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Khimki vs FC Rostov Result & Analysis

Date: 02/10/2024
Time: 13:15
Final 2-2
Khimki
Khimki
Vs
24%
28%
48%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FC Rostov
FC Rostov
Russia: Cup
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Khimki win✗ Miss
23.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
27.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov win✗ Miss
48.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

KhimkiKhimki

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L13L11D33D04L02L03L15L00D00DA·NIZ09/08A·FC 13/08H·ZEN18/08A·AKH24/08A·LOK28/08H·CSK31/08A·AKR15/09H·LOK19/09H·FC 22/09A·KRY29/09
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.601.331.531.471.67
vs Stronger (10)1.202.400.752.751.502.17
vs Similar (20)1.501.201.551.091.441.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Rostov) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC RostovFC Rostov

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D31W32W23L10W41W02L31W00D02LH·RUB09/08H·KHI13/08H·FC 17/08A·LOK25/08A·FC 28/08H·FAK01/09A·FC 14/09H·FC 18/09H·DIN22/09H·AKR28/09
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.371.731.201.001.53
vs Stronger (8)0.622.381.002.000.402.60
vs Similar (14)1.291.141.171.001.381.25
vs Weaker (8)2.250.752.671.001.000.00
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Khimki) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%017%127%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.8%
Under 1.5
26.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
47.3%
Under 2.5
52.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
25.6%
Under 3.5
74.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.4%
No
48.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.3%
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
9.2%
0-0
8.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.1%
1-3
4.8%
Khimki goals ↓
FC Rostov goals →
01234
08.9%11%9.2%4.8%1.8%
16.6%13%9.4%4.8%1.9%
24.0%6.1%4.8%2.5%1.0%
31.3%2.1%1.6%0.8%0.3%
40.3%0.5%0.4%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Khimki goals (down), columns = FC Rostov goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Zenit
2.58
Dinamo Vladivostok
2.50
Volgar Astrakhan
2.33
Chayka
2.33
Lokomotiv
2.27
Amkal
2.25
Kuban Kholding
2.25
Spartak Kostroma
2.20
Ural
2.17
Tekstilshchik
2.00
Tver
2.00
Tyumen
2.00
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
2.00
Mashuk-KMV
2.00
FC Sochi
2.00
Orel
2.00
Spartak Moscow
2.00
Luki-Energiya
2.00
Torpedo Vladimir
2.00
Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil
2.00
CSKA Moscow
1.92
FC Rostov
1.85
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.75
Kompozit
1.75
Amkar
1.60
Dinamo Stavropol
1.50
Ryazan
1.50
Torpedo Moskva
1.50
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.50
Torpedo Miass
1.50
Pobeda
1.50
Novosibirsk
1.50
Forte Taganrog
1.50
Rodina Moskva
1.50
Kristall
1.50
Zenit Penza
1.50
Salyut-Belgorod
1.50
Astrakhan
1.50
2Drots
1.50
Dinamo St. Petersburg
1.50
Temp Barnaul
1.50
Dinamo Vologda
1.50
Chertanovo Moscow
1.50
Dinamo Kirov
1.50
FK Sokol Saratov
1.50
Biolog
1.50
Baltika
1.33
Chelyabinsk
1.33
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.33
Dynamo
1.27
Znamya Truda
1.25
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.25
Akron
1.25
FC Krasnodar
1.25
Akhmat
1.20
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.12
Rubin
1.11
Pskov 747
1.00
Chernomorets
1.00
Murom
1.00
Kvant
1.00
OES Dimitrovgrad
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
Leningradets
1.00
FK Neftekhimik
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.00
Arsenal Tula
1.00
Khimki
0.71
Nizhny Novgorod
0.67
FC UFA
0.50
Broke Boys
0.50
Fakel
0.50
Sokol Kazan
0.50
Lada Tolyatti
0.50
FC Orenburg
0.50
Krylia Sovetov
0.17
KAMAZ
0.00
Legion Dynamo
0.00
Zvezda St. Petersburg
0.00
Kaluga
0.00
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
0.00
Avangard Kursk
0.00
Spartak Nalchik
0.00
Angust Nazran
0.00
Kolomna
0.00
KDV
0.00
Dinamo Barnaul
0.00
Nart Cherkessk
0.00
Enisey
0.00
ZOV
0.00
Druzhba
0.00
FK Spartak Tambov
0.00
Ilpar
0.00
Irkutsk
0.00
Strogino
0.00
Sakhalin
0.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
0.00
Saturn Ramenskoye
0.00
Cherepovets
0.00
Ska-khabarovsk
0.00
Dinamo Bryansk
0.00
Veles
0.00
Urozhay
0.00
Nosta
0.00
Anri Vladivostok
0.00
Khimki is 1.13 points worse than FC Rostov in terms of average points per game (0.71 vs 1.85).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Chernomorets
3.00
