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Kilmarnock vs Hibernian Result & Analysis

Date: 15/03/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 1-1
Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
Vs
37%
29%
34%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Hibernian
Hibernian
Scotland: Premiership
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

The contest between Kilmarnock and Hibernian is a tight one, with the model favouring a home win but the odds for a draw and an away win are close behind. The predicted outcome is a Kilmarnock victory, with a 37% chance of winning, a 29% chance of a draw and a 34% chance of Hibernian taking the win. The average number of goals expected is 2.6, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 13.9% probability. Kilmarnock, playing at home against a stronger side, averages 1.0 goal scored and 1.33 conceded, while Hibernian, on the road against a weaker opponent, scores 0.71 and concedes 1.0 on average. The model’s selections include Under 25.5 fouls (86.8%), Under 5.5 cards (80.0%), Under 23.5 fouls (75.8%), Over 3.5 goals (74.5%), Over 1.5 goals (73.7%), Over 8.5 corners (72.7%) and Under 3.5 goals (74.5%). The only selection that misses is Over 2.5 cards (74.8%). Both teams are coming off contrasting recent form: Kilmarnock has a 0-4 defeat to Dundee Utd, whereas Hibernian won 2-1 over Dundee. This mix of form, the balanced win probabilities, and the high likelihood of a 1-1 draw set the stage for an evenly matched encounter.

Results analysis

The pre-match favourite, a home win for Kilmarnock at 37%, failed to materialise as the match ended 1-1, a draw that left the model’s call wrong. Kilmarnock, fresh from a 0-4 defeat, and Hibernian, riding a recent win, were evenly matched, each scoring once. The model’s other selections performed largely as expected: Under 25.5 fouls hit at 86.8%, Under 5.5 cards at 80.0%, Under 23.5 fouls at 75.8%, Under 3.5 at 74.5%, Over 1.5 at 73.7% and Over 8.5 corners at 72.7% all hit, while Over 2.5 cards missed at 74.8%. The most likely scoreline of 1-1, with a 27% chance, proved accurate.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kilmarnock win✗ Miss
36.5%
Avg Implied 37.0% · @ 2.54
Edge
-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
29.2%
Avg Implied 29.3% · @ 3.21
Edge
-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Hibernian win✗ Miss
34.3%
Avg Implied 33.7% · @ 2.79
Edge
+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

KilmarnockKilmarnock

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W01L00D12L23L10W31W01L24L01LH·ST 02/01H·ROS05/01H·MOT08/01A·CEL18/01A·HEA25/01H·DUN01/02H·ST 15/02A·ABE22/02H·RAN26/02A·ROS01/03
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.501.431.000.941.94
vs Stronger (12)0.921.921.001.330.832.50
vs Similar (18)1.331.221.750.751.001.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Hibernian) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HibernianHibernian

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W30W11D20W10W00D21W31W21W02LH·MOT11/01H·CLY18/01A·ROS25/01H·ABE01/02A·AYR07/02A·ST 16/02H·CEL22/02A·DUN26/02H·HEA02/03A·CEL09/03
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.232.001.201.201.27
vs Stronger (5)1.002.002.502.000.002.00
vs Similar (13)2.231.152.001.122.601.20
vs Weaker (12)1.171.001.801.000.711.00
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%017%127%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.7%
Under 1.5
26.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
47.1%
@ 2.05+1.2%
Under 2.5
52.9%
@ 1.74-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.5%
Under 3.5
74.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.3%
No
46.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.9%
0-0
9.0%
1-0
8.8%
0-1
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-0
6.6%
0-2
6.1%
Kilmarnock goals ↓
Hibernian goals →
01234
09.0%8.5%6.1%2.6%0.8%
18.8%14%7.9%3.3%1.0%
26.6%8.3%5.2%2.2%0.7%
32.9%3.6%2.2%0.9%0.3%
40.9%1.2%0.7%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kilmarnock goals (down), columns = Hibernian goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Livingston
2.50
Celtic
2.42
Rangers
1.97
Hibernian
1.53
Ayr Utd
1.50
Aberdeen
1.39
Dundee Utd
1.39
Heart Of Midlothian
1.37
ST Mirren
1.32
Motherwell
1.29
Kilmarnock
1.16
Dundee
1.08
Ross County
0.95
ST Johnstone
0.84
Partick
0.75
Kilmarnock is 0.37 points worse than Hibernian in terms of average points per game (1.16 vs 1.53).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Celtic
2.95
Livingston
2.25
Rangers
2.11
Hibernian
1.63
Dundee
1.50
ST Mirren
1.39
Heart Of Midlothian
1.37
Aberdeen
1.26
Motherwell
1.21
Kilmarnock
1.18
Dundee Utd
1.18
Ross County
1.00
ST Johnstone
1.00
Partick
0.50
Ayr Utd
0.50
Kilmarnock is 0.45 goals worse than Hibernian in terms of goals scored per game (1.18 vs 1.63).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Celtic
0.68
Livingston
0.75
Ayr Utd
1.00
Rangers
1.08
Heart Of Midlothian
1.24
Partick
1.25
Hibernian
1.32
Dundee Utd
1.42
ST Mirren
1.55
Aberdeen
1.61
Motherwell
1.66
Kilmarnock
1.68
Ross County
1.75
ST Johnstone
1.79
Dundee
2.03
Kilmarnock is 0.37 goals worse than Hibernian in terms of goals conceded per game (1.68 vs 1.32).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Celtic
74%
Rangers
63%
Heart Of Midlothian
54%
Aberdeen
53%
ST Johnstone
53%
Hibernian
45%
Dundee
44%
Dundee Utd
44%
Kilmarnock
44%
ST Mirren
42%
Motherwell
42%
Ross County
40%
Kilmarnock is 1.1 percentage points worse than Hibernian in terms of average possession (44% vs 45%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

