This opponent (FC Rostov) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Rostov
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.30
1.67
1.27
1.33
1.33
vs Stronger (9)
0.56
1.56
0.50
1.50
0.60
1.60
vs Similar (12)
1.50
1.50
1.29
1.43
1.80
1.60
vs Weaker (9)
2.44
0.78
3.50
0.75
1.60
0.80
Clean sheet %
20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Khimki) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.7%
Under 1.5
19.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
56.9%
Under 2.5
43.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.5%
Under 3.5
65.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
60.9%
No
39.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
12.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
6.6%
1-0
6.4%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
6.2%
0-2
5.8%
Khimki goals ↓
FC Rostov goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.3%
6.6%
5.8%
2.9%
1.1%
1
6.4%
12%
8.5%
4.2%
1.6%
2
5.6%
8.3%
6.2%
3.1%
1.2%
3
2.7%
4.1%
3.0%
1.5%
0.6%
4
1.0%
1.5%
1.1%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Khimki goals (down), columns = FC Rostov goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Krasnodar
2.23
Zenit
2.20
CSKA Moscow
1.97
Spartak Moscow
1.90
Dynamo
1.87
Lokomotiv
1.77
Ural
1.50
FC Sochi
1.50
Rubin
1.50
FC Rostov
1.30
Akron
1.17
Krylia Sovetov
1.03
Khimki
0.97
Dinamo Makhachkala
0.97
Nizhny Novgorod
0.94
Akhmat
0.88
FC Orenburg
0.63
Fakel
0.60
Khimki is 0.33 points worse than FC Rostov in terms of average points per game (0.97 vs 1.30).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dynamo
2.03
FC Sochi
2.00
FC Krasnodar
1.97
Zenit
1.93
Spartak Moscow
1.87
Lokomotiv
1.70
CSKA Moscow
1.57
Rubin
1.40
FC Rostov
1.37
Akron
1.30
Krylia Sovetov
1.20
Khimki
1.17
Ural
1.00
Nizhny Novgorod
0.94
Akhmat
0.94
FC Orenburg
0.93
Dinamo Makhachkala
0.90
Fakel
0.47
Khimki is 0.20 goals worse than FC Rostov in terms of goals scored per game (1.17 vs 1.37).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Zenit
0.60
CSKA Moscow
0.70
FC Krasnodar
0.77
Spartak Moscow
0.83
Dynamo
1.17
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.17
Lokomotiv
1.37
Fakel
1.40
FC Rostov
1.43
Ural
1.50
FC Sochi
1.50
Rubin
1.50
Akhmat
1.56
Krylia Sovetov
1.70
Nizhny Novgorod
1.81
Akron
1.83
Khimki
1.87
FC Orenburg
1.87
Khimki is 0.43 goals worse than FC Rostov in terms of goals conceded per game (1.87 vs 1.43).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Spartak Moscow
63%
Zenit
61%
FC Krasnodar
57%
CSKA Moscow
54%
Dynamo
52%
FC Rostov
52%
FC Orenburg
51%
Lokomotiv
50%
Krylia Sovetov
49%
Akhmat
48%
Khimki
47%
Akron
47%
Ural
46%
FC Sochi
44%
Dinamo Makhachkala
43%
Nizhny Novgorod
43%
Rubin
43%
Fakel
42%
Khimki is 4.8 percentage points worse than FC Rostov in terms of average possession (47% vs 52%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Khimki
For 3.7 · Against 6.1 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.4 · Against 12.7 · Total 26.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Rostov
For 5.1 · Against 3.6 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.1 · Against 16.1 · Total 31.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Khimki
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
9.8
11.5
3.0
3.1
2.9
24.3
24.1
24.6
vs Stronger (23)
10.5
9.8
11.2
2.8
3.0
2.7
23.1
22.5
23.7
vs Similar (27)
10.8
9.9
12.0
3.2
3.2
3.2
26.7
26.6
26.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
71%
62%
80%
44%
48%
40%
69%
69%
69%
% under line
29%
38%
20%
56%
52%
60%
31%
31%
31%
This opponent (FC Rostov) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Rostov
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
8.9
8.9
3.8
3.9
3.8
25.9
25.8
26.1
vs Stronger (14)
8.2
7.6
8.8
3.8
4.6
3.0
25.4
27.6
23.2
vs Similar (23)
9.1
8.9
9.3
4.0
3.8
4.2
24.8
25.0
24.6
vs Weaker (13)
9.3
10.2
8.2
3.5
3.3
3.8
29.1
25.6
