This opponent (FC Rostov) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Rostov
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.84
1.42
1.82
1.36
1.88
1.50
vs Stronger (4)
2.00
1.75
2.33
1.33
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (10)
1.70
1.40
1.60
1.80
1.80
1.00
vs Weaker (5)
2.00
1.20
1.67
0.67
2.50
2.00
Clean sheet %
16% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Khimki) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
77.7%
Under 1.5
22.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
52.5%
Under 2.5
47.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.3%
Under 3.5
69.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
57.3%
No
42.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.1%
1-2
8.8%
0-1 ✓
8.0%
2-1
7.7%
0-0
7.4%
1-0
6.9%
0-2
6.8%
2-2
5.7%
Khimki goals ↓
FC Rostov goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.4%
8.0%
6.8%
3.4%
1.2%
1
6.9%
13%
8.8%
4.4%
1.6%
2
5.2%
7.7%
5.7%
2.8%
1.0%
3
2.3%
3.3%
2.5%
1.2%
0.5%
4
0.7%
1.1%
0.8%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Khimki goals (down), columns = FC Rostov goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Zenit
2.33
CSKA Moscow
1.93
Spartak Moscow
1.80
FC Rostov
1.77
Akhmat
1.67
FC Krasnodar
1.60
FC Orenburg
1.53
Dynamo
1.50
Lokomotiv
1.50
Rodina Moskva
1.50
FC Sochi
1.27
Ural
1.20
Fakel
1.12
Krylia Sovetov
1.07
Nizhny Novgorod
1.06
Khimki
0.60
Torpedo Moskva
0.37
Enisey
0.00
Khimki is 1.17 points worse than FC Rostov in terms of average points per game (0.60 vs 1.77).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Zenit
2.47
FC Krasnodar
2.07
Spartak Moscow
2.00
FC Orenburg
1.93
CSKA Moscow
1.87
Lokomotiv
1.80
Akhmat
1.70
Dynamo
1.63
FC Rostov
1.60
FC Sochi
1.23
Fakel
1.22
Nizhny Novgorod
1.16
Ural
1.10
Krylia Sovetov
1.07
Rodina Moskva
1.00
Khimki
0.83
Torpedo Moskva
0.67
Enisey
0.00
Khimki is 0.77 goals worse than FC Rostov in terms of goals scored per game (0.83 vs 1.60).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Zenit
0.67
CSKA Moscow
0.90
Spartak Moscow
1.27
Akhmat
1.30
FC Rostov
1.47
Krylia Sovetov
1.50
Dynamo
1.50
Rodina Moskva
1.50
Fakel
1.50
Enisey
1.50
Ural
1.50
Lokomotiv
1.53
FC Krasnodar
1.53
Nizhny Novgorod
1.56
FC Sochi
1.80
FC Orenburg
1.83
Torpedo Moskva
2.07
Khimki
2.23
Khimki is 0.77 goals worse than FC Rostov in terms of goals conceded per game (2.23 vs 1.47).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Zenit
62%
Enisey
61%
Spartak Moscow
58%
FC Krasnodar
57%
Rodina Moskva
56%
FC Sochi
52%
FC Rostov
51%
Lokomotiv
50%
Dynamo
50%
Ural
50%
CSKA Moscow
50%
Khimki
49%
FC Orenburg
49%
Krylia Sovetov
48%
Torpedo Moskva
45%
Nizhny Novgorod
43%
Akhmat
43%
Fakel
41%
Khimki is 2.7 percentage points worse than FC Rostov in terms of average possession (49% vs 51%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Khimki
For 4.2 · Against 4.6 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 12.4 · Total 23.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Rostov
For 3.5 · Against 5.3 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 3.6 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.0 · Against 11.8 · Total 20.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Khimki
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (19)
8.2
8.9
7.5
4.7
4.6
4.9
24.6
24.7
24.6
vs Stronger (11)
8.5
9.4
7.8
4.3
4.0
4.5
23.0
24.6
21.7
vs Similar (8)
7.6
8.2
7.0
5.4
5.2
5.5
26.9
24.8
29.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
37%
44%
30%
63%
44%
80%
58%
56%
60%
% under line
63%
56%
70%
37%
56%
20%
42%
44%
40%
This opponent (FC Rostov) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Rostov
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (19)
8.9
8.3
9.8
6.2
6.5
5.8
21.7
20.3
23.6
vs Stronger (4)
7.0
6.7
8.0
4.0
5.0
1.0
22.0
22.3
21.0
vs Similar (10)
9.7
9.2
10.2
7.1
7.2
7.0
21.2
18.6
23.8
vs Weaker (5)
8.8
8.3
9.5
6.0
6.7
5.0
22.4
21.0
24.5
% over line
37%
27%
50%
89%
91%
88%
58%
45%
75%
% under line
63%
73%
50%
11%
9%
12%
42%
55%
25%
