This opponent (IK brage) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
IK brage
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.2
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.40
1.14
1.50
1.44
1.31
vs Stronger (4)
1.75
1.50
1.50
1.00
2.00
2.00
vs Similar (26)
1.23
1.38
1.08
1.58
1.36
1.21
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Karlberg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.3%
Under 1.5
17.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
59.4%
Under 2.5
40.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
37.0%
Under 3.5
63.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
62.5%
No
37.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.0%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
7.8%
0-1
6.5%
2-2 ✓
6.4%
0-2
6.2%
0-0
5.7%
1-0
5.6%
Karlberg goals ↓
IK brage goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.7%
6.5%
6.2%
3.4%
1.4%
1
5.6%
12%
8.9%
4.8%
2.0%
2
4.8%
7.8%
6.4%
3.5%
1.4%
3
2.3%
3.8%
3.1%
1.7%
0.7%
4
0.8%
1.4%
1.1%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Karlberg goals (down), columns = IK brage goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
IFK Goteborg
2.67
Stockholm Internazionale
2.40
Mjallby AIF
2.40
BK Hacken
2.29
Osters IF
2.25
Vasteras SK FK
2.25
Sirius
2.25
Halmstad
2.25
Gais
2.25
Trelleborg
2.20
IF Elfsborg
2.20
IFK Norrkoping
2.17
Torslanda
2.00
Hammarby FF
2.00
AIK Stockholm
2.00
IF Brommapojkarna
2.00
Malmo FF
1.86
Djurgardens IF
1.75
Degerfors IF
1.75
Utsikten
1.50
Kubikenborg
1.50
Berga
1.50
IF Karlstad
1.50
Eskilsminne
1.50
Täby
1.50
FBK Karlstad
1.50
Sollentuna
1.50
Piteå
1.50
Trollhättan
1.50
Järfälla
1.50
Stocksund
1.50
Landskrona BoIS
1.50
Falkenbergs FF
1.50
Orgryte IS
1.50
Kalmar FF
1.50
Sandviken
1.50
Umeå FC
1.06
Rosengård
1.06
Eslov
1.06
Arameiska / Syrianska
1.06
Öckerö
1.06
Torstorps
1.06
Enköping
1.06
Friska Viljor
1.06
Myresjö / Vetlanda
1.06
Sölvesborg
1.06
Olympic (Sweden)
1.06
Högaborg
1.06
Centern
1.06
Karlslund
1.06
Dvärsätt
1.06
Laholm
1.06
Farsta
1.06
Gimo
1.06
Räppe
1.06
Qviding FIF
1.06
Assyriska FF
1.06
Sylvia
1.06
Vänersborgs FK
1.06
Syrianska FC
1.06
Nässjö
1.06
Viken
1.06
Lund
1.06
Lindome
1.06
Jönköping Torpa
1.06
Hjulsbro
1.06
Kristianstad
1.06
Ursvik
1.06
Stenungsund
1.06
Västboås
1.06
IFK Tidaholm
1.06
Ostersunds FK
1.00
Oddevold
1.00
Vasalund
1.00
Viggbyholms IK
1.00
Karlberg
1.00
Balkan
1.00
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.00
IFK Varnamo
0.75
Helsingborg
0.75
Orebro SK
0.75
Gefle IF
0.75
Gute
0.50
IK brage
0.50
GIF Sundsvall
0.00
Gauthiod
0.00
Onsala
0.00
Skellefteå
0.00
Haninge
0.00
Franke
0.00
Hudiksvall
0.00
Arlanda
0.00
Lödde
0.00
IFK Skövde
0.00
Zenith
0.00
Korsnäs
0.00
Karlberg is 0.50 points better than IK brage in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 0.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FBK Karlstad
3.50
Trollhättan
3.50
Mjallby AIF
3.40
Djurgardens IF
3.25
Berga
3.00
IFK Goteborg
2.83
AIK Stockholm
2.75
IF Karlstad
2.50
Sollentuna
2.50
Vasteras SK FK
2.50
Gais
2.50
Hammarby FF
2.40
IFK Norrkoping
2.33
IF Brommapojkarna
2.25
Kubikenborg
2.00
Trelleborg
2.00
Gauthiod
2.00
Torslanda
2.00
Falkenbergs FF
2.00
Halmstad
2.00
Kalmar FF
2.00
Malmo FF
2.00
Degerfors IF
2.00
IF Elfsborg
2.00
BK Hacken
1.86
Stockholm Internazionale
1.80
IFK Varnamo
1.75
Osters IF
1.75
Sirius
1.75
Orebro SK
1.50
Piteå
1.50
Stocksund
1.50
Orgryte IS
1.50
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.50
Umeå FC
1.38
Rosengård
1.38
Eslov
1.38
Arameiska / Syrianska
1.38
Öckerö
1.38
Torstorps
1.38
Enköping
1.38
Friska Viljor
1.38
Myresjö / Vetlanda
1.38
Sölvesborg
1.38
Olympic (Sweden)
1.38
Högaborg
1.38
Centern
1.38
Karlslund
1.38
Dvärsätt
1.38
Laholm
1.38
Farsta
1.38
Gimo
1.38
Räppe
1.38
Qviding FIF
1.38
Assyriska FF
1.38
Sylvia
1.38
Vänersborgs FK
1.38
Syrianska FC
1.38
Nässjö
1.38
Viken
1.38
Lund
1.38
Lindome
1.38
Jönköping Torpa
1.38
Hjulsbro
1.38
Kristianstad
1.38
Ursvik
1.38
Stenungsund
1.38
Västboås
1.38
IFK Tidaholm
1.38
Utsikten
1.25
Landskrona BoIS
1.25
Ostersunds FK
1.00
Oddevold
1.00
Helsingborg
1.00
Onsala
1.00
Skellefteå
1.00
Vasalund
1.00
Gute
1.00
Eskilsminne
1.00
Täby
1.00
Järfälla
1.00
Viggbyholms IK
1.00
Karlberg
1.00
Balkan
1.00
Korsnäs
1.00
Sandviken
1.00
Gefle IF
0.50
IK brage
0.50
GIF Sundsvall
0.00
Haninge
0.00
Franke
0.00
Hudiksvall
0.00
Arlanda
0.00
Lödde
0.00
IFK Skövde
0.00
Zenith
0.00
