Kerry vs UCD Result & Analysis

Date: 21/08/2026

Time: 18:45

Final 1-1

Kerry

43%

28%

29%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

UCD

Ireland: First Division

Referee: -

1 Model Analysis 2 Goal Analysis 3 Team Strengths Analysis 4 Props Analysis 5 Double Chance 6 Home & Away Over/Under 7 Handicap 8 Half Time Goals O/U 9 Half Time Home & Away O/U 10 Second Half Goals O/U 11 Second Half Home & Away O/U

12 Top picks for this game 13 Player market rates 14 Squad value 15 Games History 16 Overall Statistics 17 League Table

Match preview & prediction

Kerry are expected to emerge victorious against UCD, with their recent-form note suggesting they're coming off a defeat. This storyline adds an element of unpredictability to the match. The model predicts a home win, with a 43% probability of Kerry taking the three points, a 28% chance of a draw, and a 29% probability of UCD securing all three.

The expected total number of goals is 2.7, with the most likely total number of goals being 2. The single most likely correct score is 1-1, with a probability of 13.2%. Kerry have struggled at home, scoring an average of 1.08 goals and conceding 1.15 against stronger opponents. UCD, on the other hand, have fared relatively well away from home, scoring 1.64 goals and conceding 2 against weaker opponents.

The model's selection is the home win, with a 43% probability. The suggested picks include Over 1.5, with a probability of 76.7%, and Under 3.5, with a probability of 71.0%. Kerry are expected to win 43% of the time, draw 28% of the time, and lose 29% of the time.

Results analysis

The draw surprised everyone, as the pre-match favourite, a home win, was not delivered. Kerry finished 1-1 against UCD, a result that left the model’s pick wrong. The model had set a 43 % probability for a Kerry victory, yet the match ended in a stalemate. The pre-match prediction also highlighted a 26 % chance of a 2-goal total, but the actual total was 2. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Under 7.5 (99.3 %) hit, Under 6.5 (97.9 %) hit, Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.6 %) hit, Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.7 %) hit, Away under 3.5 goals (96.5 %) hit, Under 5.5 (94.2 %) hit, Home under 3.5 goals (93.3 %) hit, and Under 2.5 HT goals (89.5 %) hit. The game reflected the teams’ recent form, each coming off a draw, and confirmed the model’s overall accuracy except for the favourite call.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kerry win✗ Miss

42.9%

Avg Implied 35.2% · @ 2.57

Edge

+7.7%

Best 5 market prices

Pinnacle

2.70

10Bet

2.66

Dafabet

2.65

Superbet

2.62

888Sport

2.60

Draw✓ Hit

27.8%

Avg Implied 27.6% · @ 3.27

Edge

+0.2%

Best 5 market prices

Pinnacle

3.50

Dafabet

3.40

10Bet

3.40

Bet365

3.40

Betano

3.35

UCD win✗ Miss

29.3%

Avg Implied 37.2% · @ 2.43

Edge

-7.9%

Best 5 market prices

Pinnacle

2.54

10Bet

2.50

Betfair

2.50

Dafabet

2.50

Superbet

2.47

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Kerry

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

3.0

Avg scored

1.5

Avg conceded

1.5

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.37	1.60	1.29	1.07	1.44	2.06
vs Stronger (24)	1.33	1.79	1.09	1.18	1.54	2.31
vs Similar (6)	1.50	0.83	2.00	0.67	1.00	1.00
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	27% (+1pp vs league)

This opponent (UCD) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

UCD

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

4.1

Avg scored

2.1

Avg conceded

2.0

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.77	1.50	1.80	1.27	1.73	1.73
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (10)	2.10	1.00	2.17	1.00	2.00	1.00
vs Weaker (20)	1.60	1.75	1.56	1.44	1.64	2.00
Clean sheet %	20% (-6pp vs league)

This opponent (Kerry) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).

Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

76.7%

@ 1.19-0.3%

Under 1.5

23.3%

@ 3.99+0.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

10Bet

1.25

888Sport

1.22

Unibet

1.22

Betfair

1.20

Betano

1.20

Under

Pinnacle

4.62

Betfair

4.50

Bet365

4.33

Marathonbet

4.25

1xBet

4.25

Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

51.1%

@ 1.65-4.7%

Under 2.5

48.9%

@ 2.08+4.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

10Bet

1.80

Unibet

1.74

888Sport

1.73

Pinnacle

1.66

1xBet

1.63

Under

Pinnacle

2.25

Bet365

2.25

Betfair

2.20

1xBet

2.14

Marathonbet

2.14

Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under

Over 3.5

29.0%

@ 2.58-6.5%

Under 3.5

71.0%

@ 1.42+6.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

10Bet

2.95

888Sport

2.80

Unibet

2.75

Betfair

2.70

Pinnacle

2.61

Under

Bet365

1.50

Pinnacle

1.49

Betano

1.44

Superbet

1.44

Betfair

1.44

Both teams to scoreActual: Yes

Yes

55.9%

@ 1.52-3.9%

44.1%

@ 2.27+3.9%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

10Bet

1.60

Unibet

1.57

Bet365

1.57

888Sport

1.57

William Hil

1.53

Betfair

2.50

1xBet

2.38

Superbet

2.35

Marathonbet

2.34

William Hil

2.30

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

1-1 ✓

13.2%@ 6.03+6.1%

2-1

9.1%@ 8.82+4.2%

1-0

8.7%@ 9.72+4.3%

0-0

7.8%@ 12.13+4.2%

2-0

7.5%@ 13.63+4.3%

1-2

7.3%@ 8.47+2.2%

0-1

6.8%@ 9.29+2.1%

2-2

5.5%@ 10.35+1.3%

Kerry goals ↓

	UCD goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.8%	6.8%	4.8%	2.0%	0.6%
1	8.7%	13%	7.3%	2.9%	0.9%
2	7.5%	9.1%	5.5%	2.2%	0.7%
3	3.8%	4.6%	2.8%	1.1%	0.3%
4	1.4%	1.7%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kerry goals (down), columns = UCD goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

Kerry

2.00

Cork City

1.86

Longford Town

1.86

Athlone Town

1.86

UCD

1.57

Treaty United

1.43

Cobh Ramblers

1.43

Bray Wanderers

1.29

Wexford

1.00

Finn Harps

0.00

Kerry is 0.43 points better than UCD in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 1.57).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

Cork City

2.57

Longford Town

2.57

Bray Wanderers

2.43

UCD

2.29

Kerry

2.29

Athlone Town

1.57

Cobh Ramblers

1.29

Treaty United

1.14

Wexford

1.00

Finn Harps

0.86

Kerry and UCD are level in goals scored per game (both 2.29).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

Athlone Town

1.00

Kerry

1.14

Treaty United

1.43

Cobh Ramblers

1.43

Longford Town

1.57

Wexford

1.86

Bray Wanderers

1.86

Cork City

2.00

UCD

2.29

Finn Harps

3.43

Kerry is 1.14 goals better than UCD in terms of goals conceded per game (1.14 vs 2.29).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.

Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

Kerry or Draw✓ Hit

70.7%

Avg Implied 62.3% · @ 1.47

Edge

+8.4%

43%

28%

29%

covers Kerry + Draw

Best 5 market prices

Bet365

1.53

Betano

1.52

888Sport

1.50

BetVictor

1.50

10Bet

1.50

Kerry or UCD✗ Miss

72.2%

Avg Implied 73.2% · @ 1.25

Edge

-1.0%

43%

28%

29%

covers Kerry + UCD

Best 5 market prices

888Sport

1.30

Bet365

1.30

William Hil

1.30

Betano

1.28

Superbet

1.27

Draw or UCD✓ Hit

57.1%

Avg Implied 64.5% · @ 1.42

Edge

-7.4%

43%

28%

29%

covers Draw + UCD

Best 5 market prices

Bet365

1.50

10Bet

1.45

Betfair

1.44

William Hil

1.44

BetVictor

1.44

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.

