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Kazincbarcikai vs Nyiregyhaza Result & Analysis

Date: 12/03/2023
Time: 13:00
Final 1-1
Kazincbarcikai
Kazincbarcikai
Vs
41%
28%
31%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Nyiregyhaza
Nyiregyhaza
Hungary: NB II
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kazincbarcikai win✗ Miss
41.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
27.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Nyiregyhaza win✗ Miss
31.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

KazincbarcikaiKazincbarcikai

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L33D11D21W13L04L02L30W10W31WA·GYI13/11H·MTK27/11A·SZE04/12A·DOR11/12H·BEK29/01A·BUD05/02H·MTE12/02A·KOZ19/02H·DIO26/02A·CSA05/03
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.691.311.311.232.08
vs Stronger (2)1.501.501.501.50--
vs Similar (24)1.251.711.271.271.232.08
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Nyiregyhaza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NyiregyhazaNyiregyhaza

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L03L11D02L10W11D22D12L14L12LA·DIO13/11H·CSA27/11A·SZE04/12H·GYO11/12A·SZO29/01H·SIO05/02A·SOR12/02H·TIS19/02A·AJK26/02H·PÉC05/03
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.501.461.311.081.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)1.381.481.601.201.181.73
vs Weaker (5)0.801.601.001.670.501.50
Clean sheet %19% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Kazincbarcikai) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%7%015%125%222%316%49%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.9%
Under 1.5
22.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
52.8%
Under 2.5
47.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.6%
Under 3.5
69.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.5%
No
42.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.1%
2-1
8.9%
1-0
8.0%
1-2
7.7%
0-0
7.3%
2-0
6.9%
0-1
6.7%
2-2
5.7%
Kazincbarcikai goals ↓
Nyiregyhaza goals →
01234
07.3%6.7%5.1%2.2%0.7%
18.0%13%7.7%3.3%1.1%
26.9%8.9%5.7%2.5%0.8%
33.5%4.5%2.9%1.2%0.4%
41.3%1.7%1.1%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kazincbarcikai goals (down), columns = Nyiregyhaza goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Diosgyori VTK
2.29
BVSC
2.00
MTK Budapest
1.95
Ajka
1.79
Szeged 2011
1.68
Soroksar
1.61
Gyirmot SE
1.58
Pécsi MFC
1.53
Iváncsa
1.50
Siofok
1.47
Szombathelyi Haladas
1.34
Budafoki LC
1.32
Gyori ETO FC
1.21
MTE 1904
1.21
Tiszakecske FC
1.21
Kazincbarcikai
1.18
Csakvar
1.11
Nyiregyhaza
1.05
Kozarmisleny FC
1.02
Szentlőrinc SE
1.00
Bekescsaba 1912
0.97
Dorogi FC
0.82
Veszprém
0.50
Kazincbarcikai is 0.13 points better than Nyiregyhaza in terms of average points per game (1.18 vs 1.05).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
MTK Budapest
2.26
Diosgyori VTK
2.08
Gyirmot SE
1.55
Soroksar
1.50
Szombathelyi Haladas
1.42
Ajka
1.42
Szeged 2011
1.32
Bekescsaba 1912
1.24
Siofok
1.18
Nyiregyhaza
1.18
Csakvar
1.16
Kozarmisleny FC
1.15
Szentlőrinc SE
1.12
Budafoki LC
1.11
Kazincbarcikai
1.08
Tiszakecske FC
1.00
BVSC
1.00
Pécsi MFC
1.00
Gyori ETO FC
0.97
MTE 1904
0.95
Dorogi FC
0.84
Iváncsa
0.50
Veszprém
0.00
Kazincbarcikai is 0.10 goals worse than Nyiregyhaza in terms of goals scored per game (1.08 vs 1.18).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Veszprém
0.50
BVSC
0.50
Pécsi MFC
0.82
Diosgyori VTK
0.95
Ajka
0.97
Szeged 2011
1.00
Gyori ETO FC
1.11
Budafoki LC
1.13
MTE 1904
1.16
Gyirmot SE
1.21
Soroksar
1.26
MTK Budapest
1.26
Csakvar
1.32
Tiszakecske FC
1.32
Siofok
1.34
Nyiregyhaza
1.38
Kazincbarcikai
1.47
Szombathelyi Haladas
1.47
Bekescsaba 1912
1.47
Iváncsa
1.50
Szentlőrinc SE
1.50
Dorogi FC
1.61
Kozarmisleny FC
1.68
Kazincbarcikai is 0.10 goals worse than Nyiregyhaza in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 1.38).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

