The clash between Kasimpasa and Amed is a tight affair, with the model favouring a home win. The odds are evenly split: a 36% chance for Kasimpasa, 30% for a draw, and 34% for Amed. The expected total of 2.4 goals points to a modestly low-scoring game, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 14.4% probability. Kasimpasa, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, averages 0.89 goals scored and 0.89 conceded. Amed, on the road, averages 1.1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded versus similar teams. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.5%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.9%), Under 6.5 (98.4%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.6% with a 6% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (97.5% with a 3% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (95.9% with a 4% edge), Under 5.5 (95.5% with a 2% edge), Home under 3.5 goals (94.0% with a 2% edge). Both sides have recently mixed results - Kasimpasa coming off a 1-1 draw with Başakşehir, Amed fresh from a 2-1 win over Trabzonspor - adding to the uncertainty.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Kasımpaşa win
36.3%
Avg Implied 43.0% · @ 2.17
Edge
-6.7%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
2.26
Dafabet
2.24
Superbet
2.22
Betano
2.20
Marathonbet
2.17
Draw
30.4%
Avg Implied 28.4% · @ 3.28
Edge
+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.48
10Bet
3.35
Dafabet
3.35
Marathonbet
3.34
Superbet
3.30
Amed win
33.3%
Avg Implied 28.7% · @ 3.25
Edge
+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
3.45
1xBet
3.33
Betfair
3.30
Dafabet
3.30
10Bet
3.30
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Kasımpaşa
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
1.50
0.86
1.00
1.06
1.94
vs Stronger (11)
0.73
1.73
0.80
1.20
0.67
2.17
vs Similar (19)
1.11
1.37
0.89
0.89
1.30
1.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Amed) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Amed
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.03
1.00
2.40
0.60
1.67
1.40
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (18)
1.44
0.89
1.88
0.50
1.10
1.20
vs Weaker (11)
3.00
1.18
3.17
0.67
2.80
1.80
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Kasımpaşa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
70.0%
@ 1.34+0.2%
Under 1.5
30.0%
@ 3.10-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.39
Superbet
1.37
10Bet
1.35
Bet365
1.33
BetVictor
1.33
Under
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.25
Unibet
3.15
Betano
3.15
BetVictor
3.10
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
42.5%
@ 2.09-2.6%
Under 2.5
57.5%
@ 1.72+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.15
Betano
2.15
1xBet
2.14
10Bet
2.10
Bet365
2.10
Under
1xBet
1.77
Betano
1.75
Betfair
1.73
Marathonbet
1.72
Superbet
1.71
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
21.7%
@ 3.72-3.4%
Under 3.5
78.3%
@ 1.24+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
3.90
10Bet
3.85
Superbet
3.85
Bet365
3.75
Betano
3.75
Under
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.24
Both teams to score
Yes
49.7%
@ 1.83-0.8%
No
50.3%
@ 1.87+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.87
Betano
1.85
10Bet
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Marathonbet
1.83
No
Betano
1.90
Unibet
1.90
BetVictor
1.87
Superbet
1.87
1xBet
1.87
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%@ 5.92+6.9%
0-0
10.6%@ 8.40+5.3%
1-0
10.0%@ 6.58+3.3%
0-1
9.4%@ 8.50+4.2%
2-1
8.0%@ 8.49+2.8%
1-2
7.6%@ 10.83+3.5%
2-0
6.9%@ 9.51+2.2%
0-2
6.2%@ 14.94+3.2%
Kasımpaşa goals ↓
