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Kazincbarcikai vs Kozarmisleny FC Result & Analysis

Date: 01/10/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 1-0
Kazincbarcikai
Kazincbarcikai
Vs
33%
30%
36%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Kozarmisleny FC
Kozarmisleny FC
Hungary: NB II
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kazincbarcikai win✓ Hit
33.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kozarmisleny FC win✗ Miss
36.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

KazincbarcikaiKazincbarcikai

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L30W00D11D22D10W22D22D00DH·SZE21/05H·SZE30/07A·MTE06/08H·PÉC13/08H·SIO16/08A·VAS19/08H·AJK27/08A·GYI03/09H·BVS24/09A·CSA27/09
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.171.001.201.201.13
vs Stronger (3)1.331.673.003.000.501.00
vs Similar (27)1.071.110.861.071.311.15
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Kozarmisleny FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kozarmisleny FCKozarmisleny FC

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W12L21W20W12L21W21W11D11D30WA·IVÁ04/06H·TIS30/07A·BUD06/08H·SZO13/08A·GYO16/08H·SOR19/08A·BUD27/08H·SZE03/09A·MTE24/09H·PÉC27/09
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.201.191.381.361.00
vs Stronger (7)1.141.570.502.252.000.67
vs Similar (23)1.301.091.421.081.181.09
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Kazincbarcikai) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%27%10%019%127%221%312%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
70.2%
Under 1.5
29.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
42.7%
Under 2.5
57.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.9%
Under 3.5
78.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
49.9%
No
50.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%
0-0
10.5%
0-1
9.9%
1-0 ✓
9.4%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
6.2%
Kazincbarcikai goals ↓
Kozarmisleny FC goals →
01234
010%9.9%6.9%2.8%0.9%
19.4%14%8.0%3.3%1.0%
26.2%7.6%4.7%1.9%0.6%
32.4%3.0%1.8%0.7%0.2%
40.7%0.9%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kazincbarcikai goals (down), columns = Kozarmisleny FC goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Nyiregyhaza
2.32
Gyori ETO FC
2.03
Vasas
1.97
Szeged 2011
1.76
Kozarmisleny FC
1.53
Gyirmot SE
1.44
Soroksar
1.32
Kazincbarcikai
1.29
Budafoki LC
1.29
Budapest Honved
1.29
Csakvar
1.26
Ajka
1.26
Szombathelyi Haladas
1.12
BVSC
1.12
Pécsi MFC
1.06
Tiszakecske FC
1.00
Siofok
0.91
MTE 1904
0.62
Kazincbarcikai is 0.24 points worse than Kozarmisleny FC in terms of average points per game (1.29 vs 1.53).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Vasas
2.12
Nyiregyhaza
2.03
Gyori ETO FC
1.91
Kozarmisleny FC
1.62
Gyirmot SE
1.44
Szombathelyi Haladas
1.24
Csakvar
1.15
Soroksar
1.15
Budapest Honved
1.15
Kazincbarcikai
1.09
Budafoki LC
1.09
Siofok
1.06
Szeged 2011
1.03
Tiszakecske FC
0.97
Ajka
0.88
MTE 1904
0.85
BVSC
0.79
Pécsi MFC
0.59
Kazincbarcikai is 0.53 goals worse than Kozarmisleny FC in terms of goals scored per game (1.09 vs 1.62).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Szeged 2011
0.68
Nyiregyhaza
0.79
Vasas
0.97
Ajka
0.97
Budapest Honved
1.06
Gyori ETO FC
1.09
Pécsi MFC
1.15
Tiszakecske FC
1.18
BVSC
1.18
Kazincbarcikai
1.21
Budafoki LC
1.29
Soroksar
1.29
Gyirmot SE
1.32
Csakvar
1.32
Kozarmisleny FC
1.32
Szombathelyi Haladas
1.53
Siofok
1.76
MTE 1904
2.03
Kazincbarcikai is 0.12 goals better than Kozarmisleny FC in terms of goals conceded per game (1.21 vs 1.32).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

