Tiszakecske FC's recent form note highlights that they are coming off a win against Mezokovesd-zsory, but their away form against similar opponents is less impressive, scoring an average of 1.33 goals and conceding 1.92. Kecskeméti TE, on the other hand, has been strong at home, scoring 2.14 goals and conceding 0.86 against similar opponents. The model predicts a home win with a 60% probability, a draw with 23%, and an away win with 17%. The expected total number of goals is 3.0, with the most likely score being 1-1 with a 10.8% probability. The model's selection is the Home win, which is the favourite. The model also suggests selecting Over 1.5 with an 81.6% probability, where they have identified an 8% edge. The other suggested picks include the Home win with a 60% probability, the Draw with 23%, and the Away win with 17%.
Results analysis
The draw between Kecskeméti TE and Tiszakecske FC has extended the home team's run of consecutive wins, with their last five results reading WDLLW. The model's selection, Home win, was not the correct call, as the final score was 1-1. The model's call was wrong, as the actual result was a draw. The model's selection, Home win, had a pre-match probability of 60%. The suggested pick, Over 1.5, had a probability of 81.6% and hit, while the model's selection, Home win, had a probability of 60% and missed.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Kecskeméti TE win✗ Miss
60.5%
Avg Implied 53.1% · @ 1.69
Edge
+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
1.75
Superbet
1.75
Betano
1.75
Unibet
1.71
Pinnacle
1.71
Draw✓ Hit
22.8%
Avg Implied 25.6% · @ 3.51
Edge
-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.68
Marathonbet
3.60
Dafabet
3.60
Betfair
3.60
Betano
3.60
Tiszakecske FC win✗ Miss
16.7%
Avg Implied 21.3% · @ 4.21
Edge
-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
4.40
Dafabet
4.40
1xBet
4.38
Betfair
4.33
Marathonbet
4.30
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Kecskeméti TE
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.77
1.43
2.20
0.80
1.33
2.07
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
3.00
-
-
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (27)
1.78
1.44
2.21
0.86
1.31
2.08
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
0.50
2.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Tiszakecske FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tiszakecske FC
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.50
1.20
1.27
1.33
1.73
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
1.36
1.57
1.29
1.36
1.43
1.79
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Kecskeméti TE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.6%
@ 1.22+8.2%
Under 1.5
18.4%
@ 3.34-8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.22
Unibet
1.22
Superbet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Under
Unibet
3.50
1xBet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.50
Superbet
3.45
Betano
3.30
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
58.4%
@ 1.75+6.4%
Under 2.5
41.6%
@ 1.91-6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.82
Bet365
1.80
Superbet
1.78
1xBet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.77
Under
Bet365
2.00
Pinnacle
1.97
Betano
1.95
Superbet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.92
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
36.0%
@ 2.74+3.4%
Under 3.5
64.0%
@ 1.32-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.83
Marathonbet
2.83
Superbet
2.82
Unibet
2.80
Betano
2.67
Under
Betano
1.36
Superbet
1.34
Unibet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.33
1xBet
1.33
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.8%
@ 1.69+2.5%
No
44.2%
@ 1.92-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.74
1xBet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.72
William Hil
1.70
Betano
1.67
No
Superbet
1.97
1xBet
1.96
William Hil
1.95
Betano
1.95
Marathonbet
1.93
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
10.8%@ 6.57+4.3%
2-0
10.0%@ 7.73+4.6%
2-1
10.0%@ 7.46+4.3%
1-0
8.8%@ 6.74+2.6%
3-0
6.8%@ 12.50+3.4%
3-1
6.8%@ 12.36+3.4%
0-0
5.8%@ 9.24+1.2%
2-2
5.0%@ 13.36+1.8%
Kecskeméti TE goals ↓
Tiszakecske FC goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.8%
3.8%
2.4%
0.8%
0.2%
1
8.8%
11%
4.9%
1.6%
0.4%
2
10%
10.0%
5.0%
1.6%
0.4%
3
6.8%
6.8%
3.4%
1.1%
0.3%
4
3.5%
3.4%
1.7%
0.6%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kecskeméti TE goals (down), columns = Tiszakecske FC goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Diosgyori VTK
1.78
Kecskeméti TE
1.70
Kazincbarcikai
1.63
Kozarmisleny FC
1.60
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.53
Csakvar
1.53
Gyirmot SE
1.38
Nagykanizsai ULE
1.38
BVSC
1.37
Fehérvár FC
1.30
Tiszakecske FC
1.30
Szeged 2011
1.20
Karcag SE
1.17
Soroksar
1.10
Szentlőrinc SE
1.10
Ajka
1.10
Kecskeméti TE is 0.40 points better than Tiszakecske FC in terms of average points per game (1.70 vs 1.30).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Kecskeméti TE
1.63
Diosgyori VTK
1.62
Kazincbarcikai
1.49
Csakvar
1.43
Soroksar
1.37
Kozarmisleny FC
1.27
Gyirmot SE
1.25
Nagykanizsai ULE
1.25
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.23
Fehérvár FC
1.23
Tiszakecske FC
1.23
BVSC
1.20
Szentlőrinc SE
1.17
Szeged 2011
0.97
Karcag SE
0.97
Ajka
0.77
Kecskeméti TE is 0.40 goals better than Tiszakecske FC in terms of goals scored per game (1.63 vs 1.23).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Diosgyori VTK
0.97
BVSC
1.00
Kazincbarcikai
1.06
Fehérvár FC
1.10
Szeged 2011
1.13
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.13
Csakvar
1.23
Gyirmot SE
1.25
Nagykanizsai ULE
1.25
Kecskeméti TE
1.30
Kozarmisleny FC
1.33
Ajka
1.33
Karcag SE
1.37
Szentlőrinc SE
1.40
Tiszakecske FC
1.47
Soroksar
1.50
Kecskeméti TE is 0.17 goals better than Tiszakecske FC in terms of goals conceded per game (1.30 vs 1.47).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Kecskeméti TE
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.57
0.93
0.33
0.73
0.80
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (27)
0.81
0.63
1.00
0.36
0.62
0.92
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Tiszakecske FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tiszakecske FC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.73
0.33
0.80
0.40
0.67
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (28)
0.39
0.79
0.36
0.86
0.43
0.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Kecskeméti TE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kecskeméti TE over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kecskeméti TE over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kecskeméti TE over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tiszakecske FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tiszakecske FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tiszakecske FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Kecskeméti TE
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.87
1.27
0.47
0.60
1.27
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
3.00
-
-
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (27)
0.96
0.81
1.21
0.50
0.69
1.15
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.50
2.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Tiszakecske FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tiszakecske FC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.77
0.87
0.47
0.93
1.07
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
0.96
0.79
0.93
0.50
1.00
1.07
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Kecskeméti TE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kecskeméti TE over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kecskeméti TE over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kecskeméti TE over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tiszakecske FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tiszakecske FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tiszakecske FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
81.6%
1.22
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.22
Unibet
1.22
Superbet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
+8.2%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 13. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DV (45)
€9m
KAZ (40)
€6m
FF (44)
€4m
KT (35)
€4m
MEZ (33)
€3m
S2 (34)
€3m
SS (37)
€3m
CSA (32)
€2m
AJK (41)
€2m
SOR (38)
€2m
BVS (36)
€2m
KF (39)
€2m
TF (33)
€2m
KS (32)
€2m
Kecskeméti TE's squad is €3m more valuable than Tiszakecske FC's (€4m vs €2m).
Hungary: NB II 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB II stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Soroksar
Kazincbarcikai
Gyirmot SE
Ajka
Karcag SE
Szentlőrinc SE
Fehérvár FC
Mezokovesd-zsory
Szeged 2011
Diosgyori VTK
Csakvar
Nagykanizsai ULE
BVSC
Kozarmisleny FC