Amed goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
9.4%
6.2%
2.4%
0.7%
1
10%
14%
7.6%
2.9%
0.8%
2
6.9%
8.0%
4.6%
1.8%
0.5%
3
2.8%
3.3%
1.9%
0.7%
0.2%
4
0.9%
1.0%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kasımpaşa goals (down), columns = Amed goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Galatasaray
2.26
Fenerbahçe
2.18
Trabzonspor
2.03
Beşiktaş
1.76
Başakşehir
1.68
Göztepe
1.62
Samsunspor
1.50
Rizespor
1.21
Konyaspor
1.18
Gaziantep FK
1.09
Kocaelispor
1.09
Alanyaspor
1.09
Amed
1.05
Kasımpaşa
1.03
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.00
Eyüpspor
0.97
Erzurumspor FK
0.96
Çorum FK
0.95
Kasımpaşa is 0.02 points worse than Amed in terms of average points per game (1.03 vs 1.05).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Fenerbahçe
2.26
Galatasaray
2.26
Trabzonspor
1.79
Beşiktaş
1.74
Başakşehir
1.71
Samsunspor
1.35
Rizespor
1.35
Gaziantep FK
1.26
Konyaspor
1.26
Göztepe
1.24
Alanyaspor
1.21
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.06
Amed
1.03
Eyüpspor
0.97
Kasımpaşa
0.97
Erzurumspor FK
0.94
Çorum FK
0.93
Kocaelispor
0.76
Kasımpaşa is 0.06 goals worse than Amed in terms of goals scored per game (0.97 vs 1.03).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Galatasaray
0.88
Göztepe
0.94
Başakşehir
1.03
Fenerbahçe
1.09
Kocaelispor
1.12
Trabzonspor
1.15
Beşiktaş
1.18
Alanyaspor
1.21
Samsunspor
1.32
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.38
Eyüpspor
1.41
Kasımpaşa
1.44
Konyaspor
1.47
Rizespor
1.53
Gaziantep FK
1.71
Amed
1.71
Erzurumspor FK
1.88
Çorum FK
1.89
Kasımpaşa is 0.26 goals better than Amed in terms of goals conceded per game (1.44 vs 1.71).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Galatasaray
62%
Fenerbahçe
59%
Beşiktaş
56%
Trabzonspor
55%
Başakşehir
54%
Samsunspor
54%
Konyaspor
52%
Rizespor
50%
Gaziantep FK
50%
Kocaelispor
50%
Alanyaspor
48%
Eyüpspor
48%
Kasımpaşa
44%
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
43%
Göztepe
38%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Kasımpaşa
For 2.9 · Against 6.0 · Total 8.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.2 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.9 · Against 12.4 · Total 26.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Amed
For 6.6 · Against 3.5 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 11.3 · Total 24.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Kasımpaşa
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
9.4
8.4
5.0
4.5
5.4
27.7
28.4
26.8
vs Stronger (19)
9.3
10.5
7.5
5.3
4.9
5.9
27.2
27.9
26.2
vs Similar (31)
8.7
8.5
8.8
4.7
4.2
5.2
27.9
28.9
27.1
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
35%
40%
29%
70%
68%
72%
90%
92%
88%
% under line
65%
60%
71%
30%
32%
28%
10%
8%
12%
This opponent (Amed) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Amed
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
10.2
8.1
4.5
4.4
4.7
22.2
20.2
24.0
vs Stronger (1)
7.0
7.0
-
6.0
6.0
-
28.0
28.0
-
vs Similar (28)
9.5
10.4
8.5
4.7
4.6
4.9
22.1
19.6
24.7
vs Weaker (21)
8.8
10.4
7.6
4.2
3.9
4.4
22.0
20.3
23.3
% over line
37%
46%
28%
64%
62%
65%
51%
42%
60%
% under line
63%
54%
72%
36%
38%
35%
49%
58%
40%
This opponent (Kasımpaşa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Fenerbahçe
11.1
Beşiktaş
10.3
Başakşehir
9.7
Samsunspor
9.7
Trabzonspor
9.6
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
9.6
Konyaspor
9.6
Gaziantep FK
9.5
Göztepe
9.4
Çorum FK
9.4
Rizespor
9.3
Amed
9.0
Galatasaray
8.9
Kasımpaşa
8.9
Eyüpspor
8.9
Erzurumspor FK
8.5
Kocaelispor
8.3
Alanyaspor
7.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Gaziantep FK
5.8
Fenerbahçe
5.6
Beşiktaş
5.1
