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Khan Tengri vs Ekibastuz Result & Analysis

Date: 16/10/2025
Time: 13:00
Final 4-0
Khan Tengri
Khan Tengri
Vs
41%
26%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ekibastuz
Ekibastuz
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Khan Tengri win✓ Hit
41.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz win✗ Miss
32.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Khan TengriKhan Tengri

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-703L02L06L01L12L12L01L11D03L17LA·SHA25/07H·AKA31/07A·ZHE08/08H·AKA14/08A·TAR22/08H·KAS28/08A·YAS11/09H·SD 18/09A·ALT26/09A·IRT03/10
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
2.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.900.941.561.142.29
vs Stronger (3)0.333.670.002.001.007.00
vs Similar (25)1.041.841.001.621.082.08
vs Weaker (2)2.000.002.000.002.000.00
Clean sheet %17% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Ekibastuz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EkibastuzEkibastuz

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-552W23L04L15L13L21W01L13L21W32WA·AKT24/07H·SPO31/07A·SHA08/08H·AKA14/08A·ZHE22/08H·AKA28/08A·TAR12/09H·KAS18/09A·YAS25/09H·SD 02/10
Avg total
4.2
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
2.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.602.072.132.001.072.13
vs Stronger (1)0.004.00--0.004.00
vs Similar (27)1.481.962.071.930.852.00
vs Weaker (2)4.002.503.003.005.002.00
Clean sheet %20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Khan Tengri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.1%
Under 1.5
18.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
57.5%
Under 2.5
42.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
35.1%
Under 3.5
64.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
61.1%
No
38.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.3%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
7.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
6.1%
0-1
5.9%
Khan Tengri goals ↓
Ekibastuz goals →
01234
06.1%5.9%4.9%2.3%0.8%
16.9%12%7.8%3.6%1.3%
26.4%8.9%6.2%2.9%1.0%
33.4%4.7%3.3%1.5%0.5%
41.4%1.9%1.3%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Khan Tengri goals (down), columns = Ekibastuz goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kaspiy
2.62
Irtysh
2.35
Altay (Kazakhstan)
2.08
Shakhter Karagandy
2.00
Zhetisay
1.62
Sport Academy Kairat
1.54
Akademiya Ontustik
1.50
Taraz
1.35
AKAS
1.27
Ekibastuz
1.08
SD Family
0.88
Khan Tengri
0.69
Aktobe Jas
0.52
Yassy Turkistan
0.39
Khan Tengri is 0.38 points worse than Ekibastuz in terms of average points per game (0.69 vs 1.08).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Kaspiy
2.85
Irtysh
2.73
Shakhter Karagandy
2.32
Sport Academy Kairat
2.23
Altay (Kazakhstan)
2.04
Zhetisay
1.69
Akademiya Ontustik
1.69
Taraz
1.65
AKAS
1.62
Ekibastuz
1.38
SD Family
1.27
Aktobe Jas
1.24
Khan Tengri
1.04
Yassy Turkistan
0.70
Khan Tengri is 0.35 goals worse than Ekibastuz in terms of goals scored per game (1.04 vs 1.38).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Irtysh
0.77
Altay (Kazakhstan)
0.92
Kaspiy
1.04
Zhetisay
1.35
Shakhter Karagandy
1.36
Taraz
1.46
AKAS
1.50
Sport Academy Kairat
1.62
Akademiya Ontustik
1.69
Khan Tengri
2.12
Ekibastuz
2.31
Aktobe Jas
2.60
SD Family
2.88
Yassy Turkistan
3.09
Khan Tengri is 0.19 goals better than Ekibastuz in terms of goals conceded per game (2.12 vs 2.31).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Khan TengriKhan Tengri

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D02L01L00D12L00D00D01L12LA·SHA25/07H·AKA31/07A·ZHE08/08H·AKA14/08A·TAR22/08H·KAS28/08A·YAS11/09H·SD 18/09A·ALT26/09A·IRT03/10
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.770.500.690.430.86
vs Stronger (3)0.331.000.000.501.002.00
vs Similar (25)0.520.800.620.770.420.83
vs Weaker (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Ekibastuz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EkibastuzEkibastuz

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W21W02L02L11D10W00D01L01L20WA·AKT24/07H·SPO31/07A·SHA08/08H·AKA14/08A·ZHE22/08H·AKA28/08A·TAR12/09H·KAS18/09A·YAS25/09H·SD 02/10
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.801.070.640.380.94
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (27)0.590.780.920.620.290.93
vs Weaker (2)2.501.003.001.002.001.00
Clean sheet %43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Khan Tengri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Khan Tengri over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khan Tengri over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khan Tengri over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Khan TengriKhan Tengri

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-503L02L04L00D12L00D01L11D02L05LA·SHA25/07H·AKA31/07A·ZHE08/08H·AKA14/08A·TAR22/08H·KAS28/08A·YAS11/09H·SD 18/09A·ALT26/09A·IRT03/10
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.571.130.440.880.711.43
vs Stronger (3)0.002.670.001.500.005.00
vs Similar (25)0.521.040.380.850.671.25
vs Weaker (2)2.000.002.000.002.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Ekibastuz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EkibastuzEkibastuz

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W02L02L13L02L11D01L12L20W12LA·AKT24/07H·SPO31/07A·SHA08/08H·AKA14/08A·ZHE22/08H·AKA28/08A·TAR12/09H·KAS18/09A·YAS25/09H·SD 02/10
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.271.001.500.811.06
vs Stronger (1)0.003.00--0.003.00
vs Similar (27)0.891.191.081.460.710.93
vs Weaker (2)1.501.500.002.003.001.00
Clean sheet %30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Khan Tengri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Khan Tengri over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khan Tengri over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khan Tengri over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.581.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IRT (26)
€4m
KAS (23)
€4m
A( (20)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
A( (8)
€1m
IRT (6)
€1m
KAS (4)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAS (8)
€2m
IRT (7)
€1m
A( (4)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IRT (13)
€2m
KAS (11)
€1m
A( (8)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
2
KT wins
1
Draws
3
EKI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Khan Tengri vs Ekibastuz · H/A from KT
DateH/AGameScore
10/07/25AEkibastuz Vs KT2-0
22/03/25HKT Vs Ekibastuz1-1
25/07/24AEkibastuz Vs KT2-1
13/06/24HKT Vs Ekibastuz2-1
27/09/23HKT Vs Ekibastuz0-1
09/06/23AEkibastuz Vs KT2-3

Khan TengriKhan Tengri

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/10/25AIrtysh Vs KT7-1
26/09/25AAltay (Kazakhstan) Vs KT3-0
18/09/25HKT Vs SD Family1-1
11/09/25AYassy Turkistan Vs KT1-0
28/08/25HKT Vs Kaspiy1-2
22/08/25ATaraz Vs KT2-1
14/08/25HKT Vs Akademiya Ontustik0-1
08/08/25AZhetisay Vs KT6-0
31/07/25HKT Vs AKAS0-2
25/07/25AShakhter Karagandy Vs KT3-0

EkibastuzEkibastuz

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/10/25HEKI Vs SD Family3-2
25/09/25AYassy Turkistan Vs EKI1-2
18/09/25HEKI Vs Kaspiy1-3
12/09/25ATaraz Vs EKI1-0
28/08/25HEKI Vs Akademiya Ontustik2-1
22/08/25AZhetisay Vs EKI3-1
14/08/25HEKI Vs AKAS1-5
08/08/25AShakhter Karagandy Vs EKI4-0
31/07/25HEKI Vs Sport Academy Kairat2-3
24/07/25AAktobe Jas Vs EKI2-5

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Khan Tengri
Khan Tengri
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 0 Wins / 1 Draws / 9 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDLL1.32
HomeLLLLD1.42
AwayLLLLL1.21
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%42%38%
AVG goals3.243.233.25
Over 1.5 %84%85%83%
Over 2.5 %54%50%58%
Over 3.5 %32%35%29%
Scored1.581.731.42
Conceded1.661.501.83
BTTS44%50%38%
Clean Sheet24%19%29%
Corners---
Cards---
Ekibastuz
Ekibastuz
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 0 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWW1.52
HomeLLWLW1.81
AwayWLLLW1.21
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%54%38%
AVG goals3.543.733.33
Over 1.5 %86%92%79%
Over 2.5 %74%77%71%
Over 3.5 %42%50%33%
Scored1.722.081.33
Conceded1.821.652.00
BTTS62%69%54%
Clean Sheet22%23%21%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1KaspiyKaspiy2668
85%
2.6
7427+47
3.9
88%
81%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1212.81.0
-
2IrtyshIrtysh2661
73%
2.3
7120+51
3.5
77%
58%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1122.70.8
-
3Altay (Kazakhstan)Altay (Kazakhstan)2552
64%
2.1
5123+28
3.0
84%
64%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.00.9
-
4Shakhter KaragandyShakhter Karagandy2550
60%
2.0
5834+24
3.7
96%
80%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.4
-
5ZhetisayZhetisay2642
50%
1.6
4435+9
3.0
77%
62%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.3
-
6Sport Academy KairatSport Academy Kairat2640
46%
1.5
5842+16
3.8
85%
77%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.6
-
7Akademiya OntustikAkademiya Ontustik2639
46%
1.5
4444+0
3.4
88%
62%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.7
-
8TarazTaraz2635
38%
1.3
4338+5
3.1
88%
58%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.5
-
9AKASAKAS2633
38%
1.3
4239+3
3.1
88%
62%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.5
-
10EkibastuzEkibastuz2628
31%
1.1
3660-24
3.7
81%
69%
58%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.3
-
11SD FamilySD Family2623
27%
0.9
3375-42
4.2
85%
69%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.9
-
12Khan TengriKhan Tengri2618
19%
0.7
2755-28
3.2
85%
54%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.1
-
13Aktobe JasAktobe Jas2513
8%
0.5
3165-34
3.8
92%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.6
-
14Yassy TurkistanYassy Turkistan239
9%
0.4
1671-55
3.8
83%
65%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.73.1
-
Kazakhstan: 1. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: 1. Division stats & trends →

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