Kasımpaşa vs Konyaspor Result & Analysis

Kasimpasa are favoured to win at home, with a 47% chance of taking the match, 25% for a draw and 28% for Konyaspor. The model expects about 3.1 goals in total, with the most likely total being 2, which occurs 23% of the time. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, with a 11.7% probability. Kasimpasa, playing at home against a side of similar strength, average 2.22 goals scored and 1.44 conceded. Konyaspor, on the road and against a comparable opponent, average 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 1.5 goals at 82.5%, Under 11.5 corners at 76.8%, Over 19.5 fouls at 93.3%, Over 2.5 cards at 86.9%, Over 21.5 fouls at 85.9%, Over 23.5 fouls at 74.7% and Over 3.5 cards at 72.5%. Each pick is presented with its exact probability. Kasimpasa’s recent form shows a draw before this fixture, while Konyaspor come off five straight defeats.

Kasimpasa’s win over Konyaspor extended a run that had just ended in a draw, while Konyaspor continued a five-match losing streak. The final score was 2-1, confirming the home win that the model had picked with a 47% probability; the model’s call was correct. The model’s other selections were mixed: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 93.3%, Over 1.5 hit at 82.5%, and Under 11.5 corners hit at 76.8%. Over 2.5 cards, Over 21.5 fouls, Over 23.5 fouls, and Over 3.5 cards all missed, with probabilities of 86.9%, 85.9%, 74.7%, and 72.5% respectively. The match delivered on the predicted 2-1 outcome, but several high-probability picks fell short.