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Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd Result & Analysis

Date: 17/08/2025
Time: 14:00
Final 2-1
Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
Vs
45%
28%
28%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dundee Utd
Dundee Utd
Scotland: League Cup
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Kilmarnock win✓ Hit
44.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd win✗ Miss
27.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

KilmarnockKilmarnock

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W20W32W03L01L10W00D40W22D22DH·ROS26/04A·ST 03/05H·DUN10/05A·MOT14/05H·HEA18/05H·LIV16/07A·KEL22/07H·EAS26/07H·LIV02/08A·HIB10/08
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.431.750.750.792.21
vs Stronger (10)1.002.501.001.501.003.17
vs Similar (20)1.450.902.000.500.621.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundee Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dundee UtdDundee Utd

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L02L13L21W10W10W22D22D23L22DA·HIB03/05H·ST 10/05A·RAN14/05H·ABE17/05H·UNA24/07A·UNA31/07A·FAL03/08A·RAP07/08H·HEA10/08H·RAP14/08
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.631.001.711.191.56
vs Stronger (8)0.752.500.752.500.752.50
vs Similar (22)1.231.321.101.401.331.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.5%
Under 1.5
23.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
50.9%
Under 2.5
49.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.8%
Under 3.5
71.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.4%
No
44.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%
2-1 ✓
9.2%
1-0
9.0%
2-0
7.9%
0-0
7.9%
1-2
7.0%
0-1
6.6%
2-2
5.4%
Kilmarnock goals ↓
Dundee Utd goals →
01234
07.9%6.6%4.6%1.8%0.5%
19.0%13%7.0%2.7%0.8%
27.9%9.2%5.4%2.1%0.6%
34.0%4.7%2.8%1.1%0.3%
41.6%1.8%1.1%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kilmarnock goals (down), columns = Dundee Utd goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Aberdeen
2.57
Celtic
2.50
Dundee
2.50
Rangers
2.50
Ross County
2.40
Livingston
2.25
Ayr Utd
2.25
Dundee Utd
2.00
Spartans
2.00
Falkirk
2.00
Airdrie United
1.80
Hibernian
1.80
ST Johnstone
1.80
Queen's Park
1.80
Partick
1.75
Raith Rovers
1.75
Montrose
1.75
East Fife
1.75
Alloa Athletic
1.75
Annan Athletic
1.75
Motherwell
1.71
Morton
1.50
Peterhead
1.50
Queen of the South
1.50
Clyde
1.50
Hamilton Academical
1.25
Kilmarnock
1.00
Inverness CT
1.00
Arbroath
1.00
Cove Rangers
1.00
Kelty Hearts
1.00
Forfar
1.00
Dunfermline
0.75
Stenhousemuir
0.75
Stirling
0.50
Dumbarton
0.25
East Kilbride
0.25
Stranraer
0.25
Elgin
0.25
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
0.25
ST Mirren
0.00
Heart Of Midlothian
0.00
Brechin
0.00
Edinburgh City
0.00
Kilmarnock is 1.00 points worse than Dundee Utd in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 2.00).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Celtic
4.25
Dundee
4.00
Airdrie United
3.20
Queen's Park
3.20
Hibernian
3.00
Aberdeen
2.86
Partick
2.75
Falkirk
2.50
Rangers
2.50
Ayr Utd
2.25
Clyde
2.25
ST Johnstone
2.20
Dundee Utd
2.00
Ross County
2.00
East Fife
2.00
Raith Rovers
1.75
Alloa Athletic
1.75
Annan Athletic
1.75
Montrose
1.50
Motherwell
1.43
Spartans
1.33
Hamilton Academical
1.25
Livingston
1.25
Stenhousemuir
1.25
Peterhead
1.25
Queen of the South
1.25
Dumbarton
1.00
Dunfermline
1.00
Stranraer
1.00
Inverness CT
0.75
Morton
0.75
Cove Rangers
0.75
Elgin
0.75
Forfar
0.75
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
0.75
Brechin
0.50
East Kilbride
0.50
Kelty Hearts
0.50
Stirling
0.50
Arbroath
0.25
Edinburgh City
0.25
ST Mirren
0.00
Kilmarnock
0.00
Heart Of Midlothian
0.00
Kilmarnock is 2.00 goals worse than Dundee Utd in terms of goals scored per game (0.00 vs 2.00).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kilmarnock
0.00
Livingston
0.25
Motherwell
0.71
Hamilton Academical
0.75
Ross County
0.80
ST Mirren
1.00
Hibernian
1.00
Dundee
1.00
Aberdeen
1.00
Rangers
1.00
Raith Rovers
1.00
Forfar
1.00
Dundee Utd
1.17
Spartans
1.17
Falkirk
1.17
Queen's Park
1.20
Ayr Utd
1.25
Arbroath
1.25
Partick
1.25
Dunfermline
1.25
Montrose
1.25
East Fife
1.25
Alloa Athletic
1.25
Annan Athletic
1.25
ST Johnstone
1.40
Celtic
1.50
Morton
1.50
Queen of the South
1.50
Clyde
1.50
Inverness CT
1.75
Heart Of Midlothian
2.00
Kelty Hearts
2.00
Stirling
2.00
Airdrie United
2.20
Cove Rangers
2.25
Brechin
2.50
Stranraer
2.50
Stenhousemuir
2.75
Peterhead
2.75
Dumbarton
3.25
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
3.25
Elgin
3.50
East Kilbride
4.00
Edinburgh City
4.00
Kilmarnock is 1.17 goals better than Dundee Utd in terms of goals conceded per game (0.00 vs 1.17).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

