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Kastrioti Krujë vs Skenderbeu Korce Result & Analysis

Date: 29/10/2025
Time: 13:00
Final 3-2
Kastrioti Krujë
Kastrioti Krujë
Vs
33%
35%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Skenderbeu Korce
Skenderbeu Korce
Albania: 1st Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kastrioti Krujë win✓ Hit
32.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
35.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Skenderbeu Korce win✗ Miss
31.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Kastrioti KrujëKastrioti Krujë

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-432W10W11D13L00D02L11D23L11D04LA·ERZ20/04H·LUZ27/04A·BES23/08A·LAC30/08H·KOR13/09A·APO20/09H·BUR27/09A·LUS04/10H·ILI19/10A·POG25/10
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.831.530.930.710.752.25
vs Stronger (7)0.572.290.000.500.803.00
vs Similar (23)0.911.301.080.750.731.91
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Skenderbeu Korce) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Skenderbeu KorceSkenderbeu Korce

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D12L30W11D20W10W10W30W10W10WA·EGN19/04H·BYL27/04H·BUR23/08A·LUS31/08H·ILI12/09A·POG19/09H·LAC26/09H·FK 04/10A·LUF19/10H·BES24/10← Superliga1st Division →
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.871.381.060.860.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)0.961.001.081.310.830.67
vs Weaker (5)2.000.202.670.001.000.50
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Kastrioti Krujë) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%17%027%128%216%37%43%51%6+
The model estimates around 1.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
55.9%
Under 1.5
44.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
27.7%
Under 2.5
72.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
11.3%
Under 3.5
88.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
37.3%
No
62.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
17.4%
1-1
14.8%
1-0
13.5%
0-1
13.2%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.6%
2-1
6.2%
1-2
6.1%
Kastrioti Krujë goals ↓
Skenderbeu Korce goals →
01234
017%13%6.6%2.0%0.5%
113%15%6.1%1.8%0.4%
26.8%6.2%2.8%0.8%0.2%
32.1%1.9%0.9%0.3%0.1%
40.5%0.4%0.2%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kastrioti Krujë goals (down), columns = Skenderbeu Korce goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Laci
2.39
Skenderbeu Korce
2.33
Pogradeci
2.06
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
1.36
Kastrioti Krujë
1.18
Besa Kavajë
1.18
Burreli
1.12
Korabi Peshkopi
1.09
Luftëtari
1.03
Bylis B
1.00
FK Kukesi
1.00
Sopoti Librazhd
1.00
Apolonia Fier
0.85
Lushnja
0.79
Butrinti Sarandë
0.00
Kastrioti Krujë is 1.15 points worse than Skenderbeu Korce in terms of average points per game (1.18 vs 2.33).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Pogradeci
1.91
Laci
1.82
Skenderbeu Korce
1.73
Kastrioti Krujë
1.33
Besa Kavajë
1.24
Luftëtari
1.12
Bylis B
1.00
Sopoti Librazhd
1.00
FK Kukesi
0.97
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
0.97
Korabi Peshkopi
0.94
Apolonia Fier
0.94
Burreli
0.82
Lushnja
0.79
Butrinti Sarandë
0.00
Kastrioti Krujë is 0.39 goals worse than Skenderbeu Korce in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.73).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Laci
0.70
Skenderbeu Korce
0.76
Pogradeci
0.94
Bylis B
1.00
Sopoti Librazhd
1.00
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
1.00
Korabi Peshkopi
1.18
Luftëtari
1.29
Besa Kavajë
1.30
Apolonia Fier
1.33
Burreli
1.36
Lushnja
1.42
FK Kukesi
1.46
Kastrioti Krujë
1.73
Butrinti Sarandë
2.00
Kastrioti Krujë is 0.97 goals worse than Skenderbeu Korce in terms of goals conceded per game (1.73 vs 0.76).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Kastrioti KrujëKastrioti Krujë

