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Kaspiy vs Kairat Almaty Prediction & Stats

Date: 05/09/2026
Time: 12:00
Kaspiy
Kaspiy
Vs
14%
19%
67%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Kairat Almaty
Kairat Almaty
Kazakhstan: Premier League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Kaspiy are set to host Kairat Almaty, but the model rates the away side as the clear favourite, with a 66% chance of victory versus 14% for a home win and 19% for a draw. The prediction rests on Kairat’s strong away form, scoring an average of 0.75 goals per game while conceding only 0.5 against similar opposition, compared with Kaspiy’s 2.54 goals for and 1.15 against at home. The expected total of 3.5 goals points to a lively encounter, and the most likely total of three goals carries a 22% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-2 for Kairat, with a 9.6% chance. Recent form adds weight: Kaspiy come off a win, while Kairat also won their last outing. Suggested picks include Home under 2.5 HT goals at 99.1%, Home under 3.5 goals at 97.7%, Under 7.5 at 97.4%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 97.2%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 96.7% with an 8% edge, Away +2 handicap at 94.7%, Under 6.5 at 93.6%, and Away under 2.5 2H goals at 92.4% with a 10% edge.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kaspiy win
14.1%
Avg Implied 12.8% · @ 7.12
Edge
+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
9.55
10Bet
7.50
Betfair
7.50
Dafabet
6.40
Betano
6.30
Draw
19.3%
Avg Implied 21.9% · @ 4.17
Edge
-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
4.60
10Bet
4.40
Betano
4.15
Dafabet
4.10
1xBet
4.02
Kairat Almaty win
66.7%
Avg Implied 65.2% · @ 1.40
Edge
+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.45
Unibet
1.45
Dafabet
1.43
1xBet
1.41
10Bet
1.35

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

KaspiyKaspiy

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-432W21W40W03L11D32W23L11D22D10WH·SHA17/10A·AKA24/10A·EKI09/04A·ORD30/04A·KAI18/07H·ZHE26/07A·IRT01/08H·ULY08/08H·YEL16/08H·FK 30/08← 1. DivisionPremier League →
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.631.202.671.072.601.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)2.501.352.541.152.461.54
vs Weaker (4)3.500.253.500.503.500.00
Clean sheet %37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Kairat Almaty) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W01L21W10W01L01L31W03L03L20WA·ATY18/07A·OMO22/07H·ORD26/07H·OMO29/07A·LEV04/08H·LEV11/08H·ULY15/08H·AND20/08A·AND27/08A·YEL31/08
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.431.271.401.131.47
vs Stronger (12)0.582.420.202.600.862.29
vs Similar (11)0.910.731.000.860.750.50
vs Weaker (7)2.710.863.670.672.001.00
Clean sheet %30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Kaspiy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%119%222%319%413%514%6+
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
87.1%
@ 1.20+10.1%
Under 1.5
12.9%
@ 4.02-10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.24
Betano
1.22
Betfair
1.20
10Bet
1.20
1xBet
1.16
Under
Betfair
4.50
1xBet
4.30
10Bet
4.20
Unibet
3.65
Betano
3.45
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
67.7%
@ 1.67+12.0%
Under 2.5
32.3%
@ 2.10-12.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.77
Betano
1.65
10Bet
1.65
Betfair
1.65
1xBet
1.62
Under
1xBet
2.24
Betfair
2.20
10Bet
2.15
Betano
1.98
Unibet
1.92
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
46.1%
@ 2.63+10.8%
Under 3.5
53.9%
@ 1.43-10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.90
Betfair
2.63
10Bet
2.60
Betano
2.55
1xBet
2.45
Under
1xBet
1.50
Betfair
1.47
10Bet
1.45
Betano
1.40
Unibet
1.35
Both teams to score
Yes
60.4%
@ 1.84+10.9%
No
39.6%
@ 1.81-10.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.91
1xBet
1.87
10Bet
1.83
Unibet
1.80
Betano
1.80
No
1xBet
1.85
Betano
1.80
Betfair
1.80
10Bet
1.80
Unibet
1.79