Amkal
3.00
OES Dimitrovgrad
3.00
Salyut-Belgorod
3.00
Orel
2.67
Volga Ulyanovsk
2.50
FC Sochi
2.50
Forte Taganrog
2.50
Torpedo Vladimir
2.50
Temp Barnaul
2.50
Lokomotiv
2.09
Ryazan
2.00
Tekstilshchik
2.00
Volgar Astrakhan
2.00
Tyumen
2.00
Murom
2.00
KDV
2.00
Dinamo Vladivostok
2.00
Novosibirsk
2.00
Spartak Moscow
2.00
Kuban Kholding
2.00
Rodina Moskva
2.00
ZOV
2.00
Kristall
2.00
FK Spartak Tambov
2.00
Dinamo St. Petersburg
2.00
FK Sokol Saratov
2.00
Zenit
1.92
Dynamo
1.91
Luki-Energiya
1.75
Baltika
1.67
Leningradets
1.67
Chayka
1.67
Tver
1.50
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.50
Sokol Kazan
1.50
Lada Tolyatti
1.50
Astrakhan
1.50
Chertanovo Moscow
1.50
Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil
1.50
Dinamo Kirov
1.50
Spartak Kostroma
1.40
FC Rostov
1.38
Krylia Sovetov
1.33
Akhmat
1.30
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.25
Kompozit
1.25
Amkar
1.20
Ural
1.17
CSKA Moscow
1.15
Akron
1.12
KAMAZ
1.00
Pskov 747
1.00
Legion Dynamo
1.00
Zvezda St. Petersburg
1.00
Torpedo Moskva
1.00
Kaluga
1.00
Kolomna
1.00
Znamya Truda
1.00
Mashuk-KMV
1.00
Kvant
1.00
Dinamo Barnaul
1.00
Pobeda
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
FC Orenburg
1.00
Nart Cherkessk
1.00
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.00
Druzhba
1.00
Zenit Penza
1.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
1.00
FC Krasnodar
1.00
Saturn Ramenskoye
1.00
Dinamo Vologda
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.00
Arsenal Tula
1.00
Biolog
1.00
Anri Vladivostok
1.00
Khimki
0.86
Nizhny Novgorod
0.83
Rubin
0.78
Chelyabinsk
0.67
Dinamo Stavropol
0.50
FC UFA
0.50
Broke Boys
0.50
Torpedo Miass
0.50
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
0.50
2Drots
0.50
Fakel
0.33
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0.25
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
0.00
Avangard Kursk
0.00
Spartak Nalchik
0.00
Angust Nazran
0.00
FK Neftekhimik
0.00
Enisey
0.00
Ilpar
0.00
Irkutsk
0.00
Strogino
0.00
Sakhalin
0.00
Cherepovets
0.00
Ska-khabarovsk
0.00
Dinamo Bryansk
0.00
Veles
0.00
Urozhay
0.00
Nosta
0.00
Khimki is 0.53 goals worse than FC Rostov in terms of goals scored per game (0.86 vs 1.38).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
0.00
FK Neftekhimik
0.00
Chayka
0.00
Dinamo Vladivostok
0.25
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0.25
CSKA Moscow
0.38
Zenit
0.42
Dinamo Stavropol
0.50
Tver
0.50
Torpedo Miass
0.50
2Drots
0.50
Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil
0.50
Kompozit
0.50
Baltika
0.67
Volga Ulyanovsk
0.75
Amkal
0.75
Tyumen
0.75
FC Sochi
0.75
Luki-Energiya
0.75
Spartak Kostroma
0.80
Ural
0.83
Rubin
0.89
FC Rostov
0.92
Pskov 747
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
Tekstilshchik
1.00
Volgar Astrakhan
1.00
Broke Boys
1.00
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.00
Spartak Nalchik
1.00
Angust Nazran
1.00
Znamya Truda
1.00
Mashuk-KMV
1.00
Kvant
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
Chelyabinsk
1.00
Spartak Moscow
1.00
Enisey
1.00
Rodina Moskva
1.00
Irkutsk
1.00
Strogino
1.00
Cherepovets
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Chertanovo Moscow
1.00
Ska-khabarovsk
1.00
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.00
Arsenal Tula
1.00
Nosta
1.00
Lokomotiv
1.09
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.38
Akhmat
1.40
Amkar
1.40
Ryazan
1.50
Pobeda
1.50
Forte Taganrog
1.50
Kuban Kholding
1.50
Astrakhan
1.50
Dinamo St. Petersburg
1.50
FC Krasnodar
1.50
Dinamo Vologda
1.50
Biolog
1.50
Fakel
1.67
Orel
1.67
FC Orenburg
1.67
Leningradets
1.67
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.67
Dynamo
1.73
Nizhny Novgorod
1.83
Akron
1.88
KAMAZ
2.00
Legion Dynamo
2.00
Kaluga
2.00
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
2.00
Avangard Kursk
2.00
Murom
2.00
Sokol Kazan
2.00
Dinamo Barnaul
2.00
Nart Cherkessk
2.00
Torpedo Vladimir
2.00
Druzhba
2.00
Zenit Penza
2.00
Ilpar
2.00
Sakhalin
2.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
2.00
Veles
2.00
Khimki
2.43
Torpedo Moskva
2.50
Lada Tolyatti
2.50
Novosibirsk
2.50
Kristall
2.50
Temp Barnaul
2.50
FK Sokol Saratov
2.50
Chernomorets
3.00
OES Dimitrovgrad
3.00
ZOV
3.00
Salyut-Belgorod
3.00
Saturn Ramenskoye
3.00
Krylia Sovetov
3.67
Zvezda St. Petersburg
4.00
FK Spartak Tambov
4.00
Dinamo Bryansk
4.00
Dinamo Kirov
4.50
KDV
5.00
Urozhay
5.00
Anri Vladivostok
5.00
Kolomna
8.00
Khimki is 1.51 goals worse than FC Rostov in terms of goals conceded per game (2.43 vs 0.92).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