Kasımpaşa
5.0
Konyaspor
5.0
Başakşehir
5.0
Göztepe
5.0
Çorum FK
5.0
Eyüpspor
4.9
Amed
4.9
Alanyaspor
4.9
Kocaelispor
4.8
Trabzonspor
4.7
Erzurumspor FK
4.7
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
4.5
Galatasaray
4.5
Samsunspor
4.4
Rizespor
4.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Gaziantep FK
28.9
Kasımpaşa
27.7
Kocaelispor
27.4
Alanyaspor
27.1
Başakşehir
26.9
Göztepe
26.6
Eyüpspor
26.6
Trabzonspor
26.5
Samsunspor
26.2
Rizespor
26.1
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
25.5
Fenerbahçe
25.3
Beşiktaş
25.2
Konyaspor
24.8
Galatasaray
23.5
Erzurumspor FK
23.5
Çorum FK
22.9
Amed
22.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
40.7%
@ 2.01-5.5%
Under 9.5
59.3%
@ 1.72+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.10
Betano
2.10
Superbet
2.05
10Bet
1.95
Unibet
1.83
Under
Unibet
1.84
10Bet
1.73
Superbet
1.69
Betano
1.67
Bet365
1.67
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
65.0%
@ 1.58+6.4%
Under 3.5
35.0%
@ 2.23-6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.72
Superbet
1.44
Under
Superbet
2.42
Betano
2.05
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
86.2%
Under 21.5
13.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Kasımpaşa or Draw
72.8%
Avg Implied 71.3% · @ 1.31
Edge
+1.5%
36%
30%
33%
covers Kasımpaşa + Draw
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.35
Superbet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
Kasımpaşa or Amed
71.3%
Avg Implied 71.8% · @ 1.30
Edge
-0.5%
36%
30%
33%
covers Kasımpaşa + Amed
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.34
Bet365
1.33
William Hil
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Betano
1.31
Draw or Amed
55.9%
Avg Implied 56.9% · @ 1.65
Edge
-1.0%
36%
30%
33%
covers Draw + Amed
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.68
Betfair
1.67
10Bet
1.67
Betano
1.67
Bet365
1.67
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Kasımpaşa over/under 0.5
Over
76.6%
@ 1.26+2.8%
Under
23.4%
@ 3.54-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Under
Betfair
3.75
Unibet
3.60
BetVictor
3.60
10Bet
3.55
Superbet
3.50
Kasımpaşa over/under 1.5
Over
42.7%
@ 2.26+1.5%
Under
57.3%
@ 1.58-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.32
Marathonbet
2.31
1xBet
2.31
BetVictor
2.30
Betano
2.27
Under
Unibet
1.60
Betano
1.60
10Bet
1.60
1xBet
1.59
Marathonbet
1.59
Kasımpaşa over/under 2.5
Over
18.0%
@ 5.07-0.4%
Under
82.0%
@ 1.14+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
BetVictor
5.25
Marathonbet
5.20
Superbet
5.20
1xBet
5.20
Under
Betano
1.16
Unibet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
10Bet
1.14
Betfair
1.14
Kasımpaşa over/under 3.5
Over
6.0%
@ 12.42-1.7%
Under
94.0%
@ 1.03+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Superbet
13.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Amed over/under 0.5
Over
66.5%
@ 1.42+1.3%
Under
33.5%
@ 2.66-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.44
Betano
1.44
Bet365
1.44
10Bet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.41
Under
Betfair
2.75
BetVictor
2.70
Betano
2.67
Superbet
2.67
Marathonbet
2.64
Amed over/under 1.5
Over
29.9%
@ 3.05-0.6%
Under
70.1%
@ 1.34+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
10Bet
3.10
Marathonbet
3.05
1xBet
3.05
Superbet
3.05
Under
Betano
1.36
Superbet
1.35
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.35
Bet365
1.33
Amed over/under 2.5
Over
9.8%
@ 7.75-2.2%
Under
90.2%
@ 1.06+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
9.00
Superbet
7.70
1xBet
7.70
Marathonbet
7.70
Betfair
7.50
Under
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Amed over/under 3.5
Over
2.5%