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-2
9.6%@ 6.62+3.8%
0-2
9.0%@ 5.44+2.0%
1-1
8.7%@ 6.95+3.2%
1-3
7.7%@ 8.50+3.3%
0-3
7.3%@ 7.44+2.2%
0-1
6.6%@ 5.81+0.1%
2-2
5.1%@ 12.75+2.1%
1-4
4.7%@ 13.75+1.9%
Kaspiy goals ↓
Kairat Almaty goals →
01234
03.8%6.6%9.0%7.3%4.4%
12.5%8.7%9.6%7.7%4.7%
21.7%4.2%5.1%4.1%2.5%
30.6%1.5%1.8%1.5%0.9%
40.2%0.4%0.5%0.4%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kaspiy goals (down), columns = Kairat Almaty goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kairat Almaty
3.00
FC Astana
2.60
Ordabasy
2.50
Okzhetpes
1.80
Irtysh
1.80
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.80
Zhenys
1.75
Aktobe
1.67
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.60
Kaspiy
1.50
Yelimay Semey
1.00
Ulytau
0.80
Kaisar
0.40
Atyrau
0.33
Zhetysu
0.20
Altay (Kazakhstan)
0.17
Kaspiy is 1.50 points worse than Kairat Almaty in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 3.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Ordabasy
2.67
Kairat Almaty
2.50
FC Astana
2.40
Okzhetpes
2.20
Aktobe
1.83
Zhenys
1.75
Kaspiy
1.67
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.60
Irtysh
1.60
Kaisar
1.40
Ulytau
1.20
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.20
Altay (Kazakhstan)
1.17
Yelimay Semey
1.17
Atyrau
0.83
Zhetysu
0.60
Kaspiy is 0.83 goals worse than Kairat Almaty in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 2.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Ordabasy
0.67
Kairat Almaty
0.75
Zhenys
1.00
FC Astana
1.00
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.00
Okzhetpes
1.40
Yelimay Semey
1.50
Kaspiy
1.50
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.60
Ulytau
1.60
Aktobe
1.67
Irtysh
1.80
Atyrau
1.83
Kaisar
2.00
Zhetysu
2.80
Altay (Kazakhstan)
3.00
Kaspiy is 0.75 goals worse than Kairat Almaty in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 0.75).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

KaspiyKaspiy

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty

For 2.8 · Against 6.5 · Total 9.3

🚩 Corners

13037289411131853964361010131149512109A·ANDH·ANDH·LEVA·ARSH·CLUH·OLYA·FC A·INTH·PAFH·REA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.1

🟨 Cards

704224341121242113226672236252A·ANDH·ANDH·LEVA·ARSH·CLUH·OLYA·FC A·INTH·PAFH·REA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 13.0 · Total 23.6

⚠️ Fouls

2901113111710141014912121410191691196924282424212629252015A·ANDH·ANDH·LEVA·ARSH·CLUH·OLYA·FC A·INTH·PAFH·REA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

