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Kaspiy vs SD Family Result & Analysis

Date: 22/05/2024
Time: 13:00
Final 2-0
Kaspiy
Kaspiy
Vs
55%
19%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
SD Family
SD Family
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Kaspiy win✓ Hit
54.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
19.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
SD Family win✗ Miss
26.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

KaspiyKaspiy

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D10W24L00D20W41W32W21W00D31WA·FK 21/10H·ORD29/10H·JAS12/03A·TUR18/03A·ARY05/04H·ALT12/04H·ULY25/04A·SPO03/05A·ZHE10/05H·KAI16/05← Premier League1. Division →
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.431.731.531.001.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)1.291.501.641.570.931.43
vs Weaker (2)2.500.503.001.002.000.00
Clean sheet %20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (SD Family) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SD FamilySD Family

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-620W20W21W12L30W06L33D14L32W41WH·ULY13/03A·MAQ19/03H·ZHE23/03H·ULY04/04H·KAI10/04A·ATY13/04A·SPO19/04A·OKZ26/04H·AKZ10/05A·AKT16/05
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.101.902.201.002.002.80
vs Stronger (2)2.502.002.001.003.003.00
vs Similar (8)2.001.882.251.001.752.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Kaspiy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%15%22%29%2%04%112%217%319%417%529%6+
The model estimates around 4.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (29%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
94.4%
Under 1.5
5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
82.5%
Under 2.5
17.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
65.5%
Under 3.5
34.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
78.7%
No
21.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
7.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-1
6.4%
1-1
6.1%
3-2
5.9%
1-2
5.1%
4-1
4.2%
2-3
4.1%
Kaspiy goals ↓
SD Family goals →
01234
01.7%1.5%1.9%1.2%0.5%
12.4%6.1%5.1%3.1%1.4%
23.9%7.3%6.7%4.1%1.9%
33.5%6.4%5.9%3.6%1.7%
42.3%4.2%3.9%2.4%1.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kaspiy goals (down), columns = SD Family goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Okzhetpes
2.28
Ulytau
2.17
Kaspiy
2.10
Sport Academy Kairat
2.07
Khan Tengri
1.96
Ekibastuz
1.82
Zhetisay
1.76
Taraz
1.46
Altay (Kazakhstan)
1.36
SD Family
1.11
Akzhayik
0.86
Kaisar II
0.79
Yassy Turkistan
0.76
Arys
0.68
Kyran
0.43
Aktobe Jas
0.41
Kaspiy is 1.00 points better than SD Family in terms of average points per game (2.10 vs 1.11).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sport Academy Kairat
2.66
Ulytau
2.41
Kaspiy
2.28
Okzhetpes
2.14
Khan Tengri
1.96
Ekibastuz
1.93
SD Family
1.89
Zhetisay
1.76
Taraz
1.32
Altay (Kazakhstan)
1.11
Arys
1.00
Yassy Turkistan
0.97
Aktobe Jas
0.86
Akzhayik
0.86
Kaisar II
0.82
Kyran
0.57
Kaspiy is 0.38 goals better than SD Family in terms of goals scored per game (2.28 vs 1.89).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Okzhetpes
0.55
Ulytau
1.00
Kaspiy
1.00
Khan Tengri
1.07
Taraz
1.21
Zhetisay
1.28
Ekibastuz
1.29
Altay (Kazakhstan)
1.32
Sport Academy Kairat
1.52
Akzhayik
1.71
Kaisar II
2.00
Arys
2.29
SD Family
2.29
Yassy Turkistan
2.45
Kyran
2.57
Aktobe Jas
2.59
Kaspiy is 1.29 goals better than SD Family in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 2.29).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

KaspiyKaspiy

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D13L00D00D21W11D10W00D20WA·FK 21/10H·ORD29/10H·JAS12/03A·TUR18/03A·ARY05/04H·ALT12/04H·ULY25/04A·SPO03/05A·ZHE10/05H·KAI16/05← Premier League1. Division →
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.600.930.530.530.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.710.640.860.570.570.71
vs Weaker (2)1.000.002.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (SD Family) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SD FamilySD Family

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D01L01L10W03L22D01L02L30WH·ULY13/03A·MAQ19/03H·ZHE23/03H·ULY04/04H·KAI10/04A·ATY13/04A·SPO19/04A·OKZ26/04H·AKZ10/05A·AKT16/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.701.000.400.801.001.20
vs Stronger (2)1.001.500.001.002.002.00
vs Similar (8)0.620.880.500.750.751.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Kaspiy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kaspiy over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kaspiy over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kaspiy over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SD Family over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SD Family over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SD Family over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

KaspiyKaspiy

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W11D00D20W20W21W11D00D11DA·FK 21/10H·ORD29/10H·JAS12/03A·TUR18/03A·ARY05/04H·ALT12/04H·ULY25/04A·SPO03/05A·ZHE10/05H·KAI16/05← Premier League1. Division →
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.830.801.000.470.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.570.860.791.000.360.71
vs Weaker (2)1.500.501.001.002.000.00
Clean sheet %37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (SD Family) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SD FamilySD Family

