Karmiotissa’s unbeaten run of five games, ending in a 0-0 draw against PAEEK, shows they can hold their own at home, yet their average of 2.33 goals scored and only 0.67 conceded against stronger sides suggests a defensive solidity that may be tested by Pafos. The Cypriot side, coming off a 1-1 draw with Dinamo Tirana, has been less prolific away, scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.83 against weaker opposition, hinting at a cautious approach on the road.
The model’s most likely outcome is an away win, with a 47% chance, followed by a 27% draw and a 25% home win. The expected total is 2.7 goals, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.1% probability. The model predicts a total of two goals with a 26% chance.
Suggested selections include Under 7.5 goals at 99.4%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 99.1%, Under 6.5 at 98.0% with an 8% edge, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 97.9%, Home under 3.5 goals at 97.4%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 95.0% with a 9% edge, Under 5.5 at 94.5% with an 8% edge, and Away under 2.5 2H goals at 92.6% with a 14% edge.
Results analysis
The Pythia model’s prediction proved accurate as Pafos secured a 3-0 away victory, extending their winning run after a recent triumph. The model’s favourite, an away win with a 47% probability, was correct. The final score of 0-3 matched the actual result. Every suggested selection hit: Under 7.5 goals at 99.4%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.7%, Under 6.5 at 98.0%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 98.0%, Home under 3.5 goals at 97.5%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 95.1%, Under 5.5 at 94.5%, and Away under 2.5 2H goals at 93.0%. The model’s comprehensive accuracy underscores its reliability for this match.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Karmiotissa win✗ Miss
25.3%
Avg Implied 7.9% · @ 11.58
Edge
+17.3%
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
13.50
1xBet
13.30
William Hil
13.00
BetVictor
12.00
Bet365
12.00
Draw✗ Miss
27.5%
Avg Implied 15.9% · @ 5.78
Edge
+11.6%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
6.25
Superbet
6.20
Dafabet
6.20
Betfair
6.00
Betano
6.00
Pafos win✓ Hit
47.2%
Avg Implied 76.1% · @ 1.21
Edge
-28.9%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.23
1xBet
1.22
Superbet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.22
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Karmiotissa
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.80
0.90
2.21
0.64
1.44
1.12
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
1.95
1.10
2.22
0.56
1.73
1.55
vs Weaker (10)
1.50
0.50
2.20
0.80
0.80
0.20
Clean sheet %
43% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Pafos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pafos
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
1.30
2.20
1.07
1.13
1.53
vs Stronger (4)
1.75
1.50
3.50
2.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (17)
1.47
1.53
1.67
1.11
1.25
2.00
vs Weaker (9)
2.00
0.78
2.75
0.50
1.40
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Karmiotissa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.8%
@ 1.14-5.4%
Under 1.5
24.2%
@ 4.95+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.15
BetVictor
1.13
Betfair
1.13
Under
Betfair
6.00
BetVictor
5.25
Superbet
4.75
1xBet
4.75
Marathonbet
4.75
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
50.0%
@ 1.50-11.8%
Under 2.5
50.0%
@ 2.41+11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.53
Betano
1.53
BetVictor
1.51
Superbet
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Under
Betfair
2.60
10Bet
2.45
Betano
2.45
Superbet
2.42
Bet365
2.38
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.0%
@ 2.25-13.3%
Under 3.5
72.0%
@ 1.59+13.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.30
1xBet
2.29
Marathonbet
2.29
Bet365
2.25
Betfair
2.25
Under
Betfair
1.62
Betano
1.60
10Bet
1.60
1xBet
1.59
Marathonbet
1.59
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.0%
@ 2.04+8.6%
No
46.0%
@ 1.69-8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
1xBet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.10
Bet365
2.10
Betano
2.07
BetVictor
2.05
No
Betfair
1.83
10Bet
1.70
William Hil
1.70
Superbet
1.69
Betano
1.67
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.1%@ 10.65+9.0%
0-1
9.7%@ 7.24+3.6%
1-2
9.4%@ 8.44+4.2%
0-2
8.6%@ 5.92+1.1%
0-0
8.1%@ 15.67+5.3%
2-1
6.5%@ 32.40+5.2%
1-0