KazincbarcikaiKazincbarcikai

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L20W00D00D10W00D12L11D00DH·SZE21/05H·SZE30/07A·MTE06/08H·PÉC13/08H·SIO16/08A·VAS19/08H·AJK27/08A·GYI03/09H·BVS24/09A·CSA27/09
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.470.600.530.670.40
vs Stronger (3)0.671.002.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (27)0.630.410.500.500.770.31
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Kozarmisleny FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kozarmisleny FCKozarmisleny FC

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-110W01L01L00D01L11D11D10W00D10WA·IVÁ04/06H·TIS30/07A·BUD06/08H·SZO13/08A·GYO16/08H·SOR19/08A·BUD27/08H·SZE03/09A·MTE24/09H·PÉC27/09
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.300.470.380.440.210.50
vs Stronger (7)0.140.570.000.750.330.33
vs Similar (23)0.350.430.500.330.180.55
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Kazincbarcikai) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kazincbarcikai over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kazincbarcikai over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kazincbarcikai over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kozarmisleny FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kozarmisleny FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kozarmisleny FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

KazincbarcikaiKazincbarcikai

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D10W00D11D12L10W10W11D00DH·SZE21/05H·SZE30/07A·MTE06/08H·PÉC13/08H·SIO16/08A·VAS19/08H·AJK27/08A·GYI03/09H·BVS24/09A·CSA27/09
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.700.400.670.530.73
vs Stronger (3)0.670.671.002.000.500.00
vs Similar (27)0.440.700.360.570.540.85
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Kozarmisleny FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kozarmisleny FCKozarmisleny FC

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W11D20W20W11D10W10W01L11D20WA·IVÁ04/06H·TIS30/07A·BUD06/08H·SZO13/08A·GYO16/08H·SOR19/08A·BUD27/08H·SZE03/09A·MTE24/09H·PÉC27/09
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.730.810.941.140.50
vs Stronger (7)1.001.000.501.501.670.33
vs Similar (23)0.960.650.920.751.000.55
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Kazincbarcikai) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kazincbarcikai over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kazincbarcikai over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kazincbarcikai over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kozarmisleny FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kozarmisleny FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kozarmisleny FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.578.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.570.2%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GEF (28)
€16m
NYI (29)
€7m
VAS (28)
€7m
BH (25)
€5m
KAZ (19)
€2m
S2 (23)
€2m
BVS (17)
€2m
AJK (20)
€2m
KF (19)
€2m
TF (18)
€1m
SOR (17)
€1m
CSA (11)
€1m
Kazincbarcikai and Kozarmisleny FC have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GEF (10)
€7m
NYI (13)
€3m
VAS (11)
€3m
BH (6)
€1m
SOR (7)
€1m
TF (8)
€1m
KAZ (7)
€1m
AJK (5)
€1m
BVS (5)
€0m
KF (6)
€0m
S2 (6)
€0m
CSA (3)
€0m
Kazincbarcikai and Kozarmisleny FC have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GEF (6)
€4m
VAS (7)
€2m
NYI (5)
€1m
BH (5)
€1m
BVS (5)
€1m
KAZ (4)
€0m
S2 (5)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
KF (4)
€0m
SOR (4)
€0m
AJK (2)
€0m
Kazincbarcikai and Kozarmisleny FC have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GEF (12)
€5m
NYI (11)
€3m
BH (14)
€3m
VAS (10)
€2m
KAZ (8)
€1m
S2 (12)
€1m
AJK (13)
€1m
KF (9)
€1m
BVS (7)
€1m
SOR (6)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
Kazincbarcikai and Kozarmisleny FC have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
2
KAZ wins
0
Draws
0
KF wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Kazincbarcikai vs Kozarmisleny FC · H/A from KAZ
DateH/AGameScore
19/02/23AKozarmisleny FC Vs KAZ0-3
21/08/22HKAZ Vs Kozarmisleny FC1-0

