This opponent (Bursaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bursaspor
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
2.00
1.33
1.53
0.87
2.47
vs Stronger (11)
0.73
2.00
0.60
2.40
0.83
1.67
vs Similar (16)
1.12
2.19
1.75
1.25
0.50
3.12
vs Weaker (3)
2.33
1.00
1.50
0.50
4.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
10% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Kayserispor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.8%
Under 1.5
19.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
57.2%
Under 2.5
42.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
34.8%
Under 3.5
65.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.0%
No
42.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.7%
1-0
8.4%
0-0
6.1%
3-1 ✓
6.1%
1-2
6.0%
2-2
5.5%
Kayserispor goals ↓
Bursaspor goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.1%
4.7%
3.2%
1.2%
0.3%
1
8.4%
12%
6.0%
2.2%
0.6%
2
8.7%
9.8%
5.5%
2.1%
0.6%
3
5.4%
6.1%
3.4%
1.3%
0.4%
4
2.5%
2.8%
1.6%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kayserispor goals (down), columns = Bursaspor goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Galatasaray
2.21
Başakşehir
2.12
Fenerbahçe
2.12
Beşiktaş
2.09
Trabzonspor
1.62
Sivasspor
1.44
Göztepe
1.44
Kasımpaşa
1.35
Kayserispor
1.29
Yeni Malatyaspor
1.26
Akhisar Belediyespor
1.24
Alanyaspor
1.18
Bursaspor
1.15
Antalyaspor
1.12
Konyaspor
1.06
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
0.97
Osmanlispor
0.97
Karabukspor
0.35
Kayserispor is 0.15 points better than Bursaspor in terms of average points per game (1.29 vs 1.15).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Fenerbahçe
2.29
Galatasaray
2.21
Beşiktaş
2.03
Trabzonspor
1.85
Başakşehir
1.82
Kasımpaşa
1.68
Alanyaspor
1.62
Göztepe
1.44
Osmanlispor
1.44
Sivasspor
1.32
Akhisar Belediyespor
1.29
Kayserispor
1.29
Bursaspor
1.26
Antalyaspor
1.18
Konyaspor
1.12
Yeni Malatyaspor
1.12
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.09
Karabukspor
0.59
Kayserispor is 0.03 goals better than Bursaspor in terms of goals scored per game (1.29 vs 1.26).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Beşiktaş
0.88
Galatasaray
0.97
Başakşehir
1.00
Fenerbahçe
1.06
Konyaspor
1.24
Yeni Malatyaspor
1.32
Bursaspor
1.41
Göztepe
1.47
Trabzonspor
1.50
Sivasspor
1.56
Akhisar Belediyespor
1.56
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.59
Kayserispor
1.62
Kasımpaşa
1.71
Alanyaspor
1.74
Antalyaspor
1.74
Osmanlispor
1.76
Karabukspor
2.53
Kayserispor is 0.21 goals worse than Bursaspor in terms of goals conceded per game (1.62 vs 1.41).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Kayserispor
For 4.2 · Against 3.8 · Total 8.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.2 · Against 2.2 · Total 5.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.5 · Against 13.8 · Total 27.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Bursaspor
For 3.5 · Against 5.2 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 13.3 · Total 25.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Kayserispor
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.0
9.0
7.0
0.6
0.8
0.5
27.3
24.3
30.3
vs Stronger (15)
6.0
8.0
4.0
0.7
0.7
0.8
33.0
34.0
32.0
vs Similar (30)
9.0
9.5
8.5
0.7
1.0
0.4
24.5
19.5
29.5
vs Weaker (5)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
33%
33%
33%
10%
12%
8%
83%
67%
100%
% under line
67%
67%
67%
90%
88%
92%
17%
33%
0%
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bursaspor
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.7
9.7
7.7
0.4
0.4
0.5
25.3
24.3
26.3
vs Stronger (15)
10.0
15.0
7.5
0.6
0.3
0.9
26.3
26.0
26.5
vs Similar (29)
7.0
7.0
-
0.2
0.5
0.0
23.5
23.5
-
vs Weaker (6)
8.0
-
