This opponent (Fatih Karagümrük) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Fatih Karagümrük
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.89
1.22
2.40
0.60
1.25
2.00
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
1.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (5)
1.80
1.40
2.33
1.00
1.00
2.00
vs Weaker (2)
2.50
1.00
3.00
0.00
2.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
22% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Kayserispor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
78.7%
Under 1.5
21.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.0%
@ 1.86+3.1%
Under 2.5
46.0%
@ 1.93-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.7%
Under 3.5
68.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.6%
No
41.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.9%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
8.0%
1-0
7.5%
0-0 ✓
7.0%
0-1
6.7%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
5.9%
Kayserispor goals ↓
Fatih Karagümrük goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.0%
6.7%
5.4%
2.4%
0.8%
1
7.5%
13%
8.0%
3.6%
1.2%
2
6.4%
8.7%
5.9%
2.7%
0.9%
3
3.2%
4.3%
2.9%
1.3%
0.4%
4
1.2%
1.6%
1.1%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kayserispor goals (down), columns = Fatih Karagümrük goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Beşiktaş
2.10
Galatasaray
2.10
Fenerbahçe
2.05
Trabzonspor
1.77
Sivasspor
1.62
Hatayspor
1.52
Alanyaspor
1.50
Fatih Karagümrük
1.50
Gaziantep FK
1.45
Göztepe
1.27
Konyaspor
1.25
Başakşehir
1.20
Rizespor
1.20
Kasımpaşa
1.15
Yeni Malatyaspor
1.12
Antalyaspor
1.10
Kayserispor
1.02
Erzurumspor FK
1.00
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
0.95
Ankaragücü
0.95
Denizlispor
0.70
Kayserispor is 0.48 points worse than Fatih Karagümrük in terms of average points per game (1.02 vs 1.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Beşiktaş
2.23
Galatasaray
2.00
Fenerbahçe
1.80
Fatih Karagümrük
1.60
Hatayspor
1.55
Gaziantep FK
1.48
Göztepe
1.48
Alanyaspor
1.45
Sivasspor
1.35
Rizespor
1.32
Trabzonspor
1.25
Yeni Malatyaspor
1.23
Konyaspor
1.23
Kasımpaşa
1.18
Ankaragücü
1.15
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.10
Erzurumspor FK
1.10
Başakşehir
1.07
Antalyaspor
1.02
Denizlispor
0.95
Kayserispor
0.88
Kayserispor is 0.73 goals worse than Fatih Karagümrük in terms of goals scored per game (0.88 vs 1.60).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Galatasaray
0.90
Trabzonspor
0.93
Fenerbahçe
1.02
Sivasspor
1.07
Beşiktaş
1.10
Alanyaspor
1.12
Konyaspor
1.20
Gaziantep FK
1.27
Fatih Karagümrük
1.30
Kayserispor
1.30
Yeni Malatyaspor
1.32
Hatayspor
1.32
Antalyaspor
1.38
Başakşehir
1.38
Kasımpaşa
1.43
Göztepe
1.48
Ankaragücü
1.62
Erzurumspor FK
1.70
Rizespor
1.73
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.90
Denizlispor
1.93
Kayserispor and Fatih Karagümrük are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.30).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Kayserispor
For 3.1 · Against 6.1 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.8 · Against 13.3 · Total 27.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Fatih Karagümrük
For 5.2 · Against 5.1 · Total 10.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 13.6 · Total 26.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Kayserispor
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
10.7
9.2
5.1
5.7
4.6
27.1
27.7
26.6
vs Stronger (15)
9.9
8.7
10.8
4.9
6.2
4.1
25.9
29.3
23.6
vs Similar (31)
10.1
11.8
8.1
5.5
5.8
5.2
27.3
26.8
27.9
vs Weaker (4)
9.0
7.5
10.5
2.8
3.5
2.0
30.8
30.0
31.5
% over line
48%
56%
40%
70%
76%
64%
86%
84%
88%
% under line
52%
44%
60%
30%
24%
36%
14%
16%
12%
This opponent (Fatih Karagümrük) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Fatih Karagümrük
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (9)
10.3
9.6
11.2
5.2
5.6
4.8
26.1
24.6
28.0
vs Stronger (2)
7.0
4.0
10.0
5.5
6.0
5.0
22.0
19.0
25.0
vs Similar (5)
10.4
10.0
11.0
4.2
5.0
3.0
26.0
25.0
27.5
vs Weaker (2)
13.5
14.0
13.0
7.5
7.0
8.0
30.5
29.0
32.0
% over line
67%
60%
75%