Kerry over/under 0.5Actual: Over

Over

77.9%

@ 1.22+2.7%

Under

22.1%

@ 3.68-2.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

888Sport

1.25

Bet365

1.25

10Bet

1.25

Pinnacle

1.22

Superbet

1.21

Under

Pinnacle

4.12

Betfair

4.00

Marathonbet

3.88

1xBet

3.88

Bet365

3.75

Kerry over/under 1.5Actual: Under

Over

44.5%

@ 2.13+1.5%

Under

55.5%

@ 1.61-1.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

888Sport

2.25

10Bet

2.25

Bet365

2.20

Pinnacle

2.19

Unibet

2.16

Under

Pinnacle

1.68

Betfair

1.67

Betano

1.65

1xBet

1.64

Marathonbet

1.64

Kerry over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

19.3%

@ 4.54-0.7%

Under

80.7%

@ 1.14+0.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

888Sport

5.00

10Bet

5.00

Betfair

5.00

1xBet

4.65

Marathonbet

4.65

Under

Bet365

1.17

Superbet

1.14

888Sport

1.14

Betfair

1.14

Marathonbet

1.13

Kerry over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

6.7%

@ 10.67-2.2%

Under

93.3%

@ 1.03+2.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

888Sport

13.00

Betfair

10.00

Bet365

9.00

Under

Bet365

1.04

888Sport

1.03

Betfair

1.03

UCD over/under 0.5Actual: Over

Over

70.3%

@ 1.20-6.0%

Under

29.7%

@ 3.84+6.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

10Bet

1.25

888Sport

1.22

Bet365

1.22

Betfair

1.20

Pinnacle

1.20

Under

Pinnacle

4.32

Marathonbet

4.05

1xBet

4.05

Bet365

4.00

Betfair

4.00

UCD over/under 1.5Actual: Under

Over

34.2%

@ 2.06-10.3%

Under

65.8%

@ 1.65+10.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

888Sport

2.15

10Bet

2.15

Pinnacle

2.11

Betfair

2.10

Bet365

2.10

Under

Pinnacle

1.72

Betano

1.70

1xBet

1.69

Marathonbet

1.69

Superbet

1.68

UCD over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

12.3%

@ 4.30-8.9%

Under

87.7%

@ 1.16+8.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

888Sport

4.80

10Bet

4.75

Betfair

4.50

Marathonbet

4.40

1xBet

4.40

Under

Bet365

1.20

888Sport

1.17

Betfair

1.17

Superbet

1.16

10Bet

1.15

UCD over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

3.5%

@ 10.50-5.5%

Under

96.5%

@ 1.04+5.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

888Sport

13.00

Betfair

10.00

Bet365

8.50

Under

Bet365

1.05

888Sport

1.04

Betfair

1.03

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Kerry, so a minus line means Kerry give that many goals of a start and UCD receive them. At -1, Kerry must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Kerry win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.

