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Kilmarnock vs Heart Of Midlothian Prediction & Stats

Date: 19/09/2026
Time: 16:45
Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
Vs
24%
24%
52%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Heart Of Midlothian
Heart Of Midlothian
Scotland: Premiership
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Heart Of Midlothian are the clear favourites to win, with the model assigning a 47 % chance to an away triumph, 28 % to a Kilmarnock victory and 25 % to a draw. The expected total of 3.1 goals suggests a lively contest, yet the most probable total is two goals, with a 23 % likelihood. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 11.6 % probability, reflecting the balanced nature of the match.

Kilmarnock, playing at home against a stronger side, have averaged 1.33 goals scored and 2.67 conceded, while Hearts, on the road against a weaker opponent, have managed 0.75 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. These figures underline the defensive frailties of the hosts and the modest attack of the visitors.

The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (98.6 %), Under 6.5 (96.1 %), Home under 3.5 goals (95.4 %), Under 5.5 (90.5 %), Away under 3.5 goals (89.4 %), Away +2 handicap (87.6 %), Over 19.5 fouls (85.3 %), and Home under 2.5 goals (85.1 %). All probabilities are expressed as percentages, and every pick is listed with its corresponding figure.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kilmarnock win
23.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
24.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian win
52.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

KilmarnockKilmarnock

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-541W00D10W10W00D34L15L32W04L01LA·LIV17/05H·RAI14/07A·ELG18/07H·HAM21/07A·PET25/07A·ST 02/08H·CEL09/08H·AYR14/08H·DUN29/08H·ST 02/09
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.771.691.621.141.93
vs Stronger (6)1.003.171.252.750.504.00
vs Similar (23)1.571.481.911.361.251.58
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Heart Of Midlothian) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-602L12L16L40W11D62W22D11D21W31WH·STU28/07A·ABE01/08A·BEN06/08H·DUN09/08H·BEN13/08H·INV16/08H·RAP20/08A·RAP26/08H·ST 29/08A·HIB03/09
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.701.201.940.761.381.77
vs Stronger (7)1.292.711.251.501.334.33
vs Similar (14)1.930.712.000.501.831.00
vs Weaker (9)1.670.782.400.600.751.00
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
83.3%
Under 1.5
16.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
61.0%
Under 2.5
39.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
38.7%
Under 3.5
61.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
61.6%
No
38.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.2%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
7.8%
0-1
7.2%
2-1
6.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-2
6.0%
0-0
5.3%
Kilmarnock goals ↓
Heart Of Midlothian goals →
01234
05.3%7.2%7.8%5.0%2.4%
14.3%11%9.7%6.2%3.0%
23.3%6.3%6.0%3.8%1.8%
31.4%2.6%2.5%1.6%0.8%
40.4%0.8%0.8%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kilmarnock goals (down), columns = Heart Of Midlothian goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Celtic
2.16
Heart Of Midlothian
2.11
Rangers
1.89
Motherwell
1.61
Hibernian
1.50
Falkirk
1.29
Dundee Utd
1.18
Dundee
1.11
Kilmarnock
1.05
Aberdeen
1.05
ST Johnstone
1.05
ST Mirren
0.95
Kilmarnock is 1.05 points worse than Heart Of Midlothian in terms of average points per game (1.05 vs 2.11).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Rangers
2.00
Celtic
1.92
Heart Of Midlothian
1.76
Motherwell
1.55
Hibernian
1.53
Kilmarnock
1.32
Falkirk
1.32
Dundee Utd
1.29
Dundee
1.11
Aberdeen
1.05
ST Johnstone
1.00
ST Mirren
0.80
Kilmarnock is 0.45 goals worse than Heart Of Midlothian in terms of goals scored per game (1.32 vs 1.76).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Heart Of Midlothian
0.89
Motherwell
0.95
Celtic
1.08
Rangers
1.13
Hibernian
1.16
ST Mirren
1.40
Aberdeen
1.45
ST Johnstone
1.56
Dundee Utd
1.58
Dundee
1.61
Falkirk
1.63
Kilmarnock
1.79
Kilmarnock is 0.89 goals worse than Heart Of Midlothian in terms of goals conceded per game (1.79 vs 0.89).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Celtic
66%
Rangers
58%
Motherwell
58%
Heart Of Midlothian
53%
Falkirk
51%
Aberdeen
48%
Hibernian
47%
ST Mirren
46%
Dundee
44%
Kilmarnock
42%
Dundee Utd
42%
Kilmarnock is 10.9 percentage points worse than Heart Of Midlothian in terms of average possession (42% vs 53%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