78%
80%
75%
78%
60%
100%
% under line
33%
40%
25%
22%
20%
25%
22%
40%
0%
This opponent (Kayserispor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Erzurumspor FK
10.8
Kasımpaşa
10.6
Gaziantep FK
10.5
Galatasaray
10.4
Trabzonspor
10.4
Fatih Karagümrük
10.3
Antalyaspor
10.3
Alanyaspor
10.1
Kayserispor
10.0
Beşiktaş
9.9
Başakşehir
9.9
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
9.8
Sivasspor
9.8
Ankaragücü
9.8
Denizlispor
9.8
Yeni Malatyaspor
9.4
Fenerbahçe
9.4
Rizespor
9.4
Konyaspor
9.3
Göztepe
9.2
Hatayspor
7.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Galatasaray
6.1
Fenerbahçe
6.1
Gaziantep FK
5.9
Beşiktaş
5.7
Yeni Malatyaspor
5.6
Hatayspor
5.6
Trabzonspor
5.2
Ankaragücü
5.2
Fatih Karagümrük
5.2
Antalyaspor
5.2
Sivasspor
5.2
Kayserispor
5.1
Kasımpaşa
5.0
Göztepe
4.8
Alanyaspor
4.7
Rizespor
4.6
Konyaspor
4.6
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
4.5
Denizlispor
4.1
Başakşehir
4.1
Erzurumspor FK
4.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Antalyaspor
28.5
Ankaragücü
28.3
Gaziantep FK
28.2
Fenerbahçe
28.1
Denizlispor
28.0
Yeni Malatyaspor
27.8
Rizespor
27.7
Sivasspor
27.5
Beşiktaş
27.5
Kayserispor
27.1
Kasımpaşa
27.1
Alanyaspor
26.9
Galatasaray
26.7
Hatayspor
26.4
Fatih Karagümrük
26.1
Trabzonspor
26.0
Göztepe
25.9
Erzurumspor FK
25.6
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
25.4
Başakşehir
25.3
Konyaspor
24.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
58.2%
Under 9.5
41.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
76.7%
Under 3.5
23.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
87.6%
Under 21.5
12.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Kayserispor
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.77
0.60
0.53
0.27
1.00
vs Stronger (10)
0.20
1.00
0.25
0.50
0.17
1.33
vs Similar (18)
0.50
0.72
0.60
0.60
0.38
0.88
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Fatih Karagümrük) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Fatih Karagümrük
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.89
0.44
1.00
0.20
0.75
0.75
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (5)
1.00
0.40
1.33
0.33
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.50
1.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
56% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Kayserispor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kayserispor over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kayserispor over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kayserispor over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fatih Karagümrük over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fatih Karagümrük over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fatih Karagümrük over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Kayserispor
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
1.17
0.73
0.87
0.67
1.47
vs Stronger (10)
1.00
1.50
1.25
1.25
0.83
1.67
vs Similar (18)
0.56
1.06
0.60
0.70
0.50
1.50
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Fatih Karagümrük) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Fatih Karagümrük
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.78
1.40
0.40
0.50
1.25
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
0.50
2.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (5)
0.80
1.00
1.00
0.67
0.50
1.50
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.50
2.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Kayserispor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kayserispor over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kayserispor over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kayserispor over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fatih Karagümrük over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fatih Karagümrük over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fatih Karagümrük over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
94.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
89.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