KhimkiKhimki

For 4.9 · Against 6.3 · Total 11.2

🚩 Corners

150462895434103884443887101014714111281115A·KRYH·FC A·AKRH·CSKA·AKHH·ZENA·NIZA·RUBH·SPAH·DIN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.7

🟨 Cards

60224211232154211224625264314A·KRYH·FC A·AKRA·AKHH·ZENA·NIZA·RUBH·SPAH·DINH·CHE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 12.6 · Total 23.7

⚠️ Fouls

3508881511966181481010191415201581516232012321829293523A·KRYH·FC A·AKRH·CSKA·AKHH·ZENA·NIZA·RUBH·SPAH·DIN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

FC RostovFC Rostov

For 4.6 · Against 2.9 · Total 7.5

🚩 Corners

1109134227436347254342107411979936H·AKRH·DINA·FC H·FAKA·LOKH·FC H·RUBA·ZENA·KRYH·CSK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.1

🟨 Cards

701351142313221125311365544274H·AKRH·DINA·FC H·FAKA·LOKH·FC H·RUBA·ZENA·KRYH·CSK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 11.5 · Total 21.5

⚠️ Fouls

320415121494122010810713161110111081119261332181729212119H·AKRH·DINA·FC H·FAKA·LOKH·FC H·RUBA·ZENA·KRYH·CSK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

KhimkiKhimki

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.59.811.33.43.03.723.621.325.8
vs Stronger (12)9.58.810.73.02.53.522.720.525.7
vs Similar (38)10.910.211.53.53.23.724.823.026.0
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line65%62%67%50%40%60%58%50%67%
% under line35%38%33%50%60%40%42%50%33%
This opponent (FC Rostov) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC RostovFC Rostov