KazincbarcikaiKazincbarcikai

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L21W00D21W02L01L00D10W10W20WA·GYI13/11H·MTK27/11A·SZE04/12A·DOR11/12H·BEK29/01A·BUD05/02H·MTE12/02A·KOZ19/02H·DIO26/02A·CSA05/03
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.810.650.920.540.690.77
vs Stronger (2)1.000.501.000.50--
vs Similar (24)0.790.670.910.550.690.77
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %54% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Nyiregyhaza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NyiregyhazaNyiregyhaza

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L02L01L00D10W11D01L11D01L11DA·DIO13/11H·CSA27/11A·SZE04/12H·GYO11/12A·SZO29/01H·SIO05/02A·SOR12/02H·TIS19/02A·AJK26/02H·PÉC05/03
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.620.730.770.540.460.92
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)0.670.760.900.400.451.09
vs Weaker (5)0.400.600.331.000.500.00
Clean sheet %42% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Kazincbarcikai) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kazincbarcikai over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kazincbarcikai over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kazincbarcikai over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nyiregyhaza over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nyiregyhaza over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nyiregyhaza over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

KazincbarcikaiKazincbarcikai

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L12L11D00D11D03L02L20W00D11DA·GYI13/11H·MTK27/11A·SZE04/12A·DOR11/12H·BEK29/01A·BUD05/02H·MTE12/02A·KOZ19/02H·DIO26/02A·CSA05/03
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.461.040.380.770.541.31
vs Stronger (2)0.501.000.501.00--
vs Similar (24)0.461.040.360.730.541.31
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %35% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Nyiregyhaza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NyiregyhazaNyiregyhaza

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L10W02L00D00D21W01L13L01LA·DIO13/11H·CSA27/11A·SZE04/12H·GYO11/12A·SZO29/01H·SIO05/02A·SOR12/02H·TIS19/02A·AJK26/02H·PÉC05/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.650.770.690.770.620.77
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)0.710.710.700.800.730.64
vs Weaker (5)0.401.000.670.670.001.50
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Kazincbarcikai) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kazincbarcikai over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kazincbarcikai over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kazincbarcikai over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nyiregyhaza over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nyiregyhaza over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nyiregyhaza over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.577.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GEF (28)
€16m
MB (23)
€11m
NYI (29)
€7m
DV (18)
€3m
KAZ (19)
€2m
S2 (23)
€2m
BVS (17)
€2m
AJK (20)
€2m
KF (19)
€2m
TF (18)
€1m
SS (19)
€1m
SOR (17)
€1m
CSA (11)
€1m
Kazincbarcikai's squad is €5m less valuable than Nyiregyhaza's (€2m vs €7m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GEF (10)
€7m
NYI (13)
€3m
MB (9)
€2m
DV (5)
€1m
SOR (7)
€1m
TF (8)
€1m
KAZ (7)
€1m
SS (7)
€1m
AJK (5)
€1m
BVS (5)
€0m
KF (6)
€0m
S2 (6)
€0m
CSA (3)
€0m
Kazincbarcikai's attack is €3m less valuable than Nyiregyhaza's (€1m vs €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MB (4)
€4m
GEF (6)
€4m
NYI (5)
€1m
DV (4)
€1m
BVS (5)
€1m
KAZ (4)
€0m
S2 (5)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
KF (4)
€0m
SOR (4)
€0m
AJK (2)
€0m
Kazincbarcikai and Nyiregyhaza have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GEF (12)
€5m
MB (10)
€5m
NYI (11)
€3m
DV (9)
€1m
KAZ (8)
€1m
S2 (12)
€1m
AJK (13)
€1m
KF (9)
€1m
BVS (7)
€1m
SS (8)
€0m
SOR (6)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
Kazincbarcikai's defence is €2m less valuable than Nyiregyhaza's (€1m vs €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
KAZ wins
0
Draws
1
NYI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Kazincbarcikai vs Nyiregyhaza · H/A from KAZ
DateH/AGameScore
11/09/22ANyiregyhaza Vs KAZ4-2

KazincbarcikaiKazincbarcikai

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/03/23ACsakvar Vs KAZ1-3
26/02/23HKAZ Vs Diosgyori VTK1-0
19/02/23AKozarmisleny FC Vs KAZ0-3
12/02/23HKAZ Vs MTE 19040-2
05/02/23ABudafoki LC Vs KAZ4-0
29/01/23HKAZ Vs Bekescsaba 19121-3
11/12/22ADorogi FC Vs KAZ1-2
04/12/22ASzentlőrinc SE Vs KAZ1-1
27/11/22HKAZ Vs MTK Budapest3-3
13/11/22AGyirmot SE Vs KAZ3-0