KaspiyKaspiy

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (43)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (7)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Kairat Almaty) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.49.611.11.31.11.526.123.628.6
vs Stronger (13)10.28.811.14.02.35.426.824.228.6
vs Similar (22)11.511.5-0.51.10.022.022.0-
vs Weaker (15)---0.00.00.0---
% over line71%57%86%16%12%19%71%57%86%
% under line29%43%14%84%88%81%29%43%14%
This opponent (Kaspiy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Okzhetpes
13.0
Kairat Almaty
10.4
FK Tobol Kostanay
10.0
Aktobe
9.5
FC Astana
8.8
Kyzyl-Zhar
8.5
Ordabasy
8.3
Zhetysu
6.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Zhetysu
6.1
FK Tobol Kostanay
5.6
Ordabasy
5.1
Aktobe
5.1
Kaisar
5.0
Kairat Almaty
4.4
FC Astana
4.0
Kyzyl-Zhar
3.2
Okzhetpes
2.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Ordabasy
30.0
FK Tobol Kostanay
28.7
Aktobe
27.0
Kairat Almaty
26.1
FC Astana
23.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Kaspiy or Draw
33.3%
Avg Implied 34.1% · @ 2.72
Edge
-0.7%
14%
19%
67%
covers Kaspiy + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.00
10Bet
2.95
1xBet
2.78
Betano
2.67
Unibet
2.20
Kaspiy or Kairat Almaty
80.7%
Avg Implied 79.0% · @ 1.17
Edge
+1.7%
14%
19%
67%
covers Kaspiy + Kairat Almaty
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.22
Betano
1.19
Unibet
1.17
10Bet
1.14
Betfair
1.14
Draw or Kairat Almaty
85.9%
Avg Implied 86.9% · @ 1.07
Edge
-1.0%
14%
19%
67%
covers Draw + Kairat Almaty
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.11
Unibet
1.08
Betfair
1.06
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.04

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Kaspiy over/under 0.5
Over
65.4%
@ 1.65+10.1%
Under
34.6%
@ 2.05-10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.69
Betano
1.67
10Bet
1.67
Unibet
1.58
Under
Betano
2.07
Unibet
2.07
1xBet
2.05
10Bet
2.00
Kaspiy over/under 1.5
Over
28.7%
@ 4.12+6.5%
Under
71.3%
@ 1.18-6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.33
1xBet
3.90
Under
1xBet
1.20
10Bet
1.15
Kaspiy over/under 2.5
Over
9.2%
Under
90.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kaspiy over/under 3.5
Over
2.3%
Under
97.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kairat Almaty over/under 0.5
Over
91.2%
@ 1.05+3.0%
Under
8.8%
@ 7.80-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.05
Under
1xBet
7.80
Kairat Almaty over/under 1.5
Over
69.8%
@ 1.48+7.8%
Under
30.2%
@ 2.40-7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.57
Betano
1.53
10Bet
1.42
1xBet
1.39
Under
1xBet
2.70
10Bet
2.50
Betano
2.32
Unibet
2.10
Kairat Almaty over/under 2.5
Over
43.7%
@ 2.36+5.0%
Under
56.3%
@ 1.50-5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.37
10Bet
2.35
Under
1xBet
1.51
10Bet
1.48
Kairat Almaty over/under 3.5
Over
22.7%
@ 4.50+2.4%
Under
77.3%
@ 1.15-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.50
Under
1xBet
1.15

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Kaspiy, so a minus line means Kaspiy give that many goals of a start and Kairat Almaty receive them. At -1, Kaspiy must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Kaspiy win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Kaspiy)
Kaspiy -2
1.4%
Draw -2
3.8%
Kairat Almaty +2
94.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Kaspiy)
Kaspiy -1
5.2%
Draw -1
8.9%
Kairat Almaty +1
85.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Kaspiy)
Kaspiy +1
33.3%
@ 2.68+1.2%
Draw +1
21.3%
@ 3.33-4.6%
Kairat Almaty -1
45.4%
@ 2.05+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
2.95
Betfair
2.88
Unibet
2.20
Draw
Betfair
3.60
10Bet
3.50
Unibet
2.90
Away
Unibet
2.15
10Bet
2.00
Betfair
2.00
Handicap +2 (Kaspiy)
Kaspiy +2
54.6%
@ 1.41-1.8%
Draw +2
19.7%
@ 3.50-3.0%
Kairat Almaty -2
25.7%
@ 3.80+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.41
Draw
Unibet
3.50
Away
Unibet
3.80