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.710.39.14.24.83.622.724.420.9
vs Stronger (14)9.110.88.14.35.63.621.423.420.3
vs Similar (24)10.411.09.74.55.23.822.123.620.5
vs Weaker (12)8.88.39.73.73.83.525.926.824.0
% over line52%57%48%58%64%52%50%61%39%
% under line48%43%52%42%36%48%50%39%61%
This opponent (Khimki) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Lokomotiv
11.1
Shinnik Yaroslavl
10.8
FC Orenburg
10.7
Arsenal Tula
10.7
Dynamo
10.7
Khimki
10.6
Ural
10.4
Baltika
10.1
FK Neftekhimik
10.1
Spartak Moscow
10.0
Akron
9.9
Chernomorets
9.9
Zenit
9.8
Akhmat
9.8
Nizhny Novgorod
9.7
Volgar Astrakhan
9.6
Fakel
9.5
FC Rostov
9.5
Veles
9.4
Enisey
9.4
Krylia Sovetov
9.3
Urozhay
9.3
FC Sochi
9.2
CSKA Moscow
9.2
FK Sokol Saratov
9.1
Dinamo Makhachkala
9.1
Rubin
9.1
Rodina Moskva
9.0
FC Krasnodar
8.8
KAMAZ
8.8
FC UFA
8.7
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
8.7
Ska-khabarovsk
8.4
Leningradets
8.4
Tyumen
8.3
Torpedo Moskva
7.9
Volga Ulyanovsk
6.3

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
KAMAZ
5.6
FC UFA
5.4
Fakel
5.1
Spartak Moscow
5.0
Lokomotiv
5.0
Akhmat
4.9
FC Rostov
4.8
Krylia Sovetov
4.7
Veles
4.7
Dinamo Makhachkala
4.6
Volga Ulyanovsk
4.6
Rodina Moskva
4.5
Nizhny Novgorod
4.5
Dynamo
4.5
FC Orenburg
4.4
Rubin
4.4
Khimki
4.4
FC Krasnodar
4.3
Urozhay
4.3
Volgar Astrakhan
4.2
CSKA Moscow
4.2
Torpedo Moskva
4.1
Enisey
4.0
Ural
4.0
Zenit
3.9
FK Neftekhimik
3.9
FC Sochi
3.8
Chayka
3.8
Baltika
3.8
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
3.8
Tyumen
3.7
Ska-khabarovsk
3.6
Chernomorets
3.5
Rotor Volgograd
3.5
Akron
3.5
Leningradets
3.4
Arsenal Tula
3.2
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3.0
FK Sokol Saratov
3.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Rodina Moskva
30.5
Enisey
28.5
Fakel
26.8
Khimki
25.9
Dinamo Makhachkala
25.7
Nizhny Novgorod
24.6
Spartak Moscow
24.4
Rubin
24.3
Akhmat
23.8
Torpedo Moskva
23.7
Lokomotiv
23.6
Arsenal Tula
23.5
FC Orenburg
23.2
Ural
23.2
Krylia Sovetov
23.1
Dynamo
22.9
FC Krasnodar
22.9
FC Rostov
22.8
CSKA Moscow
22.3
Baltika
22.3
FC Sochi
22.0
Zenit
21.4
Akron
20.9
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Khimki or Draw✓ Hit
51.5%
Avg Implied -
24%
28%
48%
covers Khimki + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Khimki or FC Rostov✗ Miss
72.1%
Avg Implied -
24%
28%
48%
covers Khimki + FC Rostov
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or FC Rostov✓ Hit
76.4%
Avg Implied -
24%
28%
48%
covers Draw + FC Rostov
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Khimki over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
63.8%
Under
36.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khimki over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
27.0%
Under
73.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khimki over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
8.3%
Under
91.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khimki over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.0%
Under
98.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
78.8%
Under
21.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
45.8%
Under
54.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
20.4%
Under
79.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.2%
Under
92.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Khimki, so a minus line means Khimki give that many goals of a start and FC Rostov receive them. At -1, Khimki must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Khimki win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Khimki)Actual: FC Rostov
Khimki -2
2.5%
Draw -2
6.5%
FC Rostov +2
91.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Khimki)Actual: FC Rostov
Khimki -1
9.0%
Draw -1
14.6%
FC Rostov +1
76.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Khimki)Actual: Khimki
Khimki +1
51.5%
Draw +1
22.9%
FC Rostov -1
25.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Khimki)Actual: Khimki
Khimki +2
74.4%
Draw +2
15.1%
FC Rostov -2
10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

