Kaspiy’s recent draw streak has left them cautious, while FK Tobol Kostanay’s five-match run of four wins and one loss fuels optimism for an away triumph. The model favours an away win, with a 54 % chance, a 24 % chance of a home victory and a 22 % chance of a draw. The expected total goals hover at 3.6, suggesting a high-scoring affair, yet the most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 9.5 % probability. Kaspiy averages 2.83 goals scored and 1.08 conceded at home against similar opposition, whereas Tobol averages 1.78 scored and 0.89 conceded on the road. The model’s selections include Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.1 %), Under 7.5 (97.1 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (96.9 %), Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.7 %), Away under 2.5 2H goals (94.9 %), Home under 3.5 goals (94.5 %), Under 6.5 (93.0 %) and Away +2 handicap (89.2 %).
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, FK Tobol Kostanay, failed to deliver as the model had predicted an away win with a 55% probability. Instead, Kaspiy secured a 1-0 victory, extending their recent run of wins. The model’s call was wrong. The model’s selection of Home under 2.5 HT goals hit, with a 98% probability, as did Away under 2.5 HT goals at 97.2%. Under 7.5 total goals, 97% probability, was also correct. Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.9%) and Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.1%) both hit, as did Home under 3.5 goals (94.7%) and Under 6.5 (92.9%). The Away +2 handicap, at 89.6%, also hit. All selections were settled accurately.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Kaspiy win✓ Hit
23.2%
Avg Implied 26.9% · @ 3.36
Edge
-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.60
Unibet
3.45
Betano
3.45
Marathonbet
3.45
10Bet
3.45
Draw✗ Miss
22.1%
Avg Implied 25.8% · @ 3.50
Edge
-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
3.70
1xBet
3.65
Pinnacle
3.63
Betfair
3.60
10Bet
3.60
FK Tobol Kostanay win✗ Miss
54.6%
Avg Implied 47.4% · @ 1.91
Edge
+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
2.20
1xBet
1.95
SBO
1.92
Dafabet
1.92
Betfair
1.91
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Kaspiy
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.67
1.23
2.79
1.14
2.56
1.31
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
2.54
1.38
2.67
1.25
2.43
1.50
vs Weaker (4)
3.50
0.25
3.50
0.50
3.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Tobol Kostanay) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FK Tobol Kostanay
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.87
1.10
1.92
1.15
1.82
1.06
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
2.50
1.00
2.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (16)
1.69
1.19
1.71
1.43
1.67
1.00
vs Weaker (12)
2.33
0.75
2.40
0.60
2.29
0.86
Clean sheet %
33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Kaspiy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
88.1%
@ 1.21+12.6%
Under 1.5
11.9%
@ 3.74-12.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.24
10Bet
1.22
Betano
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Marathonbet
1.20
Under
Betfair
4.20
Unibet
3.95
10Bet
3.85
Marathonbet
3.72
1xBet
3.72
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
69.3%
@ 1.74+15.8%
Under 2.5
30.7%
@ 2.00-15.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.83
SBO
1.78
1xBet
1.75
10Bet
1.75
Bet365
1.75
Under
Unibet
2.07
Bet365
2.05
1xBet
2.03
Pinnacle
2.02
Marathonbet
2.00
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
48.0%
@ 2.79+15.0%
Under 3.5
52.0%
@ 1.37-15.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.95
10Bet
2.95
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.88
Marathonbet
2.70
Under
Unibet
1.42
Betfair
1.40
Betano
1.38
Pinnacle
1.36
1xBet
1.36
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
67.6%
@ 1.64+11.5%
No
32.4%
@ 2.09-11.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.70
William Hil
1.67
Betfair
1.67
10Bet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.62
No
Betfair
2.15
1xBet
2.14
Unibet
2.12
Marathonbet
2.10
William Hil
2.10
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.4%@ 6.09+2.6%
1-2
9.3%@ 7.40+3.8%
1-3
6.8%@ 12.18+3.4%
0-2
6.7%@ 8.57+1.9%
2-2
6.5%@ 11.12+2.8%
2-1
5.9%@ 10.29+1.9%
0-1
5.3%@ 7.32-0.3%
0-3
4.9%@ 14.04+1.9%
Kaspiy goals ↓
FK Tobol Kostanay goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.6%