8.0
1.0
0.0
1.5
26.0
-
26.0
% over line
50%
67%
33%
6%
4%
8%
83%
67%
100%
% under line
50%
33%
67%
94%
96%
92%
17%
33%
0%
This opponent (Kayserispor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Galatasaray
10.3
Sivasspor
10.0
Alanyaspor
9.7
Yeni Malatyaspor
9.3
Fenerbahçe
9.1
Kasımpaşa
8.8
Konyaspor
8.8
Osmanlispor
8.8
Bursaspor
8.7
Beşiktaş
8.5
Antalyaspor
8.5
Trabzonspor
8.3
Kayserispor
8.0
Göztepe
7.5
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
7.5
Akhisar Belediyespor
7.3
Karabukspor
7.0
Başakşehir
6.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Fenerbahçe
8.0
Beşiktaş
7.8
Trabzonspor
7.3
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
6.5
Osmanlispor
5.8
Akhisar Belediyespor
5.6
Başakşehir
5.5
Antalyaspor
5.5
Kayserispor
5.3
Alanyaspor
5.3
Karabukspor
5.2
Kasımpaşa
5.2
Konyaspor
5.2
Yeni Malatyaspor
5.0
Sivasspor
4.5
Göztepe
4.3
Galatasaray
3.7
Bursaspor
3.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Trabzonspor
36.8
Karabukspor
33.2
Fenerbahçe
32.9
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
32.7
Beşiktaş
32.2
Göztepe
30.5
Yeni Malatyaspor
30.5
Başakşehir
30.3
Antalyaspor
29.7
Galatasaray
29.3
Sivasspor
29.3
Alanyaspor
29.2
Osmanlispor
29.0
Konyaspor
28.8
Kasımpaşa
28.7
Akhisar Belediyespor
27.6
Kayserispor
27.3
Bursaspor
25.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
48.5%
Under 9.5
51.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
85.0%
Under 3.5
15.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
87.4%
Under 21.5
12.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Kayserispor
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.73
0.80
0.60
0.73
0.87
vs Stronger (9)
0.78
1.00
0.50
0.50
1.00
1.40
vs Similar (17)
0.71
0.76
0.89
0.78
0.50
0.75
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bursaspor
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.77
0.60
0.53
0.47
1.00
vs Stronger (11)
0.36
0.73
0.40
1.00
0.33
0.50
vs Similar (16)
0.62
0.94
0.88
0.38
0.38
1.50
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Kayserispor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kayserispor over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kayserispor over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kayserispor over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bursaspor over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bursaspor over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bursaspor over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Kayserispor
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.87
0.87
0.67
0.60
1.07
vs Stronger (9)
0.67
0.89
0.75
0.25
0.60
1.40
vs Similar (17)
0.82
0.76
1.00
0.89
0.62
0.62
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
1.25
0.50
0.50
0.50
2.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bursaspor
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
1.23
0.73
1.00
0.40
1.47
vs Stronger (11)
0.36
1.27
0.20
1.40
0.50
1.17
vs Similar (16)
0.50
1.25
0.88
0.88
0.12
1.62
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
1.00
1.50
0.50
2.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Kayserispor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kayserispor over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kayserispor over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kayserispor over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bursaspor over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bursaspor over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bursaspor over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
94.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
93.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
