Kasımpaşa are tipped to edge Konyaspor in this Süper Lig clash, the model’s pick pointing to a home win. The odds favour the home side at 48%, with draws and away victories each at 26%. The expected total of 2.9 goals suggests a lively affair, but the most likely total is two goals, a 24% chance. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, with a 12.3% probability. Kasımpaşa’s home form shows an impressive 2.4 goals scored and only 0.4 conceded against similar opposition, while Konyaspor, on the road, averages 1.38 goals for and 1.25 against. The suggested pick is Over 1.5, with a 79.8% chance. The match is expected to finish 1-1, reflecting the balanced nature of the contest.
Results analysis
Kasimpasa’s draw with Konyaspor stunned the pre-match favourite, the model’s Home win call. The final score of 1-1 meant the model’s prediction was wrong, despite the 48% probability it had assigned to a home victory. Kasimpasa, coming off a draw, had been in a mixed run, while Konyaspor had suffered five straight defeats. The model’s single suggested pick, Over 1.5 goals, hit its target with a 79.8% probability. The match delivered a 1-1 draw, confirming the model’s over-goal selection but not its home-win preference.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Kasımpaşa win✗ Miss
47.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
26.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Konyaspor win✗ Miss
26.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Kasımpaşa
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.70
1.27
2.27
1.13
1.13
1.40
vs Stronger (9)
1.67
1.56
1.60
1.80
1.75
1.25
vs Similar (13)
1.54
1.08
2.40
0.40
1.00
1.50
vs Weaker (8)
2.00
1.25
2.80
1.20
0.67
1.33
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Konyaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Konyaspor
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.17
1.20
0.93
1.20
1.40
vs Stronger (10)
1.00
1.80
0.83
1.50
1.25
2.25
vs Similar (15)
1.47
0.93
1.57
0.57
1.38
1.25
vs Weaker (5)
0.80
0.60
1.00
0.50
0.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Kasımpaşa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.8%
Under 1.5
20.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
55.6%
Under 2.5
44.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.2%
Under 3.5
66.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.4%
No
41.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-0
7.9%
1-2
6.8%
0-0
6.6%
2-2
5.8%
0-1
5.5%
Kasımpaşa goals ↓
Konyaspor goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.6%
5.5%
4.0%
1.6%
0.5%
1
8.2%
12%
6.8%
2.7%
0.8%
2
7.9%
9.5%
5.8%
2.3%
0.7%
3
4.5%
5.4%
3.3%
1.3%
0.4%
4
1.9%
2.3%
1.4%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kasımpaşa goals (down), columns = Konyaspor goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Beşiktaş
2.26
Başakşehir
2.15
Fenerbahçe
1.88
Galatasaray
1.88
Antalyaspor
1.71
Trabzonspor
1.50
Akhisar Belediyespor
1.41
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.35
Konyaspor
1.26
Karabukspor
1.26
Kasımpaşa
1.26
Alanyaspor
1.18
Bursaspor
1.12
Osmanlispor
1.12
Kayserispor
1.12
Rizespor
1.06
Gaziantep FK
0.76
Adanaspor
0.74
Kasımpaşa and Konyaspor are level in average points per game (both 1.26).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Beşiktaş
2.15
Galatasaray
1.91
Başakşehir
1.85
Fenerbahçe
1.76
Alanyaspor
1.59
Antalyaspor
1.38
Kayserispor
1.38
Kasımpaşa
1.35
Akhisar Belediyespor
1.35
Rizespor
1.29
Konyaspor
1.18
Trabzonspor
1.15
Karabukspor
1.12
Osmanlispor
1.09
Bursaspor
1.00
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
0.97
Adanaspor
0.94
Gaziantep FK
0.88
Kasımpaşa is 0.18 goals better than Konyaspor in terms of goals scored per game (1.35 vs 1.18).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Başakşehir
0.82
Beşiktaş
0.88
Fenerbahçe
0.94
Trabzonspor
1.00
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.00
Galatasaray
1.18
Antalyaspor
1.18
Akhisar Belediyespor
1.24
Konyaspor
1.32
Osmanlispor
1.32
Karabukspor
1.41
Kasımpaşa
1.44
Rizespor
1.56
Bursaspor
1.71
Kayserispor
1.71
Adanaspor
1.82
Gaziantep FK
1.91
Alanyaspor
1.91
Kasımpaşa is 0.12 goals worse than Konyaspor in terms of goals conceded per game (1.44 vs 1.32).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Kasımpaşa
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Konyaspor
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Kasımpaşa
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (15)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (13)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Konyaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Konyaspor
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (16)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (10)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Kasımpaşa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Not collected for this league yet.
🟨 Total Cards
Not collected for this league yet.
⚠️ Total Fouls
Not collected for this league yet.