KilmarnockKilmarnock

For 4.5 · Against 4.5 · Total 9.0

ðŸšĐ Corners

110743534457225541072741187997910911A·HIBH·LIVH·HEAA·MOTH·DUNA·ST H·ROSA·CELH·MOTA·ST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.0

ðŸŸĻ Cards

6021321122121222423513233262A·HIBH·LIVH·LIVH·HEAA·MOTH·DUNA·ST H·ROSH·MOTA·ST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.3 · Against 11.3 · Total 23.6

⚠ïļ Fouls

300151011141413711147161217139911991525252718212830182024A·HIBH·LIVH·HEAA·MOTH·DUNA·ST H·ROSA·CELH·MOTA·ST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Dundee UtdDundee Utd

For 3.9 · Against 8.0 · Total 11.9

ðŸšĐ Corners

21031129310428134946471865141113621131011911H·RAPH·HEAA·RAPA·FALH·ABEA·RANH·ST A·HIBH·CELH·ST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.8

ðŸŸĻ Cards

70253415112121112427716312236H·RAPH·HEAA·RAPA·FALH·ABEA·RANH·ST A·HIBH·ST A·HEA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.2 · Against 9.4 · Total 18.6

⚠ïļ Fouls

29091514113513971213765785815142425822192011151329H·RAPH·HEAA·RAPA·FALH·ABEA·RANH·ST A·HIBH·CELH·ST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

KilmarnockKilmarnock

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.69.611.53.53.53.522.222.322.2
vs Stronger (19)10.79.411.93.63.63.621.723.220.3
vs Similar (31)10.59.811.23.53.43.522.621.723.5
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line65%43%86%46%42%50%53%57%50%
% under line35%57%14%54%58%50%47%43%50%
This opponent (Dundee Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dundee UtdDundee Utd

