This opponent (Kasımpaşa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kasımpaşa
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.80
1.81
1.62
1.21
2.00
vs Stronger (9)
1.67
2.56
2.00
2.20
1.25
3.00
vs Similar (15)
1.13
1.53
1.12
1.75
1.14
1.29
vs Weaker (6)
2.33
1.33
3.33
0.33
1.33
2.33
Clean sheet %
13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Kayserispor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.9%
Under 1.5
23.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
51.4%
Under 2.5
48.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.2%
Under 3.5
70.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.5%
No
43.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.3%
2-1 ✓
8.8%
1-0
8.2%
1-2
7.8%
0-0
7.7%
0-1
7.2%
2-0
6.8%
2-2
5.6%
Kayserispor goals ↓
Kasımpaşa goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.7%
7.2%
5.4%
2.3%
0.7%
1
8.2%
13%
7.8%
3.3%
1.1%
2
6.8%
8.8%
5.6%
2.4%
0.8%
3
3.3%
4.2%
2.7%
1.2%
0.4%
4
1.2%
1.5%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kayserispor goals (down), columns = Kasımpaşa goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Galatasaray
2.03
Başakşehir
1.97
Beşiktaş
1.91
Trabzonspor
1.85
Yeni Malatyaspor
1.38
Fenerbahçe
1.35
Antalyaspor
1.32
Konyaspor
1.29
Alanyaspor
1.29
Sivasspor
1.21
Rizespor
1.21
Kayserispor
1.21
Ankaragücü
1.18
Kasımpaşa
1.15
Göztepe
1.12
Bursaspor
1.09
Erzurumspor FK
1.03
Akhisar Belediyespor
0.79
Kayserispor is 0.06 points better than Kasımpaşa in terms of average points per game (1.21 vs 1.15).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Beşiktaş
2.12
Galatasaray
2.12
Trabzonspor
1.88
Kasımpaşa
1.56
Sivasspor
1.44
Başakşehir
1.44
Rizespor
1.41
Yeni Malatyaspor
1.38
Fenerbahçe
1.29
Konyaspor
1.18
Antalyaspor
1.15
Ankaragücü
1.12
Göztepe
1.09
Alanyaspor
1.09
Erzurumspor FK
1.06
Kayserispor
1.03
Akhisar Belediyespor
1.00
Bursaspor
0.82
Kayserispor is 0.53 goals worse than Kasımpaşa in terms of goals scored per game (1.03 vs 1.56).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Başakşehir
0.65
Galatasaray
1.06
Bursaspor
1.09
Konyaspor
1.12
Göztepe
1.24
Erzurumspor FK
1.26
Alanyaspor
1.26
Fenerbahçe
1.29
Trabzonspor
1.35
Yeni Malatyaspor
1.35
Beşiktaş
1.38
Rizespor
1.47
Kayserispor
1.47
Ankaragücü
1.56
Sivasspor
1.59
Akhisar Belediyespor
1.59
Antalyaspor
1.62
Kasımpaşa
1.82
Kayserispor is 0.35 goals better than Kasımpaşa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 1.82).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Kayserispor
For 3.0 · Against 6.4 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 11.7 · Total 23.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Kasımpaşa
For 4.9 · Against 5.7 · Total 10.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.9 · Against 12.7 · Total 28.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Kayserispor
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
9.5
9.0
4.9
5.1
4.8
25.5
25.1
26.0
vs Stronger (18)
8.9
9.5
8.4
5.5
5.5
5.5
25.9
25.9
26.0
vs Similar (27)
9.3
9.2
9.4
4.8
5.0
4.6
25.8
24.4
27.1
vs Weaker (5)
10.2
10.7
9.5
3.6
4.7
2.0
22.8
26.0
18.0
% over line
36%
38%
35%
70%
71%
69%
82%
79%
85%
% under line
64%
62%
65%
30%
29%
31%
18%
21%
15%
This opponent (Kasımpaşa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kasımpaşa
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
10.5
10.7
4.6
4.6
4.6
27.2
27.9
26.4
vs Stronger (15)
9.7
9.0
10.4
5.0
5.2
4.7
27.6
29.5
25.4
vs Similar (25)
10.8
11.2
10.5
4.6
4.5
4.6
26.4
26.1
26.6
vs Weaker (10)
11.5
11.3
11.8
4.2
4.0
4.5
28.6
29.2
27.8
% over line
64%
68%
60%
68%
64%
72%
84%
88%
80%