KhimkiKhimki

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L12L00D10W02L01L02L00D00D00DA·NIZ09/08A·FC 13/08H·ZEN18/08A·AKH24/08A·LOK28/08H·CSK31/08A·AKR15/09H·LOK19/09H·FC 22/09A·KRY29/09
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.600.200.470.530.73
vs Stronger (10)0.400.700.000.250.671.00
vs Similar (20)0.350.550.270.550.440.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Rostov) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC RostovFC Rostov

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W21W02L12L00D20W01L11D00D02LH·RUB09/08H·KHI13/08H·FC 17/08A·LOK25/08A·FC 28/08H·FAK01/09A·FC 14/09H·FC 18/09H·DIN22/09H·AKR28/09
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.800.870.730.330.87
vs Stronger (8)0.251.120.670.330.001.60
vs Similar (14)0.790.711.000.830.620.62
vs Weaker (8)0.620.620.830.830.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Khimki) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Khimki over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khimki over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khimki over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

KhimkiKhimki

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D01L11D23L02L01L01L15L00D00DA·NIZ09/08A·FC 13/08H·ZEN18/08A·AKH24/08A·LOK28/08H·CSK31/08A·AKR15/09H·LOK19/09H·FC 22/09A·KRY29/09
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.001.131.070.930.93
vs Stronger (10)0.801.700.752.500.831.17
vs Similar (20)1.150.651.270.551.000.78
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Rostov) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC RostovFC Rostov