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Kasımpaşa
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.73
1.07
0.87
0.40
0.60
vs Stronger (9)
0.67
0.78
0.40
1.20
1.00
0.25
vs Similar (13)
0.62
0.62
1.20
0.40
0.25
0.75
vs Weaker (8)
1.00
0.88
1.60
1.00
0.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Konyaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Konyaspor
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.43
0.60
0.53
0.53
0.33
vs Stronger (10)
0.50
0.70
0.50
0.67
0.50
0.75
vs Similar (15)
0.67
0.33
0.86
0.43
0.50
0.25
vs Weaker (5)
0.40
0.20
0.00
0.50
0.67
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Kasımpaşa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kasımpaşa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kasımpaşa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kasımpaşa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Konyaspor over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Konyaspor over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Konyaspor over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Kasımpaşa
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.53
1.20
0.27
0.73
0.80
vs Stronger (9)
1.00
0.78
1.20
0.60
0.75
1.00
vs Similar (13)
0.92
0.46
1.20
0.00
0.75
0.75
vs Weaker (8)
1.00
0.38
1.20
0.20
0.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Konyaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Konyaspor
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.73
0.60
0.40
0.67
1.07
vs Stronger (10)
0.50
1.10
0.33
0.83
0.75
1.50
vs Similar (15)
0.80
0.60
0.71
0.14
0.88
1.00
vs Weaker (5)
0.40
0.40
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Kasımpaşa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kasımpaşa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kasımpaşa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kasımpaşa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Konyaspor over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Konyaspor over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Konyaspor over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
79.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Kasımpaşa · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Adrian Benedyczak67%
Fousseni Diabaté33%
Andreas Gianniotis0%
Güven Yalçın0%
Cláudio Winck0%
Andri Fannar Baldursson0%
Matei Ilie0%
Marcus Rafferty0%
Ayberk Karapo0%
Adem Arous0%
Elson Mendes0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Cláudio Winck33%
Andri Fannar Baldursson33%
Matei Ilie33%
Ayberk Karapo33%
Andreas Gianniotis0%
Güven Yalçın0%
Adrian Benedyczak0%
Fousseni Diabaté0%
Marcus Rafferty0%
Adem Arous0%
Elson Mendes0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Cláudio Winck33%
Adrian Benedyczak33%
Andreas Gianniotis0%
Güven Yalçın0%
Fousseni Diabaté0%
Andri Fannar Baldursson0%
Matei Ilie0%
Marcus Rafferty0%
Ayberk Karapo0%
Adem Arous0%
Elson Mendes0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Adrian Benedyczak67%
Cláudio Winck33%
Andreas Gianniotis0%
Güven Yalçın0%
Fousseni Diabaté0%
Andri Fannar Baldursson0%
Matei Ilie0%
Marcus Rafferty0%
Ayberk Karapo0%
Adem Arous0%
Elson Mendes0%
Konyaspor · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ebrima Colley33%
Diogo Gonçalves0%
Enis Bardhi0%
Yhoan Andzouana0%
Marko Jevtović0%
Chidozie Awaziem0%
Uğurcan Yazğılı0%
Deniz Türüç0%
Adil Demirbağ0%
Jackson Muleka0%
Melih İbrahimoğlu0%
Deniz Ertaş0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Enis Bardhi33%
Chidozie Awaziem33%
Deniz Türüç33%
Adil Demirbağ33%
Diogo Gonçalves0%
Yhoan Andzouana0%
Marko Jevtović0%
Uğurcan Yazğılı0%
Ebrima Colley0%
Jackson Muleka0%
Melih İbrahimoğlu0%
Deniz Ertaş0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Yhoan Andzouana33%
Diogo Gonçalves0%
Enis Bardhi0%
Marko Jevtović0%
Chidozie Awaziem0%
Uğurcan Yazğılı0%
Deniz Türüç0%
Adil Demirbağ0%
Ebrima Colley0%
Jackson Muleka0%
Melih İbrahimoğlu0%
Deniz Ertaş0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Melih İbrahimoğlu33%
Diogo Gonçalves0%
Enis Bardhi0%
Yhoan Andzouana0%
Marko Jevtović0%
Chidozie Awaziem0%
Uğurcan Yazğılı0%
Deniz Türüç0%
Adil Demirbağ0%
Ebrima Colley0%
Jackson Muleka0%
Deniz Ertaş0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (29)
€345m
FEN (39)
€332m
BEŞ (34)
€202m
TRA (31)
€168m
BAŞ (32)
€77m
RIZ (24)
€44m
ALA (29)
€38m
KON (26)
€33m
KAS (31)
€31m
GF (28)
€28m
BUR (27)
€19m
ANT (25)
€16m
GS (19)
€15m
KAY (23)
€12m
Kasımpaşa's squad is €2m less valuable than Konyaspor's (€31m vs €33m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (9)
€173m
FEN (14)
€162m
BEŞ (11)
€70m
TRA (11)
€67m
BAŞ (13)
€40m
KAS (13)
€14m
GF (14)
€14m
KON (10)
€13m
RIZ (8)
€12m
BUR (10)
€10m
ALA (11)
€9m
KAY (9)
€5m
ANT (8)
€5m
GS (4)
€4m
Kasımpaşa's attack is €1m more valuable than Konyaspor's (€14m vs €13m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (7)
€72m
FEN (7)
€62m
BEŞ (9)
€50m
TRA (9)
€38m
ALA (9)
€18m
BAŞ (6)
€10m
GF (5)
€8m
RIZ (4)
€7m
GS (6)
€5m
KAS (7)
€4m
BUR (5)
€4m
KON (4)
€4m
ANT (6)
€4m
KAY (4)
€2m
Kasımpaşa and Konyaspor have a similar midfield value (both €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FEN (18)
€108m
GAL (13)
€100m
BEŞ (14)
€82m
TRA (11)
€63m
BAŞ (13)
€28m
RIZ (12)
€25m
KON (12)
€16m
KAS (11)
€12m
ALA (9)
€11m
ANT (11)
€7m
GF (9)
€6m
GS (9)
€5m
KAY (10)
€5m
BUR (12)
€4m
Kasımpaşa's defence is €4m less valuable than Konyaspor's (€12m vs €16m).
Turkey: Süper Lig 2016/17 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Turkey: Süper Lig stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Beşiktaş
Başakşehir
Fenerbahçe
Galatasaray
Antalyaspor
Trabzonspor
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Alanyaspor
Kayserispor
Bursaspor
Rizespor
Gaziantep FK
Adanaspor