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L00D10W11D00D00D01L01L10W01LA·ERZ20/04H·LUZ27/04A·BES23/08A·LAC30/08H·KOR13/09A·APO20/09H·BUR27/09A·LUS04/10H·ILI19/10A·POG25/10
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.300.570.360.360.250.75
vs Stronger (7)0.290.710.000.500.400.80
vs Similar (23)0.300.520.420.330.180.73
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Skenderbeu Korce) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Skenderbeu KorceSkenderbeu Korce

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D10W10W10W00D00D20W00D00DA·EGN19/04H·BYL27/04H·BUR23/08A·LUS31/08H·ILI12/09A·POG19/09H·LAC26/09H·FK 04/10A·LUF19/10H·BES24/10← Superliga1st Division →
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.300.560.310.360.29
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)0.360.360.380.380.330.33
vs Weaker (5)1.000.001.330.000.500.00
Clean sheet %70% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Kastrioti Krujë) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kastrioti Krujë over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kastrioti Krujë over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kastrioti Krujë over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skenderbeu Korce over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skenderbeu Korce over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skenderbeu Korce over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Kastrioti KrujëKastrioti Krujë

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W10W01L02L00D02L10W22D01L03LA·ERZ20/04H·LUZ27/04A·BES23/08A·LAC30/08H·KOR13/09A·APO20/09H·BUR27/09A·LUS04/10H·ILI19/10A·POG25/10
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.970.570.360.501.50
vs Stronger (7)0.291.570.000.000.402.20
vs Similar (23)0.610.780.670.420.551.18
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Skenderbeu Korce) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Skenderbeu KorceSkenderbeu Korce

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L20W01L10W10W10W10W10W10WA·EGN19/04H·BYL27/04H·BUR23/08A·LUS31/08H·ILI12/09A·POG19/09H·LAC26/09H·FK 04/10A·LUF19/10H·BES24/10← Superliga1st Division →
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.570.810.750.500.36
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)0.600.640.690.920.500.33
vs Weaker (5)1.000.201.330.000.500.50
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Kastrioti Krujë) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kastrioti Krujë over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kastrioti Krujë over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kastrioti Krujë over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skenderbeu Korce over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skenderbeu Korce over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skenderbeu Korce over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.588.7%-------✗ Miss
Under 2.572.3%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SK (27)
€4m
LAC (22)
€3m
BB (20)
€2m
BK (21)
€2m
POG (14)
€2m
IF (26)
€2m
KK (18)
€2m
KP (24)
€2m
BUR (21)
€1m
FK (20)
€1m
AF (18)
€1m
LUF (18)
€1m
LUS (17)
€1m
Kastrioti Krujë's squad is €2m less valuable than Skenderbeu Korce's (€2m vs €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SK (9)
€2m
LAC (6)
€1m
BK (6)
€1m
POG (5)
€1m
BB (8)
€1m
IF (9)
€1m
KK (7)
€1m
KP (9)
€1m
LUF (6)
€0m
FK (6)
€0m
BUR (5)
€0m
AF (4)
€0m
LUS (3)
€0m
Kastrioti Krujë and Skenderbeu Korce have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAC (6)
€1m
SK (6)
€1m
BB (6)
€1m
KK (7)
€1m
BK (7)
€1m
BUR (8)
€0m
KP (4)
€0m
POG (2)
€0m
IF (6)
€0m
AF (3)
€0m
LUF (4)
€0m
FK (4)
€0m
LUS (4)
€0m
Kastrioti Krujë and Skenderbeu Korce have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SK (12)
€2m
LAC (10)
€1m
BB (6)
€1m
BK (8)
€1m
POG (7)
€1m
IF (11)
€1m
KP (11)
€1m
FK (10)
€1m
AF (11)
€1m
BUR (8)
€1m
KK (4)
€0m
LUF (8)
€0m
LUS (10)
€0m
Kastrioti Krujë's defence is €1m less valuable than Skenderbeu Korce's (€0m vs €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
KK wins
0
Draws
0
SK wins