Handicap -2 (Kerry)Actual: UCD

Kerry -2

8.6%

@ 8.28-1.6%

Draw -2

13.2%

@ 5.97-0.9%

UCD +2

78.2%

@ 1.12+2.6%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

10.00

Marathonbet

6.55

Draw

Bet365

7.00

Marathonbet

4.95

Away

Bet365

1.14

Marathonbet

1.10

Handicap -1 (Kerry)Actual: UCD

Kerry -1

21.8%

@ 4.83+3.7%

Draw -1

21.0%

@ 4.19+0.2%

UCD +1

57.1%

@ 1.43-3.9%

Best 5 market prices

Home

10Bet

5.25

Marathonbet

5.10

Bet365

4.75

Unibet

4.20

Draw

Marathonbet

4.60

Bet365

4.50

10Bet

4.20

Unibet

3.45

Away

Bet365

1.50

10Bet

1.45

Marathonbet

1.40

Unibet

1.37

Handicap +1 (Kerry)Actual: Kerry

Kerry +1

70.7%

@ 1.46+10.9%

Draw +1

16.7%

@ 4.12-4.6%

UCD -1

12.7%

@ 4.62-6.3%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

1.53

10Bet

1.50

Marathonbet

1.44

Betfair

1.44

Unibet

1.41

Draw

Bet365

4.50

Marathonbet

4.45

Betfair

4.20

10Bet

4.00

Unibet

3.45

Away

10Bet

5.00

Betfair

5.00

Marathonbet

4.75

Bet365

4.50

Unibet

3.85

Handicap +2 (Kerry)Actual: Kerry

Kerry +2

87.3%

@ 1.13+10.4%

Draw +2

8.6%

@ 6.43-5.0%

UCD -2

4.1%

@ 9.22-5.3%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

1.17

Marathonbet

1.12

Betfair

1.11

Draw

Betfair

7.50

Bet365

7.00

Marathonbet

4.80

Away

Betfair

12.00

Bet365

9.50

Marathonbet

6.15

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Kerry

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.3

Avg scored

0.9

Avg conceded

0.4

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.70	0.50	0.86	0.29	0.56	0.69
vs Stronger (24)	0.62	0.58	0.64	0.27	0.62	0.85
vs Similar (6)	1.00	0.17	1.67	0.33	0.33	0.00
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	63% (+38pp vs league)

This opponent (UCD) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

UCD

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.7

Avg scored

0.9

Avg conceded

0.8

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.83	0.70	0.73	0.80	0.93	0.60
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (10)	0.90	0.60	1.00	0.67	0.75	0.50
vs Weaker (20)	0.80	0.75	0.56	0.89	1.00	0.64
Clean sheet %	50% (+24pp vs league)

This opponent (Kerry) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

67.6%

@ 1.29-2.9%

Under 0.5

32.4%

@ 3.08+2.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

10Bet

1.33

Pinnacle

1.32

Marathonbet

1.30

1xBet

1.30

William Hil

1.30

Under

Pinnacle

3.29

William Hil

3.25

Betfair

3.25

Superbet

3.10

1xBet

3.08

Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under

Over 1.5

31.5%

@ 2.38-6.7%

Under 1.5

68.5%

@ 1.47+6.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

2.50

Pinnacle

2.47

10Bet

2.45

William Hil

2.45

Unibet

2.43

Under

Pinnacle

1.55

Betfair

1.50

Superbet

1.50

1xBet

1.48

10Bet

1.48

Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

10.5%

@ 5.26-6.7%

Under 2.5

89.5%

@ 1.09+6.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

6.00

Marathonbet

5.70

1xBet

5.70

William Hil

5.50

Superbet

4.90

Under

William Hil

1.12

Betfair

1.11

Superbet

1.10

1xBet

1.08

Marathonbet

1.08

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.

Kerry over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under

Over

46.0%

@ 1.95-1.6%

Under

54.0%

@ 1.77+1.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.98

Superbet

1.97

Pinnacle

1.96

10Bet

1.95

Marathonbet

1.93

Under

Pinnacle

1.83

1xBet

1.80

Betano

1.75

10Bet

1.75

Superbet

1.74

Kerry over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

14.5%

@ 6.25-0.2%

Under

85.5%

@ 1.08+0.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

6.50

Marathonbet

6.25

10Bet

6.00

Under

10Bet

1.09

1xBet

1.08

Marathonbet

1.07

Kerry over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

3.3%

@ 21.00-1.3%

Under

96.7%

@ 1.01+1.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

10Bet

21.00

Under

10Bet

1.01

UCD over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over

Over

39.6%

@ 1.90-9.2%

Under

60.4%

@ 1.80+9.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

10Bet

1.93

Betano

1.93

Pinnacle

1.92

Marathonbet

1.89

Superbet

1.87

Under

Pinnacle

1.87

Superbet

1.83

1xBet

1.80

Betano

1.78

Marathonbet

1.77

UCD over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

11.4%

@ 5.82-4.4%

Under

88.6%

@ 1.09+4.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

6.00

Marathonbet

5.95

10Bet

5.50

Under

10Bet

1.11

Marathonbet

1.08

1xBet

1.08

UCD over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

2.4%

@ 19.00-2.7%

Under

97.6%

@ 1.01+2.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

10Bet

19.00

Under

10Bet

1.01

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Kerry

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.7

Avg scored

0.6

Avg conceded

1.1

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.67	1.10	0.43	0.79	0.88	1.38
vs Stronger (24)	0.71	1.21	0.45	0.91	0.92	1.46
vs Similar (6)	0.50	0.67	0.33	0.33	0.67	1.00
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	30% (+4pp vs league)

This opponent (UCD) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

UCD

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.4

Avg scored

1.2

Avg conceded

1.2

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.93	0.80	1.07	0.47	0.80	1.13
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (10)	1.20	0.40	1.17	0.33	1.25	0.50
vs Weaker (20)	0.80	1.00	1.00	0.56	0.64	1.36
Clean sheet %	50% (+24pp vs league)

This opponent (Kerry) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

0.0%

Under 0.5

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under

Over 1.5

0.0%

Under 1.5

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

0.0%

Under 2.5

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.

Kerry over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Kerry over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Kerry over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

UCD over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

UCD over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

UCD over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Under 7.5	99.3%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Under 6.5	97.9%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	1xBet 1.02	-	-	-	+6.4%	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals	97.6%	1.01	10Bet 1.01	-	-	-	-	+2.7%	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals	96.7%	1.01	10Bet 1.01	-	-	-	-	+1.3%	✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals	96.5%	1.04	Bet365 1.05	888Sport 1.04	Betfair 1.03	-	-	+5.5%	✓ Hit
Under 5.5	94.2%	1.03	Bet365 1.07	Betfair 1.05	888Sport 1.05	BetVictor 1.02	Marathonbet 1.01	+5.5%	✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals	93.3%	1.03	Bet365 1.04	888Sport 1.03	Betfair 1.03	-	-	+2.2%	✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals	89.5%	1.09	William Hil 1.12	Betfair 1.11	Superbet 1.10	1xBet 1.08	Marathonbet 1.08	+6.7%	✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals	88.6%	1.09	10Bet 1.11	Marathonbet 1.08	1xBet 1.08	-	-	+4.4%	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals	87.7%	1.16	Bet365 1.20	888Sport 1.17	Betfair 1.17	Superbet 1.16	10Bet 1.15	+8.9%	✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap	87.3%	1.13	Bet365 1.17	Marathonbet 1.12	Betfair 1.11	-	-	+10.4%	✓ Hit
Under 4.5	86.0%	1.15	Bet365 1.20	Pinnacle 1.19	Betfair 1.17	10Bet 1.14	888Sport 1.14	+6.1%	✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals	85.5%	1.08	10Bet 1.09	1xBet 1.08	Marathonbet 1.07	-	-	+0.2%	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals	80.7%	1.14	Bet365 1.17	Superbet 1.14	888Sport 1.14	Betfair 1.14	Marathonbet 1.13	+0.7%	✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap	78.2%	1.12	Bet365 1.14	Marathonbet 1.10	-	-	-	+2.6%	✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals	77.9%	1.22	888Sport 1.25	Bet365 1.25	10Bet 1.25	Pinnacle 1.22	Superbet 1.21	+2.7%	✓ Hit
Over 1.5	76.7%	1.19	10Bet 1.25	888Sport 1.22	Unibet 1.22	Betfair 1.20	Betano 1.20	-0.3%	✓ Hit
Home or Away	72.2%	1.25	888Sport 1.30	Bet365 1.30	William Hil 1.30	Betano 1.28	Superbet 1.27	-1.0%	✗ Miss
Under 3.5	71.0%	1.42	Bet365 1.50	Pinnacle 1.49	Betano 1.44	Superbet 1.44	Betfair 1.44	+6.5%	✓ Hit
Home or Draw	70.7%	1.47	Bet365 1.53	Betano 1.52	888Sport 1.50	BetVictor 1.50	10Bet 1.50	+8.4%	✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap	70.7%	1.46	Bet365 1.53	10Bet 1.50	Marathonbet 1.44	Betfair 1.44	Unibet 1.41	+10.9%	✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals	70.3%	1.20	10Bet 1.25	888Sport 1.22	Bet365 1.22	Betfair 1.20	Pinnacle 1.20	-6.0%	✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

UCD · 2023/24

Anytime goalscorer

Matches in which the player scored

Danu Kinsella Bishop21%

Michael Gallagher17%

Mikey Raggett10%

Brendan Barr0%

Jack Keaney0%

Evan Osam0%

Dara Keane0%

Donal Higgins0%

Lorcan Healy0%

Ciaran Behan0%

Sean Brennan0%

Adam Wells0%

Adam Verdon0%

Harvey O'Brien0%

Daniel Norris0%

Kian Moore0%

Eanna Clancy0%

Daniel Babb0%

Harry Curtis0%

Jesse Dempsey0%

Jake Doyle0%

Luke O'Regan0%

To be booked (yellow)

Matches in which the player was booked

Eanna Clancy57%

Adam Verdon43%

Harvey O'Brien29%

Jesse Dempsey25%

Jack Keaney23%

Sean Brennan23%

Adam Wells23%

Dara Keane18%

Kian Moore17%

Harry Curtis17%

Donal Higgins12%

Mikey Raggett10%

Brendan Barr9%

Danu Kinsella Bishop7%

Evan Osam0%

Michael Gallagher0%

Lorcan Healy0%

Ciaran Behan0%

Daniel Norris0%

Daniel Babb0%

Jake Doyle0%

Luke O'Regan0%

Anytime assist

Matches in which the player assisted

Michael Gallagher17%

Mikey Raggett10%

Ciaran Behan9%

Daniel Norris9%

Sean Brennan8%

Brendan Barr0%

Jack Keaney0%

Evan Osam0%

Dara Keane0%

Danu Kinsella Bishop0%

Donal Higgins0%

Lorcan Healy0%

Adam Wells0%

Adam Verdon0%

Harvey O'Brien0%

Kian Moore0%

Eanna Clancy0%

Daniel Babb0%

Harry Curtis0%

Jesse Dempsey0%

Jake Doyle0%

Luke O'Regan0%

Over 2.5 shots

Matches with 3+ shots taken

Danu Kinsella Bishop21%

Brendan Barr0%

Jack Keaney0%

Evan Osam0%

Dara Keane0%

Michael Gallagher0%

Donal Higgins0%

Lorcan Healy0%

Ciaran Behan0%

Sean Brennan0%

Adam Wells0%

Adam Verdon0%

Harvey O'Brien0%

Daniel Norris0%

Kian Moore0%

Eanna Clancy0%

Mikey Raggett0%

Daniel Babb0%

Harry Curtis0%

Jesse Dempsey0%

Jake Doyle0%

Luke O'Regan0%

Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

FH (2)

€0m

CR (2)

€0m

TU (1)

€0m

CC (2)

€0m

BW (1)

€0m

KER (1)

€0m

AT (1)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

TU (1)

€0m

CC (2)

€0m

FH (1)

€0m

AT (1)

€0m

BW (0)

€0m

CR (0)

€0m

KER (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

FH (1)

€0m

BW (1)

€0m

KER (1)

€0m

CC (0)

€0m

AT (0)

€0m

CR (0)

€0m

TU (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

CR (2)

€0m

CC (0)

€0m

BW (0)

€0m

AT (0)

€0m

FH (0)

€0m

TU (0)

€0m

KER (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings

KER wins

Draws

UCD wins

Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Kerry vs UCD · H/A from KER

Date	H/A	Game	Score
19/09/25	A	UCD Vs KER	2-1
25/07/25	H	KER Vs UCD	0-3
02/05/25	A	UCD Vs KER	0-1
28/03/25	H	KER Vs UCD	0-1
30/08/24	H	KER Vs UCD	0-1
07/06/24	A	UCD Vs KER	2-1
10/05/24	H	KER Vs UCD	1-2
01/04/24	A	UCD Vs KER	1-1

Kerry

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
07/08/26	A	Cork City Vs KER	3-1
03/08/26	H	KER Vs Cobh Ramblers	3-0
31/07/26	A	Bray Wanderers Vs KER	0-4
24/07/26	H	KER Vs Finn Harps	2-1
10/07/26	A	Wexford Vs KER	2-2
17/10/25	A	Bray Wanderers Vs KER	5-1
13/10/25	A	Finn Harps Vs KER	1-1
10/10/25	H	KER Vs Wexford	0-2
26/09/25	H	KER Vs Treaty United	1-1
22/09/25	A	Athlone Town Vs KER	0-0

UCD

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
07/08/26	H	UCD Vs Wexford	4-1
03/08/26	H	UCD Vs Treaty United	1-2
31/07/26	A	Athlone Town Vs UCD	0-0
24/07/26	H	UCD Vs Cork City	5-2
10/07/26	A	Bray Wanderers Vs UCD	6-0
28/10/25	A	Bray Wanderers Vs UCD	3-2
24/10/25	H	UCD Vs Bray Wanderers	0-1
17/10/25	A	Finn Harps Vs UCD	3-4
10/10/25	H	UCD Vs Athlone Town	2-2
05/10/25	A	Wexford Vs UCD	0-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Kerry

Ireland: First Division

Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	DWWWL	1.04
Home	DDLWW	1.42
Away	DLDWL	0.69

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	26%	42%	12%
AVG goals	2.82	2.21	3.38
Over 1.5 %	78%	71%	85%
Over 2.5 %	50%	33%	65%
Over 3.5 %	32%	12%	50%
Scored	1.20	1.12	1.27
Conceded	1.62	1.08	2.12
BTTS	48%	29%	65%
Clean Sheet	24%	33%	15%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

UCD

Ireland: First Division

Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	LWDLW	1.44
Home	DLWLW	1.52
Away	WWLLD	1.36

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	40%	40%	40%
AVG goals	2.64	2.48	2.80
Over 1.5 %	70%	68%	72%
Over 2.5 %	46%	40%	52%
Over 3.5 %	28%	24%	32%
Scored	1.34	1.40	1.28
Conceded	1.30	1.08	1.52
BTTS	48%	56%	40%
Clean Sheet	24%	20%	28%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

🏆 17. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	Kerry	7	14	57%	2.0	16	8	+8	3.4	100%	86%	57%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.3	1.1	-
2	Longford Town	7	13	57%	1.9	18	11	+7	4.1	86%	86%	57%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.6	1.6	-
3	Cork City	7	13	57%	1.9	18	14	+4	4.6	100%	86%	71%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.6	2.0	-
4	Athlone Town	7	13	57%	1.9	11	7	+4	2.6	86%	57%	14%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.6	1.0	-
5	UCD	7	11	43%	1.6	16	16	+0	4.6	86%	71%	57%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.3	2.3	-
6	Cobh Ramblers	7	10	43%	1.4	9	10	-1	2.7	86%	57%	29%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.3	1.4	-
7	Treaty United	7	10	43%	1.4	8	10	-2	2.6	71%	57%	29%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.1	1.4	-
8	Bray Wanderers	7	9	43%	1.3	17	13	+4	4.3	100%	100%	57%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.4	1.9	-
9	Wexford	7	7	29%	1.0	7	13	-6	2.9	86%	57%	29%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.0	1.9	-
10	Finn Harps	7	0	0%	0.0	6	24	-18	4.3	86%	86%	57%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	0.9	3.4	-

Ireland: First Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ireland: First Division stats & trends →

← all matches

Kerry vs UCD Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Kerry

UCD

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Kerry

UCD

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Kerry

UCD

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

🎽 13. Player market rates

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

Head-to-head

Kerry

UCD

📊 16. Overall Statistics

🏆 17. League Table

A Pro feature