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Kilmarnock vs Hibernian Result & Analysis

Date: 01/09/2024
Time: 14:00
Final 1-1
Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
Vs
37%
28%
35%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Hibernian
Hibernian
Scotland: Premiership
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

The contest between Kilmarnock and Hibernian feels razor-thin, with the model favouring a home win but the probabilities are almost evenly spread: 37% for Kilmarnock, 28% for a draw, and 35% for Hibernian. The expected total of 2.8 goals suggests a moderately high-scoring game, yet the most likely total is two goals at a 25% chance. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, with a 13.2% probability, a tidy reflection of both sides’ recent form. Kilmarnock, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages one goal scored and two conceded, while Hibernian, on the road against a weaker side, averages 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 25.5 fouls at 82.8%, Under 5.5 cards at 80.7%, Over 1.5 at 77.7%, Over 2.5 cards at 74.1%, Over 8.5 corners at 71.8%, and Under 23.5 fouls at 70.2%. These picks cover the range of expected match dynamics without implying a clear winner.

Results analysis

A shock draw saw Kilmarnock and Hibernian finish 1-1, ending Kilmarnock’s run of five games that had included a heavy defeat to Dundee Utd and a win at home to the same side. The pre-match favourite, a home win, had a 37% probability, but the model’s call was wrong. The model’s other selections were mixed: Under 25.5 fouls (82.8%) missed, Under 5.5 cards (80.7%) hit, Over 1.5 (77.7%) hit, Over 2.5 cards (74.1%) hit, Over 8.5 corners (71.8%) hit and Under 23.5 fouls (70.2%) missed. The match’s total goals matched the most likely score of 1-1, with a 13.2% chance.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kilmarnock win✗ Miss
36.7%
Avg Implied 34.0% · @ 2.77
Edge
+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
27.8%
Avg Implied 28.5% · @ 3.30
Edge
-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Hibernian win✗ Miss
35.5%
Avg Implied 37.5% · @ 2.51
Edge
-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

KilmarnockKilmarnock

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D01L04L22D03L10W00D02L02L11DH·CER25/07A·CER01/08A·CEL04/08H·TRO08/08H·ST 11/08A·TRO15/08A·MOT18/08A·FC 22/08A·ABE25/08H·FC 29/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.431.431.500.811.38
vs Stronger (13)0.852.081.002.000.712.14
vs Similar (17)1.290.941.751.120.890.78
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Hibernian) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HibernianHibernian

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-530W11D50W51W01L40W03L02L13L22DH·MOT15/05A·LIV19/05A·ELG13/07H·QUE16/07A·KEL20/07H·PET27/07A·ST 04/08H·CEL11/08A·CEL18/08H·DUN24/08
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.531.671.531.401.53
vs Stronger (5)0.602.600.332.331.003.00
vs Similar (7)1.291.571.251.751.331.33
vs Weaker (18)1.891.222.381.121.501.30
Clean sheet %20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%7%015%125%222%315%49%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.7%
Under 1.5
22.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
52.6%
@ 1.92+3.4%
Under 2.5
47.4%
@ 1.86-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.4%
Under 3.5
69.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.6%
No
42.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.2%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.2%
1-0
7.5%
0-0
7.4%
0-1
7.3%
2-0
6.1%
0-2
5.9%
Kilmarnock goals ↓
Hibernian goals →
01234
07.4%7.3%5.9%2.7%0.9%
17.5%13%8.2%3.8%1.3%
26.1%8.4%5.8%2.7%0.9%
32.9%3.9%2.7%1.2%0.4%
41.0%1.4%1.0%0.4%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kilmarnock goals (down), columns = Hibernian goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Livingston
2.50
Celtic
2.42
Rangers
1.97
Hibernian
1.53
Ayr Utd
1.50
Aberdeen
1.39
Dundee Utd
1.39
Heart Of Midlothian
1.37
ST Mirren
1.32
Motherwell
1.29
Kilmarnock
1.16
Dundee
1.08
Ross County
0.95
ST Johnstone
0.84
Partick
0.75
Kilmarnock is 0.37 points worse than Hibernian in terms of average points per game (1.16 vs 1.53).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Celtic
2.95
Livingston
2.25
Rangers
2.11
Hibernian
1.63
Dundee
1.50
ST Mirren
1.39
Heart Of Midlothian
1.37
Aberdeen
1.26
Motherwell
1.21
Kilmarnock
1.18
Dundee Utd
1.18
Ross County
1.00
ST Johnstone
1.00
Partick
0.50
Ayr Utd
0.50
Kilmarnock is 0.45 goals worse than Hibernian in terms of goals scored per game (1.18 vs 1.63).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Celtic
0.68
Livingston
0.75
Ayr Utd
1.00
Rangers
1.08
Heart Of Midlothian
1.24
Partick
1.25
Hibernian
1.32
Dundee Utd
1.42
ST Mirren
1.55
Aberdeen
1.61
Motherwell
1.66
Kilmarnock
1.68
Ross County
1.75
ST Johnstone
1.79
Dundee
2.03
Kilmarnock is 0.37 goals worse than Hibernian in terms of goals conceded per game (1.68 vs 1.32).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Celtic
74%
Rangers
63%
Heart Of Midlothian
54%
Aberdeen
53%
ST Johnstone
53%
Hibernian
45%
Dundee
44%
Dundee Utd
44%
Kilmarnock
44%
ST Mirren
42%
Motherwell
42%
Ross County
40%
Kilmarnock is 1.1 percentage points worse than Hibernian in terms of average possession (44% vs 45%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

