This opponent (Akron) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Akron
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.77
1.38
1.81
1.00
1.71
vs Stronger (12)
0.92
3.00
1.14
3.00
0.60
3.00
vs Similar (18)
1.39
0.94
1.56
0.89
1.22
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Khimki) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.9%
Under 1.5
26.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
47.4%
Under 2.5
52.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
25.7%
Under 3.5
74.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.3%
No
46.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%
1-0
9.3%
0-0
8.9%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.3%
0-2
5.4%
Khimki goals ↓
Akron goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.9%
7.9%
5.4%
2.2%
0.6%
1
9.3%
14%
7.5%
3.0%
0.9%
2
7.3%
8.7%
5.2%
2.1%
0.6%
3
3.3%
4.0%
2.4%
0.9%
0.3%
4
1.1%
1.4%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Khimki goals (down), columns = Akron goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Krasnodar
2.23
Zenit
2.20
CSKA Moscow
1.97
Spartak Moscow
1.90
Dynamo
1.87
Lokomotiv
1.77
Ural
1.50
FC Sochi
1.50
Rubin
1.50
FC Rostov
1.30
Akron
1.17
Krylia Sovetov
1.03
Khimki
0.97
Dinamo Makhachkala
0.97
Nizhny Novgorod
0.94
Akhmat
0.88
FC Orenburg
0.63
Fakel
0.60
Khimki is 0.20 points worse than Akron in terms of average points per game (0.97 vs 1.17).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dynamo
2.03
FC Sochi
2.00
FC Krasnodar
1.97
Zenit
1.93
Spartak Moscow
1.87
Lokomotiv
1.70
CSKA Moscow
1.57
Rubin
1.40
FC Rostov
1.37
Akron
1.30
Krylia Sovetov
1.20
Khimki
1.17
Ural
1.00
Nizhny Novgorod
0.94
Akhmat
0.94
FC Orenburg
0.93
Dinamo Makhachkala
0.90
Fakel
0.47
Khimki is 0.13 goals worse than Akron in terms of goals scored per game (1.17 vs 1.30).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Zenit
0.60
CSKA Moscow
0.70
FC Krasnodar
0.77
Spartak Moscow
0.83
Dynamo
1.17
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.17
Lokomotiv
1.37
Fakel
1.40
FC Rostov
1.43
Ural
1.50
FC Sochi
1.50
Rubin
1.50
Akhmat
1.56
Krylia Sovetov
1.70
Nizhny Novgorod
1.81
Akron
1.83
Khimki
1.87
FC Orenburg
1.87
Khimki is 0.03 goals worse than Akron in terms of goals conceded per game (1.87 vs 1.83).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Spartak Moscow
63%
Zenit
61%
FC Krasnodar
57%
CSKA Moscow
54%
Dynamo
52%
FC Rostov
52%
FC Orenburg
51%
Lokomotiv
50%
Krylia Sovetov
49%
Akhmat
48%
Khimki
47%
Akron
47%
Ural
46%
FC Sochi
44%
Dinamo Makhachkala
43%
Nizhny Novgorod
43%
Rubin
43%
Fakel
42%
Khimki is 0.4 percentage points better than Akron in terms of average possession (47% vs 47%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Khimki
For 3.2 · Against 6.3 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.3 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 12.0 · Total 25.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Akron
For 4.6 · Against 5.2 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 1.3 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.2 · Against 11.9 · Total 26.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Khimki
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
9.8
11.4
3.1
3.0
3.2
24.1
23.5
24.6
vs Stronger (23)
10.5
9.8
11.2
2.8
3.0
2.7
23.1
22.5
23.7
vs Similar (27)
10.7
9.9
11.6
3.3
3.0
3.6
26.1
25.5
26.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
68%
60%
75%
44%
46%
42%
68%
67%
69%
% under line
32%
40%
25%
56%
54%
58%
32%
33%
31%
This opponent (Akron) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Akron
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
9.7
9.8
2.6
2.5
2.7
22.1
23.1
21.3
vs Stronger (13)
9.5
7.6
11.4
3.2
2.9
3.7
21.2
22.6
19.8
vs Similar (33)
9.9
11.0
9.2
2.5
2.4
2.5
22.7
23.4
22.1
vs Weaker (4)
-
-
-
1.2
1.7
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
57%
69%
47%
26%
21%
31%
56%
62%
50%
% under line
43%
31%
53%
74%
79%
69%
44%
38%
50%
This opponent (Khimki) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FC Orenburg