6.4%@ 28.43+4.8%
2-2
5.2%@ 22.55+3.2%
Karmiotissa goals ↓
Pafos goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.1%
9.7%
8.6%
4.5%
1.8%
1
6.4%
13%
9.4%
4.9%
1.9%
2
4.2%
6.5%
5.2%
2.7%
1.1%
3
1.5%
2.4%
1.9%
1.0%
0.4%
4
0.4%
0.7%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Karmiotissa goals (down), columns = Pafos goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Omonia Nicosia
2.42
AEK Larnaca
1.92
Apollon Limassol
1.86
Pafos
1.72
Apoel Nicosia
1.44
Aris
1.42
Anorthosis
1.36
AEL
1.33
Omonia Aradippou
1.27
Nea Salamis
1.21
Krasava Ypsonas
1.21
Olympiakos
1.21
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.10
Karmiotissa
1.00
Karmiotissa is 0.73 points worse than Pafos in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.72).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Omonia Nicosia
2.44
Pafos
1.83
AEK Larnaca
1.72
Aris
1.69
Apoel Nicosia
1.47
Apollon Limassol
1.44
AEL
1.24
Nea Salamis
1.14
Krasava Ypsonas
1.09
Anorthosis
1.06
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.03
Olympiakos
0.97
Omonia Aradippou
0.94
Karmiotissa
0.94
Karmiotissa is 0.90 goals worse than Pafos in terms of goals scored per game (0.94 vs 1.83).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Omonia Nicosia
0.67
AEK Larnaca
0.92
Pafos
1.06
Apollon Limassol
1.14
Anorthosis
1.21
Aris
1.25
Apoel Nicosia
1.25
Omonia Aradippou
1.27
Krasava Ypsonas
1.33
Olympiakos
1.33
AEL
1.39
Nea Salamis
1.52
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.68
Karmiotissa
1.85
Karmiotissa is 0.79 goals worse than Pafos in terms of goals conceded per game (1.85 vs 1.06).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Pafos
55%
Olympiakos
54%
Apoel Nicosia
54%
Apollon Limassol
53%
Aris
52%
Omonia Nicosia
51%
Anorthosis
50%
AEK Larnaca
49%
AEL
49%
Krasava Ypsonas
47%
Omonia Aradippou
43%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Karmiotissa
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Pafos
For 4.6 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 3.0 · Total 6.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.8 · Against 12.7 · Total 26.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Karmiotissa
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
2.0
12.0
0.4
0.2
0.5
27.8
29.0
27.3
vs Stronger (6)
12.0
-
12.0
0.3
0.0
0.5
19.0
-
19.0
vs Similar (34)
8.7
2.0
12.0
0.5
0.3
0.6
30.7
29.0
31.5
vs Weaker (10)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
75%
0%
100%
4%
4%
4%
75%
100%
67%
% under line
25%
100%
0%
96%
96%
96%
25%
0%
33%
This opponent (Pafos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pafos
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
8.9
10.8
2.7
2.7
2.8
25.1
25.2
24.9
vs Stronger (9)
10.9
7.8
14.0
3.6
2.6
4.8
22.6
23.8
21.5
vs Similar (23)
9.9
9.7
10.2
2.5
2.7
2.3
25.7
25.7
25.8
vs Weaker (18)
8.8
9.0
8.5
2.6
2.8
2.4
26.4
25.7
27.5
% over line
48%
44%
54%
40%
40%
40%
68%
69%
67%
% under line
52%
56%
46%
60%
60%
60%
32%
31%
33%
This opponent (Karmiotissa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Omonia 29is Maiou
10.6
Nea Salamis
10.2
Omonia Nicosia
10.0
Krasava Ypsonas
9.9
Apoel Nicosia
9.8
Aris
9.7
Pafos
9.6
AEL
9.3
Karmiotissa
9.3
AEK Larnaca
9.2
Apollon Limassol
9.2
Anorthosis
8.7
Olympiakos
8.2
Omonia Aradippou
7.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Aris
5.7
Anorthosis
5.3
Omonia 29is Maiou
5.3
Omonia Aradippou
5.2
Apoel Nicosia
5.1
AEK Larnaca
5.1
Pafos
4.9
Apollon Limassol
4.9
AEL
4.8
Nea Salamis
4.7
Karmiotissa
4.6
Omonia Nicosia
4.6
Olympiakos
4.4
Krasava Ypsonas
3.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Anorthosis
29.5
Omonia Aradippou
28.9
Olympiakos
27.8
AEL
27.6
Apoel Nicosia
27.2
Karmiotissa
27.0
Aris
26.2
Pafos
26.1
AEK Larnaca
26.0
Omonia 29is Maiou
25.1
Nea Salamis
25.0
Omonia Nicosia
24.9
Krasava Ypsonas
24.3
Apollon Limassol
24.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
46.8%
@ 1.99+0.3%
Under 9.5
53.2%
@ 1.73-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.02
Bet365
2.00
10Bet
2.00
1xBet
1.97
Superbet
1.97
Under
Betano
1.75
Superbet
1.74
1xBet
1.74
Bet365
1.73
10Bet
1.70
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
74.4%
Under 3.5
25.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
84.0%
Under 21.5
16.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Karmiotissa or Draw✗ Miss
52.8%
Avg Implied 23.7% · @ 3.97
Edge
+29.1%
25%
27%
47%
covers Karmiotissa + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
4.35
Betfair
4.20