KilmarnockKilmarnock

For 4.4 · Against 4.2 · Total 8.6

🚩 Corners

120733557365163166241481081296978512H·ST H·DUNH·CELA·ST A·PETH·HAMA·LIVH·DUNA·ST H·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.3

🟨 Cards

70223312211121431314614213741H·ST H·DUNH·CELA·ST A·PETH·HAMA·LIVH·DUNA·ST H·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 10.6 · Total 21.8

⚠️ Fouls

31012131112121013612125410101318111113102523221924920312223H·ST H·DUNH·CELA·ST A·PETH·HAMA·LIVH·DUNA·ST H·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian

For 6.0 · Against 5.7 · Total 11.7

🚩 Corners

19087846134572266482695515121999810101510A·HIBH·ST A·RAPH·RAPH·DUNA·BENA·ABEH·STUA·CELH·FAL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.9

🟨 Cards

904631312423213613314943651944A·HIBA·RAPH·RAPH·DUNA·BENA·ABEH·STUA·CELH·FALA·MOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 14.2 · Total 25.3

⚠️ Fouls

38091611141820817111112121710101591061725253825222427251923A·HIBH·ST A·RAPH·RAPH·DUNA·BENA·ABEH·STUA·CELH·FAL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

KilmarnockKilmarnock

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.69.49.83.83.93.624.325.123.4
vs Stronger (13)11.210.711.83.64.13.021.823.719.2
vs Similar (36)9.08.79.23.94.03.825.927.024.9
vs Weaker (1)9.09.0-1.01.0-9.09.0-
% over line50%45%55%60%63%57%71%82%60%
% under line50%55%45%40%37%43%29%18%40%
This opponent (Heart Of Midlothian) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.410.110.64.03.24.824.423.425.4
vs Stronger (11)10.410.410.44.63.75.823.824.623.0
vs Similar (23)10.410.210.64.33.75.125.124.126.2
vs Weaker (16)10.49.810.92.92.03.923.721.225.9
% over line64%64%64%54%35%75%66%59%73%
% under line36%36%36%46%65%25%34%41%27%
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
ST Mirren
11.1
Celtic
11.0
Dundee Utd
10.5
Hibernian
10.5
Aberdeen
10.4
Heart Of Midlothian
10.3
Rangers
10.1
ST Johnstone
10.1
Dundee
9.7
Falkirk
9.6
Kilmarnock
9.5
Motherwell
8.3

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Aberdeen
4.7
Motherwell
4.7
Hibernian
4.6
Heart Of Midlothian
4.6
Rangers
4.3
Kilmarnock
4.2
Falkirk
4.2
Dundee Utd
4.1
ST Johnstone
4.0
Celtic
3.8
Dundee
3.7
ST Mirren
3.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Rangers
26.7
Motherwell
25.9
Aberdeen
25.6
Falkirk
25.4
Heart Of Midlothian
24.6
Kilmarnock
24.2
Hibernian
23.2
ST Mirren
22.2
ST Johnstone
22.2
Dundee
21.9
Dundee Utd
21.9
Celtic
21.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
56.5%
Under 9.5
43.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
68.4%
Under 3.5
31.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
75.6%
Under 21.5
24.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Kilmarnock or Draw
48.0%
Avg Implied -
24%
24%
52%
covers Kilmarnock + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock or Heart Of Midlothian
75.7%
Avg Implied -
24%
24%
52%
covers Kilmarnock + Heart Of Midlothian
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Heart Of Midlothian
76.3%
Avg Implied -
24%
24%
52%
covers Draw + Heart Of Midlothian
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Kilmarnock over/under 0.5
Over
71.1%
Under
28.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 1.5
Over
35.2%
Under
64.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 2.5
Over
13.0%
Under
87.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 3.5
Over
3.7%
Under
96.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 0.5
Over
85.2%
Under
14.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 1.5
Over
57.0%
Under
43.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 2.5
Over
30.0%
Under
70.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 3.5
Over
12.7%
Under
87.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Kilmarnock, so a minus line means Kilmarnock give that many goals of a start and Heart Of Midlothian receive them. At -1, Kilmarnock must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Kilmarnock win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Kilmarnock)
Kilmarnock -2
3.2%
Draw -2
6.8%
Heart Of Midlothian +2
90.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Kilmarnock)
Kilmarnock -1
10.0%
Draw -1
13.6%
Heart Of Midlothian +1
76.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Kilmarnock)
Kilmarnock +1
48.0%
Draw +1
21.5%
Heart Of Midlothian -1
30.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Kilmarnock)
Kilmarnock +2
69.5%
Draw +2
16.1%
Heart Of Midlothian -2
14.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