@ 19.92-2.3%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.01+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
26.00
Superbet
22.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Kasımpaşa, so a minus line means Kasımpaşa give that many goals of a start and Amed receive them. At -1, Kasımpaşa must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Kasımpaşa win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Kasımpaşa)
Kasımpaşa -2
8.6%
@ 9.33-1.0%
Draw -2
13.6%
@ 6.08-1.1%
Amed +2
77.8%
@ 1.19+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
10.00
10Bet
9.00
Superbet
8.80
Marathonbet
8.70
Draw
Betfair
6.50
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.15
Superbet
6.00
10Bet
5.75
Away
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Unibet
1.19
Betfair
1.17
Handicap -1 (Kasımpaşa)
Kasımpaşa -1
22.2%
@ 4.11+0.4%
Draw -1
21.9%
@ 3.71-2.2%
Amed +1
55.9%
@ 1.65+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.20
Superbet
4.15
Marathonbet
4.10
10Bet
4.00
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
3.75
Superbet
3.75
10Bet
3.65
Marathonbet
3.56
Away
Bet365
1.67
10Bet
1.67
Unibet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.64
Superbet
1.64
Handicap +1 (Kasımpaşa)
Kasımpaşa +1
72.8%
@ 1.31+4.5%
Draw +1
16.2%
@ 4.72-2.8%
Amed -1
11.0%
@ 7.03-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
Betfair
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Draw
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
4.75
10Bet
4.75
Superbet
4.65
Unibet
4.60
Away
Betfair
8.00
Bet365
7.00
Unibet
7.00
10Bet
7.00
Superbet
6.60
Handicap +2 (Kasımpaşa)
Kasımpaşa +2
89.0%
@ 1.08+3.7%
Draw +2
7.7%
@ 9.33-2.1%
Amed -2
3.3%
@ 19.00-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.10
10Bet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Draw
Betfair
10.00
Bet365
10.00
10Bet
8.00
Away
Betfair
21.00
Bet365
19.00
10Bet
17.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Kasımpaşa
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.80
0.43
0.43
0.50
1.12
vs Stronger (11)
0.18
0.91
0.40
0.80
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (19)
0.63
0.74
0.44
0.22
0.80
1.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Amed) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Amed
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.50
1.00
0.27
0.87
0.73
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (18)
0.50
0.33
0.62
0.12
0.40
0.50
vs Weaker (11)
1.64
0.73
1.50
0.33
1.80
1.20
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Kasımpaşa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
69.8%
@ 1.42+4.4%
Under 0.5
30.2%
@ 2.69-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
Superbet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
BetVictor
1.44
1xBet
1.42
Under
Betfair
2.88
10Bet
2.80
William Hil
2.75
Unibet
2.75
Superbet
2.65
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
36.8%
@ 3.00+5.9%
Under 1.5
63.2%
@ 1.35-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
Betano
3.15
Superbet
3.05
Marathonbet
3.02
1xBet
3.02
Under
10Bet
1.38
William Hil
1.36
Betano
1.36
Superbet
1.35
BetVictor
1.35
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
13.3%
@ 7.83+1.4%
Under 2.5
86.7%
@ 1.06-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
9.00
William Hil
8.50
BetVictor
8.50
Betfair
8.00
Superbet
7.70
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.06
William Hil
1.06
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kasımpaşa over/under 0.5 HT
Over
61.4%
@ 1.98+14.6%
Under
38.6%
@ 1.74-14.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.05
Superbet
2.02