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.98
1xBet
3.98
Karmiotissa or Pafos✓ Hit
72.5%
Avg Implied 85.0% · @ 1.10
Edge
-12.5%
25%
27%
47%
covers Karmiotissa + Pafos
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
Draw or Pafos✓ Hit
74.7%
Avg Implied 91.3% · @ 1.03
Edge
-16.6%
25%
27%
47%
covers Draw + Pafos
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.06
William Hil
1.03
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Betfair
1.03
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Karmiotissa over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
66.6%
@ 1.94+18.9%
Under
33.4%
@ 1.77-18.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.00
Betano
1.98
Marathonbet
1.97
BetVictor
1.93
1xBet
1.93
Under
Superbet
1.80
10Bet
1.80
BetVictor
1.78
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.74
Karmiotissa over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
30.0%
@ 5.69+13.7%
Under
70.0%
@ 1.11-13.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.65
Bet365
6.00
BetVictor
5.75
1xBet
5.40
Superbet
5.40
Under
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
Bet365
1.11
BetVictor
1.10
Karmiotissa over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
9.9%
@ 13.75+3.0%
Under
90.1%
@ 1.01-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
17.00
Bet365
13.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Karmiotissa over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.5%
@ 40.50-97.5%
Under
97.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
60.00
Bet365
21.00
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
79.3%
@ 1.04-9.9%
Under
20.7%
@ 8.68+9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Under
1xBet
10.00
Bet365
8.50
Superbet
8.50
Betano
7.70
Pafos over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
46.7%
@ 1.30-24.4%
Under
53.3%
@ 3.21+24.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.32
1xBet
1.32
Superbet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Under
Bet365
3.40
BetVictor
3.30
10Bet
3.20
Betano
3.20
Superbet
3.15
Pafos over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
21.0%
@ 1.94-26.7%
Under
79.0%
@ 1.77+26.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.98
Superbet
1.95
BetVictor
1.95
Betano
1.95
Marathonbet
1.95
Under
Marathonbet
1.80
Betano
1.80
Bet365
1.80
BetVictor
1.78
Superbet
1.76
Pafos over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.6%
@ 3.33-20.3%
Under
92.4%
@ 1.29+20.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
3.60
Bet365
3.40
Superbet
3.40
Betano
3.30
1xBet
3.15
Under
Betano
1.31
Marathonbet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Superbet
1.27
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Karmiotissa, so a minus line means Karmiotissa give that many goals of a start and Pafos receive them. At -1, Karmiotissa must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Karmiotissa win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Karmiotissa)Actual: Pafos
Karmiotissa -2
3.0%
Draw -2
7.1%
Pafos +2
89.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Karmiotissa)Actual: Pafos
Karmiotissa -1
10.2%
@ 26.50+6.6%
Draw -1
15.1%
@ 13.00+8.0%
Pafos +1
74.7%
@ 1.04-14.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
29.00
Superbet
24.00
Draw
Bet365
15.00
Superbet
11.00
Away
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.04
Handicap +1 (Karmiotissa)Actual: Pafos
Karmiotissa +1
52.8%
@ 3.99+30.3%
Draw +1
22.2%
@ 4.03-0.0%
Pafos -1
25.0%
@ 1.62-30.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.98
Draw
Marathonbet
4.20
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.90
Away
Superbet
1.64
Bet365
1.62
Marathonbet
1.61
Handicap +2 (Karmiotissa)Actual: Pafos
Karmiotissa +2
75.0%
@ 2.11+32.7%
Draw +2
14.7%
@ 3.89-8.2%
Pafos -2
10.3%
@ 2.57-24.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
2.20
10Bet
2.15
Superbet
2.12
Marathonbet
2.08
Betfair
2.00
Draw
Marathonbet
4.20
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.80
Betfair
3.75
10Bet
3.70
Away
Betfair
2.70
10Bet
2.62
Superbet
2.57
Bet365
2.50
Marathonbet
2.48
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Karmiotissa
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.23
1.14
0.21
0.62
0.25
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.90
0.25
1.00
0.22
0.82
0.27
vs Weaker (10)
0.80
0.20
1.40
0.20
0.20
0.20
Clean sheet %
80% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (Pafos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pafos