5.3%
6.7%
4.9%
2.6%
1
3.0%
9.4%
9.3%
6.8%
3.7%
2
2.7%
5.9%
6.5%
4.7%
2.6%
3
1.3%
2.8%
3.0%
2.2%
1.2%
4
0.4%
1.0%
1.0%
0.8%
0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kaspiy goals (down), columns = FK Tobol Kostanay goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Kairat Almaty
3.00
FC Astana
2.60
Ordabasy
2.50
Okzhetpes
1.80
Irtysh
1.80
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.80
Zhenys
1.75
Aktobe
1.67
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.60
Kaspiy
1.50
Yelimay Semey
1.00
Ulytau
0.80
Kaisar
0.40
Atyrau
0.33
Zhetysu
0.20
Altay (Kazakhstan)
0.17
Kaspiy is 0.30 points worse than FK Tobol Kostanay in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.80).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ordabasy
2.67
Kairat Almaty
2.50
FC Astana
2.40
Okzhetpes
2.20
Aktobe
1.83
Zhenys
1.75
Kaspiy
1.67
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.60
Irtysh
1.60
Kaisar
1.40
Ulytau
1.20
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.20
Altay (Kazakhstan)
1.17
Yelimay Semey
1.17
Atyrau
0.83
Zhetysu
0.60
Kaspiy is 0.47 goals better than FK Tobol Kostanay in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 1.20).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ordabasy
0.67
Kairat Almaty
0.75
Zhenys
1.00
FC Astana
1.00
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.00
Okzhetpes
1.40
Yelimay Semey
1.50
Kaspiy
1.50
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.60
Ulytau
1.60
Aktobe
1.67
Irtysh
1.80
Atyrau
1.83
Kaisar
2.00
Zhetysu
2.80
Altay (Kazakhstan)
3.00
Kaspiy is 0.50 goals worse than FK Tobol Kostanay in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Kaspiy
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
FK Tobol Kostanay
For 7.5 · Against 8.0 · Total 15.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 4.0 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 11.0 · Total 21.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Kaspiy
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (42)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (8)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (FK Tobol Kostanay) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FK Tobol Kostanay
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
15.5
21.0
10.0
0.2
0.2
0.2
21.0
22.0
20.0
vs Stronger (2)
15.5
21.0
10.0
5.5
5.0
6.0
21.0
22.0
20.0
vs Similar (30)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (18)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
100%
100%
100%
4%
4%
4%
50%
100%
0%
% under line
0%
0%
0%
96%
96%
96%
50%
0%
100%
This opponent (Kaspiy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Okzhetpes
13.0
Kairat Almaty
10.4
FK Tobol Kostanay
10.0
Aktobe
9.5
FC Astana
8.8
Kyzyl-Zhar
8.5
Ordabasy
8.3
Zhetysu
6.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Zhetysu
6.1
FK Tobol Kostanay
5.6
Ordabasy
5.1
Aktobe
5.1
Kaisar
5.0
Kairat Almaty
4.4
FC Astana
4.0
Kyzyl-Zhar
3.2
Okzhetpes
2.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Ordabasy
30.0
FK Tobol Kostanay
28.7
Aktobe
27.0
Kairat Almaty
26.1
FC Astana
23.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.02
Bet365
2.00
Under
Betano
1.75
Bet365
1.73
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Kaspiy or Draw✓ Hit
45.4%
Avg Implied 51.8% · @ 1.77
Edge
-6.5%
23%
22%
55%
covers Kaspiy + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.87
10Bet
1.85
SBO
1.83
Bet365
1.80
William Hil
1.80
Kaspiy or FK Tobol Kostanay✓ Hit
77.9%
Avg Implied 74.6% · @ 1.23
Edge
+3.3%
23%
22%
55%
covers Kaspiy + FK Tobol Kostanay
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.29
Superbet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
Betano
1.24
Betfair
1.22
Draw or FK Tobol Kostanay✗ Miss
76.8%
Avg Implied 73.6% · @ 1.25
Edge
+3.2%
23%
22%
55%
covers Draw + FK Tobol Kostanay
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.34
10Bet
1.28
Betano
1.26
1xBet
1.26
William Hil
1.25
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Kaspiy over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
75.2%
@ 1.36+7.7%
Under
24.8%
@ 2.82-7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.41
10Bet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.35
1xBet
1.35
Superbet
1.32
Under
Superbet
2.90
Marathonbet
2.84
1xBet
2.84
Pinnacle
2.78
10Bet
2.75
Kaspiy over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
40.6%