1xBet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.99
10Bet
1.93
Under
10Bet
1.80
Unibet
1.77
1xBet
1.73
Betano
1.72
Marathonbet
1.71
Kasımpaşa over/under 1.5 HT
Over
29.3%
@ 5.96+13.7%
Under
70.7%
@ 1.10-13.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.30
Superbet
6.10
1xBet
6.00
Betano
5.90
10Bet
5.50
Under
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
Kasımpaşa over/under 2.5 HT
Over
4.1%
@ 15.88-1.9%
Under
95.9%
@ 1.02+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
20.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
Amed over/under 0.5 HT
Over
32.8%
@ 2.39-6.0%
Under
67.2%
@ 1.52+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.50
Betano
2.45
Superbet
2.42
Marathonbet
2.35
Unibet
2.33
Under
10Bet
1.57
Betano
1.52
Marathonbet
1.51
Superbet
1.50
Unibet
1.50
Amed over/under 1.5 HT
Over
6.7%
@ 8.22-4.6%
Under
93.3%
@ 1.05+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.50
1xBet
8.50
Superbet
8.30
Betano
7.60
Under
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
Amed over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.1%
@ 34.00-98.9%
Under
98.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
34.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Kasımpaşa
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.70
0.43
0.57
0.56
0.81
vs Stronger (11)
0.55
0.82
0.40
0.40
0.67
1.17
vs Similar (19)
0.47
0.63
0.44
0.67
0.50
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Amed) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Amed
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.50
1.40
0.33
0.80
0.67
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (18)
0.94
0.56
1.25
0.38
0.70
0.70
vs Weaker (11)
1.36
0.45
1.67
0.33
1.00
0.60
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Kasımpaşa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
80.3%
@ 1.27+7.4%
Under 0.5
19.7%
@ 3.43-7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Under
Betano
3.55
Bet365
3.50
Superbet
3.45
Marathonbet
3.42
1xBet
3.42
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
52.8%
@ 2.28+11.9%
Under 1.5
47.2%
@ 1.57-11.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.33
Superbet
2.32
William Hil
2.30
Marathonbet
2.29
1xBet
2.29
Under
Betano
1.62
Unibet
1.58
Marathonbet
1.58
1xBet
1.58
William Hil
1.57
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
26.8%
@ 5.07+8.5%
Under 2.5
73.2%
@ 1.14-8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
10Bet
5.25
Superbet
5.15
William Hil
5.00
Marathonbet
4.95
Under
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
William Hil
1.14
10Bet
1.12
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kasımpaşa over/under 0.5 2H
Over
69.9%
@ 1.73+16.2%
Under
30.1%
@ 2.00-16.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.75
Betano
1.72
Marathonbet
1.72
1xBet
1.71
Under
Betano
2.05
1xBet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.98
Superbet
1.97
Kasımpaşa over/under 1.5 2H
Over
44.7%
@ 4.49+24.1%
Under
55.3%
@ 1.17-24.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.60
Superbet
4.60
10Bet
4.50
1xBet
4.50
Betano
4.25
Under
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.15
Kasımpaşa over/under 2.5 2H
Over
12.9%
@ 11.75+4.9%
Under
87.1%
@ 1.02-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
14.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.01
Amed over/under 0.5 2H
Over
34.3%
@ 2.00-12.1%
Under
65.7%
@ 1.73+12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.02
1xBet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.99
Betano
1.98
Under
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.73
Superbet
1.71
Marathonbet
1.71
Amed over/under 1.5 2H
Over
10.2%
