
Pinnacle
2.53
1xBet
2.51
Marathonbet
2.51
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Karcag SE
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
1.37
1.13
1.40
0.93
1.33
vs Stronger (4)
1.25
1.50
1.00
0.00
1.33
2.00
vs Similar (26)
1.00
1.35
1.14
1.50
0.83
1.17
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Tiszakecske FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tiszakecske FC
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.30
1.20
1.00
1.33
1.60
vs Stronger (7)
1.29
2.00
1.00
0.67
1.50
3.00
vs Similar (23)
1.26
1.09
1.25
1.08
1.27
1.09
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Karcag SE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.5%
@ 1.31+6.6%
Under 1.5
24.5%
@ 2.90-6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.33
Unibet
1.32
Pinnacle
1.32
Marathonbet
1.31
1xBet
1.31
Under
Betfair
3.20
Pinnacle
3.06
1xBet
2.92
Marathonbet
2.92
Unibet
2.90
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
49.5%
@ 2.00+4.0%
Under 2.5
50.5%
@ 1.67-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.08
Pinnacle
2.07
Marathonbet
2.04
1xBet
2.04
Unibet
2.00
Under
Bet365
1.73
Betfair
1.73
Pinnacle
1.69
1xBet
1.68
Marathonbet
1.68
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
27.6%
@ 3.40+1.2%
Under 3.5
72.4%
@ 1.22-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.80
Unibet
3.50
1xBet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.50
Betano
3.25
Under
Betano
1.25
Unibet
1.23
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.2%
@ 1.74+3.5%
No
44.8%
@ 1.86-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.80
1xBet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.77
William Hil
1.75
Betano
1.75
No
Betfair
1.91
William Hil
1.91
1xBet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.87
Betano
1.85
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%@ 5.60+6.1%
1-2
8.5%@ 9.20+3.9%
0-1
8.4%@ 7.13+2.5%
0-0
8.3%@ 7.71+2.8%
2-1
7.9%@ 9.33+3.4%
1-0
7.8%@ 7.38+2.0%
0-2
6.6%@ 11.32+2.9%
2-0
5.8%@ 11.66+2.1%
Karcag SE goals ↓
Tiszakecske FC goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.3%
8.4%
6.6%
3.0%
1.0%
1
7.8%
14%
8.5%
3.9%
1.3%
2
5.8%
7.9%
5.4%
2.5%
0.9%
3
2.5%
3.4%
2.3%
1.1%
0.4%
4
0.8%
1.1%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Karcag SE goals (down), columns = Tiszakecske FC goals (across).
Advertisement
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Soroksar
2.67
Ajka
2.20
Kecskeméti TE
2.17
Kazincbarcikai
2.00
Tiszakecske FC
2.00
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.80
Karcag SE
1.67
Gyirmot SE
1.67
Szentlőrinc SE
1.40
Fehérvár FC
1.00
Szeged 2011
1.00
Diosgyori VTK
0.80
BVSC
0.80
Nagykanizsai ULE
0.50
Csakvar
0.50
Kozarmisleny FC
0.00
Karcag SE is 0.33 points worse than Tiszakecske FC in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 2.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Soroksar
2.83
Karcag SE
2.00
Kecskeméti TE
2.00
Tiszakecske FC
2.00
Gyirmot SE
1.83
Kazincbarcikai
1.67
Ajka
1.60
Fehérvár FC
1.50
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.40
Szentlőrinc SE
1.20
Diosgyori VTK
1.00
Csakvar
1.00
Nagykanizsai ULE
0.83
Szeged 2011
0.80
BVSC
0.60
Kozarmisleny FC
0.50
Karcag SE and Tiszakecske FC are level in goals scored per game (both 2.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ajka
0.60
Soroksar
0.67
Kazincbarcikai
0.83
Kecskeméti TE
1.00
Szeged 2011
1.00
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.00
Tiszakecske FC
1.17
BVSC
1.20
Szentlőrinc SE
1.20
Karcag SE
1.33
Fehérvár FC
1.50
Nagykanizsai ULE
1.67
Gyirmot SE
2.00
Kozarmisleny FC
2.50
Diosgyori VTK
2.60
Csakvar
2.67
Karcag SE is 0.17 goals worse than Tiszakecske FC in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.17).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Karcag SE or Draw✓ Hit
62.1%
Avg Implied -
34%
29%
38%
covers Karcag SE + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Karcag SE or Tiszakecske FC✗ Miss
71.5%
Avg Implied -
34%
29%
38%
covers Karcag SE + Tiszakecske FC