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

KaspiyKaspiy

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D10W01L01L21W10W10W20W00DH·SHA17/10A·AKA24/10A·EKI09/04A·ORD30/04A·KAI18/07H·ZHE26/07A·IRT01/08H·ULY08/08H·YEL16/08H·FK 30/08← 1. DivisionPremier League →
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.431.330.330.670.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)1.000.501.310.380.690.62
vs Weaker (4)1.000.001.500.000.500.00
Clean sheet %70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Kairat Almaty) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W01L10W10W00D01L10W03L01L20WA·ATY18/07A·OMO22/07H·ORD26/07H·OMO29/07A·LEV04/08H·LEV11/08H·ULY15/08H·AND20/08A·AND27/08A·YEL31/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.670.730.600.600.73
vs Stronger (12)0.081.170.001.200.141.14
vs Similar (11)0.640.360.570.430.750.25
vs Weaker (7)1.710.292.330.001.250.50
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Kaspiy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
71.5%
@ 1.28-1.0%
Under 0.5
28.5%
@ 3.37+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.30
10Bet
1.28
Betfair
1.25
Under
Betfair
3.50
10Bet
3.30
1xBet
3.30
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
36.9%
@ 2.34-2.2%
Under 1.5
63.1%
@ 1.51+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.43
Betano
2.40
Betfair
2.38
10Bet
2.30
1xBet
2.20
Under
1xBet
1.60
10Bet
1.55
Betfair
1.53
Betano
1.44
Unibet
1.42
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
13.1%
@ 5.30-4.4%
Under 2.5
86.9%
@ 1.12+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.50
1xBet
5.10
Under
Betfair
1.13
1xBet
1.12

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kaspiy over/under 0.5 HT
Over
36.0%
@ 2.87+4.1%
Under
64.0%
@ 1.35-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.00
Betano
2.90
Unibet
2.70
Under
Betano
1.36
Unibet
1.35
1xBet
1.33
Kaspiy over/under 1.5 HT
Over
7.5%
Under
92.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kaspiy over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.9%
Under
99.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kairat Almaty over/under 0.5 HT
Over
56.0%
@ 1.54-3.5%
Under
44.0%
@ 2.27+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.60
Unibet
1.56
1xBet
1.47
Under
1xBet
2.50
Betano
2.20
Unibet
2.10
Kairat Almaty over/under 1.5 HT
Over
18.8%
@ 3.20-9.9%
Under
81.2%
@ 1.29+9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.20
Under
1xBet
1.29
Kairat Almaty over/under 2.5 HT
Over
4.3%
@ 8.60-6.4%
Under
95.7%
@ 1.03+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.60
Under
1xBet
1.03

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

KaspiyKaspiy

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W21W30W02L10W11D13L01L02L10WH·SHA17/10A·AKA24/10A·EKI09/04A·ORD30/04A·KAI18/07H·ZHE26/07A·IRT01/08H·ULY08/08H·YEL16/08H·FK 30/08← 1. DivisionPremier League →
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.630.771.330.731.930.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)1.500.851.230.771.770.92
vs Weaker (4)2.500.252.000.503.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Kairat Almaty) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D11D00D01L00D21W00D02L00DA·ATY18/07A·OMO22/07H·ORD26/07H·OMO29/07A·LEV04/08H·LEV11/08H·ULY15/08H·AND20/08A·AND27/08A·YEL31/08
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.770.530.800.530.73
vs Stronger (12)0.501.250.201.400.711.14
vs Similar (11)0.270.360.430.430.000.25
vs Weaker (7)1.000.571.330.670.750.50
Clean sheet %53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Kaspiy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
80.9%
@ 1.15+1.3%
Under 0.5
19.1%
@ 4.50-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.15
Under
1xBet
4.50
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
41.4%
@ 1.86-7.9%
Under 1.5
58.6%
@ 1.81+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.93
10Bet
1.85
Betano
1.85
1xBet
1.80
Under
1xBet
1.90
10Bet
1.85
Betano
1.82
Unibet
1.68
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
20.2%
@ 3.65-5.3%
Under 2.5
79.8%
@ 1.25+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.65
Under
1xBet
1.25