This opponent (Khimki) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Dynamo
11.7
Ural
10.7
Akhmat
10.3
FC Orenburg
10.2
Krylia Sovetov
10.0
Lokomotiv
9.8
CSKA Moscow
9.6
Zenit
9.5
Torpedo Moskva
9.3
FC Krasnodar
9.3
Fakel
9.2
FC Sochi
9.2
Spartak Moscow
8.9
FC Rostov
8.9
Enisey
8.8
Nizhny Novgorod
8.6
Khimki
8.2
Rodina Moskva
7.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC Krasnodar
6.3
Lokomotiv
6.3
FC Rostov
6.2
Nizhny Novgorod
5.9
Akhmat
5.9
FC Sochi
5.8
Fakel
5.6
FC Orenburg
5.6
CSKA Moscow
5.2
Dynamo
5.2
Spartak Moscow
5.0
Enisey
4.9
Ural
4.7
Khimki
4.7
Torpedo Moskva
4.7
Krylia Sovetov
4.4
Rodina Moskva
3.8
Zenit
3.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Khimki
24.6
Lokomotiv
23.5
Fakel
23.4
Nizhny Novgorod
23.3
FC Krasnodar
22.6
Akhmat
22.2
Ural
22.1
FC Orenburg
21.9
CSKA Moscow
21.9
FC Rostov
21.7
Torpedo Moskva
21.5
Dynamo
21.2
Spartak Moscow
20.9
FC Sochi
20.5
Krylia Sovetov
19.7
Zenit
19.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
49.2%
Under 9.5
50.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
78.8%
Under 3.5
21.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
66.8%
Under 21.5
33.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Khimki
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.16
1.32
0.00
0.89
0.30
1.70
vs Stronger (11)
0.00
1.55
0.00
1.40
0.00
1.67
vs Similar (8)
0.38
1.00
0.00
0.25
0.75
1.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
21% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Rostov) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Rostov
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.58
0.63
0.55
0.64
0.62
0.62
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.00
0.67
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (10)
0.50
0.70
0.40
0.80
0.60
0.60
vs Weaker (5)
0.80
0.20
0.67
0.00
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
42% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Khimki) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Khimki over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khimki over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khimki over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Khimki
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.84
0.79
0.89
0.33
0.80
1.20
vs Stronger (11)
0.73
1.09
0.60
0.40
0.83
1.67
vs Similar (8)
1.00
0.38
1.25
0.25
0.75
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Rostov) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Rostov
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.26
0.79
1.27
0.73
1.25
0.88
vs Stronger (4)
1.50
0.75
1.67
0.33
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (10)
1.20
0.70
1.20
1.00
1.20
0.40
vs Weaker (5)
1.20
1.00
1.00
0.67
1.50
1.50
Clean sheet %
37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Khimki) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Khimki over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khimki over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khimki over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
90.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
80.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
74.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Khimki
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ilya Kukharchuk25%
Butta Magomedov18%
Reziuan Mirzov17%
Aleksandr Rudenko16%
Vladimir Khubulov12%
Aleksandr Dolgov12%
Marcos Guilherme10%
Aleksandr Lomovitskiy7%
Nemanja Glavčić6%
Ilya Sagygov5%
Bryan Idowu0%
Denis Glushakov0%
Ayaz Guliev0%
Lev Skvortsov0%
Zakhar Volkov0%
Nikola Antić0%
Petar Golubović0%
Janio Bikel0%
Cristian Tassano0%
Egor Danilkin0%
Oleksandr Filin0%
Dmitri Tikhiy0%
Kirill Bozhenov0%
Ilya Lantratov0%
Ilya Kamyshev0%
Anton Mitryushkin0%
Aleksander Zuev0%
Vitaliy Gudiev0%
Aleksey Nikitin0%
Vitali Lystsov0%
Léo0%
David Kobesov0%
Danil Kazantsev0%
Irakliy Chezhia0%
Dzhambulat Dulaev0%
Mory Gbane0%
Artur Cherny0%
Stefan Melentijevic0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Zakhar Volkov40%
