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Khan Tengri vs Arys Result & Analysis

Date: 15/08/2026
Time: 05:00
Final 0-0
Khan Tengri
Khan Tengri
Vs
50%
26%
24%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Arys
Arys
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

In this match, Khan Tengri's recent form is concerning, having lost their last 5 games, including a 1-3 defeat to Akademiya Ontustik. However, the model still favours a home win, with a 50% chance of victory. The draw is a possibility at 26%, while Arys has a 24% chance of taking the points. The expected total goals is 2.9, with the most likely score being a draw, 1-1, at 12.2%.

Khan Tengri's home form is inconsistent, scoring 0.89 goals and conceding 1.22 per game against similar opponents. Arys, meanwhile, scores 0.88 goals and concedes 2.5 away from home against similar opponents. The model's selection is Over 1.5 goals, with a 79.8% probability. The suggested picks also include the home win, with a 50% chance, and the away win, with a 24% chance. The home win percentage is 50%, the draw percentage is 26%, and the away win percentage is 24%.

Results analysis

The match between Khan Tengri and Arys ended in a 0-0 draw, a result that extended both sides' recent runs of draws. This outcome was a surprise given that the model had predicted a home win, a call that was ultimately incorrect. The pre-match favourite, Khan Tengri, failed to come through, while the model's selection of a home win was wrong. The model's selection of Over 1.5 goals also missed, with the final score being 0-0. The model's probability for a home win was 50%, and the probability for the model's selection of Over 1.5 goals was 79.8%.

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Khan Tengri win✗ Miss
49.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
25.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Arys win✗ Miss
24.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Khan TengriKhan Tengri

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-711D03L17L40W13L01L01L02L01L13LH·SD 18/09A·ALT26/09A·IRT03/10H·EKI16/10A·AKT24/10H·KYZ09/04H·YEL16/07A·JAI23/07H·TUR30/07A·AKA06/08
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.872.101.001.530.732.67
vs Stronger (2)0.504.500.002.001.007.00
vs Similar (27)0.891.891.071.500.692.31
vs Weaker (1)1.003.00--1.003.00
Clean sheet %10% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Arys) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArysArys

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-614L12L22D16L11D04L04L14L02L30WA·ULY03/10H·SPO10/10H·ZHE17/10A·KAS25/10A·KHA15/03H·AKT09/04H·TUR16/07A·SHA24/07A·AST31/07H·TOB07/08
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.002.471.211.860.813.00
vs Stronger (8)1.123.121.252.001.004.25
vs Similar (22)0.952.231.201.800.752.58
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %10% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Khan Tengri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%58%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
79.8%
Under 1.5
20.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
55.7%
Under 2.5
44.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.3%
Under 3.5
66.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
57.9%
No
42.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-0
8.3%
0-0 ✓
6.5%
1-2
6.4%
3-1
5.6%
2-2
5.6%
Khan Tengri goals ↓
Arys goals →
01234
06.5%5.2%3.7%1.4%0.4%
18.4%12%6.4%2.5%0.7%
28.3%9.7%5.6%2.2%0.6%
34.8%5.6%3.3%1.3%0.4%
42.1%2.5%1.4%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Khan Tengri goals (down), columns = Arys goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Shakhter Karagandy
3.00
Turan Turkistan
2.29
Akademiya Ontustik
2.29
Sport Academy Kairat
2.00
Taraz
1.71
Ekibastuz
1.50
Kaspij Aktau 2
1.43
Jaiyq
1.14
Aktobe Jas
1.00
Khan Tengri
1.00
Yelimay Semey 2
0.86
Astana II
0.86
Arys
0.71
Tobol 2
0.43
Khan Tengri is 0.29 points better than Arys in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 0.71).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Shakhter Karagandy
3.33
Sport Academy Kairat
2.43
Turan Turkistan
2.29
Akademiya Ontustik
2.00
Ekibastuz
1.83
Kaspij Aktau 2
1.71
Tobol 2
1.57
Aktobe Jas
1.29
Taraz
1.14
Khan Tengri
1.14
Jaiyq
1.00
Yelimay Semey 2
0.86
Arys
0.71
Astana II
0.71
Khan Tengri is 0.43 goals better than Arys in terms of goals scored per game (1.14 vs 0.71).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Shakhter Karagandy
0.33
Sport Academy Kairat
0.43
Taraz
0.86
Jaiyq
1.00
Turan Turkistan
1.14
Akademiya Ontustik
1.29
Khan Tengri
1.43
Kaspij Aktau 2
1.57
Arys
1.71
Yelimay Semey 2
1.86
Ekibastuz
2.00
Tobol 2
2.43
Astana II
2.57
Aktobe Jas
3.00
Khan Tengri is 0.29 goals better than Arys in terms of goals conceded per game (1.43 vs 1.71).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Khan TengriKhan Tengri

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L12L10W02L01L01L01L00D12LH·SD 18/09A·ALT26/09A·IRT03/10H·EKI16/10A·AKT24/10H·KYZ09/04H·YEL16/07A·JAI23/07H·TUR30/07A·AKA06/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.900.530.670.271.13
vs Stronger (2)0.501.000.000.001.002.00
vs Similar (27)0.410.850.570.710.231.00
vs Weaker (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
Clean sheet %40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Arys) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArysArys

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L10W03L10W03L02L11D02L20WA·ULY03/10H·SPO10/10H·ZHE17/10A·KAS25/10A·KHA15/03H·AKT09/04H·TUR16/07A·SHA24/07A·AST31/07H·TOB07/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.371.000.500.790.251.19
vs Stronger (8)0.251.380.501.000.001.75
vs Similar (22)0.410.860.500.700.331.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Khan Tengri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Khan Tengri over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khan Tengri over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khan Tengri over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arys over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arys over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arys over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Khan TengriKhan Tengri

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D02L05L30W11D00D00D01L01L01LH·SD 18/09A·ALT26/09A·IRT03/10H·EKI16/10A·AKT24/10H·KYZ09/04H·YEL16/07A·JAI23/07H·TUR30/07A·AKA06/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.471.200.470.870.471.53
vs Stronger (2)0.003.500.002.000.005.00
vs Similar (27)0.481.040.500.790.461.31
vs Weaker (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
Clean sheet %37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Arys) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArysArys

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L11D12L13L01L01L02L03L00D10WA·ULY03/10H·SPO10/10H·ZHE17/10A·KAS25/10A·KHA15/03H·AKT09/04H·TUR16/07A·SHA24/07A·AST31/07H·TOB07/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.631.470.711.070.561.81
vs Stronger (8)0.881.750.751.001.002.50
vs Similar (22)0.551.360.701.100.421.58
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Khan Tengri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Khan Tengri over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khan Tengri over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khan Tengri over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arys over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arys over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arys over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.579.8%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

No squad-value data for this league.
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

No squad-value data for this league.
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

No squad-value data for this league.
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

No squad-value data for this league.
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
2
KT wins
2
Draws
1
ARY wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Khan Tengri vs Arys · H/A from KT
DateH/AGameScore
15/03/25HKT Vs Arys1-1
23/08/24HKT Vs Arys3-2
11/04/24AArys Vs KT0-0
31/10/23HKT Vs Arys2-3
07/04/23AArys Vs KT1-3

Khan TengriKhan Tengri

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/08/26AAkademiya Ontustik Vs KT3-1
30/07/26HKT Vs Turan Turkistan0-1
23/07/26AJaiyq Vs KT2-0
16/07/26HKT Vs Yelimay Semey 20-1
09/04/26HKT Vs Kyzyl-Zhar0-1
24/10/25AAktobe Jas Vs KT3-1
16/10/25HKT Vs Ekibastuz4-0
03/10/25AIrtysh Vs KT7-1
26/09/25AAltay (Kazakhstan) Vs KT3-0
18/09/25HKT Vs SD Family1-1

ArysArys

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/08/26HARY Vs Tobol 23-0
31/07/26AAstana II Vs ARY2-0
24/07/26AShakhter Karagandy Vs ARY4-1
16/07/26HARY Vs Turan Turkistan0-4
09/04/26HARY Vs Aktobe0-4
15/03/25AKhan Tengri Vs ARY1-1
25/10/24AKaspiy Vs ARY6-1
17/10/24HARY Vs Zhetisay2-2
10/10/24HARY Vs Sport Academy Kairat1-2
03/10/24AUlytau Vs ARY4-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Khan Tengri
Khan Tengri
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL1.06
HomeDWLLL1.15
AwayLLLLL0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%33%30%
AVG goals3.022.813.26
Over 1.5 %80%74%87%
Over 2.5 %50%41%61%
Over 3.5 %32%30%35%
Scored1.321.371.26
Conceded1.701.442.00
BTTS42%41%43%
Clean Sheet20%19%22%
Corners---
Cards---
Arys
Arys
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLW0.76
HomeLDLLW0.84
AwayLLDLL0.68
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%20%20%
AVG goals3.302.923.68
Over 1.5 %88%88%88%
Over 2.5 %64%56%72%
Over 3.5 %34%32%36%
Scored1.041.041.04
Conceded2.261.882.64
BTTS54%52%56%
Clean Sheet14%12%16%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Shakhter KaragandyShakhter Karagandy618
100%
3.0
202+18
3.7
83%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.30.3
-
2Turan TurkistanTuran Turkistan716
71%
2.3
168+8
3.4
71%
71%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.1
-
3Akademiya OntustikAkademiya Ontustik716
71%
2.3
149+5
3.3
86%
86%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.3
-
4Sport Academy KairatSport Academy Kairat714
57%
2.0
173+14
2.9
57%
57%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.40.4
-
5TarazTaraz712
43%
1.7
86+2
2.0
71%
29%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.10.9
-
6Kaspij Aktau 2Kaspij Aktau 2710
43%
1.4
1211+1
3.3
71%
71%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.6
-
7EkibastuzEkibastuz69
50%
1.5
1112-1
3.8
100%
83%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.0
-
8JaiyqJaiyq78
29%
1.1
77+0
2.0
57%
29%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
9Khan TengriKhan Tengri77
29%
1.0
810-2
2.6
57%
43%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.4
-
10Aktobe JasAktobe Jas77
29%
1.0
921-12
4.3
86%
57%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.33.0
-
11Yelimay Semey 2Yelimay Semey 276
29%
0.9
613-7
2.7
57%
57%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.9
-
12Astana IIAstana II76
29%
0.9
518-13
3.3
86%
71%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.6
-
13ArysArys75
14%
0.7
512-7
2.4
71%
43%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.7
-
14Tobol 2Tobol 273
14%
0.4
1117-6
4.0
100%
86%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.4
-
Kazakhstan: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: 1. Division stats & trends →

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