KilmarnockKilmarnock

For 3.0 · Against 9.1 · Total 12.1

🚩 Corners

170111684123944110342958116121416128117111317H·FC A·ABEA·FC A·TROH·ST A·CELA·DUNH·CELA·ST A·RAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 1.5 · Total 4.2

🟨 Cards

10011133351642211141224661023252H·FC A·ABEA·FC A·TROH·ST A·CELA·CERH·CERA·DUNH·CEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 10.2 · Total 21.5

⚠️ Fouls

280151112141191171414117107712131091126262018281817192320H·FC A·ABEA·FC A·TROH·ST A·CELA·DUNH·CELA·ST A·RAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

HibernianHibernian

For 7.2 · Against 3.5 · Total 10.7

🚩 Corners

1605435849484835371641339812131211881016H·DUNH·CELA·ST A·LIVH·MOTH·ABEA·ROSA·ST A·MOTH·ST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.2

🟨 Cards

80442113111211142128341231163H·DUNH·CELA·ST A·LIVH·MOTH·ABEA·ROSA·ST A·MOTH·ST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.1 · Against 8.5 · Total 17.6

⚠️ Fouls

2901415111091086651356108111076629211914111816191712H·DUNH·CELA·ST A·LIVH·MOTH·ABEA·ROSA·ST A·MOTH·ST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

KilmarnockKilmarnock

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.210.611.73.83.54.222.723.522.0
vs Stronger (20)12.311.213.24.03.34.721.222.619.9
vs Similar (30)10.310.110.53.73.63.823.924.223.5
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line70%67%74%56%46%65%52%62%43%
% under line30%33%26%44%54%35%48%38%57%
This opponent (Hibernian) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HibernianHibernian

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.210.99.43.73.73.621.221.420.9
vs Stronger (10)10.010.29.82.82.82.820.120.220.0
vs Similar (13)10.510.810.14.54.04.922.220.323.9
vs Weaker (27)10.011.28.83.63.93.321.022.519.3
% over line60%65%55%54%52%56%40%43%36%
% under line40%35%45%46%48%44%60%57%64%
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Celtic
12.1
Heart Of Midlothian
11.5
Rangers
11.4
Kilmarnock
11.3
Ross County
11.2
Motherwell
11.1
Dundee Utd
11.1
Dundee
11.0
Aberdeen
10.7
ST Mirren
10.6
ST Johnstone
10.3
Hibernian
10.3
Partick
10.0
Livingston
9.6

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Heart Of Midlothian
4.4
Kilmarnock
4.2
Dundee
4.2
Rangers
4.1
Aberdeen
4.1
Hibernian
4.1
ST Johnstone
4.0
Dundee Utd
4.0
Motherwell
4.0
Ross County
3.8
Celtic
3.6
Livingston
3.6
Partick
3.5
ST Mirren
3.3

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Aberdeen
24.1
Livingston
23.9
Heart Of Midlothian
22.9
Kilmarnock
22.7
ST Johnstone
22.4
Motherwell
22.1
Rangers
21.9
Ross County
21.9
ST Mirren
21.8
Dundee Utd
21.8
Hibernian
21.4
Dundee
20.3
Partick
19.8
Celtic
19.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
60.0%
Under 9.5
40.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
53.9%
Under 3.5
46.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
45.8%
Under 21.5
54.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

