This opponent (Başakşehir) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Başakşehir
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.83
0.87
2.20
0.73
1.47
1.00
vs Stronger (5)
1.40
1.20
2.00
1.00
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (4)
1.75
0.25
2.00
0.00
1.50
0.50
vs Weaker (21)
1.95
0.90
2.30
0.80
1.64
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Kasımpaşa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.6%
Under 1.5
17.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
59.9%
Under 2.5
40.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
37.5%
Under 3.5
62.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
62.7%
No
37.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-1 ✓
7.6%
0-1
6.5%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
6.4%
0-0
5.6%
1-0
5.3%
Kasımpaşa goals ↓
Başakşehir goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.6%
6.5%
6.4%
3.6%
1.5%
1
5.3%
12%
9.1%
5.1%
2.2%
2
4.5%
7.6%
6.4%
3.6%
1.5%
3
2.1%
3.6%
3.0%
1.7%
0.7%
4
0.7%
1.3%
1.1%
0.6%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kasımpaşa goals (down), columns = Başakşehir goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Galatasaray
2.03
Başakşehir
1.97
Beşiktaş
1.91
Trabzonspor
1.85
Yeni Malatyaspor
1.38
Fenerbahçe
1.35
Antalyaspor
1.32
Konyaspor
1.29
Alanyaspor
1.29
Sivasspor
1.21
Rizespor
1.21
Kayserispor
1.21
Ankaragücü
1.18
Kasımpaşa
1.15
Göztepe
1.12
Bursaspor
1.09
Erzurumspor FK
1.03
Akhisar Belediyespor
0.79
Kasımpaşa is 0.82 points worse than Başakşehir in terms of average points per game (1.15 vs 1.97).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Beşiktaş
2.12
Galatasaray
2.12
Trabzonspor
1.88
Kasımpaşa
1.56
Sivasspor
1.44
Başakşehir
1.44
Rizespor
1.41
Yeni Malatyaspor
1.38
Fenerbahçe
1.29
Konyaspor
1.18
Antalyaspor
1.15
Ankaragücü
1.12
Göztepe
1.09
Alanyaspor
1.09
Erzurumspor FK
1.06
Kayserispor
1.03
Akhisar Belediyespor
1.00
Bursaspor
0.82
Kasımpaşa is 0.12 goals better than Başakşehir in terms of goals scored per game (1.56 vs 1.44).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Başakşehir
0.65
Galatasaray
1.06
Bursaspor
1.09
Konyaspor
1.12
Göztepe
1.24
Erzurumspor FK
1.26
Alanyaspor
1.26
Fenerbahçe
1.29
Trabzonspor
1.35
Yeni Malatyaspor
1.35
Beşiktaş
1.38
Rizespor
1.47
Kayserispor
1.47
Ankaragücü
1.56
Sivasspor
1.59
Akhisar Belediyespor
1.59
Antalyaspor
1.62
Kasımpaşa
1.82
Kasımpaşa is 1.18 goals worse than Başakşehir in terms of goals conceded per game (1.82 vs 0.65).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Kasımpaşa
For 4.4 · Against 7.2 · Total 11.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 13.0 · Total 25.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Başakşehir
For 5.1 · Against 4.3 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.0 · Against 13.6 · Total 27.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Kasımpaşa
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.7
9.8
3.4
3.3
3.6
27.1
27.3
26.9
vs Stronger (14)
9.2
8.6
9.8
3.6
3.8
3.5
28.5
32.0
25.0
vs Similar (25)
9.9
9.5
10.2
3.3
3.2
3.5
25.0
22.8
27.0
vs Weaker (11)
10.1
11.5
8.8
3.5
3.0
4.0
29.9
30.5
29.2
% over line
51%
53%
50%
50%
42%
58%
77%
71%
83%
% under line
49%
47%
50%
50%
58%
42%
23%
29%
17%
This opponent (Başakşehir) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Başakşehir
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.7
8.8
8.6
3.1
3.1
3.2
26.0
25.7
26.2
vs Stronger (8)
9.7
10.0
9.3
4.1
2.8
6.3
26.5
25.7
27.3
vs Similar (6)
10.2
9.7
11.0
2.8
4.7
1.0
28.8
32.0
24.0
vs Weaker (36)
8.2
8.3
8.1
3.0
2.9
3.0
25.2
24.2
26.3
% over line
40%
44%
35%
40%
36%
44%
83%
72%
94%
% under line
60%
56%
65%
60%
64%
56%
17%
28%
6%
This opponent (Kasımpaşa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Erzurumspor FK