@ 2.66+6.1%
Under
59.4%
@ 1.40-6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.75
Marathonbet
2.72
Betano
2.72
1xBet
2.72
Pinnacle
2.63
Under
Pinnacle
1.45
Superbet
1.42
Betano
1.40
Marathonbet
1.39
1xBet
1.39
Kaspiy over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
16.5%
@ 6.17+1.9%
Under
83.5%
@ 1.06-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.50
1xBet
6.50
Superbet
5.50
Under
Superbet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
Kaspiy over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.3%
@ 23.00+1.1%
Under
94.7%
@ 1.01-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
23.00
Under
1xBet
1.01
FK Tobol Kostanay over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
88.7%
@ 1.17+10.7%
Under
11.3%
@ 4.14-10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.21
10Bet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Under
1xBet
4.55
10Bet
4.33
Superbet
3.55
FK Tobol Kostanay over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
64.1%
@ 1.86+14.6%
Under
35.9%
@ 1.83-14.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.12
1xBet
1.85
Pinnacle
1.85
Marathonbet
1.85
10Bet
1.83
Under
Unibet
1.89
Betano
1.88
Pinnacle
1.88
Marathonbet
1.85
1xBet
1.85
FK Tobol Kostanay over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
37.3%
@ 3.78+13.3%
Under
62.7%
@ 1.19-13.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.25
1xBet
3.55
Marathonbet
3.55
Under
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Superbet
1.14
FK Tobol Kostanay over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
17.7%
@ 7.10+4.7%
Under
82.3%
@ 1.06-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.10
Under
1xBet
1.06
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Kaspiy, so a minus line means Kaspiy give that many goals of a start and FK Tobol Kostanay receive them. At -1, Kaspiy must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Kaspiy win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Kaspiy)Actual: FK Tobol Kostanay
Kaspiy -2
3.6%
Draw -2
6.8%
FK Tobol Kostanay +2
89.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Kaspiy)Actual: Draw
Kaspiy -1
10.4%
@ 6.63-2.5%
Draw -1
12.9%
@ 4.67-5.4%
FK Tobol Kostanay +1
76.8%
@ 1.24+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
7.10
10Bet
7.00
Unibet
5.80
Draw
Marathonbet
5.05
10Bet
4.75
Unibet
4.20
Away
10Bet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.22
Unibet
1.20
Handicap +1 (Kaspiy)Actual: Kaspiy
Kaspiy +1
45.4%
@ 1.77-3.2%
Draw +1
20.6%
@ 3.50-3.9%
FK Tobol Kostanay -1
34.0%
@ 3.19+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.85
Unibet
1.75
Marathonbet
1.74
Betfair
1.73
Draw
Betfair
3.75
10Bet
3.60
Marathonbet
3.56
Unibet
3.10
Away
Betfair
3.40
10Bet
3.30
Marathonbet
3.28
Unibet
2.80
Handicap +2 (Kaspiy)Actual: Kaspiy
Kaspiy +2
66.0%
@ 1.24-1.8%
Draw +2
16.6%
@ 4.80-0.9%
FK Tobol Kostanay -2
17.4%
@ 5.72+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.25
Unibet
1.23
Draw
Marathonbet
5.40
Unibet
4.20
Away
Marathonbet
6.45
Unibet
5.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Kaspiy
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.47
1.43
0.36
0.69
0.56
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.04
0.54
1.42
0.42
0.71
0.64
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
0.00
1.50
0.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Tobol Kostanay) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FK Tobol Kostanay
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.47
1.08
0.62
1.06
0.35
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (16)
1.00
0.50
0.86
1.00
1.11
0.11
vs Weaker (12)
1.25
0.42
1.40
0.20
1.14
0.57
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Kaspiy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
70.4%
@ 1.32+0.8%
Under 0.5
29.6%
@ 3.02-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.38
Superbet
1.35
1xBet
1.31
Pinnacle
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
Under
10Bet
3.25
William Hil
3.25
Betfair
3.20
Pinnacle
3.07
Marathonbet
3.02
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
34.6%
@ 2.48-2.3%
Under 1.5
65.4%
@ 1.45+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.63
Superbet
2.60
Marathonbet
2.50
1xBet
2.50
Pinnacle
2.50
Under
10Bet
1.50
Pinnacle
1.48
Unibet
1.46
Betfair
1.44
William Hil
1.44
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
12.9%
@ 5.83-2.9%
Under 2.5
87.1%