KilmarnockKilmarnock

For 7.0 · Against 4.4 · Total 11.4

🚩 Corners

1706564587534731527642105111013127101713615A·ROSH·RANA·ABEH·ST H·DUNA·HEAH·MOTH·ROSH·ST A·HIB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.8

🟨 Cards

701243211125212122511652373326A·ROSH·RANA·ABEH·ST H·DUNA·HEAH·MOTH·ROSH·ST A·HIB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.2 · Against 10.2 · Total 20.4

⚠️ Fouls

3001088914141173917956121192113818172818122611233021A·ROSH·RANA·ABEH·ST H·DUNA·HEAH·MOTH·ROSH·ST A·HIB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

HibernianHibernian

For 5.9 · Against 5.9 · Total 11.8

🚩 Corners

180461015103428823610894510101115710109181315H·HEAA·DUNH·CELA·ST H·ABEA·ROSH·MOTH·RANA·ST H·KIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.4

🟨 Cards

90112132542214113215122359452563H·HEAA·DUNH·CELA·ST A·ROSH·MOTH·RANA·ST H·KILA·HEA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.3 · Against 10.6 · Total 18.9

⚠️ Fouls

24089911121181483812111341071081317202322112024141721H·HEAA·DUNH·CELA·ST H·ABEA·ROSH·MOTH·RANA·ST H·KIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

KilmarnockKilmarnock

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.09.911.93.93.84.021.722.021.5
vs Stronger (21)11.810.712.93.93.84.020.621.619.7
vs Similar (29)10.39.211.23.93.84.022.522.222.7
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line73%57%88%58%52%63%47%52%42%
% under line27%43%12%42%48%37%53%48%58%
This opponent (Hibernian) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HibernianHibernian

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.412.310.63.33.63.120.220.520.0
vs Stronger (8)14.313.715.02.93.32.619.519.319.7
vs Similar (17)10.911.610.13.63.53.919.919.320.6
vs Weaker (25)10.912.69.63.23.72.920.822.119.6
% over line71%76%67%46%50%42%43%57%29%
% under line29%24%33%54%50%58%57%43%71%
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Celtic
12.1
Ross County
11.5
Rangers
11.3
Hibernian
11.3
Motherwell
11.2
Heart Of Midlothian
11.1
Aberdeen
11.1
Kilmarnock
10.9
Dundee Utd
10.8
Dundee
10.5
ST Johnstone
10.4
ST Mirren
10.2
Partick
10.0
Livingston
9.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Aberdeen
4.7
Dundee Utd
4.4
Kilmarnock
4.2
Rangers
4.2
ST Mirren
4.1
Motherwell
4.1
Hibernian
4.1
ST Johnstone
4.0
Heart Of Midlothian
4.0
Livingston
3.9
Dundee
3.9
Partick
3.8
Ross County
3.6
Celtic
3.4

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Aberdeen
24.2
Livingston
23.2
Motherwell
22.1
ST Johnstone
21.9
ST Mirren
21.8
Kilmarnock
21.8
Rangers
21.3
Ross County
21.3
Heart Of Midlothian
21.1
Dundee Utd
21.0
Hibernian
20.7
Dundee
19.9
Partick
19.6
Celtic
18.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
61.1%
Under 9.5
38.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
54.8%
Under 3.5
45.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
39.2%
Under 21.5
60.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