Head-to-head

Kastrioti Krujë vs Skenderbeu Korce · H/A from KK
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Kastrioti KrujëKastrioti Krujë

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/10/25APogradeci Vs KK4-0
19/10/25HKK Vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë1-1
04/10/25ALushnja Vs KK3-2
27/09/25HKK Vs Burreli1-1
20/09/25AApolonia Fier Vs KK2-0
13/09/25HKK Vs Korabi Peshkopi0-0
30/08/25ALaci Vs KK3-1
23/08/25ABesa Kavajë Vs KK1-1
27/04/25HKK Vs Luzi 20081-0
20/04/25AErzeni Shijak Vs KK2-3

Skenderbeu KorceSkenderbeu Korce

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/10/25HSK Vs Besa Kavajë1-0
19/10/25ALuftëtari Vs SK0-1
04/10/25HSK Vs FK Kukesi3-0
26/09/25HSK Vs Laci1-0
19/09/25APogradeci Vs SK0-1
12/09/25HSK Vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë2-0
31/08/25ALushnja Vs SK1-1
23/08/25HSK Vs Burreli3-0
27/04/25HSK Vs Bylis1-2
19/04/25AEgnatia Rrogozhinë Vs SK0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Kastrioti Krujë
Kastrioti Krujë
Albania: 1st Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLDL1.18
HomeDWDDD1.79
AwayDLLLL0.62
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%50%15%
AVG goals2.622.332.88
Over 1.5 %70%62%77%
Over 2.5 %48%33%62%
Over 3.5 %30%21%38%
Scored1.141.380.92
Conceded1.480.961.96
BTTS48%50%46%
Clean Sheet24%33%15%
Corners---
Cards---
Skenderbeu Korce
Skenderbeu Korce
Albania: 1st Division
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW1.40
HomeWWWWW1.62
AwayWDDWW1.17
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%46%29%
AVG goals2.202.501.88
Over 1.5 %64%73%54%
Over 2.5 %38%46%29%
Over 3.5 %14%23%4%
Scored1.161.350.96
Conceded1.041.150.92
BTTS46%46%46%
Clean Sheet30%35%25%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LaciLaci3379
73%
2.4
6023+37
2.5
73%
52%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.80.7
-
2Skenderbeu KorceSkenderbeu Korce3377
73%
2.3
5725+32
2.5
64%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.70.8
-
3PogradeciPogradeci3368
61%
2.1
6331+32
2.8
76%
58%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.90.9
-
4Iliria Fushë-KrujëIliria Fushë-Krujë3345
33%
1.4
3233-1
2.0
67%
36%
6%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.0
-
5Besa KavajëBesa Kavajë3339
30%
1.2
4143-2
2.5
70%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.3
-
6Kastrioti KrujëKastrioti Krujë3339
33%
1.2
4457-13
3.1
76%
61%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1101.31.7
-
7BurreliBurreli3337
27%
1.1
2745-18
2.2
64%
36%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.81.4
-
8Korabi PeshkopiKorabi Peshkopi3336
24%
1.1
3139-8
2.1
64%
36%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.2
-
9LuftëtariLuftëtari3435
21%
1.0
3844-6
2.4
76%
47%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.3
-
10FK KukesiFK Kukesi3535
26%
1.0
3451-17
2.4
74%
43%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.01.5
-
11Apolonia FierApolonia Fier3328
18%
0.8
3144-13
2.3
70%
39%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.91.3
-
12LushnjaLushnja3326
15%
0.8
2647-21
2.2
61%
39%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.81.4
-
13Bylis BBylis B11
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.01.0
-
14Sopoti LibrazhdSopoti Librazhd11
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
15Butrinti SarandëButrinti Sarandë10
0%
0.0
02-2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.02.0
-
Albania: 1st Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Albania: 1st Division stats & trends →

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