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W20W20W11D20W03L11D13L30W11DH·ULY13/03A·MAQ19/03H·ZHE23/03H·ULY04/04H·KAI10/04A·ATY13/04A·SPO19/04A·OKZ26/04H·AKZ10/05A·AKT16/05
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.400.901.800.201.001.60
vs Stronger (2)1.500.502.000.001.001.00
vs Similar (8)1.381.001.750.251.001.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Kaspiy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kaspiy over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kaspiy over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kaspiy over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SD Family over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SD Family over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SD Family over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.594.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.582.5%-------✗ Miss
BTTS Yes78.7%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OKZ (23)
€5m
KAS (23)
€4m
A( (20)
€3m
ULY (20)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OKZ (8)
€2m
ULY (7)
€1m
A( (8)
€1m
KAS (4)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAS (8)
€2m
OKZ (6)
€1m
ULY (6)
€1m
A( (4)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAS (11)
€1m
OKZ (9)
€1m
A( (8)
€1m
ULY (7)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
KAS wins
0
Draws
0
SF wins

Head-to-head

Kaspiy vs SD Family · H/A from KAS
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

KaspiyKaspiy

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/05/24HKAS Vs Kaisar II3-1
10/05/24AZhetisay Vs KAS0-0
03/05/24ASport Academy Kairat Vs KAS1-2
25/04/24HKAS Vs Ulytau3-2
12/04/24HKAS Vs Altay (Kazakhstan)4-1
05/04/24AArys Vs KAS0-2
18/03/24ATuran Turkistan Vs KAS0-0
12/03/24HKAS Vs Jas Qyran2-4
29/10/23HKAS Vs Ordabasy1-0
21/10/23AFK Tobol Kostanay Vs KAS1-1

SD FamilySD Family

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/05/24AAktobe Jas Vs SF1-4
10/05/24HSF Vs Akzhayik3-2
26/04/24AOkzhetpes Vs SF4-1
19/04/24ASport Academy Kairat Vs SF3-3
13/04/24AAtyrau Vs SF6-0
10/04/24HSF Vs Kaisar II3-0
04/04/24HSF Vs Ulytau1-2
23/03/24HSF Vs Zhetisay2-1
19/03/24AMaqtaaral Vs SF0-2
13/03/24HSF Vs Ulytau2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Kaspiy
Kaspiy
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDW0.98
HomeWLWWW1.25
AwayDDWWD0.73
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%33%15%
AVG goals2.883.042.73
Over 1.5 %76%83%69%
Over 2.5 %56%62%50%
Over 3.5 %40%38%42%
Scored1.161.420.92
Conceded1.721.621.81
BTTS64%71%58%
Clean Sheet18%12%23%
Corners---
Cards---
SD Family
SD Family
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLWW1.90
HomeWWLWW2.40
AwayWLDLW1.40
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%80%40%
AVG goals4.003.204.80
Over 1.5 %100%100%100%
Over 2.5 %80%80%80%
Over 3.5 %50%20%80%
Scored2.102.202.00
Conceded1.901.002.80
BTTS60%60%60%
Clean Sheet30%40%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1OkzhetpesOkzhetpes2966
72%
2.3
6216+46
2.7
69%
41%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2112.10.6
-
2UlytauUlytau2963
69%
2.2
7029+41
3.4
90%
72%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.41.0
-
3KaspiyKaspiy2961
66%
2.1
6629+37
3.3
83%
66%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1212.31.0
-
4Sport Academy KairatSport Academy Kairat2960
66%
2.1
7744+33
4.2
83%
72%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.71.5
-
5Khan TengriKhan Tengri2855
61%
2.0
5530+25
3.0
68%
57%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.1
-
6EkibastuzEkibastuz2851
57%
1.8
5436+18
3.2
89%
82%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.3
-
7ZhetisayZhetisay2951
52%
1.8
5137+14
3.0
76%
55%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.3
-
8TarazTaraz2841
43%
1.5
3734+3
2.5
75%
57%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.2
-
9Altay (Kazakhstan)Altay (Kazakhstan)2838
39%
1.4
3137-6
2.4
71%
54%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.11.3
-
10SD FamilySD Family2831
32%
1.1
5364-11
4.2
96%
89%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.92.3
-
11AkzhayikAkzhayik2824
25%
0.9
2448-24
2.6
75%
57%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.7
-
12Kaisar IIKaisar II2822
18%
0.8
2356-33
2.8
71%
61%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.0
-
13Yassy TurkistanYassy Turkistan2922
17%
0.8
2871-43
3.4
97%
66%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.4
-
14ArysArys2819
18%
0.7
2864-36
3.3
82%
64%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.3
-
15Aktobe JasAktobe Jas2912
10%
0.4
2575-50
3.4
90%
66%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.6
-
16KyranKyran73
14%
0.4
418-14
3.1
57%
43%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.62.6
-
Kazakhstan: 1. Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: 1. Division stats & trends →

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