KilmarnockKilmarnock

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D00D11D01L00D10W00D21W01LH·ST 02/01H·ROS05/01H·MOT08/01A·CEL18/01A·HEA25/01H·DUN01/02H·ST 15/02A·ABE22/02H·RAN26/02A·ROS01/03
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.500.500.210.310.75
vs Stronger (12)0.420.580.670.330.170.83
vs Similar (18)0.390.440.380.120.400.70
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Hibernian) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HibernianHibernian

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W10W10W10W00D00D20W11D11D01LH·MOT11/01H·CLY18/01A·ROS25/01H·ABE01/02A·AYR07/02A·ST 16/02H·CEL22/02A·DUN26/02H·HEA02/03A·CEL09/03
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.600.930.470.600.73
vs Stronger (5)0.601.001.501.000.001.00
vs Similar (13)1.080.380.880.121.400.80
vs Weaker (12)0.500.670.800.800.290.57
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kilmarnock over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hibernian over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hibernian over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hibernian over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

KilmarnockKilmarnock

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L00D01L22D10W21W01L03L00DH·ST 02/01H·ROS05/01H·MOT08/01A·CEL18/01A·HEA25/01H·DUN01/02H·ST 15/02A·ABE22/02H·RAN26/02A·ROS01/03
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.771.000.930.790.621.19
vs Stronger (12)0.501.330.331.000.671.67
vs Similar (18)0.940.781.380.620.600.90
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Hibernian) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HibernianHibernian