KilmarnockKilmarnock

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W00D00D00D00D11D03L11D03L01LA·LIV17/05H·RAI14/07A·ELG18/07H·HAM21/07A·PET25/07A·ST 02/08H·CEL09/08H·AYR14/08H·DUN29/08H·ST 02/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.770.810.690.430.86
vs Stronger (6)0.501.170.751.000.001.50
vs Similar (23)0.700.700.910.640.500.75
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Heart Of Midlothian) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W03L20W00D10W01L01L20W20WH·STU28/07A·ABE01/08A·BEN06/08H·DUN09/08H·BEN13/08H·INV16/08H·RAP20/08A·RAP26/08H·ST 29/08A·HIB03/09
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.470.590.180.850.85
vs Stronger (7)0.431.140.000.501.002.00
vs Similar (14)0.860.290.750.121.000.50
vs Weaker (9)0.670.220.800.000.500.50
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kilmarnock over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

KilmarnockKilmarnock

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W00D10W10W00D23L12L21W01L00DA·LIV17/05H·RAI14/07A·ELG18/07H·HAM21/07A·PET25/07A·ST 02/08H·CEL09/08H·AYR14/08H·DUN29/08H·ST 02/09
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.801.000.880.940.711.07
vs Stronger (6)0.502.000.501.750.502.50
vs Similar (23)0.870.781.000.730.750.83
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Heart Of Midlothian) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L02L13L20W11D52W21W10W01L11DH·STU28/07A·ABE01/08A·BEN06/08H·DUN09/08H·BEN13/08H·INV16/08H·RAP20/08A·RAP26/08H·ST 29/08A·HIB03/09
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.731.350.590.540.92
vs Stronger (7)0.861.571.251.000.332.33
vs Similar (14)1.070.431.250.380.830.50
vs Weaker (9)1.000.561.600.600.250.50
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kilmarnock over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.598.4%-------
Home under 3.5 goals96.3%-------
Under 6.595.8%-------
Under 5.590.0%-------
Away +2 handicap90.0%-------
Away under 3.5 goals87.3%-------
Home under 2.5 goals87.0%-------
Over 19.5 fouls86.8%-------
Away over 0.5 goals85.2%-------
Over 2.5 cards84.3%-------
Over 1.583.3%-------
Under 4.578.9%-------
Draw or Away76.3%-------
Away +1 handicap76.3%-------
Home or Away75.7%-------
Over 21.5 fouls75.6%-------
Home over 0.5 goals71.1%-------
Away under 2.5 goals70.0%-------

