Kazincbarcikai vs Szentlőrinc SE Result & Analysis

Kazincbarcikai are the clear favourites, with a 43% chance of triumph, a 28% draw probability and 29% for Szentlőrinc SE. The match is expected to produce 2.7 goals on average, with the most likely total of two goals at 26%. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, carrying a 13.4% chance. Home side Kazincbarcikai typically score an average of one goal and concede 1.58 against similarly ranked opponents, while Szentlőrinc SE, on the road, averages 1.3 goals for and 1.5 against. The model’s selections include Over 1.5 with a 75.8% probability and Under 3.5 with a 72.0% probability. In recent form, Kazincbarcikai remain unbeaten in their last five, drawing 1-1 with Szeged 2011, whereas Szentlőrinc SE has won two of their last five after two consecutive losses, losing 0-1 to Ajka. This data points to a tightly contested match where the home side’s resilience may edge out the visitors.

The match ended 1-0 in favour of Kazincbarcikai, extending their unbeaten run in the last five games. The model had picked a home win with a 43% probability, and this call proved correct. The most likely scoreline was 1-1 at 13.4%, but the actual 1-0 result was a clean-sheet victory for the hosts. The model’s suggested selections were mixed: Over 1.5 goals, with a 75.8% chance, missed as only one goal was scored, while Under 3.5 goals, at 72.0%, hit as the total was well below the threshold. Overall, the model’s favourite and total-goals prediction were accurate, though the over-goals pick fell short.