Karlberg is 0.50 goals better than IK brage in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 0.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
IF Brommapojkarna
0.25
Mjallby AIF
0.40
IF Elfsborg
0.40
BK Hacken
0.71
Malmo FF
0.71
Halmstad
0.75
AIK Stockholm
0.75
Stockholm Internazionale
0.80
IFK Goteborg
0.83
Ostersunds FK
1.00
GIF Sundsvall
1.00
Osters IF
1.00
Vasalund
1.00
Hudiksvall
1.00
Arlanda
1.00
Täby
1.00
IFK Skövde
1.00
Viggbyholms IK
1.00
Balkan
1.00
Falkenbergs FF
1.00
Trelleborg
1.20
Oddevold
1.25
IK brage
1.25
Vasteras SK FK
1.25
Sirius
1.25
Kalmar FF
1.25
Degerfors IF
1.25
IFK Norrkoping
1.33
Karlberg
1.40
Hammarby FF
1.40
Berga
1.50
FBK Karlstad
1.50
Sollentuna
1.50
Torslanda
1.50
Gais
1.50
Helsingborg
1.75
Landskrona BoIS
1.75
Djurgardens IF
1.75
Sandviken
1.75
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.75
Umeå FC
1.95
Rosengård
1.95
Eslov
1.95
Arameiska / Syrianska
1.95
Öckerö
1.95
Torstorps
1.95
Enköping
1.95
Friska Viljor
1.95
Myresjö / Vetlanda
1.95
Sölvesborg
1.95
Olympic (Sweden)
1.95
Högaborg
1.95
Centern
1.95
Karlslund
1.95
Dvärsätt
1.95
Laholm
1.95
Farsta
1.95
Gimo
1.95
Räppe
1.95
Qviding FIF
1.95
Assyriska FF
1.95
Sylvia
1.95
Vänersborgs FK
1.95
Syrianska FC
1.95
Nässjö
1.95
Viken
1.95
Lund
1.95
Lindome
1.95
Jönköping Torpa
1.95
Hjulsbro
1.95
Kristianstad
1.95
Ursvik
1.95
Stenungsund
1.95
Västboås
1.95
IFK Tidaholm
1.95
Onsala
2.00
Skellefteå
2.00
Franke
2.00
Gute
2.00
Piteå
2.00
Trollhättan
2.00
Korsnäs
2.00
Orgryte IS
2.00
Utsikten
2.25
IFK Varnamo
2.50
Orebro SK
2.50
IF Karlstad
2.50
Eskilsminne
2.50
Gauthiod
3.00
Lödde
3.00
Järfälla
3.00
Zenith
3.00
Gefle IF
3.00
Stocksund
3.50
Haninge
4.00
Kubikenborg
4.50
Karlberg is 0.15 goals worse than IK brage in terms of goals conceded per game (1.40 vs 1.25).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Karlberg or Draw✓ Hit
58.8%
Avg Implied -
33%
26%
41%
covers Karlberg + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Karlberg or IK brage✗ Miss
74.0%
Avg Implied -
33%
26%
41%
covers Karlberg + IK brage
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or IK brage✓ Hit
67.2%
Avg Implied -
33%
26%
41%
covers Draw + IK brage
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Karlberg over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
76.3%
Under
23.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karlberg over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
42.2%
Under
57.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karlberg over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
17.6%
Under
82.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karlberg over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.8%
Under
94.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IK brage over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
80.5%
Under
19.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IK brage over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
48.6%
Under
51.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IK brage over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
22.6%
Under
77.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IK brage over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
8.4%
Under
91.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Karlberg, so a minus line means Karlberg give that many goals of a start and IK brage receive them. At -1, Karlberg must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Karlberg win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Karlberg)Actual: IK brage
Karlberg -2
5.8%
Draw -2
9.8%
IK brage +2
84.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Karlberg)Actual: IK brage
Karlberg -1
15.6%
Draw -1
17.1%
IK brage +1
67.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Karlberg)Actual: Karlberg
Karlberg +1
58.8%
Draw +1
19.6%
IK brage -1
21.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Karlberg)Actual: Karlberg
Karlberg +2
78.4%
Draw +2
12.7%
IK brage -2
8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Karlberg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.17
0.33
0.33
1.33
0.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
0.33
0.33
0.33
0.33
-
-
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.00
-
-
1.33
0.00
Clean sheet %
83% (+56pp vs league)
This opponent (IK brage) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
IK brage
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.87
0.64
0.79
0.44
0.94
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.25
