Kilmarnock vs Hibernian Result & Analysis

Kilmarnock are favoured to win, with a 49% chance of taking the match home, 28% for a draw and 23% for Hibernian. The expected total is 2.5 goals, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 13.4%. Kilmarnock, playing at home against a stronger side, average 1.43 goals scored and 1.00 conceded, while Hibernian, on the road against a weaker opponent, average 1.71 goals scored and 1.29 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls (83.2%), Under 5.5 cards (83.0%), Under 3.5 (76.2%), Under 11.5 corners (74.7%), Over 1.5 (72.1%) and Over 21.5 fouls (70.3%). The only selection with a lower probability is Over 2.5 cards at 71.5%. Kilmarnock’s recent form shows a 5-match record of LWLLD after a 0-4 loss to Dundee Utd, while Hibernian come off a 2-1 win over Dundee. The match is likely to be a tight contest, with Kilmarnock’s home advantage and Hibernian’s recent scoring form keeping both sides in the mix.

The model’s prediction proved accurate as Kilmarnock secured a 2-0 win, extending their recent run of results after a heavy defeat. The pre-match favourite, Home win, carried a 49% probability and the outcome matched the model’s call. The suggested selections were largely correct: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 83.2%, Under 5.5 cards hit at 83.0%, Under 3.5 hit at 76.2%, Under 11.5 corners hit at 74.7%, Over 1.5 hit at 72.1%, Over 21.5 fouls hit at 70.3%, while Over 2.5 cards missed at 71.5%. The final score of 2-0 confirmed the home side’s victory.