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Karmiotissa vs Nea Salamis Result & Analysis

Date: 19/04/2026
Time: 13:00
Final 1-0
Karmiotissa
Karmiotissa
Vs
35%
29%
36%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Nea Salamis
Nea Salamis
Cyprus: 2. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U
10 Top picks for this game11 Squad value12 Games History13 Overall Statistics14 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Karmiotissa a 35% win probability against Nea Salamis in the Cyprus: 2. Division on 2026-04-19, with 29% for the draw and 36% for Nea Salamis. The model estimates around 2.6 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (26%) and 1-1 the most likely scoreline (13.9%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Over 1.5 (74%), Under 3.5 (74%).

Results analysis

Karmiotissa finished 1-0 against Nea Salamis (Home win). Pythia had modelled a 35% home win, 29% draw and 36% away win. Picks that landed: Under 3.5 (74%). Missed: Over 1.5 (74%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Karmiotissa win✓ Hit
35.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Nea Salamis win✗ Miss
35.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

KarmiotissaKarmiotissa

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-620W31W50W01L21W22D22D30W10W62WA·AYI31/01A·MEA07/02H·ASI13/02A·NEA21/02H·PAE28/02H·DOX07/03A·OMO14/03H·AYI18/03H·MEA21/03A·ASI04/04
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.870.902.200.601.531.20
vs Stronger (10)1.701.202.670.671.291.43
vs Similar (13)2.150.922.000.562.501.75
vs Weaker (7)1.570.432.330.671.000.25
Clean sheet %43% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Nea Salamis) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Nea SalamisNea Salamis

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W21W20W10W21W42W00D21W22D30WA·DOX30/01H·OMO07/02A·AYI14/02H·KAR21/02A·ASI28/02A·MEA07/03A·PAE13/03H·DOX18/03A·OMO22/03H·AYI04/04
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.900.631.790.642.000.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)2.000.931.501.002.330.89
vs Weaker (15)1.800.332.000.381.570.29
Clean sheet %60% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Karmiotissa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
74.1%
Under 1.5
25.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
47.6%
Under 2.5
52.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.9%
Under 3.5
74.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
53.8%
No
46.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%
0-0
8.8%
0-1
8.5%
1-0 ✓
8.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
8.1%
0-2
6.3%
2-0
6.3%
Karmiotissa goals ↓
Nea Salamis goals →
01234
08.8%8.5%6.3%2.7%0.9%
18.5%14%8.1%3.5%1.1%
26.3%8.1%5.2%2.3%0.7%
32.7%3.5%2.2%1.0%0.3%
40.9%1.1%0.7%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Karmiotissa goals (down), columns = Nea Salamis goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Nea Salamis
2.62
Karmiotissa
1.93
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.83
PAEEK
1.59
Halkanoras
1.55
Doxa
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.41
Digenis Morphou
1.34
Spartakos Kitiou
1.34
APEA
1.34
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.28
ASIL Lysi
1.07
Ethnikos Latsion
1.03
MEAP Nisou
1.00
AE Zakakiou
0.90
Ahironas / Onisilos
0.28
Karmiotissa is 0.69 points worse than Nea Salamis in terms of average points per game (1.93 vs 2.62).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Omonia 29is Maiou
2.07
Nea Salamis
1.93
Karmiotissa
1.86
Halkanoras
1.62
Digenis Morphou
1.55
Spartakos Kitiou
1.45
PAEEK
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.45
APEA
1.31
Doxa
1.17
ASIL Lysi
1.10
AE Zakakiou
1.10
MEAP Nisou
1.07
Ethnikos Latsion
0.97
Iraklis Yerolakkou
0.93
Ahironas / Onisilos
0.62
Karmiotissa is 0.07 goals worse than Nea Salamis in terms of goals scored per game (1.86 vs 1.93).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Nea Salamis
0.52
Karmiotissa
0.90
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.03
PAEEK
1.07
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.14
Doxa
1.21
Spartakos Kitiou
1.24
Halkanoras
1.28
Digenis Morphou
1.31
APEA
1.31
Ayia Napa
1.48
Ethnikos Latsion
1.59
ASIL Lysi
1.72
MEAP Nisou
1.72
AE Zakakiou
1.79
Ahironas / Onisilos
2.34
Karmiotissa is 0.38 goals worse than Nea Salamis in terms of goals conceded per game (0.90 vs 0.52).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

KarmiotissaKarmiotissa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D20W10W00D10W21W00D20W10W20WA·AYI31/01A·MEA07/02H·ASI13/02A·NEA21/02H·PAE28/02H·DOX07/03A·OMO14/03H·AYI18/03H·MEA21/03A·ASI04/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.231.130.200.670.27
vs Stronger (10)0.600.200.670.330.570.14
vs Similar (13)1.150.231.110.111.250.50
vs Weaker (7)0.860.291.670.330.250.25
Clean sheet %80% (+50pp vs league)
This opponent (Nea Salamis) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Nea SalamisNea Salamis

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20W10W00D21W10W00D20W11D20WA·DOX30/01H·OMO07/02A·AYI14/02H·KAR21/02A·ASI28/02A·MEA07/03A·PAE13/03H·DOX18/03A·OMO22/03H·AYI04/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.301.140.291.000.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.930.470.830.501.000.44
vs Weaker (15)1.200.131.380.121.000.14
Clean sheet %73% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Karmiotissa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Karmiotissa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karmiotissa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karmiotissa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nea Salamis over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nea Salamis over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nea Salamis over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 10. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.574.1%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.574.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 11. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NS (26)
€4m
O2M (28)
€2m
KAR (27)
€2m
PAE (34)
€0m
DOX (32)
€0m
AN (40)
€0m
HAL (36)
€0m
Karmiotissa's squad is €3m less valuable than Nea Salamis's (€2m vs €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAR (0)
€0m
NS (0)
€0m
O2M (0)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAR (0)
€0m
NS (0)
€0m
O2M (0)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAR (0)
€0m
NS (0)
€0m
O2M (0)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 12. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
KAR wins
3
Draws
4
NS wins

Head-to-head

Karmiotissa vs Nea Salamis · H/A from KAR
DateH/AGameScore
21/02/26ANea Salamis Vs KAR1-0
12/12/25ANea Salamis Vs KAR0-0
30/03/25ANea Salamis Vs KAR0-0
14/02/25ANea Salamis Vs KAR2-1
09/11/24HKAR Vs Nea Salamis2-2
07/05/24HKAR Vs Nea Salamis1-3
30/03/24ANea Salamis Vs KAR0-2
21/01/24HKAR Vs Nea Salamis0-1

KarmiotissaKarmiotissa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/04/26AASIL Lysi Vs KAR2-6
21/03/26HKAR Vs MEAP Nisou1-0
18/03/26HKAR Vs Ayia Napa3-0
14/03/26AOmonia 29is Maiou Vs KAR2-2
07/03/26HKAR Vs Doxa2-2
28/02/26HKAR Vs PAEEK2-1
21/02/26ANea Salamis Vs KAR1-0
13/02/26HKAR Vs ASIL Lysi5-0
07/02/26AMEAP Nisou Vs KAR1-3
31/01/26AAyia Napa Vs KAR0-2

Nea SalamisNea Salamis

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/04/26HNS Vs Ayia Napa3-0
22/03/26AOmonia 29is Maiou Vs NS2-2
18/03/26HNS Vs Doxa2-1
13/03/26APAEEK Vs NS0-0
07/03/26AMEAP Nisou Vs NS2-4
28/02/26AASIL Lysi Vs NS1-2
21/02/26HNS Vs Karmiotissa1-0
14/02/26AAyia Napa Vs NS0-2
07/02/26HNS Vs Omonia 29is Maiou2-1
30/01/26ADoxa Vs NS0-2

📊 13. Overall Statistics

Karmiotissa
Karmiotissa
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWWW1.54
HomeWWDWW2.04
AwayWWLDW1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%62%27%
AVG goals2.622.542.69
Over 1.5 %78%83%73%
Over 2.5 %54%50%58%
Over 3.5 %24%17%31%
Scored1.421.711.15
Conceded1.200.831.54
BTTS44%38%50%
Clean Sheet32%46%19%
Corners9.502.0012.00
Cards4.505.004.33
Nea Salamis
Nea Salamis
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWDW1.84
HomeWWWWW1.76
AwayWWWDD1.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%52%56%
AVG goals2.442.522.36
Over 1.5 %72%68%76%
Over 2.5 %44%56%32%
Over 3.5 %22%24%20%
Scored1.421.361.48
Conceded1.021.160.88
BTTS40%44%36%
Clean Sheet44%40%48%
Corners12.0012.00-
Cards6.006.00-

🏆 14. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Nea SalamisNea Salamis2976
83%
2.6
5615+41
2.4
69%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.90.5
-
2KarmiotissaKarmiotissa2956
55%
1.9
5426+28
2.8
72%
55%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.90.9
-
3Omonia 29is MaiouOmonia 29is Maiou2953
48%
1.8
6033+27
3.2
79%
59%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0002.11.1
-
4PAEEKPAEEK2946
41%
1.6
4231+11
2.5
72%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.1
-
5HalkanorasHalkanoras2945
45%
1.6
4737+10
2.9
72%
62%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.3
-
6DoxaDoxa2942
41%
1.4
3435-1
2.4
79%
41%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.2
-
7Ayia NapaAyia Napa2941
38%
1.4
4243-1
2.9
83%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.5
-
8Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou2939
38%
1.3
4538+7
2.9
86%
55%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.3
-
9Spartakos KitiouSpartakos Kitiou2939
34%
1.3
4236+6
2.7
83%
45%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.2
-
10APEAAPEA2939
38%
1.3
3838+0
2.6
76%
52%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.3
-
11Iraklis YerolakkouIraklis Yerolakkou2937
28%
1.3
2730-3
2.0
62%
31%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.0
-
12ASIL LysiASIL Lysi2931
28%
1.1
3250-18
2.8
69%
48%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.7
-
13Ethnikos LatsionEthnikos Latsion2930
28%
1.0
2846-18
2.6
79%
41%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.6
-
14MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou2929
28%
1.0
3150-19
2.8
76%
48%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.7
-
15AE ZakakiouAE Zakakiou2926
21%
0.9
3252-20
2.9
79%
48%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
16Ahironas / OnisilosAhironas / Onisilos298
3%
0.3
1868-50
3.0
83%
55%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.62.3
-
Cyprus: 2. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 2. Division stats & trends →

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