% under line
36%
32%
40%
32%
36%
28%
16%
12%
20%
This opponent (Kayserispor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Beşiktaş
11.0
Erzurumspor FK
10.6
Kasımpaşa
10.6
Rizespor
10.5
Antalyaspor
10.2
Fenerbahçe
9.8
Konyaspor
9.8
Göztepe
9.7
Sivasspor
9.7
Trabzonspor
9.6
Ankaragücü
9.5
Başakşehir
9.3
Kayserispor
9.2
Galatasaray
9.2
Akhisar Belediyespor
9.2
Bursaspor
9.2
Alanyaspor
9.1
Yeni Malatyaspor
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Alanyaspor
5.7
Galatasaray
5.4
Göztepe
5.4
Beşiktaş
5.4
Konyaspor
5.3
Ankaragücü
5.3
Fenerbahçe
5.2
Sivasspor
5.1
Akhisar Belediyespor
5.0
Kayserispor
4.9
Trabzonspor
4.9
Antalyaspor
4.8
Kasımpaşa
4.6
Yeni Malatyaspor
4.6
Bursaspor
4.5
Rizespor
4.4
Başakşehir
4.4
Erzurumspor FK
4.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Alanyaspor
30.7
Bursaspor
30.3
Beşiktaş
30.1
Akhisar Belediyespor
29.6
Ankaragücü
28.9
Trabzonspor
28.8
Fenerbahçe
28.3
Yeni Malatyaspor
28.3
Rizespor
28.1
Sivasspor
27.9
Göztepe
27.5
Antalyaspor
27.4
Kasımpaşa
27.2
Galatasaray
26.8
Konyaspor
26.4
Başakşehir
26.1
Erzurumspor FK
25.7
Kayserispor
25.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
56.6%
Under 9.5
43.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
71.6%
Under 3.5
28.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
82.9%
Under 21.5
17.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Kayserispor
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.77
0.21
0.50
0.50
1.00
vs Stronger (12)
0.33
1.00
0.33
0.33
0.33
1.67
vs Similar (16)
0.38
0.62
0.14
0.71
0.56
0.56
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Kasımpaşa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kasımpaşa
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.70
0.62
0.62
0.43
0.79
vs Stronger (9)
0.78
1.00
0.80
1.00
0.75
1.00
vs Similar (15)
0.40
0.60
0.50
0.62
0.29
0.57
vs Weaker (6)
0.50
0.50
0.67
0.00
0.33
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Kayserispor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kayserispor over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kayserispor over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kayserispor over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kasımpaşa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kasımpaşa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kasımpaşa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Kayserispor
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.73
0.71
0.71
0.50
0.75
vs Stronger (12)
0.67
0.92
0.67
1.17
0.67
0.67
vs Similar (16)
0.62
0.69
0.86
0.43
0.44
0.89
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Kasımpaşa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kasımpaşa
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.10
1.19
1.00
0.79
1.21
vs Stronger (9)
0.89
1.56
1.20
1.20
0.50
2.00
vs Similar (15)
0.73
0.93
0.62
1.12
0.86
0.71
vs Weaker (6)
1.83
0.83
2.67
0.33
1.00
1.33
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Kayserispor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kayserispor over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kayserispor over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kayserispor over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kasımpaşa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kasımpaşa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kasımpaşa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
91.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
86.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