33.5
% over line
38%
40%
37%
60%
56%
64%
72%
80%
63%
% under line
62%
60%
63%
40%
44%
36%
28%
20%
37%
This opponent (Khimki) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FC Orenburg
11.2
Lokomotiv
11.1
Ural
11.0
Dynamo
10.7
Khimki
10.7
Nizhny Novgorod
10.2
Spartak Moscow
10.0
Akhmat
9.8
Akron
9.8
Dinamo Makhachkala
9.7
Zenit
9.4
Rubin
9.4
FC Sochi
9.4
CSKA Moscow
9.4
Fakel
9.3
Krylia Sovetov
9.3
FC Rostov
9.2
FC Krasnodar
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Fakel
5.1
Spartak Moscow
5.0
Akhmat
5.0
Lokomotiv
4.9
Rubin
4.7
FC Rostov
4.7
Dinamo Makhachkala
4.6
FC Krasnodar
4.5
CSKA Moscow
4.5
FC Orenburg
4.4
Krylia Sovetov
4.4
Dynamo
4.3
Nizhny Novgorod
4.3
Zenit
4.2
Ural
4.2
FC Sochi
4.0
Khimki
3.8
Akron
3.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Dinamo Makhachkala
27.4
Fakel
27.1
Spartak Moscow
26.9
Nizhny Novgorod
26.2
Akhmat
26.2
Rubin
25.6
FC Rostov
25.3
FC Krasnodar
25.2
Ural
24.4
Dynamo
24.4
Khimki
24.3
Lokomotiv
24.2
FC Orenburg
24.2
FC Sochi
23.1
CSKA Moscow
23.0
Zenit
23.0
Akron
22.7
Krylia Sovetov
22.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
46.6%
Under 9.5
53.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
65.3%
Under 3.5
34.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
88.4%
Under 21.5
11.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Khimki
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.80
0.54
0.38
0.29
1.12
vs Stronger (21)
0.33
0.67
0.33
0.44
0.33
0.83
vs Similar (9)
0.56
1.11
1.00
0.25
0.20
1.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Rostov) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Rostov
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.57
0.73
0.47
0.47
0.67
vs Stronger (9)
0.22
0.56
0.50
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (12)
0.67
0.83
0.57
0.86
0.80
0.80
vs Weaker (9)
0.89
0.22
1.25
0.25
0.60
0.20
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Khimki) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Khimki over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khimki over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khimki over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Khimki
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
1.20
0.85
1.31
0.59
1.12
vs Stronger (21)
0.90
1.57
1.11
1.78
0.75
1.42
vs Similar (9)
0.22
0.33
0.25
0.25
0.20
0.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Rostov) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Rostov
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.73
0.93
0.80
0.87
0.67
vs Stronger (9)
0.33
1.00
0.00
1.50
0.60
0.60
vs Similar (12)
0.83
0.67
0.71
0.57
1.00
0.80
vs Weaker (9)
1.56
0.56
2.25
0.50
1.00
0.60
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Khimki) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Khimki over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khimki over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khimki over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
94.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
88.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
82.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
80.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
76.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Khimki
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Lucas Vera23%
Edgardo Fariña21%
Anton Zabolotnyi21%
Aleksandr Rudenko17%
Zelimkhan Bakaev12%
Reziuan Mirzov12%
Butta Magomedov8%
Khetag Khosonov6%
Georgiy Dzhikiya0%
Denis Glushakov0%
Petar Golubović0%
Orinho0%
Oleksandr Filin0%
Igor Obukhov0%
Kirill Kaplenko0%
Nemanja Anđelković0%
Sergey Terekhov0%
Danil Stepanov0%
Kirill Panchenko0%
Robert Mejía0%
Cedric Gogoua0%
Álex Corredera0%
Saminu Kwari Abdullahi0%
Dani Fernández0%
Ilya Berkovskyi0%
Ilya Sadygov0%
Nikita Kokarev0%
Boni Amian0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Edgardo Fariña50%