11.1
Ural
11.0
Lokomotiv
10.9
Khimki
10.7
Dynamo
10.7
Nizhny Novgorod
10.2
Akron
9.9
Akhmat
9.8
Spartak Moscow
9.8
Dinamo Makhachkala
9.6
Rubin
9.5
Zenit
9.4
FC Sochi
9.3
Fakel
9.3
CSKA Moscow
9.3
FC Rostov
9.1
Krylia Sovetov
9.1
FC Krasnodar
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Fakel
5.1
Akhmat
5.0
Spartak Moscow
4.9
Lokomotiv
4.8
Rubin
4.7
FC Rostov
4.6
Dinamo Makhachkala
4.6
CSKA Moscow
4.5
FC Krasnodar
4.5
FC Orenburg
4.5
Krylia Sovetov
4.5
Dynamo
4.3
Nizhny Novgorod
4.3
Zenit
4.2
Ural
4.2
FC Sochi
3.9
Khimki
3.7
Akron
3.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Dinamo Makhachkala
27.3
Fakel
27.0
Spartak Moscow
26.5
Nizhny Novgorod
26.2
Akhmat
26.2
FC Rostov
25.2
Rubin
25.1
FC Krasnodar
24.9
FC Orenburg
24.4
Ural
24.4
Dynamo
24.3
Khimki
24.1
Lokomotiv
24.0
CSKA Moscow
23.3
FC Sochi
23.1
Zenit
23.0
Krylia Sovetov
22.7
Akron
22.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
51.9%
Under 9.5
48.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
55.6%
Under 3.5
44.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
75.7%
Under 21.5
24.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Khimki
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.77
0.38
0.31
0.29
1.12
vs Stronger (21)
0.33
0.67
0.33
0.44
0.33
0.83
vs Similar (9)
0.33
1.00
0.50
0.00
0.20
1.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Akron) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Akron
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.70
0.50
0.81
0.57
0.57
vs Stronger (12)
0.33
1.33
0.29
1.57
0.40
1.00
vs Similar (18)
0.67
0.28
0.67
0.22
0.67
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Khimki) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Khimki over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khimki over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khimki over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akron over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akron over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akron over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Khimki
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
1.17
0.92
1.23
0.59
1.12
vs Stronger (21)
0.90
1.57
1.11
1.78
0.75
1.42
vs Similar (9)
0.33
0.22
0.50
0.00
0.20
0.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Akron) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Akron
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
1.07
0.88
1.00
0.43
1.14
vs Stronger (12)
0.58
1.67
0.86
1.43
0.20
2.00
vs Similar (18)
0.72
0.67
0.89
0.67
0.56
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Khimki) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Khimki over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khimki over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khimki over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akron over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akron over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akron over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
87.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
79.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
71.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Khimki
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Lucas Vera23%
Edgardo Fariña21%
Anton Zabolotnyi21%
Aleksandr Rudenko17%
Zelimkhan Bakaev12%
Reziuan Mirzov12%
Butta Magomedov8%
Khetag Khosonov6%
Georgiy Dzhikiya0%
Denis Glushakov0%
Petar Golubović0%
Orinho0%
Oleksandr Filin0%
Igor Obukhov0%
Kirill Kaplenko0%
Nemanja Anđelković0%
Sergey Terekhov0%
Danil Stepanov0%
Kirill Panchenko0%
Robert Mejía0%
Cedric Gogoua0%
Álex Corredera0%
Saminu Kwari Abdullahi0%
Dani Fernández0%
Ilya Berkovskyi0%
Ilya Sadygov0%
Nikita Kokarev0%
Boni Amian0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Edgardo Fariña50%
Robert Mejía30%
Nemanja Anđelković29%
Sergey Terekhov25%
Dani Fernández25%
Zelimkhan Bakaev24%
Boni Amian20%
Anton Zabolotnyi17%