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.50
1.07
0.33
0.40
0.67
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
0.25
1.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (17)
0.65
0.71
0.78
0.33
0.50
1.12
vs Weaker (9)
0.89
0.22
1.50
0.25
0.40
0.20
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Karmiotissa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
70.3%
@ 1.24-4.8%
Under 0.5
29.7%
@ 3.73+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.29
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Superbet
1.23
Under
Betfair
4.00
1xBet
3.80
BetVictor
3.75
Superbet
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
34.3%
@ 2.18-8.5%
Under 1.5
65.7%
@ 1.62+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.30
Marathonbet
2.27
1xBet
2.27
Bet365
2.20
William Hil
2.15
Under
Betfair
1.67
10Bet
1.67
William Hil
1.65
Superbet
1.64
Bet365
1.62
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
13.7%
@ 4.73-5.9%
Under 2.5
86.3%
@ 1.16+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
5.25
Betfair
5.00
William Hil
4.80
Betano
4.75
Bet365
4.50
Under
Superbet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.16
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Karmiotissa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
35.0%
@ 3.54+8.8%
Under
65.0%
@ 1.25-8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.74
1xBet
3.50
Betano
3.50
Superbet
3.40
Under
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.27
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.22
Karmiotissa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.9%
@ 13.50+0.9%
Under
92.1%
@ 1.01-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
16.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Karmiotissa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.3%
@ 70.00-98.7%
Under
98.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
70.00
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
52.5%
@ 1.38-14.6%
Under
47.5%
@ 2.82+14.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.37
Superbet
1.36
Under
Superbet
2.90
1xBet
2.85
Betano
2.72
Pafos over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
17.9%
@ 2.80-15.2%
Under
82.1%
@ 1.38+15.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.93
Betano
2.87
Superbet
2.70
1xBet
2.70
Under
Superbet
1.41
1xBet
1.39
Betano
1.38
Marathonbet
1.35
Pafos over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
4.9%
@ 6.53-9.2%
Under
95.1%
@ 1.08+9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.80
Betano
6.50
Superbet
6.30
Under
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Karmiotissa
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.67
1.07
0.43
0.81
0.88
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
1.05
0.85
1.22
0.33
0.91
1.27
vs Weaker (10)
0.70
0.30
0.80
0.60
0.60
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Pafos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pafos
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.80
1.13
0.73
0.73
0.87
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
1.25
2.00
1.50
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (17)
0.82
0.82
0.89
0.78
0.75
0.88
vs Weaker (9)
1.11
0.56
1.25
0.25
1.00
0.80
Clean sheet %
47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Karmiotissa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
78.7%
@ 1.16-2.4%
Under 0.5
21.3%
@ 4.94+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.12
Under
1xBet
5.30
Betano
5.10
Bet365
5.00
Superbet
4.80
William Hil
4.50
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
45.9%
@ 1.74-7.6%
Under 1.5
54.1%
@ 2.00+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.80
10Bet
1.75
Superbet
1.75
Bet365
1.73
Betano
1.72
Under
Betano
2.10
1xBet
2.03
Marathonbet
2.03
Bet365
2.00
Superbet
1.97
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
19.5%
@ 3.26-9.0%
Under 2.5
80.5%
@ 1.30+9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.50
Bet365
3.40
Superbet
3.25
Betano
3.15
1xBet
3.00
Under
Betano
1.35
1xBet
1.33
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.29
William Hil
1.25
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Karmiotissa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
42.7%
@ 2.86+10.4%
Under
57.3%
@ 1.37-10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.98
Betano
2.87
Superbet
2.80
1xBet
2.80
Under
Betano
1.39
Superbet
1.38
1xBet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.33
Karmiotissa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