0.50
1.00
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (26)
0.54
0.81
0.67
0.75
0.43
0.86
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Karlberg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Karlberg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karlberg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karlberg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IK brage over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IK brage over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IK brage over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Karlberg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
1.00
0.33
1.33
1.33
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
0.33
1.33
0.33
1.33
-
-
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.67
-
-
1.33
0.67
Clean sheet %
17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (IK brage) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
IK brage
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.53
0.50
0.71
1.00
0.38
vs Stronger (4)
1.25
0.25
1.00
0.00
1.50
0.50
vs Similar (26)
0.69
0.58
0.42
0.83
0.93
0.36
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Karlberg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Karlberg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karlberg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karlberg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IK brage over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IK brage over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IK brage over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
96.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
94.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
91.6%
-
-
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✓ Hit
Under 5.5
90.8%
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✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
84.4%
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✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
82.4%
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✓ Hit
Over 1.5
82.3%
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✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
80.5%
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✓ Hit
Under 4.5
80.2%
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✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
78.4%
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✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
77.4%
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✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
76.3%
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✓ Hit
Home or Away
74.0%
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✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
IK brage
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Amar Muhsin50%
Filip Trpčevski29%
Anton Lundin14%
Teodor Walemark14%
Noah Astrand John10%
Pontus Jonsson9%
Marinus Larsen9%
Gustav Nordh7%
Alexander Zetterstrom0%
Haris Brkic0%
Emil Tot Wikstrom0%
Viktor Frodig0%
Jacob Stensson0%
Cesar Weilid0%
Malte Persson0%
Gustav Berggren0%
Lorik Konjuhi0%
Noah Östberg0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Anton Lundin43%
Jacob Stensson29%
Teodor Walemark29%
Gustav Berggren27%
Alexander Zetterstrom21%
Cesar Weilid20%
Malte Persson15%
Haris Brkic14%
Filip Trpčevski14%
Lorik Konjuhi14%
Noah Astrand John10%
Emil Tot Wikstrom8%
Pontus Jonsson0%
Viktor Frodig0%
Amar Muhsin0%
Gustav Nordh0%
Marinus Larsen0%
Noah Östberg0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Noah Östberg43%
Filip Trpčevski21%
Haris Brkic14%
Gustav Nordh13%
Cesar Weilid10%
Anton Lundin7%
Amar Muhsin7%
Gustav Berggren7%
Alexander Zetterstrom0%
Pontus Jonsson0%
Emil Tot Wikstrom0%
Viktor Frodig0%
Jacob Stensson0%
Teodor Walemark0%
Malte Persson0%
Lorik Konjuhi0%
Noah Astrand John0%
Marinus Larsen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Amar Muhsin21%
Filip Trpčevski14%
Marinus Larsen9%
Emil Tot Wikstrom8%
Alexander Zetterstrom0%
Pontus Jonsson0%
Anton Lundin0%
Haris Brkic0%
Viktor Frodig0%
Jacob Stensson0%
Teodor Walemark0%
Cesar Weilid0%
Malte Persson0%
Gustav Berggren0%
Gustav Nordh0%
Lorik Konjuhi0%
Noah Astrand John0%
Noah Östberg0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Sweden: Superettan 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Superettan stats & trends →