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kaspiy over/under 0.5 2H
Over
44.4%
@ 2.55+8.2%
Under
55.6%
@ 1.45-8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.55
Under
1xBet
1.45
Kaspiy over/under 1.5 2H
Over
10.2%
@ 10.00+1.0%
Under
89.8%
@ 1.01-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Under
1xBet
1.01
Kaspiy over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.1%
Under
97.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kairat Almaty over/under 0.5 2H
Over
61.8%
@ 1.31-9.2%
Under
38.2%
@ 3.20+9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.31
Under
1xBet
3.20
Kairat Almaty over/under 1.5 2H
Over
28.3%
@ 2.43-9.7%
Under
71.7%
@ 1.49+9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.43
Under
1xBet
1.49
Kairat Almaty over/under 2.5 2H
Over
7.2%
@ 5.70-8.9%
Under
92.8%
@ 1.09+8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.70
Under
1xBet
1.09

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Home under 2.5 HT goals99.1%-------
Home under 2.5 2H goals97.9%-------
Home under 3.5 goals97.7%-------
Under 7.597.4%-------
Away under 2.5 HT goals95.7%1.03
1xBet
1.03
----+6.4%
Away +2 handicap94.8%-------
Under 6.593.6%-------
Away under 2.5 2H goals92.8%1.09
1xBet
1.09
----+8.9%
Home under 1.5 HT goals92.5%-------
Away over 0.5 goals91.2%1.05
1xBet
1.05
----+3.0%
Home under 2.5 goals90.8%-------
Home under 1.5 2H goals89.8%1.01
1xBet
1.01
-----1.0%
Over 1.587.1%1.20
Unibet
1.24
Betano
1.22
Betfair
1.20
10Bet
1.20
1xBet
1.16
+10.1%
Under 2.5 HT goals86.9%1.12
Betfair
1.13
1xBet
1.12
---+4.4%
Draw or Away85.9%1.07
Betano
1.11
Unibet
1.08
Betfair
1.06
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
-1.0%
Away +1 handicap85.9%-------
Under 5.585.9%1.05
Betfair
1.06
1xBet
1.05
----3.3%
Away under 1.5 HT goals81.2%1.29
1xBet
1.29
----+9.9%
Over 0.5 2H goals80.9%1.15
1xBet
1.15
----+1.3%
Home or Away80.7%1.17
1xBet
1.22
Betano
1.19
Unibet
1.17
10Bet
1.14
Betfair
1.14
+1.7%
Under 2.5 2H goals79.8%1.25
1xBet
1.25
----+5.3%
Away under 3.5 goals77.3%1.15
1xBet
1.15
-----2.4%
Under 4.572.8%1.18
1xBet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
----6.7%
Away under 1.5 2H goals71.7%1.49
1xBet
1.49
----+9.7%
Over 0.5 HT goals71.5%1.28
1xBet
1.30
10Bet
1.28
Betfair
1.25
---1.0%
Home under 1.5 goals71.3%1.18
1xBet
1.20
10Bet
1.15
----6.5%