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W30W11D10W21W01L20W00D00DH·RUB09/08H·KHI13/08H·FC 17/08A·LOK25/08A·FC 28/08H·FAK01/09A·FC 14/09H·FC 18/09H·DIN22/09H·AKR28/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.570.870.470.670.67
vs Stronger (8)0.381.250.331.670.401.00
vs Similar (14)0.500.430.170.170.750.62
vs Weaker (8)1.620.121.830.171.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Khimki) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Khimki over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khimki over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khimki over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.598.4%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals98.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.595.4%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals92.8%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals91.7%-------✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap91.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.588.2%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals79.6%-------✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals78.8%-------✓ Hit
Draw or Away76.4%-------✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap76.4%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap74.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.574.4%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.573.8%-------✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals73.0%-------✗ Miss
Home or Away72.1%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Khimki
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Lucas Vera23%
Edgardo Fariña21%
Anton Zabolotnyi21%
Aleksandr Rudenko17%
Zelimkhan Bakaev12%
Reziuan Mirzov12%
Butta Magomedov8%
Khetag Khosonov6%
Georgiy Dzhikiya0%
Denis Glushakov0%
Petar Golubović0%
Orinho0%
Oleksandr Filin0%
Igor Obukhov0%
Kirill Kaplenko0%
Nemanja Anđelković0%
Sergey Terekhov0%
Danil Stepanov0%
Kirill Panchenko0%
Robert Mejía0%
Cedric Gogoua0%
Álex Corredera0%
Saminu Kwari Abdullahi0%
Dani Fernández0%
Ilya Berkovskyi0%
Ilya Sadygov0%
Nikita Kokarev0%
Boni Amian0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Edgardo Fariña50%
Robert Mejía30%
Nemanja Anđelković29%
Sergey Terekhov25%
Dani Fernández25%
Zelimkhan Bakaev24%
Boni Amian20%
Anton Zabolotnyi17%
Reziuan Mirzov15%
Saminu Kwari Abdullahi14%
Ilya Sadygov14%
Petar Golubović12%
Georgiy Dzhikiya12%
Aleksandr Rudenko10%
Lucas Vera10%
Oleksandr Filin7%
Danil Stepanov7%
Orinho5%
Álex Corredera5%
Denis Glushakov0%
Khetag Khosonov0%
Igor Obukhov0%
Kirill Kaplenko0%
Kirill Panchenko0%
Cedric Gogoua0%
Butta Magomedov0%
Ilya Berkovskyi0%
Nikita Kokarev0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Anton Zabolotnyi14%
Lucas Vera13%
Sergey Terekhov12%
Dani Fernández10%
Ilya Sadygov7%
Petar Golubović6%
Khetag Khosonov6%
Álex Corredera5%
Reziuan Mirzov4%
Aleksandr Rudenko3%
Georgiy Dzhikiya0%
Denis Glushakov0%
Orinho0%
Oleksandr Filin0%
Igor Obukhov0%
Kirill Kaplenko0%
Nemanja Anđelković0%
Zelimkhan Bakaev0%
Danil Stepanov0%
Kirill Panchenko0%
Robert Mejía0%
Cedric Gogoua0%
Butta Magomedov0%
Saminu Kwari Abdullahi0%
Ilya Berkovskyi0%
Nikita Kokarev0%
Edgardo Fariña0%
Boni Amian0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Anton Zabolotnyi24%
Orinho9%
Zelimkhan Bakaev8%
Aleksandr Rudenko7%
Dani Fernández5%
Lucas Vera3%
Georgiy Dzhikiya0%
Denis Glushakov0%
Petar Golubović0%
Khetag Khosonov0%
Oleksandr Filin0%
Igor Obukhov0%
Kirill Kaplenko0%
Nemanja Anđelković0%
Reziuan Mirzov0%
Sergey Terekhov0%
Danil Stepanov0%
Kirill Panchenko0%
Robert Mejía0%
Cedric Gogoua0%
Álex Corredera0%
Butta Magomedov0%
Saminu Kwari Abdullahi0%
Ilya Berkovskyi0%
Ilya Sadygov0%
Nikita Kokarev0%
Edgardo Fariña0%
Boni Amian0%
FC Rostov
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nikolay Komlichenko28%
Maksim Osipenko28%
Mohammad Mohebi27%
Egor Golenkov17%
Ronaldo11%
Rodrigo Saravia7%
Daniil Glebov6%
Ivan Komarov6%
Konstantin Kuchaev5%
Andrey Langovich5%