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D20W01L10W10W00D01L20W10W01LH·MOT11/01H·CLY18/01A·ROS25/01H·ABE01/02A·AYR07/02A·ST 16/02H·CEL22/02A·DUN26/02H·HEA02/03A·CEL09/03
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.631.070.730.600.53
vs Stronger (5)0.401.001.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (13)1.150.771.121.001.200.40
vs Weaker (12)0.670.331.000.200.430.43
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kilmarnock over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hibernian over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hibernian over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hibernian over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls86.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards80.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls75.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards74.8%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.574.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.573.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners72.7%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Kilmarnock
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Bruce Anderson33%
Marley Watkins15%
Matthew Kennedy14%
Fraser Murray12%
Bobby Wales10%
Danny Armstrong9%
David Watson8%
Kyle Vassell8%
Liam Polworth7%
Joe Wright7%
Innes Cameron5%
Liam Donnelly4%
Bradley Lyons3%
Robbie Deas3%
Corrie Ndaba3%
Kieran O'Hara0%
Jack Burroughs0%
Stuart Findlay0%
Rory McKenzie0%
Gary Mackay-Steven0%
Kyle Magennis0%
Robby McCrorie0%
Lewis Mayo0%
Calvin Ramsay0%
Oliver Bainbridge0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Oliver Bainbridge29%
Danny Armstrong26%
Kyle Magennis25%
Joe Wright23%
Liam Donnelly22%
Matthew Kennedy19%
Bradley Lyons15%
Robbie Deas15%
Corrie Ndaba14%
Fraser Murray12%
Liam Polworth11%
David Watson11%
Marley Watkins9%
Bobby Wales7%
Lewis Mayo5%
Kieran O'Hara5%
Kyle Vassell4%
Bruce Anderson3%
Jack Burroughs0%
Stuart Findlay0%
Rory McKenzie0%
Gary Mackay-Steven0%
Robby McCrorie0%
Innes Cameron0%
Calvin Ramsay0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Danny Armstrong23%
Joe Wright10%
Gary Mackay-Steven9%
Liam Donnelly7%
Bobby Wales7%
Fraser Murray6%
Matthew Kennedy5%
Innes Cameron5%
Kyle Vassell4%
Bruce Anderson3%
Marley Watkins3%
Bradley Lyons3%
Corrie Ndaba3%
David Watson3%
Lewis Mayo3%
Kieran O'Hara0%
Jack Burroughs0%
Stuart Findlay0%
Rory McKenzie0%
Kyle Magennis0%
Liam Polworth0%
Robby McCrorie0%
Robbie Deas0%
Calvin Ramsay0%
Oliver Bainbridge0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bruce Anderson13%
Kyle Vassell12%
Bobby Wales10%
Matthew Kennedy10%
Fraser Murray9%
Bradley Lyons9%
Danny Armstrong6%
Stuart Findlay5%
Joe Wright3%
Marley Watkins3%
Corrie Ndaba3%
David Watson3%
Kieran O'Hara0%
Jack Burroughs0%
Rory McKenzie0%
Gary Mackay-Steven0%
Liam Donnelly0%
Kyle Magennis0%
Liam Polworth0%
Robby McCrorie0%
Innes Cameron0%
Lewis Mayo0%
Robbie Deas0%
Calvin Ramsay0%
Oliver Bainbridge0%
Hibernian
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Martin Boyle36%
Kieron Bowie28%
Mykola Kukharevych24%
Dwight Gayle21%
Nicky Cadden17%
Thody Elie Youan15%
Junior Hoilett14%
Joe Newell12%
Rocky Bushiri Kiranga11%
Dylan Levitt11%
Josh Campbell9%
Nectarios Triantis9%
Jack Iredale4%
Lewis Miller3%
Warren O'Hora3%
Alasana Manneh0%
Jordan Smith0%
Marvin Ekpiteta0%
Christopher Cadden0%
Harry McKirdy0%
Jordan Obita0%
Josef Bursik0%
Hyeok-kyu Kwon0%
Nathan Moriah-Welsh0%
Rudi Allan Molotnikov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Joe Newell38%
Alasana Manneh25%
Nectarios Triantis24%
Jack Iredale21%
Josh Campbell21%
Mykola Kukharevych20%
Martin Boyle19%
Rocky Bushiri Kiranga14%
Jordan Obita14%
Nathan Moriah-Welsh12%
Kieron Bowie11%
Dylan Levitt11%
Hyeok-kyu Kwon10%
Lewis Miller9%
Warren O'Hora9%
Rudi Allan Molotnikov9%
Marvin Ekpiteta8%
Josef Bursik8%
Nicky Cadden7%
Jordan Smith4%
Junior Hoilett4%
Christopher Cadden3%
Dwight Gayle0%
Thody Elie Youan0%
Harry McKirdy0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nicky Cadden24%
Nectarios Triantis18%
Dwight Gayle14%
Jordan Obita14%
Martin Boyle14%
Junior Hoilett11%
Thody Elie Youan8%
Lewis Miller6%
Kieron Bowie6%
Dylan Levitt5%
Rocky Bushiri Kiranga4%
Jack Iredale4%
Christopher Cadden3%
Josh Campbell3%
Alasana Manneh0%
Jordan Smith0%
Marvin Ekpiteta0%
Joe Newell0%
Harry McKirdy0%
Josef Bursik0%
Hyeok-kyu Kwon0%
Warren O'Hora0%
Mykola Kukharevych0%
Nathan Moriah-Welsh0%
Rudi Allan Molotnikov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mykola Kukharevych24%
Thody Elie Youan15%
Martin Boyle14%
Dwight Gayle7%
Nicky Cadden7%
Joe Newell6%
Nectarios Triantis6%
Hyeok-kyu Kwon5%
Lewis Miller3%
Josh Campbell3%
Rocky Bushiri Kiranga0%
Alasana Manneh0%
Jordan Smith0%
Marvin Ekpiteta0%
Junior Hoilett0%
Christopher Cadden0%
Jack Iredale0%
Dylan Levitt0%
Harry McKirdy0%
Jordan Obita0%
Josef Bursik0%
Kieron Bowie0%
Warren O'Hora0%
Nathan Moriah-Welsh0%
Rudi Allan Molotnikov0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
Kilmarnock's squad is €13m less valuable than Hibernian's (€7m vs €20m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RC (1)
€0m
Kilmarnock's attack is €5m less valuable than Hibernian's (€3m vs €7m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
RC (3)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
Kilmarnock's midfield is €6m less valuable than Hibernian's (€2m vs €8m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
Kilmarnock's defence is €2m less valuable than Hibernian's (€3m vs €5m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
KIL wins
3
Draws
4
HIB wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Kilmarnock vs Hibernian · H/A from KIL
DateH/AGameScore
29/12/24AHibernian Vs KIL1-0
01/09/24HKIL Vs Hibernian1-1
27/01/24HKIL Vs Hibernian2-2
11/11/23AHibernian Vs KIL1-0
16/09/23HKIL Vs Hibernian2-2
18/02/23AHibernian Vs KIL2-0
12/11/22HKIL Vs Hibernian1-0
03/09/22AHibernian Vs KIL1-0