14.5
Beşiktaş
10.9
Fenerbahçe
9.9
Kasımpaşa
9.7
Konyaspor
9.7
Göztepe
9.7
Alanyaspor
9.7
Antalyaspor
9.5
Galatasaray
9.4
Bursaspor
9.2
Sivasspor
9.2
Trabzonspor
9.1
Kayserispor
9.0
Yeni Malatyaspor
8.9
Başakşehir
8.7
Akhisar Belediyespor
8.7
Rizespor
8.0
Ankaragücü
7.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Ankaragücü
7.5
Alanyaspor
5.9
Trabzonspor
5.8
Beşiktaş
5.7
Fenerbahçe
5.4
Sivasspor
5.3
Konyaspor
5.3
Göztepe
5.2
Akhisar Belediyespor
5.1
Antalyaspor
5.1
Galatasaray
5.1
Kasımpaşa
4.9
Kayserispor
4.8
Bursaspor
4.6
Başakşehir
4.5
Yeni Malatyaspor
4.4
Erzurumspor FK
3.0
Rizespor
2.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Trabzonspor
31.6
Beşiktaş
30.0
Alanyaspor
30.0
Rizespor
29.5
Yeni Malatyaspor
29.2
Ankaragücü
29.0
Sivasspor
28.9
Fenerbahçe
28.9
Antalyaspor
28.8
Bursaspor
28.7
Galatasaray
28.2
Göztepe
28.0
Akhisar Belediyespor
27.9
Kasımpaşa
27.1
Kayserispor
26.0
Başakşehir
26.0
Konyaspor
25.9
Erzurumspor FK
21.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
50.4%
Under 9.5
49.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
68.8%
Under 3.5
31.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
84.4%
Under 21.5
15.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Kasımpaşa
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.73
0.73
0.53
0.80
0.93
vs Stronger (8)
1.00
1.25
0.50
1.00
1.50
1.50
vs Similar (16)
0.81
0.50
1.00
0.38
0.62
0.62
vs Weaker (6)
0.33
0.67
0.33
0.33
0.33
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Başakşehir) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Başakşehir
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.37
1.20
0.33
0.60
0.40
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
0.20
1.00
0.33
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (4)
1.25
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.50
0.00
vs Weaker (21)
0.90
0.48
1.30
0.40
0.55
0.55
Clean sheet %
67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Kasımpaşa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kasımpaşa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kasımpaşa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kasımpaşa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Başakşehir over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Başakşehir over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Başakşehir over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Kasımpaşa
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.97
1.07
1.13
0.80
0.80
vs Stronger (8)
0.75
1.38
0.50
1.50
1.00
1.25
vs Similar (16)
1.00
1.06
1.25
1.38
0.75
0.75
vs Weaker (6)
1.00
0.17
1.33
0.00
0.67
0.33
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Başakşehir) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Başakşehir
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.50
1.00
0.40
0.87
0.60
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
1.00
1.00
0.67
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (4)
0.50
0.25
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
vs Weaker (21)
1.05
0.43
1.00
0.40
1.09
0.45
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Kasımpaşa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kasımpaşa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kasımpaşa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kasımpaşa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Başakşehir over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Başakşehir over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Başakşehir over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
92.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
84.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
84.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