KilmarnockKilmarnock

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L02L10W02L10W00D00D01L10WH·CER25/07A·CER01/08A·CEL04/08H·TRO08/08H·ST 11/08A·TRO15/08A·MOT18/08A·FC 22/08A·ABE25/08H·FC 29/08
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.670.500.570.500.75
vs Stronger (13)0.460.770.670.500.291.00
vs Similar (17)0.530.590.380.620.670.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Hibernian) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HibernianHibernian

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W00D20W30W00D10W00D02L12L11DH·MOT15/05A·LIV19/05A·ELG13/07H·QUE16/07A·KEL20/07H·PET27/07A·ST 04/08H·CEL11/08A·CEL18/08H·DUN24/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.700.800.800.670.60
vs Stronger (5)0.401.800.001.671.002.00
vs Similar (7)0.710.710.750.750.670.67
vs Weaker (18)0.830.391.120.500.600.30
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kilmarnock over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hibernian over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hibernian over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hibernian over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

KilmarnockKilmarnock

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D02L12L01L00D00D02L01L01LH·CER25/07A·CER01/08A·CEL04/08H·TRO08/08H·ST 11/08A·TRO15/08A·MOT18/08A·FC 22/08A·ABE25/08H·FC 29/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.770.930.930.310.62
vs Stronger (13)0.381.310.331.500.431.14
vs Similar (17)0.760.351.380.500.220.22
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Hibernian) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HibernianHibernian