@ 1.09+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.00
William Hil
6.00
Superbet
5.75
Marathonbet
5.70
1xBet
5.70
Under
William Hil
1.11
Betfair
1.11
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
Superbet
1.07
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kaspiy over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
46.6%
@ 2.24+5.6%
Under
53.4%
@ 1.56-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.32
Betano
2.30
Marathonbet
2.23
1xBet
2.23
Superbet
2.20
Under
Superbet
1.58
1xBet
1.58
Pinnacle
1.55
Betano
1.55
Marathonbet
1.55
Kaspiy over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.7%
@ 7.70-0.2%
Under
88.3%
@ 1.04+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.70
Marathonbet
7.70
Under
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
Kaspiy over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.0%
Under
98.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Tobol Kostanay over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
46.2%
@ 1.76-6.0%
Under
53.8%
@ 1.93+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.92
Betano
1.78
Marathonbet
1.75
Pinnacle
1.75
1xBet
1.72
Under
1xBet
2.00
Pinnacle
1.98
Unibet
1.95
Betano
1.93
Marathonbet
1.92
FK Tobol Kostanay over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
13.1%
@ 4.67-6.5%
Under
86.9%
@ 1.14+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.85
1xBet
4.50
Under
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.13
FK Tobol Kostanay over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.8%
Under
97.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Kaspiy
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
0.77
1.36
0.79
1.88
0.75
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.50
0.85
1.25
0.83
1.71
0.86
vs Weaker (4)
2.50
0.25
2.00
0.50
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Tobol Kostanay) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FK Tobol Kostanay
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.63
0.85
0.54
0.76
0.71
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (16)
0.69
0.69
0.86
0.43
0.56
0.89
vs Weaker (12)
1.08
0.33
1.00
0.40
1.14
0.29
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Kaspiy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
79.8%
@ 1.19+3.1%
Under 0.5
20.2%
@ 3.90-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.22
Superbet
1.20
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
Under
Marathonbet
4.05
1xBet
4.05
William Hil
3.90
Superbet
3.60
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
40.6%
@ 1.95-6.6%
Under 1.5
59.4%
@ 1.74+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.05
10Bet
2.05
William Hil
2.00
Marathonbet
1.93
1xBet
1.93
Under
Betano
1.80
Unibet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.77
1xBet
1.77
William Hil
1.73
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
17.9%
@ 3.95-5.2%
Under 2.5
82.1%
@ 1.19+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.20
Superbet
4.00
1xBet
3.80
Marathonbet
3.80
Under
William Hil
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
Superbet
1.16
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kaspiy over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
50.5%
@ 1.89+1.5%
Under
49.5%
@ 1.81-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.89
Superbet
1.87
Under
Superbet
1.85
1xBet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.77
Kaspiy over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
14.4%
@ 5.60-2.0%
Under
85.6%
@ 1.09+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.60
Marathonbet
5.60
Under
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
Kaspiy over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.1%
Under
96.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Tobol Kostanay over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
55.1%
@ 1.58-3.6%
Under
44.9%
@ 2.25+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.66
1xBet
1.50
Under
1xBet
2.42
Superbet
2.07
FK Tobol Kostanay over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
19.1%
@ 3.39-7.9%
Under
80.9%
@ 1.25+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.48
1xBet
3.30
Under
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.24
FK Tobol Kostanay over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.9%
@ 9.20-6.1%
Under
96.1%
@ 1.02+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.20
Under
1xBet
1.02