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.910.611.23.54.03.020.822.319.3
vs Stronger (10)11.710.013.43.55.21.818.220.815.6
vs Similar (39)10.610.810.53.53.83.221.622.820.5
vs Weaker (1)---0.00.0----
% over line71%67%76%42%48%36%43%52%33%
% under line29%33%24%58%52%64%57%48%67%
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
East Kilbride
12.0
Celtic
11.7
Ross County
11.6
Hibernian
11.5
Aberdeen
11.4
Motherwell
11.3
Falkirk
11.2
Morton
11.2
Dundee Utd
11.1
Dumbarton
10.9
Rangers
10.8
Kilmarnock
10.7
ST Johnstone
10.6
Dundee
10.6
Airdrie United
10.6
ST Mirren
10.5
Dunfermline
10.5
Heart Of Midlothian
10.2
Partick
10.2
Stirling
10.1
Arbroath
10.1
Kelty Hearts
10.0
Brechin
10.0
Clyde
9.9
Annan Athletic
9.9
East Fife
9.8
Cove Rangers
9.7
Forfar
9.5
Elgin
9.5
Stenhousemuir
9.4
Edinburgh City
9.2
Montrose
9.2
Stranraer
9.1
Spartans
9.1
Livingston
9.0
Inverness CT
8.8
Peterhead
8.8

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
East Kilbride
6.0
Peterhead
5.2
Hamilton Academical
5.0
Elgin
4.8
Ayr Utd
4.8
Morton
4.7
Aberdeen
4.6
Edinburgh City
4.6
Forfar
4.6
Dundee Utd
4.5
Stirling
4.4
ST Mirren
4.4
Motherwell
4.3
Hibernian
4.2
Falkirk
4.2
Clyde
4.1
Heart Of Midlothian
4.1
East Fife
4.0
Stranraer
4.0
Rangers
4.0
Partick
4.0
ST Johnstone
4.0
Kilmarnock
3.9
Spartans
3.8
Livingston
3.8
Annan Athletic
3.7
Dumbarton
3.7
Montrose
3.7
Dundee
3.7
Stenhousemuir
3.6
Dunfermline
3.6
Celtic
3.6
Brechin
3.5
Airdrie United
3.5
Inverness CT
3.3
Kelty Hearts
3.3
Ross County
3.3
Arbroath
3.2
Raith Rovers
3.0
Cove Rangers
2.9

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
East Kilbride
28.3
Forfar
25.0
Peterhead
24.6
Elgin
24.3
Edinburgh City
24.0
Livingston
23.7
Aberdeen
23.5
East Fife
23.2
Clyde
22.4
Falkirk
22.3
Motherwell
22.3
Morton
22.2
Stenhousemuir
22.1
Kilmarnock
22.0
Spartans
22.0
ST Johnstone
22.0
Heart Of Midlothian
22.0
Stirling
21.9
Rangers
21.5
Inverness CT
21.3
ST Mirren
21.2
Dundee Utd
21.2
Ross County
20.7
Airdrie United
20.4
Brechin
20.4
Stranraer
20.3
Annan Athletic
20.2
Montrose
20.2
Dunfermline
19.9
Partick
19.9
Arbroath
19.9
Hibernian
19.8
Dundee
19.7
Kelty Hearts
19.6
Dumbarton
19.4
Cove Rangers
19.3
Celtic
18.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
47.5%
Under 9.5
52.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
34.5%
Under 3.5
65.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
62.7%
Under 21.5
37.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Kilmarnock or Draw✓ Hit
72.3%
Avg Implied -
45%
28%
28%
covers Kilmarnock + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock or Dundee Utd✓ Hit
72.3%
Avg Implied -
45%
28%
28%
covers Kilmarnock + Dundee Utd
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Dundee Utd✗ Miss
55.4%
Avg Implied -
45%
28%
28%
covers Draw + Dundee Utd
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Kilmarnock over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
78.5%
Under
21.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
45.5%
Under
54.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
20.1%
Under
79.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.1%
Under
92.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
69.0%
Under
31.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
32.7%
Under
67.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
11.4%
Under
88.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.1%
Under
96.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Kilmarnock, so a minus line means Kilmarnock give that many goals of a start and Dundee Utd receive them. At -1, Kilmarnock must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Kilmarnock win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Kilmarnock)Actual: Dundee Utd
Kilmarnock -2
9.3%
Draw -2
13.8%
Dundee Utd +2
76.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Kilmarnock)Actual: Draw
Kilmarnock -1
23.1%
Draw -1
21.5%
Dundee Utd +1
55.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Kilmarnock)Actual: Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock +1
72.3%
Draw +1
16.1%
Dundee Utd -1
11.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Kilmarnock)Actual: Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock +2
88.3%
Draw +2
8.0%
Dundee Utd -2
3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