82.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Kayserispor · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
T. Seferi75%
Florent Hasani25%
B. Keser25%
D. Moreno0%
G. Sağlam0%
D. Radu0%
J. Tabidze0%
S. Kurt0%
M. Uçar0%
S. Güler0%
Gökhan Değirmenci0%
F. Özer0%
C. Şen0%
M. Dulca0%
T. Sarıarslan0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
J. Tabidze50%
S. Güler50%
T. Sarıarslan33%
G. Sağlam25%
Florent Hasani25%
T. Seferi25%
M. Uçar25%
Gökhan Değirmenci25%
M. Dulca25%
D. Moreno0%
D. Radu0%
S. Kurt0%
B. Keser0%
F. Özer0%
C. Şen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
G. Sağlam25%
J. Tabidze25%
S. Kurt25%
B. Keser25%
D. Moreno0%
Florent Hasani0%
D. Radu0%
T. Seferi0%
M. Uçar0%
S. Güler0%
Gökhan Değirmenci0%
F. Özer0%
C. Şen0%
M. Dulca0%
T. Sarıarslan0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
D. Moreno25%
Florent Hasani25%
T. Seferi25%
B. Keser25%
G. Sağlam0%
D. Radu0%
J. Tabidze0%
S. Kurt0%
M. Uçar0%
S. Güler0%
Gökhan Değirmenci0%
F. Özer0%
C. Şen0%
M. Dulca0%
T. Sarıarslan0%
Kasımpaşa · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Adrian Benedyczak67%
Fousseni Diabaté33%
Andreas Gianniotis0%
Güven Yalçın0%
Cláudio Winck0%
Andri Fannar Baldursson0%
Matei Ilie0%
Marcus Rafferty0%
Ayberk Karapo0%
Adem Arous0%
Elson Mendes0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Cláudio Winck33%
Andri Fannar Baldursson33%
Matei Ilie33%
Ayberk Karapo33%
Andreas Gianniotis0%
Güven Yalçın0%
Adrian Benedyczak0%
Fousseni Diabaté0%
Marcus Rafferty0%
Adem Arous0%
Elson Mendes0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Cláudio Winck33%
Adrian Benedyczak33%
Andreas Gianniotis0%
Güven Yalçın0%
Fousseni Diabaté0%
Andri Fannar Baldursson0%
Matei Ilie0%
Marcus Rafferty0%
Ayberk Karapo0%
Adem Arous0%
Elson Mendes0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Adrian Benedyczak67%
Cláudio Winck33%
Andreas Gianniotis0%
Güven Yalçın0%
Fousseni Diabaté0%
Andri Fannar Baldursson0%
Matei Ilie0%
Marcus Rafferty0%
Ayberk Karapo0%
Adem Arous0%
Elson Mendes0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (29)
€345m
FEN (39)
€332m
BEŞ (34)
€202m
TRA (31)
€168m
BAŞ (32)
€77m
GÖZ (26)
€61m
RIZ (24)
€44m
ALA (29)
€38m
KON (26)
€33m
KAS (31)
€31m
EF (26)
€26m
BUR (27)
€19m
ANT (25)
€16m
KAY (23)
€12m
SIV (26)
€10m
Kayserispor's squad is €18m less valuable than Kasımpaşa's (€12m vs €31m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (9)
€173m
FEN (14)
€162m
BEŞ (11)
€70m
TRA (11)
€67m
BAŞ (13)
€40m
GÖZ (10)
€30m
KAS (13)
€14m
KON (10)
€13m
RIZ (8)
€12m
EF (9)
€10m
BUR (10)
€10m
ALA (11)
€9m
KAY (9)
€5m
ANT (8)
€5m
SIV (10)
€4m
Kayserispor's attack is €9m less valuable than Kasımpaşa's (€5m vs €14m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (7)
€72m
FEN (7)
€62m
BEŞ (9)
€50m
TRA (9)
€38m
GÖZ (7)
€19m
ALA (9)
€18m
BAŞ (6)
€10m
EF (4)
€7m
RIZ (4)
€7m
KAS (7)
€4m
BUR (5)
€4m
KON (4)
€4m
ANT (6)
€4m
SIV (5)
€3m
KAY (4)
€2m
Kayserispor's midfield is €2m less valuable than Kasımpaşa's (€2m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FEN (18)
€108m
GAL (13)
€100m
BEŞ (14)
€82m
TRA (11)
€63m
BAŞ (13)
€28m
RIZ (12)
€25m
KON (12)
€16m
KAS (11)
€12m
GÖZ (9)
€12m
ALA (9)
€11m
EF (13)
€8m
ANT (11)
€7m
KAY (10)
€5m
BUR (12)
€4m
SIV (11)
€3m
Kayserispor's defence is €7m less valuable than Kasımpaşa's (€5m vs €12m).
Turkey: Süper Lig 2018/19 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Turkey: Süper Lig stats & trends →
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Galatasaray
Başakşehir
Beşiktaş
Trabzonspor
Yeni Malatyaspor
Fenerbahçe
Antalyaspor
Konyaspor
Alanyaspor
Rizespor
Sivasspor
Ankaragücü
Göztepe
Bursaspor
Erzurumspor FK