KazincbarcikaiKazincbarcikai

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/09/23ACsakvar Vs KAZ0-0
24/09/23HKAZ Vs BVSC2-2
03/09/23AGyirmot SE Vs KAZ2-2
27/08/23HKAZ Vs Ajka1-0
19/08/23AVasas Vs KAZ2-2
16/08/23HKAZ Vs Siofok1-1
13/08/23HKAZ Vs Pécsi MFC0-0
06/08/23AMTE 1904 Vs KAZ0-3
30/07/23HKAZ Vs Szeged 20110-1
21/05/23HKAZ Vs Szentlőrinc SE1-0

Kozarmisleny FCKozarmisleny FC

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/09/23HKF Vs Pécsi MFC3-0
24/09/23AMTE 1904 Vs KF1-1
03/09/23HKF Vs Szeged 20111-1
27/08/23ABudafoki LC Vs KF1-2
19/08/23HKF Vs Soroksar2-1
16/08/23AGyori ETO FC Vs KF2-1
13/08/23HKF Vs Szombathelyi Haladas2-0
06/08/23ABudapest Honved Vs KF1-2
30/07/23HKF Vs Tiszakecske FC1-2
04/06/23AIváncsa Vs KF0-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Kazincbarcikai
Kazincbarcikai
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 3 Wins / 6 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDDD1.21
HomeLDDWD1.46
AwayLWDDD0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%38%22%
AVG goals2.472.252.70
Over 1.5 %66%62%70%
Over 2.5 %43%33%52%
Over 3.5 %28%25%30%
Scored1.111.121.09
Conceded1.361.121.61
BTTS49%46%52%
Clean Sheet26%38%13%
Corners---
Cards---
Kozarmisleny FC
Kozarmisleny FC
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDDW1.18
HomeLWWDW1.24
AwayWWLWD1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %33%36%29%
AVG goals2.802.563.04
Over 1.5 %78%76%79%
Over 2.5 %51%52%50%
Over 3.5 %27%24%29%
Scored1.241.201.29
Conceded1.551.361.75
BTTS51%44%58%
Clean Sheet20%24%17%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1NyiregyhazaNyiregyhaza3479
71%
2.3
6927+42
2.8
82%
50%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3132.00.8
-
2Gyori ETO FCGyori ETO FC3469
65%
2.0
6537+28
3.0
71%
56%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
16
7451.91.1
-
3VasasVasas3467
56%
2.0
7233+39
3.1
79%
59%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3222.11.0
-
4Szeged 2011Szeged 20113460
44%
1.8
3523+12
1.7
53%
15%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.00.7
-
5Kozarmisleny FCKozarmisleny FC3452
44%
1.5
5545+10
2.9
85%
56%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.61.3
-
6Gyirmot SEGyirmot SE3449
35%
1.4
4945+4
2.8
74%
53%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.3
-
7SoroksarSoroksar3445
35%
1.3
3944-5
2.4
74%
44%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.11.3
-
8Budapest HonvedBudapest Honved3444
32%
1.3
3936+3
2.2
65%
44%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1131.11.1
-
9KazincbarcikaiKazincbarcikai3444
32%
1.3
3741-4
2.3
65%
41%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.2
-
10Budafoki LCBudafoki LC3444
35%
1.3
3744-7
2.4
71%
41%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.3
-
11AjkaAjka3443
38%
1.3
3033-3
1.9
53%
26%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.0
-
12CsakvarCsakvar3443
35%
1.3
3945-6
2.5
68%
44%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.3
-
13Szombathelyi HaladasSzombathelyi Haladas3438
26%
1.1
4252-10
2.8
79%
50%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.5
-
14BVSCBVSC3438
29%
1.1
2740-13
2.0
62%
29%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0110.81.2
-
15Pécsi MFCPécsi MFC3436
24%
1.1
2039-19
1.7
44%
29%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.1
-
16Tiszakecske FCTiszakecske FC3434
21%
1.0
3340-7
2.1
71%
35%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.01.2
-
17SiofokSiofok3431
24%
0.9
3660-24
2.8
74%
47%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
18MTE 1904MTE 19043421
15%
0.6
2969-40
2.9
74%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.0
-
Hungary: NB II 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB II stats & trends →

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