Kecskeméti TE are the clear favorites, with the model assigning a 64% chance of a home win. The team’s recent four-game winning streak, highlighted by a 3-0 victory over Kozarmisleny FC, underpins that confidence, while Karcag SE’s away form shows only a 13% chance of triumph. The predicted average of 2.7 goals suggests a moderately high-scoring affair, yet the most likely total is 2 goals, occurring with a 26% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 2-0 for Kecskeméti TE, with a 12.7% chance. Kecskeméti TE’s home performance averages 2.0 goals scored and 0.62 conceded against similar opponents, whereas Karcag SE averages 1.17 scored and 1.25 conceded on the road. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.4%), Away under 3.5 goals (99.2%), Under 6.5 (98.1%), Home +2 handicap (96.0%), Away under 2.5 goals (95.8%), Under 5.5 (94.6%), Home under 3.5 goals (87.3%), and Home or Draw (86.9%). The probabilities for the match result are 64% home win, 23% draw, and 13% away win.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Kecskeméti TE win
60.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
24.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Karcag SE win
15.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Kecskeméti TE
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.70
1.20
2.20
0.67
1.20
1.73
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (19)
1.58
1.11
2.00
0.62
1.27
1.45
vs Weaker (10)
1.90
1.40
2.50
0.67
1.00
2.50
Clean sheet %
27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Karcag SE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Karcag SE
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.47
1.31
1.56
1.00
1.36
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
1.67
2.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (27)
1.22
1.44
1.27
1.60
1.17
1.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Kecskeméti TE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
75.0%
Under 1.5
25.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
49.1%
Under 2.5
50.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
27.2%
Under 3.5
72.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
47.6%
No
52.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
12.0%
2-0
12.0%
1-1
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
8.2%
3-0
7.3%
3-1
5.9%
0-1
4.7%
Kecskeméti TE goals ↓
Karcag SE goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.2%
4.7%
2.3%
0.6%
0.1%
1
12%
12%
4.3%
1.1%
0.2%
2
12%
9.7%
3.9%
1.1%
0.2%
3
7.3%
5.9%
2.4%
0.6%
0.1%
4
3.3%
2.7%
1.1%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kecskeméti TE goals (down), columns = Karcag SE goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Soroksar
2.67
Ajka
2.20
Kecskeméti TE
2.17
Kazincbarcikai
2.00
Tiszakecske FC
2.00
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.80
Karcag SE
1.67
Gyirmot SE
1.67
Szentlőrinc SE
1.40
Fehérvár FC
1.00
Szeged 2011
1.00
Diosgyori VTK
0.80
BVSC
0.80
Nagykanizsai ULE
0.50
Csakvar
0.50
Kozarmisleny FC
0.00
Kecskeméti TE is 0.50 points better than Karcag SE in terms of average points per game (2.17 vs 1.67).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Soroksar
2.83
Karcag SE
2.00
Kecskeméti TE
2.00
Tiszakecske FC
2.00
Gyirmot SE
1.83
Kazincbarcikai
1.67
Ajka
1.60
Fehérvár FC
1.50
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.40
Szentlőrinc SE
1.20
Diosgyori VTK
1.00
Csakvar
1.00
Nagykanizsai ULE
0.83
Szeged 2011
0.80
BVSC
0.60
Kozarmisleny FC
0.50
Kecskeméti TE and Karcag SE are level in goals scored per game (both 2.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ajka
0.60
Soroksar
0.67
Kazincbarcikai
0.83
Kecskeméti TE
1.00
Szeged 2011
1.00
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.00
Tiszakecske FC
1.17
BVSC
1.20
Szentlőrinc SE
1.20
Karcag SE
1.33
Fehérvár FC
1.50
Nagykanizsai ULE
1.67
Gyirmot SE
2.00
Kozarmisleny FC
2.50
Diosgyori VTK
2.60
Csakvar
2.67
Kecskeméti TE is 0.33 goals better than Karcag SE in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.33).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Kecskeméti TE or Draw
85.0%
Avg Implied -
61%
24%
15%
covers Kecskeméti TE + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kecskeméti TE or Karcag SE
75.6%
Avg Implied -
61%
24%
15%
covers Kecskeméti TE + Karcag SE
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Karcag SE
39.4%
Avg Implied -
61%
24%
15%
covers Draw + Karcag SE
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Kecskeméti TE over/under 0.5
Over
84.0%
Under
16.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kecskeméti TE over/under 1.5
Over
54.6%
Under
45.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kecskeméti TE over/under 2.5
Over
27.7%
Under
72.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kecskeméti TE over/under 3.5
Over
11.4%
Under
88.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karcag SE over/under 0.5
Over
55.4%
Under
44.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karcag SE over/under 1.5
Over
19.4%
Under
80.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karcag SE over/under 2.5
Over
4.9%
Under
95.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karcag SE over/under 3.5
Over
0.9%
Under
99.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Kecskeméti TE, so a minus line means Kecskeméti TE give that many goals of a start and Karcag SE receive them. At -1, Kecskeméti TE must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Kecskeméti TE win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Kecskeméti TE)
Kecskeméti TE -2
17.1%
Draw -2
19.1%
Karcag SE +2
63.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Kecskeméti TE)
Kecskeméti TE -1
36.2%
Draw -1
24.4%
Karcag SE +1
39.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Kecskeméti TE)
Kecskeméti TE +1
85.0%
Draw +1
10.2%
Karcag SE -1
4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Kecskeméti TE)
Kecskeméti TE +2
95.2%
Draw +2
3.7%
Karcag SE -2
1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Kecskeméti TE