10.9%
@ 10.38+1.9%
Under
89.1%
@ 1.03-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
12.00
1xBet
10.50
Superbet
10.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Karmiotissa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.0%
@ 50.00-98.0%
Under
98.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
50.00
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
63.6%
@ 1.25-11.0%
Under
36.4%
@ 3.65+11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Under
Betano
3.70
1xBet
3.70
Superbet
3.55
Pafos over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
25.9%
@ 2.14-17.4%
Under
74.1%
@ 1.64+17.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.20
1xBet
2.13
Marathonbet
2.12
Betano
2.10
Under
Betano
1.67
Marathonbet
1.64
1xBet
1.63
Superbet
1.60
Pafos over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
7.0%
@ 4.53-13.4%
Under
93.0%
@ 1.17+13.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.75
1xBet
4.60
Betano
4.25
Under
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.4%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+5.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.0%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Superbet
1.02
-
+6.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
98.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
97.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
95.1%
1.08
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
-
-
+9.2%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
94.5%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Betfair
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
BetVictor
1.05
+7.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
93.0%
1.17
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
-
-
+13.4%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
92.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
92.1%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
-0.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
90.1%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-3.0%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
89.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
89.1%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-1.9%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
88.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
86.7%
1.22
10Bet
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
+10.9%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.3%
1.16
Superbet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.16
+5.9%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
84.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
82.1%
1.38
Superbet
1.41
1xBet
1.39
Betano
1.38
Marathonbet
1.35
-
+15.2%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
80.5%
1.30
Betano
1.35
1xBet
1.33
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.29
William Hil
1.25
+9.0%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
79.3%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
-
-9.9%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.7%
1.16
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.12
-2.4%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
76.0%
1.26
Superbet
1.31
Betano
1.26
1xBet
1.21
-
-
+2.7%
-
Over 1.5
75.8%
1.14
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.15
BetVictor
1.13
Betfair
1.13
-5.4%
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
74.7%
1.03
Betano
1.06
William Hil
1.03
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Betfair
1.03
-16.6%
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
74.7%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.04
-
-
-
-14.6%
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
74.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
74.1%
1.64
Betano
1.67
Marathonbet
1.64
1xBet
1.63
Superbet
1.60
-
+17.4%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
72.5%
1.10
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
-12.5%
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
72.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
72.0%
1.59
Betfair
1.62
Betano
1.60
10Bet
1.60
1xBet
1.59
Marathonbet
1.59
+13.3%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
70.3%
1.24
Betano
1.29
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Superbet
1.23
-4.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals
70.0%
1.11
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
Bet365
1.11
BetVictor
1.10
