This opponent (Kyzyl-Zhar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kyzyl-Zhar
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
1.07
0.88
1.00
0.86
1.14
vs Stronger (15)
0.40
1.07
0.25
0.88
0.57
1.29
vs Similar (15)
1.33
1.07
1.50
1.12
1.14
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Khan Tengri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
60.3%
Under 1.5
39.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
32.0%
Under 2.5
68.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
14.1%
Under 3.5
85.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
38.7%
No
61.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-1 ✓
15.7%
0-0
15.0%
1-1
14.0%
0-2
10.5%
1-0
9.0%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
4.7%
0-3
4.4%
Khan Tengri goals ↓
Kyzyl-Zhar goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
15%
16%
11%
4.4%
1.4%
1
9.0%
14%
7.9%
3.3%
1.0%
2
3.8%
4.7%
2.9%
1.2%
0.4%
3
1.0%
1.2%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
4
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Khan Tengri goals (down), columns = Kyzyl-Zhar goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ekibastuz
2.33
FK Tobol Kostanay
2.20
Yelimay Semey
2.00
Ordabasy
1.60
Turan Turkistan
1.50
SD Family
1.50
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.50
Kairat Almaty
1.50
Irtysh
1.33
Khan Tengri
1.25
Zhenys
1.25
Kaspiy
1.25
Ansat
1.01
Karshiga Almaty
1.01
BKS
1.01
Chromtau
1.01
Jelaev Nan
1.01
Jaiyq
1.01
Taraz
1.00
Akademiya Ontustik
1.00
Arys
1.00
Shakhter Karagandy
1.00
FC Astana
1.00
Okzhetpes
1.00
Zhetysu
1.00
Talas Karatau
0.50
Altay (Kazakhstan)
0.50
Jas Qyran
0.00
Aktobe
0.00
Kaisar
0.00
Atyrau
0.00
Ulytau
0.00
Khan Tengri is 0.25 points worse than Kyzyl-Zhar in terms of average points per game (1.25 vs 1.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
SD Family
3.00
Akademiya Ontustik
2.00
Ekibastuz
1.67
Yelimay Semey
1.50
Kairat Almaty
1.50
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.40
Kaspiy
1.25
Khan Tengri
1.00
Arys
1.00
Turan Turkistan
1.00
Shakhter Karagandy
1.00
Zhenys
1.00
FC Astana
1.00
Okzhetpes
1.00
Irtysh
1.00
Ansat
0.79
Karshiga Almaty
0.79
BKS
0.79
Chromtau
0.79
Jelaev Nan
0.79
Jaiyq
0.79
Ordabasy
0.60
Kyzyl-Zhar
0.25
Talas Karatau
0.00
Jas Qyran
0.00
Aktobe
0.00
Kaisar
0.00
Altay (Kazakhstan)
0.00
Taraz
0.00
Atyrau
0.00
Ulytau
0.00
Zhetysu
0.00
Khan Tengri is 0.75 goals better than Kyzyl-Zhar in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 0.25).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Taraz
0.00
Yelimay Semey
0.00
Kyzyl-Zhar
0.00
Zhetysu
0.00
Ordabasy
0.40
FK Tobol Kostanay
0.40
Altay (Kazakhstan)
0.50
Kairat Almaty
0.50
Talas Karatau
1.00
Jas Qyran
1.00
Aktobe
1.00
Kaisar
1.00
Ekibastuz
1.00
Khan Tengri
1.00
Arys
1.00
Turan Turkistan
1.00
SD Family
1.00
Shakhter Karagandy
1.00
Zhenys
1.00
FC Astana
1.00
Okzhetpes
1.00
Ansat
1.09
Karshiga Almaty
1.09
BKS
1.09
Chromtau
1.09
Jelaev Nan
1.09
Jaiyq
1.09
Kaspiy
1.25
Irtysh
1.67
Akademiya Ontustik
2.00
Atyrau
2.00
Ulytau
3.00
Khan Tengri is 1.00 goals worse than Kyzyl-Zhar in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 0.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Khan Tengri or Draw✗ Miss
53.3%
Avg Implied -
21%
32%
47%
covers Khan Tengri + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Khan Tengri or Kyzyl-Zhar✓ Hit
67.8%
Avg Implied -
21%
32%
47%
covers Khan Tengri + Kyzyl-Zhar
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Kyzyl-Zhar✓ Hit
78.9%
Avg Implied -
21%
32%
47%
covers Draw + Kyzyl-Zhar
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Khan Tengri over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
52.6%
Under
47.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khan Tengri over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
17.2%
Under
82.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khan Tengri over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
4.0%
Under
96.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khan Tengri over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.7%
Under
99.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kyzyl-Zhar over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
71.1%
Under
28.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kyzyl-Zhar over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
35.2%
Under
64.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kyzyl-Zhar over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
12.9%
Under
87.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kyzyl-Zhar over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.7%
Under
96.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Khan Tengri, so a minus line means Khan Tengri give that many goals of a start and Kyzyl-Zhar receive them. At -1, Khan Tengri must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Khan Tengri win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Khan Tengri)Actual: Kyzyl-Zhar
Khan Tengri -2
1.4%
Draw -2
5.1%
Kyzyl-Zhar +2
93.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Khan Tengri)Actual: Kyzyl-Zhar
Khan Tengri -1
6.6%
Draw -1
14.5%
Kyzyl-Zhar +1
78.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Khan Tengri)Actual: Draw
Khan Tengri +1
53.3%
Draw +1
24.9%
Kyzyl-Zhar -1
21.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Khan Tengri)Actual: Khan Tengri
Khan Tengri +2
78.2%
Draw +2
14.2%
Kyzyl-Zhar -2
7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Khan Tengri
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.83
0.56
0.69
0.21
1.00
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
1.00
0.00
0.50
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (24)
0.46
0.83
0.69
0.77
0.18
0.91
vs Weaker (3)
0.00
0.67
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Kyzyl-Zhar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kyzyl-Zhar
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.57
0.44
0.56
0.29
0.57
vs Stronger (15)
0.20
0.67
0.12
0.62
0.29
0.71
vs Similar (15)
0.53
0.47
0.75
0.50
0.29
0.43
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Khan Tengri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Khan Tengri over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khan Tengri over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khan Tengri over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kyzyl-Zhar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kyzyl-Zhar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kyzyl-Zhar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Khan Tengri
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
1.13
0.62
0.81
0.64
1.50
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
2.67
0.00
1.50
0.00
5.00
vs Similar (24)
0.58
1.04
0.62
0.77
0.55
1.36
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
0.33
2.00
0.00
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
43% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Kyzyl-Zhar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kyzyl-Zhar
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.50
0.44
0.44
0.57
0.57
vs Stronger (15)
0.20
0.40
0.12
0.25
0.29
0.57
vs Similar (15)
0.80
0.60
0.75
0.62
0.86
0.57
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Khan Tengri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Khan Tengri over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khan Tengri over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khan Tengri over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kyzyl-Zhar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kyzyl-Zhar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kyzyl-Zhar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
98.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
96.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
96.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
94.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
93.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
87.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
85.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals
82.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
78.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
78.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Kazakhstan: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: 1. Division stats & trends →
Kazakhstan: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: Premier League stats & trends →