🎽 13. Player market rates

Kilmarnock
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Greg Kiltie25%
M. Schjønning-Larsen25%
Joe Hugill25%
Tyreece John-Jules0%
Mark O'Hara0%
Tom Lowery0%
M. Stryjek0%
A. Tshibola0%
J. Brandon0%
G. Stanger0%
E. Ring0%
B. Rice0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Joe Hugill50%
B. Rice50%
Tyreece John-Jules25%
J. Brandon25%
Greg Kiltie25%
Mark O'Hara0%
Tom Lowery0%
M. Stryjek0%
A. Tshibola0%
G. Stanger0%
M. Schjønning-Larsen0%
E. Ring0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tom Lowery50%
Tyreece John-Jules0%
Mark O'Hara0%
M. Stryjek0%
A. Tshibola0%
J. Brandon0%
G. Stanger0%
Greg Kiltie0%
M. Schjønning-Larsen0%
E. Ring0%
Joe Hugill0%
B. Rice0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Joe Hugill25%
Tyreece John-Jules0%
Mark O'Hara0%
Tom Lowery0%
M. Stryjek0%
A. Tshibola0%
J. Brandon0%
G. Stanger0%
Greg Kiltie0%
M. Schjønning-Larsen0%
E. Ring0%
B. Rice0%
Heart Of Midlothian
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
J. Wilson60%
Josh McPake40%
C. Miller29%
Tom Renaud25%
L. Mendy25%
P. Kabore17%
O. McEntee14%
Cláudio Braga14%
Tomas Magnusson0%
B. Reus0%
Stuart Findlay0%
J. McCart0%
B. Spittal0%
Christian Borchgrevink0%
H. Milne0%
Amadou Ba-Sy0%
S. Guendouz0%
Rogers Mato0%
Jordi Altena0%
S. Kerjota0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
H. Milne33%
Amadou Ba-Sy33%
P. Kabore33%
Tomas Magnusson17%
O. McEntee14%
Cláudio Braga14%
Jordi Altena14%
B. Reus0%
Stuart Findlay0%
J. McCart0%
C. Miller0%
B. Spittal0%
Christian Borchgrevink0%
Josh McPake0%
Tom Renaud0%
S. Guendouz0%
Rogers Mato0%
J. Wilson0%
S. Kerjota0%
L. Mendy0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Josh McPake40%
Rogers Mato33%
B. Spittal29%
Cláudio Braga29%
S. Kerjota20%
J. McCart17%
Tomas Magnusson0%
B. Reus0%
Stuart Findlay0%
C. Miller0%
Christian Borchgrevink0%
Tom Renaud0%
H. Milne0%
O. McEntee0%
Amadou Ba-Sy0%
S. Guendouz0%
P. Kabore0%
J. Wilson0%
Jordi Altena0%
L. Mendy0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Cláudio Braga57%
L. Mendy25%
Tomas Magnusson0%
B. Reus0%
Stuart Findlay0%
J. McCart0%
C. Miller0%
B. Spittal0%
Christian Borchgrevink0%
Josh McPake0%
Tom Renaud0%
H. Milne0%
O. McEntee0%
Amadou Ba-Sy0%
S. Guendouz0%
P. Kabore0%
Rogers Mato0%
J. Wilson0%
Jordi Altena0%
S. Kerjota0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
Kilmarnock's squad is €15m less valuable than Heart Of Midlothian's (€7m vs €22m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
FAL (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
Kilmarnock's attack is €10m less valuable than Heart Of Midlothian's (€3m vs €12m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
Kilmarnock's midfield is €2m less valuable than Heart Of Midlothian's (€2m vs €4m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
Kilmarnock's defence is €3m less valuable than Heart Of Midlothian's (€3m vs €6m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
KIL wins
2
Draws
3
HOM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Kilmarnock vs Heart Of Midlothian · H/A from KIL
DateH/AGameScore
14/03/26HKIL Vs Heart Of Midlothian1-0
03/12/25AHeart Of Midlothian Vs KIL1-1
18/10/25HKIL Vs Heart Of Midlothian0-3
18/05/25HKIL Vs Heart Of Midlothian0-1
25/01/25AHeart Of Midlothian Vs KIL3-2
15/12/24HKIL Vs Heart Of Midlothian1-0
30/10/24AHeart Of Midlothian Vs KIL1-2
27/04/24HKIL Vs Heart Of Midlothian0-0