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Tiszakecske FC✓ Hit
66.4%
Avg Implied -
34%
29%
38%
covers Draw + Tiszakecske FC
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Advertisement
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Karcag SE
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.57
0.27
0.67
0.33
0.47
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (26)
0.31
0.58
0.29
0.71
0.33
0.42
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Tiszakecske FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tiszakecske FC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.63
0.40
0.53
0.47
0.73
vs Stronger (7)
0.71
1.14
0.33
0.67
1.00
1.50
vs Similar (23)
0.35
0.48
0.42
0.50
0.27
0.45
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Karcag SE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Karcag SE over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karcag SE over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karcag SE over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tiszakecske FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tiszakecske FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tiszakecske FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Karcag SE
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.80
0.87
0.73
0.60
0.87
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
1.33
vs Similar (26)
0.69
0.77
0.86
0.79
0.50
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Tiszakecske FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tiszakecske FC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.67
0.80
0.47
0.87
0.87
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
0.86
0.67
0.00
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (23)
0.91
0.61
0.83
0.58
1.00
0.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Karcag SE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Karcag SE over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karcag SE over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karcag SE over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tiszakecske FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tiszakecske FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tiszakecske FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
75.5%
1.31
Betano
1.33
Unibet
1.32
Pinnacle
1.32
Marathonbet
1.31
1xBet
1.31
+6.6%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
72.4%
1.22
Betano
1.25
Unibet
1.23
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
-1.2%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Advertisement
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KT (22)
€3m
DV (18)
€3m
FF (22)
€2m
KAZ (19)
€2m
S2 (23)
€2m
MEZ (17)
€2m
BVS (17)
€2m
AJK (20)
€2m
KF (19)
€2m
TF (18)
€1m
SS (19)
€1m
SOR (17)
€1m
KS (16)
€1m
CSA (11)
€1m
Karcag SE and Tiszakecske FC have a similar squad value (both €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KT (9)
€1m
FF (10)
€1m
MEZ (7)
€1m
DV (5)
€1m
SOR (7)
€1m
TF (8)
€1m
KAZ (7)
€1m
SS (7)
€1m
AJK (5)
€1m
KS (7)
€0m
BVS (5)
€0m
KF (6)
€0m
S2 (6)
€0m
CSA (3)
€0m
Karcag SE and Tiszakecske FC have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DV (4)
€1m
BVS (5)
€1m
KAZ (4)
€0m
S2 (5)
€0m
KT (2)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
FF (3)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
KF (4)
€0m
MEZ (1)
€0m
SOR (4)
€0m
AJK (2)
€0m
KS (1)
€0m
Karcag SE and Tiszakecske FC have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DV (9)
€1m
KT (11)
€1m
KAZ (8)
€1m
S2 (12)
€1m
FF (9)
€1m
MEZ (9)
€1m
AJK (13)
€1m
KF (9)
€1m
BVS (7)
€1m
SS (8)
€0m
SOR (6)
€0m
KS (8)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
Karcag SE and Tiszakecske FC have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Hungary: NB II 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB II stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Soroksar
Kecskeméti TE
Kazincbarcikai
Ajka
Gyirmot SE
Mezokovesd-zsory
Szentlőrinc SE
Fehérvár FC
Szeged 2011
BVSC
Diosgyori VTK
Nagykanizsai ULE
Csakvar
Kozarmisleny FC