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W11D30W21W01L30W03L00D01L11DH·MOT15/05A·LIV19/05A·ELG13/07H·QUE16/07A·KEL20/07H·PET27/07A·ST 04/08H·CEL11/08A·CEL18/08H·DUN24/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.830.870.730.730.93
vs Stronger (5)0.200.800.330.670.001.00
vs Similar (7)0.570.860.501.000.670.67
vs Weaker (18)1.060.831.250.620.901.00
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kilmarnock over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hibernian over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hibernian over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hibernian over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls82.8%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards80.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.577.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards74.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners71.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls70.2%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Kilmarnock
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Bruce Anderson33%
Marley Watkins15%
Matthew Kennedy14%
Fraser Murray12%
Bobby Wales10%
Danny Armstrong9%
David Watson8%
Kyle Vassell8%
Liam Polworth7%
Joe Wright7%
Innes Cameron5%
Liam Donnelly4%
Bradley Lyons3%
Robbie Deas3%
Corrie Ndaba3%
Kieran O'Hara0%
Jack Burroughs0%
Stuart Findlay0%
Rory McKenzie0%
Gary Mackay-Steven0%
Kyle Magennis0%
Robby McCrorie0%
Lewis Mayo0%
Calvin Ramsay0%
Oliver Bainbridge0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Oliver Bainbridge29%
Danny Armstrong26%
Kyle Magennis25%
Joe Wright23%
Liam Donnelly22%
Matthew Kennedy19%
Bradley Lyons15%
Robbie Deas15%
Corrie Ndaba14%
Fraser Murray12%
Liam Polworth11%
David Watson11%
Marley Watkins9%
Bobby Wales7%
Lewis Mayo5%
Kieran O'Hara5%
Kyle Vassell4%
Bruce Anderson3%
Jack Burroughs0%
Stuart Findlay0%
Rory McKenzie0%
Gary Mackay-Steven0%
Robby McCrorie0%
Innes Cameron0%
Calvin Ramsay0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Danny Armstrong23%
Joe Wright10%
Gary Mackay-Steven9%
Liam Donnelly7%
Bobby Wales7%
Fraser Murray6%
Matthew Kennedy5%
Innes Cameron5%
Kyle Vassell4%
Bruce Anderson3%
Marley Watkins3%
Bradley Lyons3%
Corrie Ndaba3%
David Watson3%
Lewis Mayo3%
Kieran O'Hara0%
Jack Burroughs0%
Stuart Findlay0%
Rory McKenzie0%
Kyle Magennis0%
Liam Polworth0%
Robby McCrorie0%
Robbie Deas0%
Calvin Ramsay0%
Oliver Bainbridge0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bruce Anderson13%
Kyle Vassell12%
Bobby Wales10%
Matthew Kennedy10%
Fraser Murray9%
Bradley Lyons9%
Danny Armstrong6%
Stuart Findlay5%
Joe Wright3%
Marley Watkins3%
Corrie Ndaba3%
David Watson3%
Kieran O'Hara0%
Jack Burroughs0%
Rory McKenzie0%
Gary Mackay-Steven0%
Liam Donnelly0%
Kyle Magennis0%
Liam Polworth0%
Robby McCrorie0%
Innes Cameron0%
Lewis Mayo0%
Robbie Deas0%
Calvin Ramsay0%
Oliver Bainbridge0%
Hibernian
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Martin Boyle36%
Kieron Bowie28%
Mykola Kukharevych24%
Dwight Gayle21%
Nicky Cadden17%
Thody Elie Youan15%
Junior Hoilett14%
Joe Newell12%
Rocky Bushiri Kiranga11%
Dylan Levitt11%
Josh Campbell9%
Nectarios Triantis9%
Jack Iredale4%
Lewis Miller3%
Warren O'Hora3%
Alasana Manneh0%
Jordan Smith0%
Marvin Ekpiteta0%
Christopher Cadden0%
Harry McKirdy0%
Jordan Obita0%
Josef Bursik0%
Hyeok-kyu Kwon0%
Nathan Moriah-Welsh0%
Rudi Allan Molotnikov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Joe Newell38%
Alasana Manneh25%
Nectarios Triantis24%
Jack Iredale21%
Josh Campbell21%
Mykola Kukharevych20%
Martin Boyle19%
Rocky Bushiri Kiranga14%
Jordan Obita14%
Nathan Moriah-Welsh12%
Kieron Bowie11%
Dylan Levitt11%
Hyeok-kyu Kwon10%
Lewis Miller9%
Warren O'Hora9%
Rudi Allan Molotnikov9%
Marvin Ekpiteta8%
Josef Bursik8%
Nicky Cadden7%
Jordan Smith4%
Junior Hoilett4%
Christopher Cadden3%
Dwight Gayle0%
Thody Elie Youan0%
Harry McKirdy0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nicky Cadden24%
Nectarios Triantis18%
Dwight Gayle14%
Jordan Obita14%
Martin Boyle14%
Junior Hoilett11%
Thody Elie Youan8%
Lewis Miller6%
Kieron Bowie6%
Dylan Levitt5%
Rocky Bushiri Kiranga4%
Jack Iredale4%
Christopher Cadden3%
Josh Campbell3%
Alasana Manneh0%
Jordan Smith0%
Marvin Ekpiteta0%
Joe Newell0%
Harry McKirdy0%
Josef Bursik0%
Hyeok-kyu Kwon0%
Warren O'Hora0%
Mykola Kukharevych0%
Nathan Moriah-Welsh0%
Rudi Allan Molotnikov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mykola Kukharevych24%
Thody Elie Youan15%
Martin Boyle14%
Dwight Gayle7%
Nicky Cadden7%
Joe Newell6%
Nectarios Triantis6%
Hyeok-kyu Kwon5%
Lewis Miller3%
Josh Campbell3%
Rocky Bushiri Kiranga0%
Alasana Manneh0%
Jordan Smith0%
Marvin Ekpiteta0%
Junior Hoilett0%
Christopher Cadden0%
Jack Iredale0%
Dylan Levitt0%
Harry McKirdy0%
Jordan Obita0%
Josef Bursik0%
Kieron Bowie0%
Warren O'Hora0%
Nathan Moriah-Welsh0%
Rudi Allan Molotnikov0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
Kilmarnock's squad is €13m less valuable than Hibernian's (€7m vs €20m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RC (1)
€0m
Kilmarnock's attack is €5m less valuable than Hibernian's (€3m vs €7m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
RC (3)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
Kilmarnock's midfield is €6m less valuable than Hibernian's (€2m vs €8m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
Kilmarnock's defence is €2m less valuable than Hibernian's (€3m vs €5m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
KIL wins
2
Draws
5
HIB wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Kilmarnock vs Hibernian · H/A from KIL
DateH/AGameScore
27/01/24HKIL Vs Hibernian2-2
11/11/23AHibernian Vs KIL1-0
16/09/23HKIL Vs Hibernian2-2
18/02/23AHibernian Vs KIL2-0
12/11/22HKIL Vs Hibernian1-0
03/09/22AHibernian Vs KIL1-0
16/01/21AHibernian Vs KIL2-0
24/10/20HKIL Vs Hibernian0-1