🎽 13. Player market rates

Kairat Almaty · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Adilet Sadybekov20%
Olzhas Baibek20%
Ofri Arad14%
Dastan Satpaev14%
Edmilson11%
Jorginho9%
Ricardinho9%
Aleksandr Martynovich0%
Valeriy Gromyko0%
Giorgi Zaria0%
Egor Sorokin0%
Dan Glazer0%
Luís Mata0%
Erkin Tapalov0%
Jug Stanojev0%
Aleksandr Shirobokov0%
Temirlan Anarbekov0%
Damir Kasabulat0%
Aleksandr Mrynskiy0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dastan Satpaev71%
Ofri Arad29%
Jorginho27%
Adilet Sadybekov20%
Valeriy Gromyko18%
Aleksandr Mrynskiy18%
Giorgi Zaria17%
Aleksandr Martynovich12%
Dan Glazer12%
Egor Sorokin9%
Erkin Tapalov9%
Ricardinho9%
Luís Mata0%
Jug Stanojev0%
Aleksandr Shirobokov0%
Temirlan Anarbekov0%
Edmilson0%
Damir Kasabulat0%
Olzhas Baibek0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Aleksandr Shirobokov25%
Giorgi Zaria17%
Valeriy Gromyko9%
Ricardinho9%
Aleksandr Mrynskiy9%
Aleksandr Martynovich0%
Egor Sorokin0%
Dan Glazer0%
Luís Mata0%
Ofri Arad0%
Erkin Tapalov0%
Jug Stanojev0%
Jorginho0%
Temirlan Anarbekov0%
Edmilson0%
Adilet Sadybekov0%
Damir Kasabulat0%
Olzhas Baibek0%
Dastan Satpaev0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Valeriy Gromyko18%
Dastan Satpaev14%
Luís Mata11%
Edmilson11%
Jorginho9%
Aleksandr Martynovich0%
Giorgi Zaria0%
Egor Sorokin0%
Dan Glazer0%
Ofri Arad0%
Erkin Tapalov0%
Jug Stanojev0%
Aleksandr Shirobokov0%
Temirlan Anarbekov0%
Ricardinho0%
Adilet Sadybekov0%
Damir Kasabulat0%
Aleksandr Mrynskiy0%
Olzhas Baibek0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ORD (22)
€10m
FA (25)
€10m
AKT (25)
€10m
KA (24)
€10m
FTK (23)
€9m
YS (23)
€8m
OKZ (23)
€5m
ATY (20)
€4m
KYZ (26)
€4m
KAI (25)
€4m
IRT (26)
€4m
KAS (23)
€4m
ZHE (18)
€4m
A( (20)
€3m
ZHE (21)
€3m
ULY (20)
€3m
Kaspiy's squad is €6m less valuable than Kairat Almaty's (€4m vs €10m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AKT (12)
€5m
KA (9)
€4m
YS (11)
€4m
FTK (7)
€3m
ORD (8)
€3m
FA (9)
€3m
OKZ (8)
€2m
KAI (11)
€2m
KYZ (9)
€2m
ATY (7)
€2m
ZHE (6)
€2m
ULY (7)
€1m
A( (8)
€1m
IRT (6)
€1m
ZHE (8)
€1m
KAS (4)
€1m
Kaspiy's attack is €3m less valuable than Kairat Almaty's (€1m vs €4m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ORD (4)
€3m
FA (3)
€2m
KA (5)
€2m
FTK (5)
€2m
AKT (4)
€2m
KAS (8)
€2m
OKZ (6)
€1m
KYZ (7)
€1m
ATY (5)
€1m
IRT (7)
€1m
KAI (4)
€1m
ULY (6)
€1m
A( (4)
€1m
ZHE (3)
€0m
YS (2)
€0m
ZHE (3)
€0m
Kaspiy and Kairat Almaty have a similar midfield value (both €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FA (13)
€5m
ORD (10)
€4m
FTK (11)
€4m
KA (10)
€4m
YS (10)
€3m
AKT (9)
€3m
IRT (13)
€2m
ATY (8)
€2m
KAI (10)
€2m
ZHE (10)
€2m
ZHE (9)
€2m
KYZ (10)
€1m
KAS (11)
€1m
OKZ (9)
€1m
A( (8)
€1m
ULY (7)
€1m
Kaspiy's defence is €2m less valuable than Kairat Almaty's (€1m vs €4m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
0
KAS wins
2
Draws
3
KA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Kaspiy vs Kairat Almaty · H/A from KAS
DateH/AGameScore
12/04/25AKairat Almaty Vs KAS3-0
01/10/23HKAS Vs Kairat Almaty1-1
14/03/23AKairat Almaty Vs KAS3-1
27/08/22HKAS Vs Kairat Almaty2-2
09/04/22AKairat Almaty Vs KAS1-0

