Kazincbarcikai is likely to emerge victorious at home, with a recent unbeaten streak in their last 5 matches, including a 2-2 draw against Gyirmot SE. The model predicts a home win, with a 45% probability. The draw is expected at 27%, while the away win has a 28% chance. The expected total number of goals is 2.8, with 2 goals being the most likely total. The most likely score is 1-1, occurring 12.9% of the time.
At home, Kazincbarcikai scores an average of 0.71 goals and concedes 2.0 goals per match against opponents of similar strength. Meanwhile, Kozarmisleny FC scores 1.2 goals and concedes 1.4 goals away from home against similar opponents. The model's selection is Over 1.5, occurring 78% of the time. The home win percentage is 45%, the draw percentage is 27%, and the away win percentage is 28%.
Results analysis
The win extends Kazincbarcikai's unbeaten run to six matches, following a 2-1 victory over Kozarmisleny FC. The final scoreline confirms the model's prediction of a home win, which it had assigned a 46% probability. The model's selection was correct, as the home team's performance justified the favouritism. The model had also picked a 78% chance of Over 1.5 goals, which hit, and a 25% chance of exactly 2 goals in the most likely score, which narrowly missed.
Advertisement
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Kazincbarcikai win✓ Hit
45.5%
Avg Implied 54.7% · @ 1.64
Edge
-9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
1.68
Betano
1.67
Pinnacle
1.67
Betfair
1.65
Bet365
1.65
Draw✗ Miss
27.1%
Avg Implied 24.9% · @ 3.60
Edge
+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.80
Betano
3.75
Dafabet
3.75
Pinnacle
3.70
Marathonbet
3.65
Kozarmisleny FC win✗ Miss
27.4%
Avg Implied 20.4% · @ 4.39
Edge
+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
4.68
Dafabet
4.60
Marathonbet
4.60
William Hil
4.60
Betano
4.40
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Kazincbarcikai
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
1.97
0.67
2.33
1.27
1.60
vs Stronger (12)
0.83
2.67
0.50
2.62
1.50
2.75
vs Similar (18)
1.06
1.50
0.86
2.00
1.18
1.18
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Kozarmisleny FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kozarmisleny FC
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.40
1.36
1.07
1.25
1.69
vs Stronger (8)
0.50
2.50
0.75
1.50
0.25
3.50
vs Similar (22)
1.59
1.00
1.60
0.90
1.58
1.08
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Kazincbarcikai) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.0%
@ 1.20+3.3%
Under 1.5
22.0%
@ 3.54-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.23
Marathonbet
1.20
1xBet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
BetVictor
1.17
Under
Betfair
4.00
1xBet
3.72
Marathonbet
3.72
Betano
3.35
BetVictor
2.90
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.9%
@ 1.69-0.9%
Under 2.5
47.1%
@ 1.97+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.75
Pinnacle
1.75
Marathonbet
1.73
1xBet
1.73
Betano
1.70
Under
Betfair
2.10
Bet365
2.05
10Bet
2.00
Pinnacle
1.99
1xBet
1.97
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.7%
@ 2.67-3.0%
Under 3.5
69.3%
@ 1.36+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.82
Betfair
2.75
Marathonbet
2.74
1xBet
2.74
Betano
2.60
Under
Betfair
1.40
Betano
1.38
Pinnacle
1.37
Marathonbet
1.35
1xBet
1.35
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.9%
@ 1.66+2.7%
No
43.1%
@ 1.96-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
1xBet
1.71
Marathonbet
1.71
William Hil
1.67
Betano
1.67
Betfair
1.65
No
Betfair
2.10
William Hil
2.00
1xBet
1.98
Betano
1.95
Marathonbet
1.95
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.9%@ 6.68+6.5%
2-1 ✓
9.3%@ 7.37+3.6%
1-0
8.6%@ 7.00+2.6%
2-0
7.8%@ 7.77+2.4%
0-0
7.3%@ 11.18+3.5%
1-2
7.0%@ 13.21+3.8%
0-1
6.1%@ 12.79+2.8%
2-2
5.6%@ 13.04+2.4%
Kazincbarcikai goals ↓
Kozarmisleny FC goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.3%
6.1%
4.4%
1.7%
0.5%
1
8.6%
13%
7.0%
2.8%
0.8%
2
7.8%
9.3%
5.6%
2.2%
0.7%
3
4.2%
5.0%
3.0%
1.2%
0.4%
4
1.7%
2.0%
1.2%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kazincbarcikai goals (down), columns = Kozarmisleny FC goals (across).