KilmarnockKilmarnock

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W10W00D00D10W00D30W20W12LH·ROS26/04A·ST 03/05H·DUN10/05A·MOT14/05H·HEA18/05H·LIV16/07A·KEL22/07H·EAS26/07H·LIV02/08A·HIB10/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.530.940.120.291.00
vs Stronger (10)0.601.200.750.500.501.67
vs Similar (20)0.650.201.000.000.120.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundee Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dundee UtdDundee Utd

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L01L11D01L00D00D10W12L21W20WA·HIB03/05H·ST 10/05A·RAN14/05H·ABE17/05H·UNA24/07A·UNA31/07A·FAL03/08A·RAP07/08H·HEA10/08H·RAP14/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.800.640.790.380.81
vs Stronger (8)0.621.250.751.000.501.50
vs Similar (22)0.450.640.600.700.330.58
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kilmarnock over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

KilmarnockKilmarnock

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W22D03L01L00D00D10W02L10WH·ROS26/04A·ST 03/05H·DUN10/05A·MOT14/05H·HEA18/05H·LIV16/07A·KEL22/07H·EAS26/07H·LIV02/08A·HIB10/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.900.810.620.501.21
vs Stronger (10)0.401.300.251.000.501.50
vs Similar (20)0.800.701.000.500.501.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundee Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dundee UtdDundee Utd

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L02L20W10W10W12L10W02L02LA·HIB03/05H·ST 10/05A·RAN14/05H·ABE17/05H·UNA24/07A·UNA31/07A·FAL03/08A·RAP07/08H·HEA10/08H·RAP14/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.830.360.930.810.75
vs Stronger (8)0.121.250.001.500.251.00
vs Similar (22)0.770.680.500.701.000.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kilmarnock over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.597.9%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals96.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.594.2%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals92.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards92.0%-------✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals88.6%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap88.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.586.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards82.1%-------✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals79.9%-------✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals78.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls77.5%--------
Away +2 handicap76.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.576.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners75.5%--------
Home or Away72.3%-------✓ Hit
Home or Draw72.3%-------✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap72.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.571.2%-------✓ Hit