Robert Mejía30%
Nemanja Anđelković29%
Sergey Terekhov25%
Dani Fernández25%
Zelimkhan Bakaev24%
Boni Amian20%
Anton Zabolotnyi17%
Reziuan Mirzov15%
Saminu Kwari Abdullahi14%
Ilya Sadygov14%
Petar Golubović12%
Georgiy Dzhikiya12%
Aleksandr Rudenko10%
Lucas Vera10%
Oleksandr Filin7%
Danil Stepanov7%
Orinho5%
Álex Corredera5%
Denis Glushakov0%
Khetag Khosonov0%
Igor Obukhov0%
Kirill Kaplenko0%
Kirill Panchenko0%
Cedric Gogoua0%
Butta Magomedov0%
Ilya Berkovskyi0%
Nikita Kokarev0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Anton Zabolotnyi14%
Lucas Vera13%
Sergey Terekhov12%
Dani Fernández10%
Ilya Sadygov7%
Petar Golubović6%
Khetag Khosonov6%
Álex Corredera5%
Reziuan Mirzov4%
Aleksandr Rudenko3%
Georgiy Dzhikiya0%
Denis Glushakov0%
Orinho0%
Oleksandr Filin0%
Igor Obukhov0%
Kirill Kaplenko0%
Nemanja Anđelković0%
Zelimkhan Bakaev0%
Danil Stepanov0%
Kirill Panchenko0%
Robert Mejía0%
Cedric Gogoua0%
Butta Magomedov0%
Saminu Kwari Abdullahi0%
Ilya Berkovskyi0%
Nikita Kokarev0%
Edgardo Fariña0%
Boni Amian0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Anton Zabolotnyi24%
Orinho9%
Zelimkhan Bakaev8%
Aleksandr Rudenko7%
Dani Fernández5%
Lucas Vera3%
Georgiy Dzhikiya0%
Denis Glushakov0%
Petar Golubović0%
Khetag Khosonov0%
Oleksandr Filin0%
Igor Obukhov0%
Kirill Kaplenko0%
Nemanja Anđelković0%
Reziuan Mirzov0%
Sergey Terekhov0%
Danil Stepanov0%
Kirill Panchenko0%
Robert Mejía0%
Cedric Gogoua0%
Álex Corredera0%
Butta Magomedov0%
Saminu Kwari Abdullahi0%
Ilya Berkovskyi0%
Ilya Sadygov0%
Nikita Kokarev0%
Edgardo Fariña0%
Boni Amian0%
FC Rostov
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nikolay Komlichenko28%
Maksim Osipenko28%
Mohammad Mohebi27%
Egor Golenkov17%
Ronaldo11%
Rodrigo Saravia7%
Daniil Glebov6%
Ivan Komarov6%
Konstantin Kuchaev5%
Andrey Langovich5%
Oumar Sako4%
Kirill Shchetinin4%
Daniil Utkin0%
Ilya Vakhaniya0%
Evgeniy Chernov0%
Aleksey Sutormin0%
Khoren Bayramyan0%
Rustam Yatimov0%
Daniil Odoevski0%
Viktor Melekhin0%
Daniil Shantaliy0%
German Ignatov0%
Imran Aznaurov0%
Anton Shamonin0%
Ilya Zhbanov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Anton Shamonin33%
Viktor Melekhin29%
Daniil Glebov24%
Andrey Langovich23%
Ivan Komarov22%
Daniil Utkin20%
Evgeniy Chernov20%
Daniil Shantaliy18%
Egor Golenkov17%
Oumar Sako15%
Ilya Vakhaniya14%
Ronaldo14%
Mohammad Mohebi13%
Khoren Bayramyan12%
German Ignatov11%
Konstantin Kuchaev10%
Aleksey Sutormin9%
Nikolay Komlichenko8%
Kirill Shchetinin7%
Maksim Osipenko7%
Rodrigo Saravia7%
Rustam Yatimov0%
Daniil Odoevski0%
Imran Aznaurov0%
Ilya Zhbanov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nikolay Komlichenko16%
Ronaldo11%
Maksim Osipenko10%
Andrey Langovich9%
Egor Golenkov8%
Kirill Shchetinin7%
Mohammad Mohebi7%
Rodrigo Saravia7%
Daniil Glebov6%
Ivan Komarov6%
Aleksey Sutormin4%
Ilya Vakhaniya4%
Konstantin Kuchaev0%
Daniil Utkin0%
Evgeniy Chernov0%
Khoren Bayramyan0%
Rustam Yatimov0%
Oumar Sako0%
Daniil Odoevski0%
Viktor Melekhin0%
Daniil Shantaliy0%
German Ignatov0%
Imran Aznaurov0%
Anton Shamonin0%
Ilya Zhbanov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nikolay Komlichenko32%
Ronaldo25%
Mohammad Mohebi20%
Daniil Glebov18%
Egor Golenkov17%
Ivan Komarov17%
Imran Aznaurov17%
Maksim Osipenko14%
Kirill Shchetinin11%
Aleksey Sutormin9%
Rodrigo Saravia7%
Andrey Langovich5%
Konstantin Kuchaev0%
Daniil Utkin0%
Ilya Vakhaniya0%
Evgeniy Chernov0%
Khoren Bayramyan0%
Rustam Yatimov0%
Oumar Sako0%
Daniil Odoevski0%
Viktor Melekhin0%
Daniil Shantaliy0%
German Ignatov0%
Anton Shamonin0%
Ilya Zhbanov0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Russia: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: Premier League stats & trends →
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FC Krasnodar
Zenit
CSKA Moscow
Spartak Moscow
Dynamo
Lokomotiv
Rubin
Akron
Krylia Sovetov
Nizhny Novgorod
Dinamo Makhachkala
Akhmat
FC Orenburg
Fakel
FC Sochi
Ural