87.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
85.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
80.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
74.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 4.5 cards
71.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Kayserispor · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
T. Seferi75%
Florent Hasani25%
B. Keser25%
D. Moreno0%
G. Sağlam0%
D. Radu0%
J. Tabidze0%
S. Kurt0%
M. Uçar0%
S. Güler0%
Gökhan Değirmenci0%
F. Özer0%
C. Şen0%
M. Dulca0%
T. Sarıarslan0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
J. Tabidze50%
S. Güler50%
T. Sarıarslan33%
G. Sağlam25%
Florent Hasani25%
T. Seferi25%
M. Uçar25%
Gökhan Değirmenci25%
M. Dulca25%
D. Moreno0%
D. Radu0%
S. Kurt0%
B. Keser0%
F. Özer0%
C. Şen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
G. Sağlam25%
J. Tabidze25%
S. Kurt25%
B. Keser25%
D. Moreno0%
Florent Hasani0%
D. Radu0%
T. Seferi0%
M. Uçar0%
S. Güler0%
Gökhan Değirmenci0%
F. Özer0%
C. Şen0%
M. Dulca0%
T. Sarıarslan0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
D. Moreno25%
Florent Hasani25%
T. Seferi25%
B. Keser25%
G. Sağlam0%
D. Radu0%
J. Tabidze0%
S. Kurt0%
M. Uçar0%
S. Güler0%
Gökhan Değirmenci0%
F. Özer0%
C. Şen0%
M. Dulca0%
T. Sarıarslan0%
Bursaspor · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
K. Ịheanachọ100%
Lincoln33%
Alperen Babacan33%
Amine Boutrah0%
R. Berişbek0%
Juergen Elitim0%
B. Gök0%
Taha Batuhan Yayikci0%
B. Başyiğit0%
Eyüp Akcan0%
K. Matisli0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alperen Babacan67%
Lincoln33%
Juergen Elitim33%
B. Gök33%
K. Ịheanachọ0%
Amine Boutrah0%
R. Berişbek0%
Taha Batuhan Yayikci0%
B. Başyiğit0%
Eyüp Akcan0%
K. Matisli0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
K. Ịheanachọ67%
Lincoln33%
R. Berişbek33%
Amine Boutrah0%
Alperen Babacan0%
Juergen Elitim0%
B. Gök0%
Taha Batuhan Yayikci0%
B. Başyiğit0%
Eyüp Akcan0%
K. Matisli0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
K. Ịheanachọ100%
Lincoln33%
Amine Boutrah0%
R. Berişbek0%
Alperen Babacan0%
Juergen Elitim0%
B. Gök0%
Taha Batuhan Yayikci0%
B. Başyiğit0%
Eyüp Akcan0%
K. Matisli0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (29)
€345m
FEN (39)
€332m
BEŞ (34)
€202m
TRA (31)
€168m
BAŞ (32)
€77m
GÖZ (26)
€61m
ALA (29)
€38m
KON (26)
€33m
KAS (31)
€31m
BUR (27)
€19m
ANT (25)
€16m
GS (19)
€15m
KAY (23)
€12m
SIV (26)
€10m
Kayserispor's squad is €7m less valuable than Bursaspor's (€12m vs €19m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (9)
€173m
FEN (14)
€162m
BEŞ (11)
€70m
TRA (11)
€67m
BAŞ (13)
€40m
GÖZ (10)
€30m
KAS (13)
€14m
KON (10)
€13m
BUR (10)
€10m
ALA (11)
€9m
KAY (9)
€5m
ANT (8)
€5m
SIV (10)
€4m
GS (4)
€4m
Kayserispor's attack is €5m less valuable than Bursaspor's (€5m vs €10m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (7)
€72m
FEN (7)
€62m
BEŞ (9)
€50m
TRA (9)
€38m
GÖZ (7)
€19m
ALA (9)
€18m
BAŞ (6)
€10m
GS (6)
€5m
KAS (7)
€4m
BUR (5)
€4m
KON (4)
€4m
ANT (6)
€4m
SIV (5)
€3m
KAY (4)
€2m
Kayserispor's midfield is €2m less valuable than Bursaspor's (€2m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FEN (18)
€108m
GAL (13)
€100m
BEŞ (14)
€82m
TRA (11)
€63m
BAŞ (13)
€28m
KON (12)
€16m
KAS (11)
€12m
GÖZ (9)
€12m
ALA (9)
€11m
ANT (11)
€7m
GS (9)
€5m
KAY (10)
€5m
BUR (12)
€4m
SIV (11)
€3m
Kayserispor and Bursaspor have a similar defence value (both €5m).
Turkey: Süper Lig 2017/18 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Turkey: Süper Lig stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Galatasaray
Fenerbahçe
Başakşehir
Beşiktaş
Trabzonspor
Göztepe
Sivasspor
Kasımpaşa
Yeni Malatyaspor
Alanyaspor
Antalyaspor
Konyaspor
Gençlerbirliği S.K.