ðŸŽ― 13. Player market rates

Kilmarnock
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Joe Hugill40%
Tyreece John-Jules33%
Djenairo Daniels29%
Findlay Curtis29%
Nicky Cleșcenco20%
Greg Kiltie12%
Bruce Anderson11%
Michael SchjÃļnning-Larsen11%
George Stanger10%
David Watson9%
Scott Tiffoney8%
Marcus Dackers8%
Marley Watkins7%
Ben Brannan6%
Robbie Deas6%
Tom Lowery5%
Liam Polworth3%
Bradley Lyons3%
Kelle Roos0%
Max Stryjek0%
Aaron Tshibola0%
Rory McKenzie0%
Jamie Brandon0%
Kyle Magennis0%
James Brown0%
Jack Thomson0%
Lewis Mayo0%
Dominic Thompson0%
Eddie Beach0%
Zac Williams0%
Toby Oluwayemi0%
Ethan Brown0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kyle Magennis33%
Robbie Deas33%
George Stanger30%
Bradley Lyons29%
Djenairo Daniels29%
David Watson24%
Aaron Tshibola21%
Joe Hugill20%
Jamie Brandon17%
Marcus Dackers17%
Dominic Thompson16%
Tom Lowery14%
James Brown13%
Jack Thomson12%
Lewis Mayo12%
Greg Kiltie12%
Ben Brannan12%
Liam Polworth10%
Bruce Anderson9%
Findlay Curtis7%
Tyreece John-Jules6%
Michael SchjÃļnning-Larsen6%
Ethan Brown6%
Kelle Roos0%
Marley Watkins0%
Max Stryjek0%
Rory McKenzie0%
Scott Tiffoney0%
Nicky Cleșcenco0%
Eddie Beach0%
Zac Williams0%
Toby Oluwayemi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Greg Kiltie21%
James Brown13%
Joe Hugill13%
Tyreece John-Jules11%
Scott Tiffoney8%
Marley Watkins7%
Findlay Curtis7%
Bruce Anderson6%
Michael SchjÃļnning-Larsen6%
Robbie Deas6%
Dominic Thompson5%
Tom Lowery5%
Liam Polworth3%
Bradley Lyons3%
David Watson3%
Kelle Roos0%
Max Stryjek0%
Aaron Tshibola0%
Rory McKenzie0%
Jamie Brandon0%
George Stanger0%
Kyle Magennis0%
Jack Thomson0%
Lewis Mayo0%
Nicky Cleșcenco0%
Djenairo Daniels0%
Marcus Dackers0%
Eddie Beach0%
Zac Williams0%
Toby Oluwayemi0%
Ethan Brown0%
Ben Brannan0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Findlay Curtis43%
Tyreece John-Jules22%
Joe Hugill20%
Djenairo Daniels14%
Marcus Dackers12%
David Watson6%
Bruce Anderson6%
Greg Kiltie3%
Tom Lowery0%
Kelle Roos0%
Marley Watkins0%
Max Stryjek0%
Aaron Tshibola0%
Rory McKenzie0%
Jamie Brandon0%
Scott Tiffoney0%
George Stanger0%
Bradley Lyons0%
Kyle Magennis0%
Liam Polworth0%
Michael SchjÃļnning-Larsen0%
James Brown0%
Jack Thomson0%
Lewis Mayo0%
Dominic Thompson0%
Robbie Deas0%
Nicky Cleșcenco0%
Eddie Beach0%
Zac Williams0%
Toby Oluwayemi0%
Ethan Brown0%
Ben Brannan0%
Dundee Utd
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Amar Fatah26%
Zachary Sapsford25%
Max Watters15%
Craig Sibbald14%
Luca Stephenson14%
Ivan Dolček13%
Ross Graham10%
Emmanuel Agyei9%
William Ferry9%
KrisztiÃĄn Keresztes8%
Julius Eskesen7%
Kristijan Trapanovski6%
Ryan Strain5%
Bert Esselink4%
Vicko Å evelj0%
Dave Richards0%
Panutche CamarÃĄ0%
Ashley Maynard Brewer0%
Johnny Russell0%
Neil Farrugia0%
Yevhenii Kucherenko0%
Kai Fotheringham0%
Nikolaj MÃķller0%
Iurie Iovu0%
Dario Naamo0%
Miller Thomson0%
Sam Cleall-Harding0%
Owen Stirton0%
Scott Constable0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Iurie Iovu34%
Scott Constable33%
Ryan Strain30%
Emmanuel Agyei27%
Sam Cleall-Harding25%