-13.7%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Karmiotissa · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Christos Giousis33%
Bojan Kovačević25%
Delmiro20%
Andreas Neofytou0%
Minas Antoniou0%
Mate Kvirkvia0%
Argyris Kampetsis0%
Devis Epassy0%
Stavros Tsoukalas0%
Dion Malone0%
Deni Hočko0%
Răzvan Grădinaru0%
Boris Cmiljanić0%
Agapios Vrikkis0%
Panagiotis Andreou0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Minas Antoniou60%
Devis Epassy40%
Christos Giousis33%
Argyris Kampetsis33%
Panagiotis Andreou33%
Bojan Kovačević25%
Stavros Tsoukalas20%
Dion Malone20%
Delmiro20%
Andreas Neofytou0%
Mate Kvirkvia0%
Deni Hočko0%
Răzvan Grădinaru0%
Boris Cmiljanić0%
Agapios Vrikkis0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Christos Giousis0%
Andreas Neofytou0%
Minas Antoniou0%
Mate Kvirkvia0%
Argyris Kampetsis0%
Devis Epassy0%
Stavros Tsoukalas0%
Dion Malone0%
Deni Hočko0%
Delmiro0%
Răzvan Grădinaru0%
Bojan Kovačević0%
Boris Cmiljanić0%
Agapios Vrikkis0%
Panagiotis Andreou0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Christos Giousis33%
Boris Cmiljanić25%
Andreas Neofytou0%
Minas Antoniou0%
Mate Kvirkvia0%
Argyris Kampetsis0%
Devis Epassy0%
Stavros Tsoukalas0%
Dion Malone0%
Deni Hočko0%
Delmiro0%
Răzvan Grădinaru0%
Bojan Kovačević0%
Agapios Vrikkis0%
Panagiotis Andreou0%
Pafos · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
João Correia35%
Alexandre Brito33%
David Luiz25%
Anderson Silva24%
Jajá23%
Domingos Quina14%
Bruno13%
Ivan Šunjić9%
Mislav Oršić8%
Vlad Dragomir8%
Mons Bassouamina7%
Derrick Luckassen5%
Pêpê4%
Landry Dimata0%
Ken Sema0%
Nikolas Ioannou0%
Kostas Pileas0%
Neofytos Michail0%
Jay Gorter0%
Dani Silva0%
David Goldar0%
Bruno Langa0%
Wilmer Odefalk0%
Axel Guessand0%
Ognjen Mimović0%
Lelê0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ivan Šunjić36%
Alexandre Brito33%
Ken Sema21%
David Luiz20%
Jay Gorter20%
Bruno Langa20%
Jajá18%
Bruno17%
Axel Guessand17%
Domingos Quina14%
Lelê14%
Derrick Luckassen14%
Mislav Oršić12%
Vlad Dragomir12%
Pêpê12%
Nikolas Ioannou11%
David Goldar9%
Kostas Pileas6%
João Correia6%
Landry Dimata0%
Mons Bassouamina0%
Neofytos Michail0%
Anderson Silva0%
Dani Silva0%
Wilmer Odefalk0%
Ognjen Mimović0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mislav Oršić33%
Wilmer Odefalk20%
Landry Dimata17%
David Luiz15%
Ken Sema11%
Jajá9%
Pêpê8%
Kostas Pileas6%
João Correia6%
Domingos Quina5%
Ivan Šunjić5%
Bruno4%
Nikolas Ioannou0%
Mons Bassouamina0%
Derrick Luckassen0%
Neofytos Michail0%
Vlad Dragomir0%
Jay Gorter0%
Anderson Silva0%
Dani Silva0%
David Goldar0%
Bruno Langa0%
Axel Guessand0%
Ognjen Mimović0%
Lelê0%
Alexandre Brito0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Lelê14%
Mislav Oršić12%
Anderson Silva12%
João Correia12%
David Luiz10%
Jajá9%
Domingos Quina5%
Bruno4%
Ivan Šunjić0%
Landry Dimata0%
Ken Sema0%
Nikolas Ioannou0%
Kostas Pileas0%
Mons Bassouamina0%
Derrick Luckassen0%
Neofytos Michail0%
Vlad Dragomir0%
Jay Gorter0%
Pêpê0%
Dani Silva0%
David Goldar0%
Bruno Langa0%
Wilmer Odefalk0%
Axel Guessand0%
Ognjen Mimović0%
Alexandre Brito0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (23)
€28m
AL (30)
€16m
AL (24)
€15m
AN (30)
€15m
ON (23)
€15m
ARI (26)
€11m
AEL (21)
€9m
ANO (25)
€7m
NS (15)
€5m
OA (18)
€5m
OLY (14)
€4m
KY (20)
€4m
KAR (12)
€3m
O2M (10)
€3m
Karmiotissa's squad is €26m less valuable than Pafos's (€3m vs €28m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€14m
AN (12)
€8m
ON (9)
€7m
AL (10)
€7m
AL (9)
€7m
AEL (9)
€4m
ARI (8)
€3m
ANO (9)
€2m
KY (8)
€2m
NS (4)
€2m
OA (5)
€1m
OLY (4)
€1m
KAR (3)
€0m
O2M (2)
€0m
Karmiotissa's attack is €13m less valuable than Pafos's (€0m vs €14m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (5)
€8m
ON (4)
€3m
ARI (5)
€3m
AN (4)
€3m
AL (4)
€2m
AL (6)
€2m
AEL (5)
€2m
NS (4)
€2m
ANO (6)
€1m
OA (4)
€1m
KAR (3)
€1m
KY (4)
€0m
O2M (2)
€0m
OLY (2)
€0m
Karmiotissa's midfield is €7m less valuable than Pafos's (€1m vs €8m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€7m
AL (14)
€7m
AL (11)
€7m
ARI (13)
€5m
AN (14)
€5m
ON (10)
€5m
ANO (10)
€3m
AEL (7)
€3m
OA (9)
€2m
OLY (8)
€2m
O2M (6)
€2m
KAR (6)
€2m
NS (7)
€2m
KY (8)
€1m
Karmiotissa's defence is €5m less valuable than Pafos's (€2m vs €7m).
Cyprus: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 1. Division stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Omonia 29is Maiou
AEK Larnaca
AEL
Olympiakos
Nea Salamis
Apollon Limassol
Aris
Omonia Aradippou
Omonia Nicosia
Apoel Nicosia
Anorthosis
Krasava Ypsonas