@ 5.95-5.4%
Under
89.8%
@ 1.09+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.20
Superbet
6.10
1xBet
6.10
10Bet
5.75
Betano
5.60
Under
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
Amed over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.4%
@ 15.75-3.7%
Under
97.6%
@ 1.02+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
20.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
98.4%
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+0.9%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.6%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+3.7%
Away under 3.5 goals
97.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+2.3%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
95.9%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+1.9%
Under 5.5
95.5%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
+1.7%
Home under 3.5 goals
94.0%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.02
-
-
+1.7%
Over 19.5 fouls
93.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
93.3%
1.05
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
-
+4.6%
Away under 2.5 goals
90.2%
1.06
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
+2.2%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
89.8%
1.09
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
+5.4%
Home +2 handicap
89.0%
1.08
Bet365
1.10
10Bet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
-
-
+3.7%
Under 4.5
88.5%
1.06
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Unibet
1.06
+0.9%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
87.1%
1.02
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
-4.9%
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.7%
1.06
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.06
William Hil
1.06
-1.4%
Over 21.5 fouls
86.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
82.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
82.0%
1.14
Betano
1.16
Unibet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
10Bet
1.14
Betfair
1.14
+0.4%
Under 11.5 corners
80.7%
1.28
Unibet
1.33
Superbet
1.28
Betano
1.23
-
-
+8.0%
Over 0.5 2H goals
80.3%
1.27
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
+7.4%
Under 3.5
78.3%
1.24
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.24
+3.4%
Away +2 handicap
77.8%
1.19
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Unibet
1.19
Betfair
1.17
+2.1%
Home over 0.5 goals
76.6%
1.26
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
+2.8%
Over 23.5 fouls
75.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
73.2%
1.14
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
William Hil
1.14
10Bet
1.12
-8.5%
Home or Draw
72.8%
1.31
1xBet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.35
Superbet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
+1.5%
Home +1 handicap
72.8%
1.31
Superbet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
Betfair
1.30
10Bet
1.30
+4.5%
Home or Away
71.3%
1.30
1xBet
1.34
Bet365
1.33
William Hil
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Betano
1.31
-0.5%
Under 10.5 corners
71.1%
1.45
Unibet
1.52
Superbet
1.44
Betano
1.40
-
-
+7.2%
Under 5.5 cards
71.1%
1.36
Superbet
1.36
-
-
-
-
+5.0%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
70.7%
1.10
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
-13.7%
Away under 1.5 goals
70.1%
1.34
Betano
1.36
Superbet
1.35
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.35
Bet365
1.33
+0.6%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Kasımpaşa
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Adrian Benedyczak67%
Fousseni Diabaté33%
Andreas Gianniotis0%
Güven Yalçın0%