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
97.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.1%
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-
-
-
-
+6.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
94.7%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
-
-1.1%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
92.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
89.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
88.7%
1.17
Superbet
1.21
10Bet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
-
-
+10.7%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 HT goals
88.3%
1.04
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
-
-
-
+0.2%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
88.1%
1.21
Superbet
1.24
10Bet
1.22
Betano
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Marathonbet
1.20
+12.6%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.1%
1.09
William Hil
1.11
Betfair
1.11
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
Superbet
1.07
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
86.9%
1.14
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.13
-
-
-
+6.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
85.6%
1.09
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
-
-
-
+2.0%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
84.7%
1.02
Betfair
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-5.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
83.5%
1.06
Superbet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
-
-
-1.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
82.3%
1.06
1xBet
1.06
-
-
-
-
-4.7%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
82.1%
1.19
William Hil
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
Superbet
1.16
-
+5.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
80.9%
1.25
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.24
-
-
-
+7.9%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
79.8%
1.19
William Hil
1.22
Superbet
1.20
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
-
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
77.9%
1.23
William Hil
1.29
Superbet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
Betano
1.24
Betfair
1.22
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
76.8%
1.25
Superbet
1.34
10Bet
1.28
Betano
1.26
1xBet
1.26
William Hil
1.25
+3.2%
✗ Miss
Away +1 handicap
76.8%
1.24
10Bet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.22
Unibet
1.20
-
-
+7.9%
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals
75.2%
1.36
Pinnacle
1.41
10Bet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.35
1xBet
1.35
Superbet
1.32
+7.7%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
71.1%
1.12
Unibet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
Superbet
1.09
-10.7%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
70.4%
1.32
Betano
1.38
Superbet
1.35
1xBet
1.31
Pinnacle
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
+0.8%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ORD (22)
€10m
FA (25)
€10m
AKT (25)
€10m
KA (24)
€10m
FTK (23)
€9m
YS (23)
€8m
OKZ (23)
€5m
ATY (20)
€4m
KYZ (26)
€4m
KAI (25)
€4m
IRT (26)
€4m
KAS (23)
€4m
ZHE (18)
€4m
A( (20)
€3m
ZHE (21)
€3m
ULY (20)
€3m
Kaspiy's squad is €6m less valuable than FK Tobol Kostanay's (€4m vs €9m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AKT (12)
€5m
KA (9)
€4m
YS (11)
€4m
FTK (7)
€3m
ORD (8)
€3m
FA (9)
€3m
OKZ (8)
€2m
KAI (11)
€2m
KYZ (9)
€2m
ATY (7)
€2m
ZHE (6)
€2m
ULY (7)
€1m
A( (8)
€1m
IRT (6)
€1m
ZHE (8)
€1m
KAS (4)
€1m
Kaspiy's attack is €3m less valuable than FK Tobol Kostanay's (€1m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ORD (4)
€3m
FA (3)
€2m
KA (5)
€2m
FTK (5)
€2m
AKT (4)
€2m
KAS (8)
€2m
OKZ (6)
€1m
KYZ (7)
€1m
ATY (5)
€1m
IRT (7)
€1m
KAI (4)
€1m
ULY (6)
€1m
A( (4)
€1m
ZHE (3)
€0m
YS (2)
€0m
ZHE (3)
€0m
Kaspiy and FK Tobol Kostanay have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FA (13)
€5m
ORD (10)
€4m
FTK (11)
€4m
KA (10)
€4m
YS (10)
€3m
AKT (9)
€3m
IRT (13)
€2m
ATY (8)
€2m
KAI (10)
€2m
ZHE (10)
€2m
ZHE (9)
€2m
KYZ (10)
€1m
KAS (11)
€1m
OKZ (9)
€1m
A( (8)
€1m
ULY (7)
€1m
Kaspiy's defence is €2m less valuable than FK Tobol Kostanay's (€1m vs €4m).
Kazakhstan: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Ordabasy
FC Astana
Kairat Almaty
Aktobe
Okzhetpes
Irtysh
Kyzyl-Zhar
Zhenys
Yelimay Semey
Ulytau
Kaisar
Atyrau
Altay (Kazakhstan)
Zhetysu