KilmarnockKilmarnock

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/09/26HKIL Vs ST Mirren0-1
29/08/26HKIL Vs Dundee Utd0-4
14/08/26HKIL Vs Ayr Utd3-2
09/08/26HKIL Vs Celtic1-5
02/08/26AST Johnstone Vs KIL4-3
25/07/26APeterhead Vs KIL0-0
21/07/26HKIL Vs Hamilton Academical1-0
18/07/26AElgin Vs KIL0-1
14/07/26HKIL Vs Raith Rovers0-0
17/05/26ALivingston Vs KIL1-4

Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/09/26AHibernian Vs HOM1-3
29/08/26HHOM Vs ST Johnstone2-1
26/08/26ARapid Vienna Vs HOM1-1
20/08/26HHOM Vs Rapid Vienna2-2
16/08/26HHOM Vs Inverness CT6-2
13/08/26HHOM Vs Benfica1-1
09/08/26HHOM Vs Dundee Utd4-0
06/08/26ABenfica Vs HOM6-1
01/08/26AAberdeen Vs HOM2-1
28/07/26HHOM Vs Sturm Graz0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
Scotland: Premiership
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLL1.10
HomeWLWLL1.29
AwayWWWDL0.86
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%36%18%
AVG goals3.062.963.18
Over 1.5 %78%75%82%
Over 2.5 %64%64%64%
Over 3.5 %42%39%45%
Scored1.281.361.18
Conceded1.781.612.00
BTTS54%50%59%
Clean Sheet26%29%23%
Corners9.599.309.90
Cards4.414.724.05
Heart Of Midlothian
Heart Of Midlothian
Scotland: Premiership
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDWW1.94
HomeWDWDW2.35
AwayLLLDW1.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%69%42%
AVG goals2.882.812.96
Over 1.5 %78%77%79%
Over 2.5 %54%50%58%
Over 3.5 %32%31%33%
Scored1.802.041.54
Conceded1.080.771.42
BTTS56%50%62%
Clean Sheet36%46%25%
Corners10.309.9610.65
Cards4.703.955.38

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CelticCeltic412
100%
3.0
112+9
3.2
75%
75%
25%
13.5
75%
2.5
25%
19.0
25%
116
5620412.80.5
66%
2ST MirrenST Mirren410
75%
2.5
73+4
2.5
50%
25%
25%
11.2
75%
3.8
75%
26.5
75%
8
1331.80.8
46%
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian49
75%
2.2
104+6
3.5
100%
100%
50%
11.5
75%
4.0
67%
24.8
100%
22
12462.51.0
53%
4MotherwellMotherwell48
50%
2.0
84+4
3.0
75%
75%
25%
10.2
75%
3.5
75%
25.0
75%
16
10152.01.0
58%
5DundeeDundee57
40%
1.4
64+2
2.0
80%
20%
0%
9.6
40%
3.4
40%
22.2
60%
5
1221.20.8
44%
6RangersRangers47
50%
1.8
54+1
2.2
75%
50%
0%
12.0
100%
4.5
50%
29.8
100%
136
3844541.21.0
58%
7HibernianHibernian46
50%
1.5
67-1
3.2
100%
100%
25%
11.0
75%
3.0
50%
24.5
100%
20
7851.51.8
47%
8ST JohnstoneST Johnstone44
25%
1.0
67-1
3.2
75%
50%
25%
8.8
25%
3.0
33%
23.2
50%
5
2121.51.8
-
9Dundee UtdDundee Utd54
20%
0.8
510-5
3.0
100%
60%
40%
11.0
60%
4.4
60%
22.2
80%
11
4341.02.0
42%
10AberdeenAberdeen43
25%
0.8
27-5
2.2
75%
50%
0%
12.8
75%
5.0
75%
25.2
50%
15
4470.51.8
48%
11FalkirkFalkirk41
0%
0.2
26-4
2.0
75%
50%
0%
9.5
50%
4.0
75%
29.8
75%
6
2130.51.5
51%
12KilmarnockKilmarnock40
0%
0.0
414-10
4.5
75%
75%
75%
9.8
50%
3.8
75%
22.2
75%
7
3231.03.5
42%
Scotland: Premiership 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →

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