KilmarnockKilmarnock

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/24HKIL Vs FC Copenhagen1-1
25/08/24AAberdeen Vs KIL2-0
22/08/24AFC Copenhagen Vs KIL2-0
18/08/24AMotherwell Vs KIL0-0
15/08/24ATromso Vs KIL0-1
11/08/24HKIL Vs ST Johnstone0-3
08/08/24HKIL Vs Tromso2-2
04/08/24ACeltic Vs KIL4-0
01/08/24ACercle Brugge Vs KIL1-0
25/07/24HKIL Vs Cercle Brugge1-1

HibernianHibernian

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/08/24HHIB Vs Dundee2-2
18/08/24ACeltic Vs HIB3-1
11/08/24HHIB Vs Celtic0-2
04/08/24AST Mirren Vs HIB3-0
27/07/24HHIB Vs Peterhead4-0
20/07/24AKelty Hearts Vs HIB1-0
16/07/24HHIB Vs Queen's Park5-1
13/07/24AElgin Vs HIB0-5
19/05/24ALivingston Vs HIB1-1
15/05/24HHIB Vs Motherwell3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
Scotland: Premiership
Recent: 1 Wins / 4 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLLD1.38
HomeLDDLD1.71
AwayLWDLL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%46%23%
AVG goals2.362.672.08
Over 1.5 %66%71%62%
Over 2.5 %42%50%35%
Over 3.5 %28%33%23%
Scored1.141.460.85
Conceded1.221.211.23
BTTS48%54%42%
Clean Sheet34%29%38%
Corners11.1610.5711.70
Cards4.364.004.70
Hibernian
Hibernian
Scotland: Premiership
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLD1.20
HomeWWWLD1.40
AwayDWLLL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%40%20%
AVG goals3.123.043.20
Over 1.5 %86%84%88%
Over 2.5 %70%68%72%
Over 3.5 %46%40%52%
Scored1.481.561.40
Conceded1.641.481.80
BTTS54%40%68%
Clean Sheet24%36%12%
Corners10.1610.879.41
Cards4.094.044.14

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CelticCeltic3892
76%
2.4
11226+86
3.6
92%
74%
47%
11.8
71%
3.5
41%
18.7
29%
116
5620412.90.7
74%
2RangersRangers3875
58%
2.0
8041+39
3.2
82%
66%
42%
11.1
71%
4.0
65%
20.9
53%
136
3844542.11.1
63%
3HibernianHibernian3858
39%
1.5
6250+12
2.9
87%
61%
37%
11.5
71%
4.4
70%
20.6
45%
20
7851.61.3
45%
4Dundee UtdDundee Utd3853
39%
1.4
4554-9
2.6
66%
45%
29%
10.9
71%
4.2
50%
20.9
39%
11
4341.21.4
44%
5AberdeenAberdeen3853
39%
1.4
4861-13
2.9
74%
61%
34%
11.9
74%
4.9
78%
22.8
61%
15
4471.31.6
53%
6Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian3852
39%
1.4
5247+5
2.6
71%
55%
29%
10.8
58%
4.2
59%
21.2
50%
22
12461.41.2
54%
7ST MirrenST Mirren3850
37%
1.3
5359-6
2.9
82%
66%
34%
10.1
61%
4.6
61%
21.7
55%
8
1331.41.6
42%
8MotherwellMotherwell3849
37%
1.3
4663-17
2.9
82%
71%
26%
11.2
61%
4.5
65%
23.4
66%
16
10151.21.7
42%
9KilmarnockKilmarnock3844
32%
1.2
4564-19
2.9
74%
45%
34%
10.4
63%
4.0
54%
22.2
53%
7
3231.21.7
44%
10DundeeDundee3841
29%
1.1
5777-20
3.5
92%
68%
47%
10.4
63%
3.7
50%
20.3
34%
5
1221.52.0
44%
11Ross CountyRoss County4038
22%
0.9
4070-30
2.8
78%
55%
28%
11.8
74%
3.2
41%
20.9
50%
1
0011.01.8
40%
12ST JohnstoneST Johnstone3832
24%
0.8
3868-30
2.8
82%
61%
24%
10.6
53%
4.2
58%
22.8
61%
5
2121.01.8
53%
13LivingstonLivingston410
75%
2.5
93+6
3.0
100%
25%
25%
-
0%
0.0
0%
-
0%
4
1112.20.8
-
14Ayr UtdAyr Utd23
50%
1.5
12-1
1.5
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
9.0
100%
-
0%
2
1010.51.0
-
15PartickPartick43
25%
0.8
25-3
1.8
75%
0%
0%
-
0%
4.5
50%
-
0%
3
1110.51.2
-
Scotland: Premiership 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches