This opponent (Omonia Nicosia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Omonia Nicosia
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
0.83
2.13
0.47
1.20
1.20
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
1.56
0.89
2.38
0.38
0.90
1.30
vs Weaker (12)
1.83
0.75
1.86
0.57
1.80
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Karmiotissa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.6%
Under 1.5
22.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.3%
Under 2.5
47.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
30.1%
Under 3.5
69.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.2%
No
42.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%
1-2
8.8%
0-1
8.0%
2-1
7.8%
0-0
7.5%
1-0
6.9%
0-2
6.8%
2-2
5.7%
Karmiotissa goals ↓
Omonia Nicosia goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.5%
8.0%
6.8%
3.3%
1.2%
1
6.9%
13%
8.8%
4.3%
1.6%
2
5.3%
7.8%
5.7%
2.8%
1.0%
3
2.3%
3.4%
2.5%
1.2%
0.4%
4
0.7%
1.1%
0.8%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Karmiotissa goals (down), columns = Omonia Nicosia goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Pafos
2.28
Aris
2.08
AEK Larnaca
1.89
Omonia Nicosia
1.89
Anorthosis
1.58
Apoel Nicosia
1.47
Apollon Limassol
1.28
AEL
1.18
Ethnikos Achna
1.18
Enosis
1.06
Omonia Aradippou
1.06
Karmiotissa
1.03
Nea Salamis
0.79
Omonia 29is Maiou
0.42
Karmiotissa is 0.86 points worse than Omonia Nicosia in terms of average points per game (1.03 vs 1.89).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Omonia Nicosia
1.92
Pafos
1.86
Aris
1.83
Apoel Nicosia
1.64
AEK Larnaca
1.61
Anorthosis
1.52
Ethnikos Achna
1.33
AEL
1.15
Apollon Limassol
1.03
Omonia Aradippou
0.97
Enosis
0.94
Nea Salamis
0.94
Karmiotissa
0.91
Omonia 29is Maiou
0.70
Karmiotissa is 1.01 goals worse than Omonia Nicosia in terms of goals scored per game (0.91 vs 1.92).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Pafos
0.58
AEK Larnaca
0.83
Aris
0.86
Apoel Nicosia
1.00
Apollon Limassol
1.08
Omonia Nicosia
1.11
Anorthosis
1.27
Enosis
1.45
AEL
1.61
Ethnikos Achna
1.61
Karmiotissa
1.73
Omonia Aradippou
1.76
Nea Salamis
1.88
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.97
Karmiotissa is 0.62 goals worse than Omonia Nicosia in terms of goals conceded per game (1.73 vs 1.11).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Apoel Nicosia
58%
Ethnikos Achna
58%
Pafos
56%
AEK Larnaca
53%
Apollon Limassol
53%
Anorthosis
50%
Omonia Nicosia
49%
Omonia Aradippou
46%
Nea Salamis
46%
Aris
46%
Omonia 29is Maiou
45%
AEL
44%
Enosis
40%
Karmiotissa
39%
Karmiotissa is 10.4 percentage points worse than Omonia Nicosia in terms of average possession (39% vs 49%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Karmiotissa
For 4.2 · Against 5.3 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 15.2 · Total 27.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Omonia Nicosia
For 6.8 · Against 4.2 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.9 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 14.1 · Total 25.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Karmiotissa
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
9.2
9.2
3.5
3.4
3.5
27.4
27.1
27.8
vs Stronger (18)
9.5
10.3
8.9
4.2
3.8
4.8
27.9
25.2
30.3
vs Similar (28)
9.0
8.5
9.5
3.0
3.2
2.7
27.3
28.5
26.0
vs Weaker (4)
9.0
10.0
8.5
3.5
3.0
4.0
26.0
22.0
28.0
% over line
49%
56%
42%
56%
52%
60%
86%
94%
79%
% under line
51%
44%
58%
44%
48%
40%
14%
6%
21%
This opponent (Omonia Nicosia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Omonia Nicosia
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.9
10.1
11.6
3.5
3.5
3.5
25.2
26.5
24.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
10.8
10.1
11.4
2.9
3.5
2.2
25.0
26.6
23.6
vs Weaker (24)
11.0
10.0
11.8
4.2
3.5
4.9
25.4
26.4
24.7
% over line
53%
38%
65%
50%
48%
52%
72%
75%
70%
% under line
47%
62%
35%
50%
52%
48%
28%
25%
30%
This opponent (Karmiotissa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Omonia Nicosia
10.4
Nea Salamis
9.9
AEL
9.8
Apollon Limassol
9.7
Omonia 29is Maiou
9.5
Aris
9.5
AEK Larnaca
9.4
Apoel Nicosia
9.3
Karmiotissa
9.3
Anorthosis
8.9
Enosis
8.9
Pafos
8.4
Ethnikos Achna
8.3
Omonia Aradippou
7.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Omonia Aradippou
9.0
Omonia 29is Maiou
7.5
Apoel Nicosia
5.5
Aris
5.5
Anorthosis
5.2
Apollon Limassol
5.2
Pafos
5.2
Ethnikos Achna
5.1
Enosis
5.1
AEK Larnaca
5.0
Karmiotissa
4.8
Nea Salamis
4.6
AEL
4.6
Omonia Nicosia
4.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Apoel Nicosia
29.8
Anorthosis
29.1
Enosis
28.6
Omonia 29is Maiou
27.5
Omonia Aradippou
27.0
Karmiotissa
26.8
AEL
26.8
Ethnikos Achna
26.1
Pafos
25.8
Aris
25.7
AEK Larnaca
25.4
Apollon Limassol
25.3
Nea Salamis
24.8
Omonia Nicosia
24.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
58.9%
Under 9.5
41.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
71.1%
Under 3.5
28.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
80.3%
Under 21.5
19.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Karmiotissa
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.63
0.44
0.62
0.71
0.64
vs Stronger (9)
0.33
0.44
0.40
0.40
0.25
0.50
vs Similar (18)
0.72
0.78
0.44
0.89
1.00
0.67
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
0.33
0.50
0.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Omonia Nicosia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Omonia Nicosia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.37
0.60
0.20
0.73
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
0.72
0.28
0.75
0.00
0.70
0.50
vs Weaker (12)
0.58
0.50
0.43
0.43
0.80
0.60
Clean sheet %
70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Karmiotissa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Karmiotissa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karmiotissa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karmiotissa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Omonia Nicosia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Omonia Nicosia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Omonia Nicosia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Karmiotissa
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
1.13
0.81
1.25
1.07
1.00
vs Stronger (9)
0.22
1.78
0.40
1.40
0.00
2.25
vs Similar (18)
1.00
0.89
0.78
1.22
1.22
0.56
vs Weaker (3)
2.67
0.67
2.00
1.00
4.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Omonia Nicosia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Omonia Nicosia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.47
1.53
0.27
0.47
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
0.83
0.61
1.62
0.38
0.20
0.80
vs Weaker (12)
1.25
0.25
1.43
0.14
1.00
0.40
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Karmiotissa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Karmiotissa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karmiotissa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karmiotissa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Omonia Nicosia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Omonia Nicosia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Omonia Nicosia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
89.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
86.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
77.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 8.5 corners
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Karmiotissa
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Christos Giousis33%
Bojan Kovačević25%
Delmiro20%
Andreas Neofytou0%
Minas Antoniou0%
Mate Kvirkvia0%
Argyris Kampetsis0%
Devis Epassy0%
Stavros Tsoukalas0%
Dion Malone0%
Deni Hočko0%
Răzvan Grădinaru0%
Boris Cmiljanić0%
Agapios Vrikkis0%
Panagiotis Andreou0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Minas Antoniou60%
Devis Epassy40%
Christos Giousis33%
Argyris Kampetsis33%
Panagiotis Andreou33%
Bojan Kovačević25%
Stavros Tsoukalas20%
Dion Malone20%
Delmiro20%
Andreas Neofytou0%
Mate Kvirkvia0%
Deni Hočko0%
Răzvan Grădinaru0%
Boris Cmiljanić0%
Agapios Vrikkis0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Christos Giousis0%
Andreas Neofytou0%
Minas Antoniou0%
Mate Kvirkvia0%
Argyris Kampetsis0%
Devis Epassy0%
Stavros Tsoukalas0%
Dion Malone0%
Deni Hočko0%
Delmiro0%
Răzvan Grădinaru0%
Bojan Kovačević0%
Boris Cmiljanić0%
Agapios Vrikkis0%
Panagiotis Andreou0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Christos Giousis33%
Boris Cmiljanić25%
Andreas Neofytou0%
Minas Antoniou0%
Mate Kvirkvia0%
Argyris Kampetsis0%
Devis Epassy0%
Stavros Tsoukalas0%
Dion Malone0%
Deni Hočko0%
Delmiro0%
Răzvan Grădinaru0%
Bojan Kovačević0%
Agapios Vrikkis0%
Panagiotis Andreou0%
Omonia Nicosia
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Stevan Jovetić50%
Willy Semedo33%
Andronikos Kakoullis25%
Filip Helander20%
Mariusz Stępiński18%
Saidou Alioum Moubarak17%
Senou Coulibaly8%
Veljko Simić0%
Fabiano0%
Ewandro Costa0%
Ioannis Kousoulos0%
Charalampos Charalampous0%
Nikolas Panagiotou0%
Giannis Masouras0%
Amine Khammas0%
Novica Eraković0%
Loizos Loizou0%
Mateo Marić0%
Omer Atzili0%
Alpha Dionkou0%
Fotios Kitsos0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Stevan Jovetić50%
Ewandro Costa33%
Mateo Marić31%
Omer Atzili25%
Willy Semedo25%
Andronikos Kakoullis17%
Senou Coulibaly15%
Charalampos Charalampous11%
Veljko Simić9%
Novica Eraković8%
Alpha Dionkou7%
Fabiano0%
Filip Helander0%
Ioannis Kousoulos0%
Nikolas Panagiotou0%
Giannis Masouras0%
Mariusz Stępiński0%
Amine Khammas0%
Loizos Loizou0%
Fotios Kitsos0%
Saidou Alioum Moubarak0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Charalampos Charalampous22%
Veljko Simić18%
Andronikos Kakoullis17%
Willy Semedo8%
Alpha Dionkou7%
Stevan Jovetić0%
Fabiano0%
Filip Helander0%
Ewandro Costa0%
Ioannis Kousoulos0%
Nikolas Panagiotou0%
Senou Coulibaly0%
Giannis Masouras0%
Mariusz Stępiński0%
Amine Khammas0%
Novica Eraković0%
Loizos Loizou0%
Mateo Marić0%
Omer Atzili0%
Fotios Kitsos0%
Saidou Alioum Moubarak0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mariusz Stępiński27%
Stevan Jovetić25%
Filip Helander20%
Andronikos Kakoullis17%
Willy Semedo17%
Charalampos Charalampous11%
Veljko Simić0%
Fabiano0%
Ewandro Costa0%
Ioannis Kousoulos0%
Nikolas Panagiotou0%
Senou Coulibaly0%
Giannis Masouras0%
Amine Khammas0%
Novica Eraković0%
Loizos Loizou0%
Mateo Marić0%
Omer Atzili0%
Alpha Dionkou0%
Fotios Kitsos0%
Saidou Alioum Moubarak0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (23)
€28m
AL (30)
€16m
AL (24)
€15m
AN (30)
€15m
ON (23)
€15m
ARI (26)
€11m
AEL (21)
€9m
ANO (25)
€7m
NS (15)
€5m
OA (18)
€5m
KAR (12)
€3m
O2M (10)
€3m
ENO (9)
€1m
EA (2)
€0m
Karmiotissa's squad is €12m less valuable than Omonia Nicosia's (€3m vs €15m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€14m
AN (12)
€8m
ON (9)
€7m
AL (10)
€7m
AL (9)
€7m
AEL (9)
€4m
ARI (8)
€3m
ANO (9)
€2m
NS (4)
€2m
OA (5)
€1m
KAR (3)
€0m
ENO (3)
€0m
O2M (2)
€0m
EA (1)
€0m
Karmiotissa's attack is €7m less valuable than Omonia Nicosia's (€0m vs €7m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (5)
€8m
ON (4)
€3m
ARI (5)
€3m
AN (4)
€3m
AL (4)
€2m
AL (6)
€2m
AEL (5)
€2m
NS (4)
€2m
ANO (6)
€1m
OA (4)
€1m
KAR (3)
€1m
O2M (2)
€0m
ENO (2)
€0m
EA (0)
€0m
Karmiotissa's midfield is €3m less valuable than Omonia Nicosia's (€1m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€7m
AL (14)
€7m
AL (11)
€7m
ARI (13)
€5m
AN (14)
€5m
ON (10)
€5m
ANO (10)
€3m
AEL (7)
€3m
OA (9)
€2m
O2M (6)
€2m
KAR (6)
€2m
NS (7)
€2m
ENO (4)
€1m
EA (1)
€0m
Karmiotissa's defence is €3m less valuable than Omonia Nicosia's (€2m vs €5m).
Cyprus: 1. Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 1. Division stats & trends →
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Pafos
Aris
AEK Larnaca
Apoel Nicosia
Anorthosis
Apollon Limassol
Ethnikos Achna
AEL
Enosis
Omonia Aradippou
Nea Salamis
Omonia 29is Maiou