KilmarnockKilmarnock

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/03/25ARoss County Vs KIL1-0
26/02/25HKIL Vs Rangers2-4
22/02/25AAberdeen Vs KIL1-0
15/02/25HKIL Vs ST Johnstone3-1
01/02/25HKIL Vs Dundee Utd1-0
25/01/25AHeart Of Midlothian Vs KIL3-2
18/01/25ACeltic Vs KIL2-1
08/01/25HKIL Vs Motherwell0-0
05/01/25HKIL Vs Ross County0-1
02/01/25HKIL Vs ST Mirren2-0

HibernianHibernian

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/03/25ACeltic Vs HIB2-0
02/03/25HHIB Vs Heart Of Midlothian2-1
26/02/25ADundee Utd Vs HIB1-3
22/02/25HHIB Vs Celtic2-1
16/02/25AST Mirren Vs HIB0-0
07/02/25AAyr Utd Vs HIB0-1
01/02/25HHIB Vs Aberdeen2-0
25/01/25ARoss County Vs HIB1-1
18/01/25HHIB Vs Clydebank3-0
11/01/25HHIB Vs Motherwell3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
Scotland: Premiership
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLL1.16
HomeLDWWL1.52
AwayLLLLL0.85
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%39%19%
AVG goals2.622.652.59
Over 1.5 %70%70%70%
Over 2.5 %40%39%41%
Over 3.5 %30%30%30%
Scored1.141.390.93
Conceded1.481.261.67
BTTS48%43%52%
Clean Sheet26%39%15%
Corners10.969.8611.92
Cards4.243.954.50
Hibernian
Hibernian
Scotland: Premiership
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWL1.54
HomeWWWWW1.96
AwayDWDWL1.15
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%58%27%
AVG goals2.983.252.73
Over 1.5 %88%96%81%
Over 2.5 %62%71%54%
Over 3.5 %34%33%35%
Scored1.682.081.31
Conceded1.301.171.42
BTTS60%58%62%
Clean Sheet26%33%19%
Corners11.4312.2910.57
Cards4.054.303.81

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CelticCeltic3892
76%
2.4
11226+86
3.6
92%
74%
47%
11.8
71%
3.5
41%
18.7
29%
116
5620412.90.7
74%
2RangersRangers3875
58%
2.0
8041+39
3.2
82%
66%
42%
11.1
71%
4.0
65%
20.9
53%
136
3844542.11.1
63%
3HibernianHibernian3858
39%
1.5
6250+12
2.9
87%
61%
37%
11.5
71%
4.4
70%
20.6
45%
20
7851.61.3
45%
4Dundee UtdDundee Utd3853
39%
1.4
4554-9
2.6
66%
45%
29%
10.9
71%
4.2
50%
20.9
39%
11
4341.21.4
44%
5AberdeenAberdeen3853
39%
1.4
4861-13
2.9
74%
61%
34%
11.9
74%
4.9
78%
22.8
61%
15
4471.31.6
53%
6Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian3852
39%
1.4
5247+5
2.6
71%
55%
29%
10.8
58%
4.2
59%
21.2
50%
22
12461.41.2
54%
7ST MirrenST Mirren3850
37%
1.3
5359-6
2.9
82%
66%
34%
10.1
61%
4.6
61%
21.7
55%
8
1331.41.6
42%
8MotherwellMotherwell3849
37%
1.3
4663-17
2.9
82%
71%
26%
11.2
61%
4.5
65%
23.4
66%
16
10151.21.7
42%
9KilmarnockKilmarnock3844
32%
1.2
4564-19
2.9
74%
45%
34%
10.4
63%
4.0
54%
22.2
53%
7
3231.21.7
44%
10DundeeDundee3841
29%
1.1
5777-20
3.5
92%
68%
47%
10.4
63%
3.7
50%
20.3
34%
5
1221.52.0
44%
11Ross CountyRoss County4038
22%
0.9
4070-30
2.8
78%
55%
28%
11.8
74%
3.2
41%
20.9
50%
1
0011.01.8
40%
12ST JohnstoneST Johnstone3832
24%
0.8
3868-30
2.8
82%
61%
24%
10.6
53%
4.2
58%
22.8
61%
5
2121.01.8
53%
13LivingstonLivingston410
75%
2.5
93+6
3.0
100%
25%
25%
-
0%
0.0
0%
-
0%
4
1112.20.8
-
14Ayr UtdAyr Utd23
50%
1.5
12-1
1.5
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
9.0
100%
-
0%
2
1010.51.0
-
15PartickPartick43
25%
0.8
25-3
1.8
75%
0%
0%
-
0%
4.5
50%
-
0%
3
1110.51.2
-
Scotland: Premiership 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches