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Khan Tengri vs Aktobe Jas Prediction & Stats

Date: 15/10/2026
Time: 10:00
Khan Tengri
Khan Tengri
Vs
48%
25%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Aktobe Jas
Aktobe Jas
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Khan Tengri’s recent double-win streak fuels confidence as they host Aktobe Jas, who are still struggling away from home. The model favours a home win, with a 48% chance, a draw at 25%, and an away win at 27%. The expected total is 3.2 goals, centring on a 3-goal outcome that carries a 22% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 11.2% chance, reflecting the balanced attack and defence of both sides. Khan Tengri’s home form shows they score and concede 1.08 and 2.75 goals respectively against stronger opponents, while Aktobe Jas’ away record is 1.08 scored and 2.75 conceded versus stronger teams. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (98.3%), Under 6.5 (95.5%), Away under 3.5 goals (95.0%), Under 5.5 (89.4%), Home under 3.5 goals (88.4%), Home +2 handicap (87.6%), Away under 2.5 goals (84.2%) and Home over 0.5 goals (84.2%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Khan Tengri win
48.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
25.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Aktobe Jas win
26.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Khan TengriKhan Tengri

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-413L01L01L02L01L13L00D43W30W04LA·AKT24/10H·KYZ09/04H·YEL16/07A·JAI23/07H·TUR30/07A·AKA06/08H·ARY15/08A·TOB20/08H·AST28/08A·SHA03/09
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.902.130.931.330.872.93
vs Stronger (2)0.504.500.002.001.007.00
vs Similar (26)0.811.881.001.290.582.58
vs Weaker (2)2.503.00--2.503.00
Clean sheet %13% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Aktobe Jas) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Aktobe JasAktobe Jas

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-772W31W11D04L16L02L16L52W10W12LA·SD 17/10H·KHA24/10A·TAR16/07H·SPO24/07A·KAS30/07H·EKI06/08H·SHA13/08A·YEL20/08H·JAI28/08A·AKA03/09
Avg total
4.6
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
2.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.272.730.933.001.602.47
vs Stronger (25)0.922.960.923.230.922.67
vs Similar (5)3.001.601.001.504.331.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %7% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Khan Tengri) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
83.2%
Under 1.5
16.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
60.9%
Under 2.5
39.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
38.6%
Under 3.5
61.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
62.6%
No
37.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
7.1%
1-2
6.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-1
5.8%
0-0
5.3%
Khan Tengri goals ↓
Aktobe Jas goals →
01234
05.3%4.6%3.8%1.7%0.5%
16.8%11%6.9%3.0%1.0%
27.1%9.5%6.3%2.8%0.9%
34.3%5.8%3.8%1.7%0.6%
42.0%2.6%1.7%0.8%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Khan Tengri goals (down), columns = Aktobe Jas goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Shakhter Karagandy
3.00
Akademiya Ontustik
2.38
Turan Turkistan
2.29
Sport Academy Kairat
2.12
Taraz
1.50
Kaspij Aktau 2
1.43
Ekibastuz
1.29
Jaiyq
1.14
Astana II
1.12
Arys
1.00
Aktobe Jas
0.88
Khan Tengri
0.88
Yelimay Semey 2
0.86
Tobol 2
0.38
Khan Tengri and Aktobe Jas are level in average points per game (both 0.88).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Shakhter Karagandy
3.43
Turan Turkistan
2.29
Sport Academy Kairat
2.25
Akademiya Ontustik
2.00
Ekibastuz
1.71
Kaspij Aktau 2
1.71
Tobol 2
1.38
Aktobe Jas
1.25
Astana II
1.12
Jaiyq
1.00
Taraz
1.00
Khan Tengri
1.00
Arys
1.00
Yelimay Semey 2
0.86
Khan Tengri is 0.25 goals worse than Aktobe Jas in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.25).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Shakhter Karagandy
0.29
Sport Academy Kairat
0.38
Jaiyq
1.00
Turan Turkistan
1.14
Taraz
1.25
Akademiya Ontustik
1.25
Kaspij Aktau 2
1.57
Arys
1.62
Khan Tengri
1.75
Yelimay Semey 2
1.86
Ekibastuz
2.14
Tobol 2
2.25
Astana II
2.25
Aktobe Jas
2.88
Khan Tengri is 1.12 goals better than Aktobe Jas in terms of goals conceded per game (1.75 vs 2.88).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Khan Tengri or Draw
73.1%
Avg Implied -
48%
25%
27%
covers Khan Tengri + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Khan Tengri or Aktobe Jas
75.0%
Avg Implied -
48%
25%
27%
covers Khan Tengri + Aktobe Jas
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Aktobe Jas
51.8%
Avg Implied -
48%
25%
27%
covers Draw + Aktobe Jas
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Khan Tengri over/under 0.5
Over
83.9%
Under
16.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khan Tengri over/under 1.5
Over
54.4%
Under
45.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khan Tengri over/under 2.5
Over
27.6%
Under
72.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khan Tengri over/under 3.5
Over
11.3%
Under
88.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aktobe Jas over/under 0.5
Over
73.4%
Under
26.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aktobe Jas over/under 1.5
Over
38.2%
Under
61.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aktobe Jas over/under 2.5
Over
14.8%
Under
85.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aktobe Jas over/under 3.5
Over
4.6%
Under
95.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Khan Tengri, so a minus line means Khan Tengri give that many goals of a start and Aktobe Jas receive them. At -1, Khan Tengri must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Khan Tengri win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Khan Tengri)
Khan Tengri -2
12.3%
Draw -2
14.9%
Aktobe Jas +2
72.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Khan Tengri)
Khan Tengri -1
27.3%
Draw -1
20.9%
Aktobe Jas +1
51.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Khan Tengri)
Khan Tengri +1
73.1%
Draw +1
14.9%
Aktobe Jas -1
12.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Khan Tengri)
Khan Tengri +2
88.0%
Draw +2
7.9%
Aktobe Jas -2
4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Khan TengriKhan Tengri

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L01L01L01L00D12L00D30W20W02LA·AKT24/10H·KYZ09/04H·YEL16/07A·JAI23/07H·TUR30/07A·AKA06/08H·ARY15/08A·TOB20/08H·AST28/08A·SHA03/09
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.870.470.600.401.13
vs Stronger (2)0.501.000.000.001.002.00
vs Similar (26)0.350.850.500.640.171.08
vs Weaker (2)1.501.00--1.501.00
Clean sheet %43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Aktobe Jas) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Aktobe JasAktobe Jas

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D20W10W03L02L02L02L12L00D01LA·SD 17/10H·KHA24/10A·TAR16/07H·SPO24/07A·KAS30/07H·EKI06/08H·SHA13/08A·YEL20/08H·JAI28/08A·AKA03/09
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.301.070.331.200.270.93
vs Stronger (25)0.281.120.311.310.250.92
vs Similar (5)0.400.800.500.500.331.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Khan Tengri) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Khan Tengri over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khan Tengri over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khan Tengri over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aktobe Jas over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aktobe Jas over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aktobe Jas over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Khan TengriKhan Tengri

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D00D01L01L01L00D13L10W02LA·AKT24/10H·KYZ09/04H·YEL16/07A·JAI23/07H·TUR30/07A·AKA06/08H·ARY15/08A·TOB20/08H·AST28/08A·SHA03/09
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.471.270.470.730.471.80
vs Stronger (2)0.003.500.002.000.005.00
vs Similar (26)0.461.040.500.640.421.50
vs Weaker (2)1.002.00--1.002.00
Clean sheet %37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Aktobe Jas) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Aktobe JasAktobe Jas

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
70-772W11D01L01L14L00D14L40W10W11DA·SD 17/10H·KHA24/10A·TAR16/07H·SPO24/07A·KAS30/07H·EKI06/08H·SHA13/08A·YEL20/08H·JAI28/08A·AKA03/09
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.670.601.801.331.53
vs Stronger (25)0.641.840.621.920.671.75
vs Similar (5)2.600.800.501.004.000.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Khan Tengri) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Khan Tengri over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khan Tengri over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khan Tengri over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aktobe Jas over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aktobe Jas over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aktobe Jas over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.598.5%-------
Under 6.595.8%-------
Away under 3.5 goals95.4%-------
Under 5.590.0%-------
Home under 3.5 goals88.7%-------
Home +2 handicap88.0%-------
Away under 2.5 goals85.2%-------
Home over 0.5 goals83.9%-------
Over 1.583.2%-------
Under 4.579.0%-------
Home or Away75.0%-------
Away over 0.5 goals73.4%-------
Home or Draw73.1%-------
Home +1 handicap73.1%-------
Away +2 handicap72.7%-------
Home under 2.5 goals72.4%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

No squad-value data for this league.
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

No squad-value data for this league.
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

No squad-value data for this league.
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

No squad-value data for this league.
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
4
KT wins
1
Draws
1
AJ wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Khan Tengri vs Aktobe Jas · H/A from KT
DateH/AGameScore
24/10/25AAktobe Jas Vs KT3-1
10/04/25HKT Vs Aktobe Jas2-0
16/08/24AAktobe Jas Vs KT0-2
31/05/24HKT Vs Aktobe Jas6-2
14/09/23HKT Vs Aktobe Jas1-1
26/05/23AAktobe Jas Vs KT0-3

Khan TengriKhan Tengri

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/09/26AShakhter Karagandy Vs KT4-0
28/08/26HKT Vs Astana II3-0
20/08/26ATobol 2 Vs KT3-4
15/08/26HKT Vs Arys0-0
06/08/26AAkademiya Ontustik Vs KT3-1
30/07/26HKT Vs Turan Turkistan0-1
23/07/26AJaiyq Vs KT2-0
16/07/26HKT Vs Yelimay Semey 20-1
09/04/26HKT Vs Kyzyl-Zhar0-1
24/10/25AAktobe Jas Vs KT3-1

Aktobe JasAktobe Jas

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/09/26AAkademiya Ontustik Vs AJ2-1
28/08/26HAJ Vs Jaiyq1-0
20/08/26AYelimay Semey 2 Vs AJ2-5
13/08/26HAJ Vs Shakhter Karagandy1-6
06/08/26HAJ Vs Ekibastuz0-2
30/07/26AKaspij Aktau 2 Vs AJ6-1
24/07/26HAJ Vs Sport Academy Kairat0-4
16/07/26ATaraz Vs AJ1-1
24/10/25HAJ Vs Khan Tengri3-1
17/10/25ASD Family Vs AJ2-7

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Khan Tengri
Khan Tengri
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWWL1.08
HomeLLLDW1.19
AwayLLLWL0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%33%30%
AVG goals3.002.523.57
Over 1.5 %80%70%91%
Over 2.5 %50%37%65%
Over 3.5 %32%22%43%
Scored1.301.261.35
Conceded1.701.262.22
BTTS38%33%43%
Clean Sheet22%26%17%
Corners---
Cards---
Aktobe Jas
Aktobe Jas
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWL0.56
HomeWLLLW0.60
AwayWDLWL0.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %12%16%8%
AVG goals3.723.563.88
Over 1.5 %90%88%92%
Over 2.5 %72%72%72%
Over 3.5 %52%56%48%
Scored1.141.041.24
Conceded2.582.522.64
BTTS60%56%64%
Clean Sheet6%8%4%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Shakhter KaragandyShakhter Karagandy721
100%
3.0
242+22
3.7
86%
71%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.40.3
-
2Akademiya OntustikAkademiya Ontustik819
75%
2.4
1610+6
3.2
88%
88%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.2
-
3Sport Academy KairatSport Academy Kairat817
62%
2.1
183+15
2.6
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.20.4
-
4Turan TurkistanTuran Turkistan716
71%
2.3
168+8
3.4
71%
71%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.1
-
5TarazTaraz812
38%
1.5
810-2
2.2
75%
38%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.2
-
6Kaspij Aktau 2Kaspij Aktau 2710
43%
1.4
1211+1
3.3
71%
71%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.6
-
7EkibastuzEkibastuz79
43%
1.3
1215-3
3.9
100%
86%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.72.1
-
8Astana IIAstana II89
38%
1.1
918-9
3.4
88%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.2
-
9JaiyqJaiyq78
29%
1.1
77+0
2.0
57%
29%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
10ArysArys88
25%
1.0
813-5
2.6
75%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.6
-
11Khan TengriKhan Tengri87
25%
0.9
814-6
2.8
62%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.8
-
12Aktobe JasAktobe Jas87
25%
0.9
1023-13
4.1
88%
62%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.9
-
13Yelimay Semey 2Yelimay Semey 276
29%
0.9
613-7
2.7
57%
57%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.9
-
14Tobol 2Tobol 283
12%
0.4
1118-7
3.6
88%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.2
-
Kazakhstan: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: 1. Division stats & trends →

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