Stefan Melentijevic38%
Cristian Tassano33%
Dzhambulat Dulaev33%
Kirill Bozhenov27%
Aleksandr Lomovitskiy27%
Lev Skvortsov25%
Petar Golubović25%
Irakliy Chezhia25%
Mory Gbane23%
Dmitri Tikhiy22%
Ayaz Guliev21%
Egor Danilkin20%
Bryan Idowu19%
Oleksandr Filin18%
Artur Cherny18%
Nemanja Glavčić18%
Reziuan Mirzov17%
Léo17%
Aleksandr Rudenko16%
Aleksandr Dolgov16%
Ilya Sagygov15%
Denis Glushakov14%
Danil Kazantsev14%
Butta Magomedov14%
Ilya Kamyshev12%
Vladimir Khubulov12%
Aleksey Nikitin11%
Nikola Antić9%
Janio Bikel0%
Ilya Kukharchuk0%
Ilya Lantratov0%
Marcos Guilherme0%
Anton Mitryushkin0%
Aleksander Zuev0%
Vitaliy Gudiev0%
Vitali Lystsov0%
David Kobesov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
David Kobesov25%
Aleksandr Lomovitskiy13%
Janio Bikel9%
Kirill Bozhenov9%
Aleksandr Dolgov8%
Denis Glushakov7%
Nemanja Glavčić6%
Ayaz Guliev5%
Mory Gbane5%
Reziuan Mirzov4%
Aleksandr Rudenko4%
Bryan Idowu0%
Lev Skvortsov0%
Zakhar Volkov0%
Nikola Antić0%
Petar Golubović0%
Cristian Tassano0%
Egor Danilkin0%
Oleksandr Filin0%
Dmitri Tikhiy0%
Ilya Kukharchuk0%
Ilya Lantratov0%
Ilya Kamyshev0%
Marcos Guilherme0%
Anton Mitryushkin0%
Aleksander Zuev0%
Vitaliy Gudiev0%
Aleksey Nikitin0%
Vitali Lystsov0%
Butta Magomedov0%
Léo0%
Danil Kazantsev0%
Irakliy Chezhia0%
Dzhambulat Dulaev0%
Ilya Sagygov0%
Vladimir Khubulov0%
Artur Cherny0%
Stefan Melentijevic0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Aleksandr Rudenko24%
Butta Magomedov23%
Ilya Kukharchuk12%
Aleksandr Dolgov12%
Marcos Guilherme10%
Nikola Antić9%
Léo8%
Ayaz Guliev5%
Mory Gbane5%
Bryan Idowu0%
Denis Glushakov0%
Aleksandr Lomovitskiy0%
Lev Skvortsov0%
Zakhar Volkov0%
Petar Golubović0%
Janio Bikel0%
Cristian Tassano0%
Egor Danilkin0%
Oleksandr Filin0%
Dmitri Tikhiy0%
Kirill Bozhenov0%
Ilya Lantratov0%
Ilya Kamyshev0%
Nemanja Glavčić0%
Anton Mitryushkin0%
Reziuan Mirzov0%
Aleksander Zuev0%
Vitaliy Gudiev0%
Aleksey Nikitin0%
Vitali Lystsov0%
David Kobesov0%
Danil Kazantsev0%
Irakliy Chezhia0%
Dzhambulat Dulaev0%
Ilya Sagygov0%
Vladimir Khubulov0%
Artur Cherny0%
Stefan Melentijevic0%
FC Rostov
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nikolay Komlichenko35%
Dmitri Poloz24%
Maksim Osipenko23%
Daniil Glebov14%
Daniil Utkin11%
Stepan Melnikov10%
Andrey Langovich9%
Evgeniy Chernov9%
Aleksandr Selyava8%
Egor Golenkov7%
Aleksandr Silyanov7%
Danila Prokhin5%
Khoren Bayramyan4%
Roman Tugarev4%
Aleksey Mironov4%
Kirill Shchetinin3%
Denis Terentjev0%
Sergey Pesyakov0%
Ivan Komarov0%
Viktor Melekhin0%
Artem Ntumba Muamba0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aleksey Mironov35%
Khoren Bayramyan22%
Viktor Melekhin21%
Andrey Langovich18%
Evgeniy Chernov17%
Egor Golenkov17%
Dmitri Poloz16%
Danila Prokhin16%
Nikolay Komlichenko15%
Daniil Utkin15%
Daniil Glebov14%
Roman Tugarev12%
Sergey Pesyakov10%
Aleksandr Silyanov10%
Ivan Komarov9%
Aleksandr Selyava8%
Maksim Osipenko8%
Kirill Shchetinin7%
Denis Terentjev0%
Stepan Melnikov0%
Artem Ntumba Muamba0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Daniil Utkin22%
Nikolay Komlichenko19%
Ivan Komarov18%
Daniil Glebov11%
Kirill Shchetinin10%
Maksim Osipenko8%
Aleksey Mironov4%
Aleksandr Silyanov3%
Roman Tugarev0%
Denis Terentjev0%
Aleksandr Selyava0%
Danila Prokhin0%
Sergey Pesyakov0%
Evgeniy Chernov0%
Khoren Bayramyan0%
Dmitri Poloz0%
Egor Golenkov0%
Stepan Melnikov0%
Andrey Langovich0%
Viktor Melekhin0%
Artem Ntumba Muamba0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Daniil Utkin30%
Nikolay Komlichenko15%
Dmitri Poloz12%
Aleksey Mironov8%
Kirill Shchetinin7%
Roman Tugarev4%
Egor Golenkov3%
Aleksandr Silyanov3%
Denis Terentjev0%
Aleksandr Selyava0%
Maksim Osipenko0%
Danila Prokhin0%
Sergey Pesyakov0%
Evgeniy Chernov0%
Daniil Glebov0%
Khoren Bayramyan0%
Stepan Melnikov0%
Ivan Komarov0%
Andrey Langovich0%
Viktor Melekhin0%
Artem Ntumba Muamba0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Russia: Premier League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: Premier League stats & trends →