87.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
78.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
76.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Kayserispor · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
T. Seferi75%
Florent Hasani25%
B. Keser25%
D. Moreno0%
G. Sağlam0%
D. Radu0%
J. Tabidze0%
S. Kurt0%
M. Uçar0%
S. Güler0%
Gökhan Değirmenci0%
F. Özer0%
C. Şen0%
M. Dulca0%
T. Sarıarslan0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
J. Tabidze50%
S. Güler50%
T. Sarıarslan33%
G. Sağlam25%
Florent Hasani25%
T. Seferi25%
M. Uçar25%
Gökhan Değirmenci25%
M. Dulca25%
D. Moreno0%
D. Radu0%
S. Kurt0%
B. Keser0%
F. Özer0%
C. Şen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
G. Sağlam25%
J. Tabidze25%
S. Kurt25%
B. Keser25%
D. Moreno0%
Florent Hasani0%
D. Radu0%
T. Seferi0%
M. Uçar0%
S. Güler0%
Gökhan Değirmenci0%
F. Özer0%
C. Şen0%
M. Dulca0%
T. Sarıarslan0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
D. Moreno25%
Florent Hasani25%
T. Seferi25%
B. Keser25%
G. Sağlam0%
D. Radu0%
J. Tabidze0%
S. Kurt0%
M. Uçar0%
S. Güler0%
Gökhan Değirmenci0%
F. Özer0%
C. Şen0%
M. Dulca0%
T. Sarıarslan0%
Fatih Karagümrük · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Emre Akbaba25%
D. Biraschi25%
A. Pešić25%
D. Verde25%
Dorukhan Toköz0%
C. Tosun0%
M. Silvestri0%
R. Yalçın0%
Ç. Kurukalıp0%
Muhammed Emin Sarikaya0%
M. Siopis0%
R. Civelek0%
Tiago Cukur0%
Baris Kalayci0%
Traore Ahmed0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dorukhan Toköz33%
D. Biraschi25%
Ç. Kurukalıp25%
M. Siopis25%
Traore Ahmed25%
Emre Akbaba0%
C. Tosun0%
M. Silvestri0%
A. Pešić0%
D. Verde0%
R. Yalçın0%
Muhammed Emin Sarikaya0%
R. Civelek0%
Tiago Cukur0%
Baris Kalayci0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
A. Pešić50%
Tiago Cukur25%
Emre Akbaba0%
Dorukhan Toköz0%
C. Tosun0%
D. Biraschi0%
M. Silvestri0%
D. Verde0%
R. Yalçın0%
Ç. Kurukalıp0%
Muhammed Emin Sarikaya0%
M. Siopis0%
R. Civelek0%
Baris Kalayci0%
Traore Ahmed0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
A. Pešić50%
Emre Akbaba0%
Dorukhan Toköz0%
C. Tosun0%
D. Biraschi0%
M. Silvestri0%
D. Verde0%
R. Yalçın0%
Ç. Kurukalıp0%
Muhammed Emin Sarikaya0%
M. Siopis0%
R. Civelek0%
Tiago Cukur0%
Baris Kalayci0%
Traore Ahmed0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (29)
€345m
FEN (39)
€332m
BEŞ (34)
€202m
TRA (31)
€168m
BAŞ (32)
€77m
GÖZ (26)
€61m
RIZ (24)
€44m
ALA (29)
€38m
KON (26)
€33m
KAS (31)
€31m
GF (28)
€28m
EF (26)
€26m
ANT (25)
€16m
GS (19)
€15m
FK (23)
€12m
KAY (23)
€12m
SIV (26)
€10m
HAT (16)
€2m
Kayserispor and Fatih Karagümrük have a similar squad value (both €12m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (9)
€173m
FEN (14)
€162m
BEŞ (11)
€70m
TRA (11)
€67m
BAŞ (13)
€40m
GÖZ (10)
€30m
KAS (13)
€14m
GF (14)
€14m
KON (10)
€13m
RIZ (8)
€12m
EF (9)
€10m
ALA (11)
€9m
FK (9)
€5m
KAY (9)
€5m
ANT (8)
€5m
SIV (10)
€4m
GS (4)
€4m
HAT (4)
€0m
Kayserispor and Fatih Karagümrük have a similar attack value (both €5m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (7)
€72m
FEN (7)
€62m
BEŞ (9)
€50m
TRA (9)
€38m
GÖZ (7)
€19m
ALA (9)
€18m
BAŞ (6)
€10m
GF (5)
€8m
EF (4)
€7m
RIZ (4)
€7m
GS (6)
€5m
KAS (7)
€4m
KON (4)
€4m
ANT (6)
€4m
FK (3)
€3m
SIV (5)
€3m
KAY (4)
€2m
HAT (3)
€0m
Kayserispor's midfield is €1m less valuable than Fatih Karagümrük's (€2m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FEN (18)
€108m
GAL (13)
€100m
BEŞ (14)
€82m
TRA (11)
€63m
BAŞ (13)
€28m
RIZ (12)
€25m
KON (12)
€16m
KAS (11)
€12m
GÖZ (9)
€12m
ALA (9)
€11m
EF (13)
€8m
ANT (11)
€7m
GF (9)
€6m
GS (9)
€5m
KAY (10)
€5m
FK (11)
€4m
SIV (11)
€3m
HAT (9)
€1m
Kayserispor's defence is €1m more valuable than Fatih Karagümrük's (€5m vs €4m).
Turkey: Süper Lig 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Turkey: Süper Lig stats & trends →
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Beşiktaş
Galatasaray
Fenerbahçe
Trabzonspor
Sivasspor
Hatayspor
Alanyaspor
Gaziantep FK
Göztepe
Konyaspor
Başakşehir
Rizespor
Kasımpaşa
Yeni Malatyaspor
Antalyaspor
Erzurumspor FK
Ankaragücü
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Denizlispor