Kastrioti Krujë vs Pogradeci Result & Analysis

Kastrioti Krujë are the clear favourites to win at home against Pogradeci, with a 61% chance of victory, a 23% chance of a draw and a 16% chance of an away win. The model expects a modest 2.9 goals in total, with the most likely total being two goals at 24%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying an 11% probability. Kastrioti, playing at home against a stronger opponent, average 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded, while Pogradeci, on the road against a weaker side, average 0.75 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. The model’s selection is Over 1.5 goals, with a 79.3% probability. The recent form shows Kastrioti coming off a 0-3 defeat to Pogradeci, while Pogradeci also lost their last match 0-1 to Teuta Durrës. The predicted outcome is a home win, with the match likely to see a balanced 1-1 scoreline.

Kastrioti Krujë’s win extends a run that had just begun to recover after a defeat, while Pogradeci also come off a loss. The final score was 2-0, confirming the home win that the model picked with a 61% probability. The prediction was correct. The model’s single suggested pick, Over 1.5, had a 79.3% probability and hit, as two goals were scored. The most likely total was 2 goals, with a 24% chance, and the top scoreline was 2-0 at 10.9%. All selections settled as expected, with the favoured result landing and the model’s choices largely coming in.