82.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
73.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Kasımpaşa · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Adrian Benedyczak67%
Fousseni Diabaté33%
Andreas Gianniotis0%
Güven Yalçın0%
Cláudio Winck0%
Andri Fannar Baldursson0%
Matei Ilie0%
Marcus Rafferty0%
Ayberk Karapo0%
Adem Arous0%
Elson Mendes0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Cláudio Winck33%
Andri Fannar Baldursson33%
Matei Ilie33%
Ayberk Karapo33%
Andreas Gianniotis0%
Güven Yalçın0%
Adrian Benedyczak0%
Fousseni Diabaté0%
Marcus Rafferty0%
Adem Arous0%
Elson Mendes0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Cláudio Winck33%
Adrian Benedyczak33%
Andreas Gianniotis0%
Güven Yalçın0%
Fousseni Diabaté0%
Andri Fannar Baldursson0%
Matei Ilie0%
Marcus Rafferty0%
Ayberk Karapo0%
Adem Arous0%
Elson Mendes0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Adrian Benedyczak67%
Cláudio Winck33%
Andreas Gianniotis0%
Güven Yalçın0%
Fousseni Diabaté0%
Andri Fannar Baldursson0%
Matei Ilie0%
Marcus Rafferty0%
Ayberk Karapo0%
Adem Arous0%
Elson Mendes0%
Başakşehir · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Eldor Shomurodov100%
Christopher Operi33%
Andreas Skov Olsen0%
Umut Bozok0%
Davie Selke0%
Ömer Ali Şahiner0%
Muhammed Şengezer0%
Onur Ergün0%
Olivier Kemen0%
Jerome Opoku0%
Emin Bayram0%
Abbosbek Fayzullaev0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Olivier Kemen67%
Davie Selke33%
Ömer Ali Şahiner33%
Onur Ergün33%
Jerome Opoku33%
Abbosbek Fayzullaev33%
Andreas Skov Olsen0%
Christopher Operi0%
Umut Bozok0%
Muhammed Şengezer0%
Eldor Shomurodov0%
Emin Bayram0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Andreas Skov Olsen33%
Umut Bozok33%
Abbosbek Fayzullaev33%
Christopher Operi0%
Davie Selke0%
Ömer Ali Şahiner0%
Muhammed Şengezer0%
Eldor Shomurodov0%
Onur Ergün0%
Olivier Kemen0%
Jerome Opoku0%
Emin Bayram0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Eldor Shomurodov67%
Andreas Skov Olsen0%
Christopher Operi0%
Umut Bozok0%
Davie Selke0%
Ömer Ali Şahiner0%
Muhammed Şengezer0%
Onur Ergün0%
Olivier Kemen0%
Jerome Opoku0%
Emin Bayram0%
Abbosbek Fayzullaev0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (29)
€345m
FEN (39)
€332m
BEŞ (34)
€202m
TRA (31)
€168m
BAŞ (32)
€77m
GÖZ (26)
€61m
RIZ (24)
€44m
ALA (29)
€38m
KON (26)
€33m
KAS (31)
€31m
EF (26)
€26m
BUR (27)
€19m
ANT (25)
€16m
KAY (23)
€12m
SIV (26)
€10m
Kasımpaşa's squad is €47m less valuable than Başakşehir's (€31m vs €77m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (9)
€173m
FEN (14)
€162m
BEŞ (11)
€70m
TRA (11)
€67m
BAŞ (13)
€40m
GÖZ (10)
€30m
KAS (13)
€14m
KON (10)
€13m
RIZ (8)
€12m
EF (9)
€10m
BUR (10)
€10m
ALA (11)
€9m
KAY (9)
€5m
ANT (8)
€5m
SIV (10)
€4m
Kasımpaşa's attack is €26m less valuable than Başakşehir's (€14m vs €40m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (7)
€72m
FEN (7)
€62m
BEŞ (9)
€50m
TRA (9)
€38m
GÖZ (7)
€19m
ALA (9)
€18m
BAŞ (6)
€10m
EF (4)
€7m
RIZ (4)
€7m
KAS (7)
€4m
BUR (5)
€4m
KON (4)
€4m
ANT (6)
€4m
SIV (5)
€3m
KAY (4)
€2m
Kasımpaşa's midfield is €5m less valuable than Başakşehir's (€4m vs €10m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FEN (18)
€108m
GAL (13)
€100m
BEŞ (14)
€82m
TRA (11)
€63m
BAŞ (13)
€28m
RIZ (12)
€25m
KON (12)
€16m
KAS (11)
€12m
GÖZ (9)
€12m
ALA (9)
€11m
EF (13)
€8m
ANT (11)
€7m
KAY (10)
€5m
BUR (12)
€4m
SIV (11)
€3m
Kasımpaşa's defence is €16m less valuable than Başakşehir's (€12m vs €28m).
Turkey: Süper Lig 2018/19 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Turkey: Süper Lig stats & trends →
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Galatasaray
Beşiktaş
Trabzonspor
Yeni Malatyaspor
Fenerbahçe
Antalyaspor
Konyaspor
Alanyaspor
Rizespor
Sivasspor
Kayserispor
Ankaragücü
Göztepe
Bursaspor
Erzurumspor FK