KaspiyKaspiy

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26HKAS Vs FK Tobol Kostanay1-0
16/08/26HKAS Vs Yelimay Semey2-2
08/08/26HKAS Vs Ulytau1-1
01/08/26AIrtysh Vs KAS3-2
26/07/26HKAS Vs Zhenys3-2
18/07/26AKaisar Vs KAS1-1
30/04/26AOrdabasy Vs KAS3-0
09/04/26AEkibastuz Vs KAS0-4
24/10/25AAKAS Vs KAS1-2
17/10/25HKAS Vs Shakhter Karagandy3-2

Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/26AYelimay Semey Vs KA0-2
27/08/26AAnderlecht Vs KA3-0
20/08/26HKA Vs Anderlecht0-3
15/08/26HKA Vs Ulytau3-1
11/08/26HKA Vs Levski Sofia0-1
04/08/26ALevski Sofia Vs KA1-0
29/07/26HKA Vs Omonia Nicosia1-0
26/07/26HKA Vs Ordabasy2-1
22/07/26AOmonia Nicosia Vs KA1-0
18/07/26AAtyrau Vs KA1-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Kaspiy
Kaspiy
Kazakhstan: Premier League
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDDW2.32
HomeWWDDW2.40
AwayWWLDL2.24
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %72%72%72%
AVG goals3.683.843.52
Over 1.5 %88%84%92%
Over 2.5 %78%72%84%
Over 3.5 %48%56%40%
Scored2.582.882.28
Conceded1.100.961.24
BTTS58%60%56%
Clean Sheet38%40%36%
Corners---
Cards---
Kairat Almaty
Kairat Almaty
Kazakhstan: Premier League
Recent: 5 Wins / 0 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLW1.54
HomeWWLWL1.79
AwayWLLLW1.31
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%54%38%
AVG goals2.502.502.50
Over 1.5 %62%62%62%
Over 2.5 %50%50%50%
Over 3.5 %30%29%31%
Scored1.341.461.23
Conceded1.161.041.27
BTTS44%38%50%
Clean Sheet34%46%23%
Corners10.369.5711.14
Cards4.573.715.43

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1OrdabasyOrdabasy615
83%
2.5
164+12
3.3
100%
83%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
3342.70.7
-
2FC AstanaFC Astana513
80%
2.6
125+7
3.4
100%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
3252.41.0
-
3Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty412
100%
3.0
103+7
3.2
100%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
4242.50.8
-
4AktobeAktobe610
50%
1.7
1110+1
3.5
100%
83%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
5231.81.7
-
5OkzhetpesOkzhetpes59
60%
1.8
117+4
3.6
100%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2112.21.4
-
6KaspiyKaspiy69
33%
1.5
109+1
3.2
83%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1211.71.5
-
7FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay59
60%
1.8
65+1
2.2
60%
20%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3241.21.0
-
8IrtyshIrtysh59
60%
1.8
89-1
3.4
100%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.61.8
-
9Kyzyl-ZharKyzyl-Zhar58
40%
1.6
88+0
3.2
100%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.61.6
-
10ZhenysZhenys47
50%
1.8
74+3
2.8
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2021.81.0
-
11Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey66
17%
1.0
79-2
2.7
83%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
4031.21.5
-
12UlytauUlytau54
20%
0.8
68-2
2.8
100%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.6
-
13KaisarKaisar52
0%
0.4
710-3
3.4
100%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.42.0
-
14AtyrauAtyrau62
0%
0.3
511-6
2.7
83%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2120.81.8
-
15Altay (Kazakhstan)Altay (Kazakhstan)61
0%
0.2
718-11
4.2
83%
83%
83%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.23.0
-
16ZhetysuZhetysu51
0%
0.2
314-11
3.4
100%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1020.62.8
-
Kazakhstan: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: Premier League stats & trends →

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