Cláudio Winck0%
Andri Fannar Baldursson0%
Matei Ilie0%
Marcus Rafferty0%
Ayberk Karapo0%
Adem Arous0%
Elson Mendes0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Cláudio Winck33%
Andri Fannar Baldursson33%
Matei Ilie33%
Ayberk Karapo33%
Andreas Gianniotis0%
Güven Yalçın0%
Adrian Benedyczak0%
Fousseni Diabaté0%
Marcus Rafferty0%
Adem Arous0%
Elson Mendes0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Cláudio Winck33%
Adrian Benedyczak33%
Andreas Gianniotis0%
Güven Yalçın0%
Fousseni Diabaté0%
Andri Fannar Baldursson0%
Matei Ilie0%
Marcus Rafferty0%
Ayberk Karapo0%
Adem Arous0%
Elson Mendes0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Adrian Benedyczak67%
Cláudio Winck33%
Andreas Gianniotis0%
Güven Yalçın0%
Fousseni Diabaté0%
Andri Fannar Baldursson0%
Matei Ilie0%
Marcus Rafferty0%
Ayberk Karapo0%
Adem Arous0%
Elson Mendes0%
Amed
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dia Saba33%
Gökhan Gül33%
Yira Collins Sor33%
Gift Orban33%
Mbaye Diagne0%
Lumbardh Dellova0%
Rayan Raveloson0%
David Robert Bates0%
Alban Lafont0%
Umut Meraş0%
Mehmet Yeşil0%
Samuel Ballet0%
Ermal Krasniqi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lumbardh Dellova33%
Rayan Raveloson33%
Alban Lafont33%
Umut Meraş33%
Samuel Ballet33%
Ermal Krasniqi33%
Gift Orban33%
Mbaye Diagne0%
Dia Saba0%
David Robert Bates0%
Gökhan Gül0%
Mehmet Yeşil0%
Yira Collins Sor0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lumbardh Dellova33%
Mehmet Yeşil33%
Samuel Ballet33%
Gift Orban33%
Mbaye Diagne0%
Dia Saba0%
Rayan Raveloson0%
David Robert Bates0%
Gökhan Gül0%
Alban Lafont0%
Umut Meraş0%
Yira Collins Sor0%
Ermal Krasniqi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mbaye Diagne33%
Yira Collins Sor33%
Dia Saba0%
Lumbardh Dellova0%
Rayan Raveloson0%
David Robert Bates0%
Gökhan Gül0%
Alban Lafont0%
Umut Meraş0%
Mehmet Yeşil0%
Samuel Ballet0%
Ermal Krasniqi0%
Gift Orban0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (29)
€345m
FEN (39)
€332m
BEŞ (34)
€202m
TRA (31)
€168m
BAŞ (32)
€77m
GÖZ (26)
€61m
SAM (30)
€50m
ÇF (28)
€47m
RIZ (24)
€44m
ALA (29)
€38m
KON (26)
€33m
KAS (31)
€31m
GF (28)
€28m
AME (22)
€27m
EF (26)
€26m
KOC (26)
€24m
GS (19)
€15m
EYÜ (24)
€14m
Kasımpaşa's squad is €3m more valuable than Amed's (€31m vs €27m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (9)
€173m
FEN (14)
€162m
BEŞ (11)
€70m
TRA (11)
€67m
BAŞ (13)
€40m
GÖZ (10)
€30m
SAM (12)
€20m
AME (7)
€15m
KAS (13)
€14m
GF (14)
€14m
KON (10)
€13m
RIZ (8)
€12m
ÇF (9)
€12m
EF (9)
€10m
ALA (11)
€9m
KOC (8)
€9m
EYÜ (10)
€5m
GS (4)
€4m
Kasımpaşa and Amed have a similar attack value (both €14m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (7)
€72m
FEN (7)
€62m
BEŞ (9)
€50m
TRA (9)
€38m
GÖZ (7)
€19m
ALA (9)
€18m
ÇF (7)
€14m
SAM (6)
€12m
BAŞ (6)
€10m
KOC (8)
€9m
GF (5)
€8m
EF (4)
€7m
RIZ (4)
€7m
GS (6)
€5m
KAS (7)
€4m
KON (4)
€4m
AME (4)
€3m
EYÜ (4)
€2m
Kasımpaşa and Amed have a similar midfield value (both €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FEN (18)
€108m
GAL (13)
€100m
BEŞ (14)
€82m
TRA (11)
€63m
BAŞ (13)
€28m
RIZ (12)
€25m
ÇF (12)
€21m
SAM (12)
€18m
KON (12)
€16m
KAS (11)
€12m
GÖZ (9)
€12m
ALA (9)
€11m
AME (11)
€9m
EF (13)
€8m
KOC (10)
€7m
EYÜ (10)
€7m
GF (9)
€6m
GS (9)
€5m
Kasımpaşa's defence is €3m more valuable than Amed's (€12m vs €9m).
Turkey: Süper Lig 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Turkey: Süper Lig stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Galatasaray
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Beşiktaş
Fenerbahçe
Kocaelispor
Rizespor
Başakşehir
Samsunspor
Trabzonspor
Alanyaspor
Gaziantep FK
Eyüpspor
Göztepe
Çorum FK
Erzurumspor FK
Konyaspor