NyiregyhazaNyiregyhaza

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/03/23HNYI Vs Pécsi MFC1-2
26/02/23AAjka Vs NYI4-1
19/02/23HNYI Vs Tiszakecske FC1-2
12/02/23ASoroksar Vs NYI2-2
05/02/23HNYI Vs Siofok1-1
29/01/23ASzombathelyi Haladas Vs NYI0-1
11/12/22HNYI Vs Gyori ETO FC0-2
04/12/22ASzeged 2011 Vs NYI1-1
27/11/22HNYI Vs Csakvar0-3
13/11/22ADiosgyori VTK Vs NYI2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Kazincbarcikai
Kazincbarcikai
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWW1.27
HomeLDLLW1.46
AwayDWLWW1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %35%38%31%
AVG goals2.962.623.31
Over 1.5 %81%77%85%
Over 2.5 %54%38%69%
Over 3.5 %35%31%38%
Scored1.271.311.23
Conceded1.691.312.08
BTTS54%46%62%
Clean Sheet23%38%8%
Corners---
Cards---
Nyiregyhaza
Nyiregyhaza
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLLL1.04
HomeLLDLL1.31
AwayLDWDL0.77
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %27%38%15%
AVG goals2.772.772.77
Over 1.5 %73%85%62%
Over 2.5 %46%46%46%
Over 3.5 %27%15%38%
Scored1.271.461.08
Conceded1.501.311.69
BTTS50%46%54%
Clean Sheet19%23%15%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Diosgyori VTKDiosgyori VTK3887
74%
2.3
7936+43
3.0
82%
66%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.10.9
-
2MTK BudapestMTK Budapest3874
58%
1.9
8648+38
3.5
84%
63%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
2452.31.3
-
3AjkaAjka3868
53%
1.8
5437+17
2.4
66%
39%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.41.0
-
4Szeged 2011Szeged 20113864
47%
1.7
5038+12
2.3
66%
39%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.31.0
-
5SoroksarSoroksar3861
42%
1.6
5748+9
2.8
82%
53%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.51.3
-
6Gyirmot SEGyirmot SE3860
45%
1.6
5946+13
2.8
74%
58%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.2
-
7Pécsi MFCPécsi MFC3858
37%
1.5
3831+7
1.8
50%
32%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.8
-
8SiofokSiofok3856
39%
1.5
4551-6
2.5
68%
53%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.3
-
9Szombathelyi HaladasSzombathelyi Haladas3851
37%
1.3
5456-2
2.9
79%
53%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.5
-
10Budafoki LCBudafoki LC3850
34%
1.3
4243-1
2.2
66%
53%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.1
-
11Gyori ETO FCGyori ETO FC3846
29%
1.2
3742-5
2.1
68%
29%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
16
7451.01.1
-
12MTE 1904MTE 19043846
32%
1.2
3644-8
2.1
58%
37%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.2
-
13Tiszakecske FCTiszakecske FC3846
34%
1.2
3850-12
2.3
61%
39%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.01.3
-
14KazincbarcikaiKazincbarcikai3845
32%
1.2
4156-15
2.6
68%
42%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.5
-
15CsakvarCsakvar3842
24%
1.1
4450-6
2.5
79%
45%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.3
-
16NyiregyhazaNyiregyhaza4042
25%
1.1
4755-8
2.5
72%
42%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3131.21.4
-
17Kozarmisleny FCKozarmisleny FC4041
28%
1.0
4667-21
2.8
72%
48%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.11.7
-
18Szentlőrinc SESzentlőrinc SE4040
22%
1.0
4560-15
2.6
85%
48%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.11.5
-
19Bekescsaba 1912Bekescsaba 19123837
21%
1.0
4756-9
2.7
71%
47%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.5
-
20Dorogi FCDorogi FC3831
18%
0.8
3261-29
2.4
68%
39%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.6
-
21BVSCBVSC24
50%
2.0
21+1
1.5
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.00.5
-
22IváncsaIváncsa23
50%
1.5
13-2
2.0
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.51.5
-
23VeszprémVeszprém21
0%
0.5
01-1
0.5
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.5
-
Hungary: NB II 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB II stats & trends →

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