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.50
0.80
0.27
0.80
0.73
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.68
0.42
0.38
0.12
0.91
0.64
vs Weaker (10)
1.00
0.70
1.33
0.50
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Karcag SE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Karcag SE
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.57
0.31
0.62
0.36
0.50
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
0.33
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (27)
0.37
0.59
0.33
0.67
0.42
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Kecskeméti TE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kecskeméti TE over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kecskeméti TE over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kecskeméti TE over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karcag SE over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karcag SE over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karcag SE over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Kecskeméti TE
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.70
1.40
0.40
0.40
1.00
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.89
0.68
1.62
0.50
0.36
0.82
vs Weaker (10)
0.90
0.70
1.17
0.17
0.50
1.50
Clean sheet %
47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Karcag SE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Karcag SE
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.90
1.00
0.94
0.64
0.86
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
1.33
2.00
1.00
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (27)
0.85
0.85
0.93
0.93
0.75
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Kecskeméti TE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kecskeméti TE over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kecskeméti TE over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kecskeméti TE over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karcag SE over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karcag SE over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karcag SE over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
98.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
95.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
95.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
94.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
88.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
87.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
85.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
85.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
84.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
80.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
75.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
75.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Kecskeméti TE · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Driton Camaj23%
Lóránd Pászka20%
Gergő Pálinkás16%
Dániel Lukács14%
Donát Zsótér14%
Milán Májer11%
Bálint Katona11%
Márió Zeke7%
Levente Vágó5%
Levente Katona4%
Michael López0%
Alex Szabó0%
Krisztián Nagy0%
Csaba Belényesi0%
Endre Botka0%
Tamás Nikitscher0%
Mykhaylo Meskhi0%
Mykhaylo Ryashko0%
Bence Varga0%
Tòfol Montiel0%
Roland Kersák0%
Barnabás Kovács0%
Bertalan Bocskay0%
Marcell Berki0%
Pál Helmich0%
Márton Vattay0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Levente Vágó47%
Endre Botka44%
Mykhaylo Ryashko43%
Alex Szabó32%
Levente Katona29%
Bertalan Bocskay29%
Csaba Belényesi27%
Barnabás Kovács25%
Lóránd Pászka20%
Márton Vattay18%
Driton Camaj15%
Tamás Nikitscher14%
Gergő Pálinkás12%
Marcell Berki12%
Krisztián Nagy11%
Dániel Lukács9%
Mykhaylo Meskhi8%
Donát Zsótér5%
Márió Zeke4%
Michael López0%
Milán Májer0%
Bence Varga0%
Tòfol Montiel0%
Roland Kersák0%
Bálint Katona0%
Pál Helmich0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dániel Lukács18%
Barnabás Kovács12%
Marcell Berki12%
Alex Szabó11%
Krisztián Nagy11%
Driton Camaj8%
Milán Májer6%
Donát Zsótér5%
Gergő Pálinkás4%
Michael López0%
Csaba Belényesi0%
Levente Vágó0%
Endre Botka0%
Tamás Nikitscher0%
Mykhaylo Meskhi0%
Mykhaylo Ryashko0%
Bence Varga0%
Tòfol Montiel0%
Lóránd Pászka0%
Márió Zeke0%
Roland Kersák0%
Levente Katona0%
Bertalan Bocskay0%
Bálint Katona0%
Pál Helmich0%
Márton Vattay0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Driton Camaj23%
Gergő Pálinkás12%
Bálint Katona11%
Dániel Lukács9%
Donát Zsótér9%
Csaba Belényesi4%
Márió Zeke4%
Michael López0%
Alex Szabó0%
Krisztián Nagy0%
Levente Vágó0%
Endre Botka0%
Tamás Nikitscher0%
Milán Májer0%
Mykhaylo Meskhi0%
Mykhaylo Ryashko0%
Bence Varga0%
Tòfol Montiel0%
Lóránd Pászka0%
Roland Kersák0%
Levente Katona0%
Barnabás Kovács0%
Bertalan Bocskay0%
Marcell Berki0%
Pál Helmich0%
Márton Vattay0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KT (22)
€3m
DV (18)
€3m
FF (22)
€2m
KAZ (19)
€2m
S2 (23)
€2m
MEZ (17)
€2m
BVS (17)
€2m
AJK (20)
€2m
KF (19)
€2m
TF (18)
€1m
SS (19)
€1m
SOR (17)
€1m
KS (16)
€1m
CSA (11)
€1m
Kecskeméti TE's squad is €2m more valuable than Karcag SE's (€3m vs €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KT (9)
€1m
FF (10)
€1m
MEZ (7)
€1m
DV (5)
€1m
SOR (7)
€1m
TF (8)
€1m
KAZ (7)
€1m
SS (7)
€1m
AJK (5)
€1m
KS (7)
€0m
BVS (5)
€0m
KF (6)
€0m
S2 (6)
€0m
CSA (3)
€0m
Kecskeméti TE and Karcag SE have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DV (4)
€1m
BVS (5)
€1m
KAZ (4)
€0m
S2 (5)
€0m
KT (2)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
FF (3)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
KF (4)
€0m
MEZ (1)
€0m
SOR (4)
€0m
AJK (2)
€0m
KS (1)
€0m
Kecskeméti TE and Karcag SE have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DV (9)
€1m
KT (11)
€1m
KAZ (8)
€1m
S2 (12)
€1m
FF (9)
€1m
MEZ (9)
€1m
AJK (13)
€1m
KF (9)
€1m
BVS (7)
€1m
SS (8)
€0m
SOR (6)
€0m
KS (8)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
Kecskeméti TE and Karcag SE have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Hungary: NB II 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB II stats & trends →