Oumar Sako4%
Kirill Shchetinin4%
Daniil Utkin0%
Ilya Vakhaniya0%
Evgeniy Chernov0%
Aleksey Sutormin0%
Khoren Bayramyan0%
Rustam Yatimov0%
Daniil Odoevski0%
Viktor Melekhin0%
Daniil Shantaliy0%
German Ignatov0%
Imran Aznaurov0%
Anton Shamonin0%
Ilya Zhbanov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Anton Shamonin33%
Viktor Melekhin29%
Daniil Glebov24%
Andrey Langovich23%
Ivan Komarov22%
Daniil Utkin20%
Evgeniy Chernov20%
Daniil Shantaliy18%
Egor Golenkov17%
Oumar Sako15%
Ilya Vakhaniya14%
Ronaldo14%
Mohammad Mohebi13%
Khoren Bayramyan12%
German Ignatov11%
Konstantin Kuchaev10%
Aleksey Sutormin9%
Nikolay Komlichenko8%
Kirill Shchetinin7%
Maksim Osipenko7%
Rodrigo Saravia7%
Rustam Yatimov0%
Daniil Odoevski0%
Imran Aznaurov0%
Ilya Zhbanov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nikolay Komlichenko16%
Ronaldo11%
Maksim Osipenko10%
Andrey Langovich9%
Egor Golenkov8%
Kirill Shchetinin7%
Mohammad Mohebi7%
Rodrigo Saravia7%
Daniil Glebov6%
Ivan Komarov6%
Aleksey Sutormin4%
Ilya Vakhaniya4%
Konstantin Kuchaev0%
Daniil Utkin0%
Evgeniy Chernov0%
Khoren Bayramyan0%
Rustam Yatimov0%
Oumar Sako0%
Daniil Odoevski0%
Viktor Melekhin0%
Daniil Shantaliy0%
German Ignatov0%
Imran Aznaurov0%
Anton Shamonin0%
Ilya Zhbanov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nikolay Komlichenko32%
Ronaldo25%
Mohammad Mohebi20%
Daniil Glebov18%
Egor Golenkov17%
Ivan Komarov17%
Imran Aznaurov17%
Maksim Osipenko14%
Kirill Shchetinin11%
Aleksey Sutormin9%
Rodrigo Saravia7%
Andrey Langovich5%
Konstantin Kuchaev0%
Daniil Utkin0%
Ilya Vakhaniya0%
Evgeniy Chernov0%
Khoren Bayramyan0%
Rustam Yatimov0%
Oumar Sako0%
Daniil Odoevski0%
Viktor Melekhin0%
Daniil Shantaliy0%
German Ignatov0%
Anton Shamonin0%
Ilya Zhbanov0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (26)
€182m
SM (26)
€129m
FK (28)
€114m
CM (27)
€111m
DYN (28)
€110m
LOK (27)
€68m
RUB (27)
€45m
FR (28)
€32m
BAL (31)
€30m
AKH (25)
€30m
KS (27)
€26m
AKR (25)
€25m
DM (29)
€20m
FO (30)
€18m
NN (28)
€18m
RM (26)
€17m
FS (21)
€15m
FAK (26)
€14m
URA (21)
€11m
TM (23)
€11m
RV (25)
€9m
CHE (23)
€9m
AT (26)
€8m
SK (27)
€8m
SKA (27)
€6m
VU (24)
€6m
SY (24)
€6m
ENI (24)
€6m
FU (25)
€5m
LEN (22)
€5m
KAM (24)
€5m
VEL (23)
€5m
TEK (25)
€5m
FN (25)
€5m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (9)
€100m
SM (10)
€59m
DYN (8)
€45m
CM (11)
€37m
FK (9)
€34m
LOK (8)
€21m
AKH (11)
€17m
FR (11)
€14m
AKR (9)
€11m
BAL (10)
€10m
KS (11)
€9m
DM (13)
€9m
FO (12)
€8m
RUB (5)
€8m
RM (11)
€7m
NN (11)
€6m
TM (10)
€5m
FAK (10)
€5m
FS (8)
€5m
URA (8)
€4m
CHE (9)
€4m
AT (8)
€3m
RV (7)
€3m
SK (8)
€3m
VU (9)
€2m
ENI (7)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
TEK (9)
€2m
SY (9)
€2m
KAM (9)
€2m
FN (9)
€2m
FU (7)
€2m
VEL (7)
€2m
LEN (7)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CM (5)
€48m
SM (6)
€37m
FK (7)
€35m
ZEN (5)
€31m
DYN (7)
€24m
RUB (6)
€12m
LOK (7)
€8m
BAL (6)
€6m
AKR (6)
€6m
KS (4)
€6m
FR (5)
€5m
AKH (4)
€4m
RM (4)
€3m
FO (5)
€3m
DM (5)
€3m
NN (5)
€3m
URA (4)
€2m
RV (7)
€2m
AT (8)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
FAK (4)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
ENI (5)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
SK (7)
€2m
SY (5)
€1m
FS (2)
€1m
LEN (6)
€1m
TM (4)
€1m
VU (5)
€1m
CHE (2)
€1m
TEK (6)
€1m
FN (5)
€1m
KAM (4)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (12)
€50m
FK (12)
€45m
DYN (13)
€42m
LOK (12)
€40m
SM (10)
€34m
CM (11)
€26m
RUB (16)
€25m
BAL (15)
€15m
FR (12)
€13m
KS (12)
€11m
FS (11)
€9m
AKH (10)
€9m
NN (12)
€9m
AKR (10)
€8m
DM (11)
€8m
FO (13)
€7m
FAK (12)
€7m
RM (11)
€7m
URA (9)
€4m
TM (9)
€4m
SK (12)
€4m
RV (11)
€4m
CHE (12)
€3m
AT (10)
€3m
VU (10)
€3m
SKA (11)
€3m
SY (10)
€2m
KAM (11)
€2m
LEN (9)
€2m
FN (11)
€2m
ENI (12)
€2m
TEK (10)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
0
KHI wins
0
Draws
3
FR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Khimki vs FC Rostov · H/A from KHI
DateH/AGameScore
13/08/24AFC Rostov Vs KHI3-1
19/03/23HKHI Vs FC Rostov0-1
31/07/22AFC Rostov Vs KHI1-0