Luca Stephenson24%
Neil Farrugia23%
KrisztiÃĄn Keresztes22%
Nikolaj MÃķller21%
Vicko Å evelj20%
Bert Esselink17%
Panutche CamarÃĄ13%
Kristijan Trapanovski11%
Craig Sibbald10%
Ivan Dolček10%
Zachary Sapsford10%
Amar Fatah10%
Ross Graham10%
William Ferry9%
Julius Eskesen7%
Yevhenii Kucherenko7%
Dave Richards6%
Dario Naamo5%
Max Watters4%
Ashley Maynard Brewer0%
Johnny Russell0%
Kai Fotheringham0%
Miller Thomson0%
Owen Stirton0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
William Ferry20%
Luca Stephenson17%
Max Watters12%
Nikolaj MÃķller11%
Ivan Dolček10%
Amar Fatah10%
Emmanuel Agyei9%
Vicko Å evelj9%
Zachary Sapsford8%
Panutche CamarÃĄ6%
Kristijan Trapanovski6%
Ryan Strain0%
Julius Eskesen0%
Dave Richards0%
Ashley Maynard Brewer0%
Craig Sibbald0%
Ross Graham0%
Johnny Russell0%
Neil Farrugia0%
KrisztiÃĄn Keresztes0%
Yevhenii Kucherenko0%
Kai Fotheringham0%
Bert Esselink0%
Iurie Iovu0%
Dario Naamo0%
Miller Thomson0%
Sam Cleall-Harding0%
Owen Stirton0%
Scott Constable0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Max Watters23%
Amar Fatah19%
Zachary Sapsford15%
Vicko Å evelj11%
Nikolaj MÃķller11%
Emmanuel Agyei9%
Bert Esselink9%
Owen Stirton8%
Ivan Dolček7%
William Ferry6%
KrisztiÃĄn Keresztes5%
Dario Naamo5%
Ross Graham5%
Luca Stephenson3%
Ryan Strain0%
Julius Eskesen0%
Dave Richards0%
Panutche CamarÃĄ0%
Ashley Maynard Brewer0%
Craig Sibbald0%
Johnny Russell0%
Neil Farrugia0%
Kristijan Trapanovski0%
Yevhenii Kucherenko0%
Kai Fotheringham0%
Iurie Iovu0%
Miller Thomson0%
Sam Cleall-Harding0%
Scott Constable0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RR (18)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
KH (4)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
HA (5)
€0m
AA (2)
€0m
EK (4)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
Kilmarnock's squad is €4m less valuable than Dundee Utd's (€7m vs €11m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
EK (3)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
HA (1)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
RC (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Kilmarnock and Dundee Utd have a similar attack value (both €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
RC (3)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
EK (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Kilmarnock's midfield is €1m less valuable than Dundee Utd's (€2m vs €3m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (13)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EK (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
Kilmarnock's defence is €2m less valuable than Dundee Utd's (€3m vs €4m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
KIL wins
3
Draws
1
DU wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd · H/A from KIL
DateH/AGameScore
01/02/25HKIL Vs Dundee Utd1-0
07/12/24ADundee Utd Vs KIL1-1
28/09/24HKIL Vs Dundee Utd3-3
24/05/23ADundee Utd Vs KIL0-3
01/02/23HKIL Vs Dundee Utd1-0
09/11/22ADundee Utd Vs KIL4-0
30/07/22HKIL Vs Dundee Utd1-1
21/04/21HKIL Vs Dundee Utd3-0