Advertisement
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Soroksar
2.67
Ajka
2.20
Kecskeméti TE
2.17
Kazincbarcikai
2.00
Tiszakecske FC
2.00
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.80
Karcag SE
1.67
Gyirmot SE
1.67
Szentlőrinc SE
1.40
Fehérvár FC
1.00
Szeged 2011
1.00
Diosgyori VTK
0.80
BVSC
0.80
Nagykanizsai ULE
0.50
Csakvar
0.50
Kozarmisleny FC
0.00
Kazincbarcikai is 2.00 points better than Kozarmisleny FC in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 0.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Soroksar
2.83
Karcag SE
2.00
Kecskeméti TE
2.00
Tiszakecske FC
2.00
Gyirmot SE
1.83
Kazincbarcikai
1.67
Ajka
1.60
Fehérvár FC
1.50
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.40
Szentlőrinc SE
1.20
Diosgyori VTK
1.00
Csakvar
1.00
Nagykanizsai ULE
0.83
Szeged 2011
0.80
BVSC
0.60
Kozarmisleny FC
0.50
Kazincbarcikai is 1.17 goals better than Kozarmisleny FC in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 0.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ajka
0.60
Soroksar
0.67
Kazincbarcikai
0.83
Kecskeméti TE
1.00
Szeged 2011
1.00
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.00
Tiszakecske FC
1.17
BVSC
1.20
Szentlőrinc SE
1.20
Karcag SE
1.33
Fehérvár FC
1.50
Nagykanizsai ULE
1.67
Gyirmot SE
2.00
Kozarmisleny FC
2.50
Diosgyori VTK
2.60
Csakvar
2.67
Kazincbarcikai is 1.67 goals better than Kozarmisleny FC in terms of goals conceded per game (0.83 vs 2.50).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Advertisement
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Kazincbarcikai
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.97
0.47
1.33
0.40
0.60
vs Stronger (12)
0.42
1.42
0.38
1.62
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (18)
0.44
0.67
0.57
1.00
0.36
0.45
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Kozarmisleny FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kozarmisleny FC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.63
0.57
0.57
0.50
0.69
vs Stronger (8)
0.25
1.38
0.25
0.75
0.25
2.00
vs Similar (22)
0.64
0.36
0.70
0.50
0.58
0.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Kazincbarcikai) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kazincbarcikai over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kazincbarcikai over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kazincbarcikai over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kozarmisleny FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kozarmisleny FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kozarmisleny FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Kazincbarcikai
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
1.00
0.20
1.00
0.87
1.00
vs Stronger (12)
0.42
1.25
0.12
1.00
1.00
1.75
vs Similar (18)
0.61
0.83
0.29
1.00
0.82
0.73
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Kozarmisleny FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kozarmisleny FC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.77
0.79
0.50
0.75
1.00
vs Stronger (8)
0.25
1.12
0.50
0.75
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (22)
0.95
0.64
0.90
0.40
1.00
0.83
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Kazincbarcikai) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kazincbarcikai over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kazincbarcikai over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kazincbarcikai over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kozarmisleny FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kozarmisleny FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kozarmisleny FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
78.0%
1.20
Betano
1.23
Marathonbet
1.20
1xBet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
BetVictor
1.17
+3.3%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Advertisement
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KT (22)
€3m
DV (18)
€3m
FF (22)
€2m
KAZ (19)
€2m
S2 (23)
€2m
MEZ (17)
€2m
BVS (17)
€2m
AJK (20)
€2m
KF (19)
€2m
TF (18)
€1m
SS (19)
€1m
SOR (17)
€1m
KS (16)
€1m
CSA (11)
€1m
Kazincbarcikai and Kozarmisleny FC have a similar squad value (both €2m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KT (9)
€1m
FF (10)
€1m
MEZ (7)
€1m
DV (5)
€1m
SOR (7)
€1m
TF (8)
€1m
KAZ (7)
€1m
SS (7)
€1m
AJK (5)
€1m
KS (7)
€0m
BVS (5)
€0m
KF (6)
€0m
S2 (6)
€0m
CSA (3)
€0m
Kazincbarcikai and Kozarmisleny FC have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DV (4)
€1m
BVS (5)
€1m
KAZ (4)
€0m
S2 (5)
€0m
KT (2)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
FF (3)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
KF (4)
€0m
MEZ (1)
€0m
SOR (4)
€0m
AJK (2)
€0m
KS (1)
€0m
Kazincbarcikai and Kozarmisleny FC have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DV (9)
€1m
KT (11)
€1m
KAZ (8)
€1m
S2 (12)
€1m
FF (9)
€1m
MEZ (9)
€1m
AJK (13)
€1m
KF (9)
€1m
BVS (7)
€1m
SS (8)
€0m
SOR (6)
€0m
KS (8)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
Kazincbarcikai and Kozarmisleny FC have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Hungary: NB II 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB II stats & trends →