KhimkiKhimki

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/09/24AKrylia Sovetov Vs KHI0-0
22/09/24HKHI Vs FC Orenburg0-0
19/09/24HKHI Vs Lokomotiv1-5
15/09/24AAkron Vs KHI3-0
31/08/24HKHI Vs CSKA Moscow0-2
28/08/24ALokomotiv Vs KHI4-0
24/08/24AAkhmat Vs KHI3-3
18/08/24HKHI Vs Zenit1-1
13/08/24AFC Rostov Vs KHI3-1
09/08/24ANizhny Novgorod Vs KHI1-0

FC RostovFC Rostov

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/09/24HFR Vs Akron0-2
22/09/24HFR Vs Dinamo Makhachkala0-0
18/09/24HFR Vs FC Orenburg3-1
14/09/24AFC Krasnodar Vs FR2-0
01/09/24HFR Vs Fakel4-1
28/08/24AFC Orenburg Vs FR0-1
25/08/24ALokomotiv Vs FR3-2
17/08/24HFR Vs FC Orenburg3-2
13/08/24HFR Vs Khimki3-1
09/08/24HFR Vs Rubin1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Khimki
Khimki
Russia: Cup
Recent: 0 Wins / 4 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDD1.54
HomeWDLLD1.52
AwayLDLLD1.56
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%40%48%
AVG goals2.802.642.96
Over 1.5 %72%68%76%
Over 2.5 %54%48%60%
Over 3.5 %36%28%44%
Scored1.361.281.44
Conceded1.441.361.52
BTTS52%52%52%
Clean Sheet30%36%24%
Corners10.529.7511.33
Cards4.003.624.38
FC Rostov
FC Rostov
Russia: Cup
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWDL1.36
HomeWWWDL1.96
AwayLLLWL0.76
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%56%20%
AVG goals2.943.042.84
Over 1.5 %76%84%68%
Over 2.5 %58%64%52%
Over 3.5 %38%36%40%
Scored1.361.800.92
Conceded1.581.241.92
BTTS56%64%48%
Clean Sheet22%28%16%
Corners9.6710.269.09
Cards4.715.264.14

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar3067
67%
2.2
5923+36
2.7
77%
60%
27%
8.8
41%
4.4
62%
26.2
70%
114
3435452.00.8
57%
2ZenitZenit3066
67%
2.2
5818+40
2.5
70%
50%
27%
9.5
50%
4.3
60%
25.4
60%
182
10031501.90.6
61%
3CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow3059
57%
2.0
4721+26
2.3
70%
43%
17%
8.9
33%
4.7
65%
23.6
70%
111
3748261.60.7
54%
4Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow3057
57%
1.9
5625+31
2.7
83%
60%
23%
9.6
47%
5.5
73%
29.8
87%
129
5937341.90.8
63%
5DynamoDynamo3056
53%
1.9
6135+26
3.2
87%
60%
47%
10.9
67%
4.3
57%
26.1
83%
110
4524422.01.2
52%
6LokomotivLokomotiv3053
50%
1.8
5141+10
3.1
80%
53%
40%
10.7
61%
4.4
66%
25.2
79%
68
218401.71.4
50%
7RubinRubin3045
43%
1.5
4245-3
2.9
80%
57%
33%
9.8
50%
4.8
73%
26.9
80%
45
812251.41.5
43%
8FC RostovFC Rostov3039
33%
1.3
4143-2
2.8
83%
50%
33%
8.4
34%
4.3
69%
26.7
76%
32
145131.41.4
52%
9AkronAkron3035
33%
1.2
3955-16
3.1
83%
63%
40%
10.9
69%
3.7
41%
23.2
62%
25
11681.31.8
47%
10Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov3031
27%
1.0
3651-15
2.9
87%
50%
37%
9.4
37%
4.2
60%
21.8
60%
26
96111.21.7
49%
11Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod3230
25%
0.9
3058-28
2.8
81%
59%
25%
10.0
47%
4.4
57%
26.6
88%
18
6390.91.8
43%
12Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala3029
20%
1.0
2735-8
2.1
63%
30%
17%
10.0
52%
4.9
66%
28.2
93%
20
9380.91.2
43%
13KhimkiKhimki3029
20%
1.0
3556-21
3.0
80%
50%
47%
10.9
73%
3.6
52%
24.6
73%
0
0001.21.9
47%
14AkhmatAkhmat3228
16%
0.9
3050-20
2.5
75%
44%
22%
10.6
62%
5.2
78%
29.5
88%
30
17490.91.6
48%
15FC OrenburgFC Orenburg3019
13%
0.6
2856-28
2.8
73%
53%
30%
11.8
73%
5.0
80%
24.3
77%
18
8370.91.9
51%
16FakelFakel3018
7%
0.6
1442-28
1.9
57%
27%
17%
8.8
40%
5.5
83%
28.3
100%
14
5270.51.4
42%
17FC SochiFC Sochi23
50%
1.5
43+1
3.5
100%
100%
50%
10.0
50%
5.0
100%
25.0
100%
15
5192.01.5
44%
18UralUral23
50%
1.5
23-1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
9.5
50%
6.0
100%
29.0
100%
11
4241.01.5
46%
Russia: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: Premier League stats & trends →

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