KilmarnockKilmarnock

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/08/25AHibernian Vs KIL2-2
02/08/25HKIL Vs Livingston2-2
26/07/25HKIL Vs East Fife4-0
22/07/25AKelty Hearts Vs KIL0-0
16/07/25HKIL Vs Livingston1-0
18/05/25HKIL Vs Heart Of Midlothian0-1
14/05/25AMotherwell Vs KIL3-0
10/05/25HKIL Vs Dundee3-2
03/05/25AST Johnstone Vs KIL0-2
26/04/25HKIL Vs Ross County2-0

Dundee UtdDundee Utd

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/08/25HDU Vs Rapid Vienna2-2
10/08/25HDU Vs Heart Of Midlothian2-3
07/08/25ARapid Vienna Vs DU2-2
03/08/25AFalkirk Vs DU2-2
31/07/25AUNA Strassen Vs DU0-1
24/07/25HDU Vs UNA Strassen1-0
17/05/25HDU Vs Aberdeen2-1
14/05/25ARangers Vs DU3-1
10/05/25HDU Vs ST Mirren0-2
03/05/25AHibernian Vs DU3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
Scotland: League Cup
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWDD1.18
HomeWLWWD1.71
AwayLWLDD0.69
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%46%15%
AVG goals2.702.582.81
Over 1.5 %70%71%69%
Over 2.5 %44%38%50%
Over 3.5 %34%33%35%
Scored1.181.540.85
Conceded1.521.041.96
BTTS44%42%46%
Clean Sheet28%42%15%
Corners10.589.6211.50
Cards3.983.774.18
Dundee Utd
Dundee Utd
Scotland: League Cup
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDLD1.48
HomeLWWLD1.60
AwayLLWDD1.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%48%36%
AVG goals2.722.682.76
Over 1.5 %66%68%64%
Over 2.5 %50%52%48%
Over 3.5 %32%32%32%
Scored1.341.361.32
Conceded1.381.321.44
BTTS50%44%56%
Clean Sheet32%40%24%
Corners10.8810.5711.19
Cards4.334.953.70

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CelticCeltic3882
68%
2.2
7341+32
3.0
82%
68%
42%
10.6
61%
4.1
55%
21.8
37%
116
5620411.91.1
66%
2Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian3880
63%
2.1
6734+33
2.7
71%
53%
29%
10.1
63%
4.7
63%
24.3
61%
22
12461.80.9
53%
3RangersRangers3872
53%
1.9
7643+33
3.1
82%
61%
37%
10.6
63%
4.2
58%
25.5
76%
136
3844542.01.1
58%
4MotherwellMotherwell3861
42%
1.6
5936+23
2.5
76%
39%
29%
8.1
32%
4.9
71%
26.3
79%
16
10151.60.9
58%
5HibernianHibernian3857
39%
1.5
5844+14
2.7
76%
55%
29%
10.6
68%
4.4
61%
23.2
66%
20
7851.51.2
47%
6FalkirkFalkirk3849
37%
1.3
5062-12
2.9
74%
58%
34%
9.6
53%
4.2
63%
25.3
76%
6
2131.31.6
51%
7Dundee UtdDundee Utd3845
26%
1.2
4960-11
2.9
89%
50%
34%
10.0
55%
4.2
61%
22.8
53%
11
4341.31.6
42%
8DundeeDundee3842
29%
1.1
4261-19
2.7
71%
58%
34%
9.5
61%
3.7
51%
22.9
55%
5
1221.11.6
44%
9AberdeenAberdeen3840
29%
1.1
4055-15
2.5
74%
34%
24%
10.0
58%
4.9
69%
26.4
95%
15
4471.11.4
48%
10KilmarnockKilmarnock3840
26%
1.1
5068-18
3.1
84%
66%
42%
9.7
53%
4.5
71%
25.0
74%
7
3231.31.8
42%
11ST MirrenST Mirren4038
22%
0.9
3256-24
2.2
68%
30%
15%
11.1
71%
3.3
38%
22.3
58%
8
1330.81.4
46%
12LivingstonLivingston3821
5%
0.6
4075-35
3.0
84%
63%
39%
10.4
58%
4.2
65%
25.2
71%
4
1111.12.0
45%
13PartickPartick45
25%
1.2
44+0
2.0
75%
25%
0%
-
0%
3.5
50%
-
0%
3
1111.01.0
-
14DunfermlineDunfermline45
25%
1.2
33+0
1.5
50%
25%
0%
9.0
50%
6.0
100%
22.5
100%
4
2020.80.8
50%
15ArbroathArbroath21
0%
0.5
01-1
0.5
0%
0%
0%
9.0
50%
6.0
100%
22.5
100%
1
0000.00.5
50%
Scotland: Premiership 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →

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