Reziuan Mirzov15%
Saminu Kwari Abdullahi14%
Ilya Sadygov14%
Petar Golubović12%
Georgiy Dzhikiya12%
Aleksandr Rudenko10%
Lucas Vera10%
Oleksandr Filin7%
Danil Stepanov7%
Orinho5%
Álex Corredera5%
Denis Glushakov0%
Khetag Khosonov0%
Igor Obukhov0%
Kirill Kaplenko0%
Kirill Panchenko0%
Cedric Gogoua0%
Butta Magomedov0%
Ilya Berkovskyi0%
Nikita Kokarev0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Anton Zabolotnyi14%
Lucas Vera13%
Sergey Terekhov12%
Dani Fernández10%
Ilya Sadygov7%
Petar Golubović6%
Khetag Khosonov6%
Álex Corredera5%
Reziuan Mirzov4%
Aleksandr Rudenko3%
Georgiy Dzhikiya0%
Denis Glushakov0%
Orinho0%
Oleksandr Filin0%
Igor Obukhov0%
Kirill Kaplenko0%
Nemanja Anđelković0%
Zelimkhan Bakaev0%
Danil Stepanov0%
Kirill Panchenko0%
Robert Mejía0%
Cedric Gogoua0%
Butta Magomedov0%
Saminu Kwari Abdullahi0%
Ilya Berkovskyi0%
Nikita Kokarev0%
Edgardo Fariña0%
Boni Amian0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Anton Zabolotnyi24%
Orinho9%
Zelimkhan Bakaev8%
Aleksandr Rudenko7%
Dani Fernández5%
Lucas Vera3%
Georgiy Dzhikiya0%
Denis Glushakov0%
Petar Golubović0%
Khetag Khosonov0%
Oleksandr Filin0%
Igor Obukhov0%
Kirill Kaplenko0%
Nemanja Anđelković0%
Reziuan Mirzov0%
Sergey Terekhov0%
Danil Stepanov0%
Kirill Panchenko0%
Robert Mejía0%
Cedric Gogoua0%
Álex Corredera0%
Butta Magomedov0%
Saminu Kwari Abdullahi0%
Ilya Berkovskyi0%
Ilya Sadygov0%
Nikita Kokarev0%
Edgardo Fariña0%
Boni Amian0%
Akron
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Artem Dzyuba43%
Ifet Đakovac29%
Vladimir Khubulov22%
Stefan Lončar21%
Artur Galoyan17%
Maksim Palienko12%
Soltmurad Bakaev12%
Dmitriy Pestryakov12%
Gilson Tavares11%
Ivan Timoshenko9%
Rodrigo Escoval7%
Marat Bokoev6%
Konstantin Savichev4%
Kirill Danilin4%
Aleksandr Vasyutin0%
Roberto Fernández0%
Maksim Kuzmin0%
Vyacheslav Bardybakhin0%
Vladimir Moskvichev0%
Ionuț Nedelcearu0%
Bojan Dimoski0%
Sergey Volkov0%
Aleksa Đurasović0%
Paulo Vitor0%
Sherzod Esanov0%
Sergey Gribov0%
Arseniy Dmitriev0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Konstantin Savichev28%
Vyacheslav Bardybakhin25%
Roberto Fernández22%
Bojan Dimoski22%
Marat Bokoev19%
Ionuț Nedelcearu18%
Soltmurad Bakaev17%
Artur Galoyan17%
Maksim Kuzmin16%
Stefan Lončar14%
Ifet Đakovac14%
Maksim Palienko12%
Dmitriy Pestryakov12%
Kirill Danilin12%
Rodrigo Escoval11%
Gilson Tavares11%
Sherzod Esanov11%
Sergey Gribov11%
Vladimir Moskvichev10%
Vladimir Khubulov9%
Aleksa Đurasović7%
Artem Dzyuba5%
Aleksandr Vasyutin0%
Ivan Timoshenko0%
Sergey Volkov0%
Paulo Vitor0%
Arseniy Dmitriev0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Artem Dzyuba19%
Stefan Lončar18%
Artur Galoyan17%
Gilson Tavares17%
Soltmurad Bakaev12%
Maksim Kuzmin12%
Roberto Fernández11%
Konstantin Savichev4%
Kirill Danilin4%
Aleksandr Vasyutin0%
Rodrigo Escoval0%
Maksim Palienko0%
Vyacheslav Bardybakhin0%
Vladimir Moskvichev0%
Ionuț Nedelcearu0%
Bojan Dimoski0%
Ivan Timoshenko0%
Sergey Volkov0%
Marat Bokoev0%
Vladimir Khubulov0%
Ifet Đakovac0%
Aleksa Đurasović0%
Paulo Vitor0%
Sherzod Esanov0%
Sergey Gribov0%
Arseniy Dmitriev0%
Dmitriy Pestryakov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Stefan Lončar29%
Artem Dzyuba24%
Soltmurad Bakaev17%
Artur Galoyan17%
Gilson Tavares6%
Aleksandr Vasyutin0%
Roberto Fernández0%
Rodrigo Escoval0%
Maksim Palienko0%
Maksim Kuzmin0%
Vyacheslav Bardybakhin0%
Vladimir Moskvichev0%
Ionuț Nedelcearu0%
Konstantin Savichev0%
Bojan Dimoski0%
Ivan Timoshenko0%
Sergey Volkov0%
Marat Bokoev0%
Vladimir Khubulov0%
Ifet Đakovac0%
Aleksa Đurasović0%
Paulo Vitor0%
Kirill Danilin0%
Sherzod Esanov0%
Sergey Gribov0%
Arseniy Dmitriev0%
Dmitriy Pestryakov0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Russia: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: Premier League stats & trends →
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FC Krasnodar
Zenit
CSKA Moscow
Spartak Moscow
Dynamo
Lokomotiv
Rubin
FC Rostov
Krylia Sovetov
Nizhny Novgorod
Dinamo Makhachkala
Akhmat
FC Orenburg
Fakel
FC Sochi
Ural